• 제목/요약/키워드: Common Stock Performance

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Oil Price Fluctuations and Stock Market Movements: An Application in Oman

  • Echchabi, Abdelghani;Azouzi, Dhekra
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2017
  • It is undisputable that crude oil and its price fluctuations are major components that affect most of the countries' economies. Recent studies have demonstrated that beside the impact that crude oil price fluctuations have on common macroeconomic indicators like gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rates, exchange rates, unemployment rate, etc., it also has a strong influence on stock markets and their performance. This relationship has been examined in a number of settings, but it is yet to be unraveled in the Omani context. Accordingly, the main purpose of this study is to examine the possible effect of the oil price fluctuations on stock price movements. The study applies Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) Granger non-causality test on the daily Oman stock index (Muscat Securities Market Index) and oil prices between the period of 2 January 2003 and 13 March 2016. The results indicated that the oil price fluctuations have a significant impact on stock index movements. However, the stock price movements do not have a significant impact on oil prices. These findings have significant implications not only for the Omani economy but also for the economy of similar countries, particularly in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The latter should carefully consider their policies and strategies regarding crude oil production and the generated income allocation as it might potentially affect the financial markets performance in these countries.

개인투자자의 주식투자 성과 분석 (The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors in Korea)

  • 변영훈
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.135-164
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    • 2005
  • 개인투자자 10,000명의 1998년부터 2003년까지 6년간의 거래자료와 잔고자료를 분석한 결과, 개인투자자들은 총수익률(gross return) 기준으로 연간 12.3%의 수익률을 실현한 것으로 나타났다. 동기간에 거래소 시장의 가치가중평균수익률은 13.6%였으며 코스닥 시장을 포함하는 종합시장수익률은 9.7%를 기록하였다. 그러나 거래비용을 고려한 순수익률(net return)은 연간 8.3%로 하락하여 시장수익률보다 크게 낮은 것으로 나타났는데, 연간 270%가 넘는 거래 회전율이 투자성과에 부정적인 영향을 미친 탓이라 할 수 있다. 특히 잔고규모별 초과수익률 분석에서는 투자금액이 상위 20%에 속하는 투자자들은 시장수익률과 비슷한 수준의 수익률을 얻은 반면, 나머지 80%의 투자자들은 시장수익률과 커다란 차이를 보였는데, 왜 많은 개인 투자자들이 시장을 떠나는지를 확인시켜 주는 결과이다. 특기할 사항은 과잉확신으로 인해 거래량이 증가하고 기대효용은 낮아진다는 과잉확신 모형을 지지한다는 점이다. 분석대상인 개인투자자들은 고 베타 주식과 소형주와 가치주를 선호하는 것으로 나타났다.

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손익 및 배당정보가 외부자금조달의 공시효과에 미치는 영향 (THE IMPACT OF EARNINGS AND DIVIDEND INFORMATION ON THE VALUATION CONSEQUENCES OF EXTERNAL FINANCING ANNOUNCEMENTS)

  • 최도성;이성효
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.175-193
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    • 1994
  • This paper relates the valuation consequences of common-stock, convertible-debt and straight-debt offering announcements to the issuing firms' stock price performance in periods before the announcements. Similar to previous studies on equity offerings, we find that the announcement effects of security offerings, regardless of offering types, are negatively correlated with the short-term pre-offering stock returns. We show that the informational impact of the preceding earnings and dividend(E/D) announcements account for the previous findings of the negative correlation. We further report that security issues following 'good-news' E/D announcements result in larger stock price declines than issues following 'bad-news' E/D announcements. The finding is consistent with the hypothesis that the E/D information affects the investors' assessments of the firm's cash flow expectations and of the probability of external financing.

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Construction quality issues in performance-based wind engineering: effect of missing fasteners

  • van de Lindt, John W.;Dao, Thang Nguyen
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.221-234
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    • 2010
  • In light-frame wood construction, missing roof-sheathing fasteners can be a relatively common occurrence. This type of construction makes up the vast majority of the residential building stock in North America and thus their performance in high winds, including hurricanes, is of concern due to their sheer number. Construction quality issues are common in these types of structures primarily because the majority are conventionally constructed and unlike steel and reinforced concrete structures, inspection is minimal except in certain areas of the country. The concept of performance-based wind engineering (PBWE), a relatively new paradigm, relies on the assumption that building performance under wind loads can be accurately modeled. However, the discrepancy between what is designed (and modeled) and what is built (the as-built) may make application of PBWE to light-frame wood buildings quite difficult. It can be concluded from this study that construction quality must be controlled for realistic application of PBWE to light-frame wood buildings.

Key Performance Indicators to Diagnose Poor Farm Performance and Profitability of Smallholder Dairy Farmers in Asia

  • Moran, John B.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.1709-1717
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    • 2009
  • This review presents a series of Key Performance Indicators (KPI) to assist Asian smallholder dairy farmers in identifying the possible causes for their poor farm performance and profitability. When assessing farm profitability, these indicators can be split into two types, those diagnosing problems with feeding management and those indicating poor herd management. As home grown forage is generally cheaper to source than purchased forage, the more produced on farm, the better. Too many stock on limited land is a common feature on Asian dairy small holdings. Unlike other classes of livestock, milking cows have very high nutrient requirements, therefore high quality forages and concentrates are essential for profitable dairying. Milk income less feed cost is one of the simplest and easy to measure indicators of farm profitability and is also quick to respond to small changes in farm practices. Problems with herd management can be diagnosed using measures such as the proportion of cows actually milking in the herd or their peak yield and persistency of production. There are also simple indicators of herd reproductive performance and of health and growth of young stock that assist in searching for the underlying causes of poor farm profitability.

LSTM을 이용한 주가예측 모델의 학습방법에 따른 성능분석 (A Performance Analysis by Adjusting Learning Methods in Stock Price Prediction Model Using LSTM)

  • 정종진;김지연
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제18권11호
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2020
  • 과거 인공지능 분야에서는 지식 기반의 전문가 시스템 및 머신러닝 알고리즘들을 금융 분야에 적용하는 연구가 꾸준하게 수행되어 왔다. 특히 주식에 대한 지식 기반의 시스템 트레이딩은 이제 보편화되었고, 최근에는 대용량 데이터에 기반한 딥러닝 기술을 주가 예측에 적용하기 시작했다. 이중 LSTM은 시계열 데이터에 대한 검증된 모델로서 주가 예측에도 적용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 주가 예측 모델로서 LSTM을 적용할 때 성능향상을 위해 고려해야 할 복잡한 매개변수 설정과 적용 함수들에 대해 적합한 조합 방법을 제안하도록 한다. 크게 가중치와 바이어스에 대한 초기화 대상과 설정 방법, 과적합을 피하기 위한 정규화 적용 대상과 설정 방법, 활성화 함수 적용 방법, 최적화 알고리즘 선택 등을 제시한다. 이 때 나스닥 상장사들에 대한 대용량 데이터를 바탕으로 각각의 방법들을 적용하여 정확도를 비교하면서 평가한다. 이를 통해 주가 예측을 위한 LSTM 적용 시 최적의 모델링 방법을 실증적인 형태로 제안하여 현실적인 시사점을 갖도록 한다. 향후에는 입력 데이터의 포맷과 길이, 하이퍼파라미터들에 대한 성능평가를 추가 수행하여 주요 설정 항목들의 조합에 대한 일반화 연구를 수행하고자 한다.

Association between Corporate Governance and Corporate Performance in Iran

  • Moradi, Mahdi;Shiri, Mahmood Mousavi;Salehi, Mahdi;Piri, Habib
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권11호
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - Considering corporate companies that are continually growing and bearing in mind the theory of agency, how confident can stakeholders be about their benefits in relation to managers' decisions? Previous research has indicated that the type of corporate governance can have an effective impact on companies' performance. The current study aims to investigate the impact of ownership structure on listed companies on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - Through use of the correlation coefficient, the results indicate a positive correlation among the percentage of common stock held by board members, the percentage of non-executive board members, and separation of the positions of chairperson of the board of directors and managing director. Results - Based on the return on assets index, only the correlation between the proportion of ownership of the managing director and financial investment company ownership is significant. Conclusion -Managers can potentially make decisions that benefit themselves but are detrimental to shareholders' interests. Corporate governance is a factor that can mitigate agency costs. Corporate governance comprises the laws, regulations, structures, processes, cultures, and systems that lead to the achievement of objectives such as accountability, transparency, justice, and stakeholders' rights.

2단계 하이브리드 주가 예측 모델 : 공적분 검정과 인공 신경망 (A Two-Phase Hybrid Stock Price Forecasting Model : Cointegration Tests and Artificial Neural Networks)

  • 오유진;김유섭
    • 정보처리학회논문지B
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    • 제14B권7호
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    • pp.531-540
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 주가예측의 정확도를 향상시키기 위하여 공적분 검정(Cointegration Tests)과 인공 신경망(Artificial Neural Networks)을 사용한 2단계 하이브리드 예측 모델을 제시한다. 기존의 연구에서는 예측을 시도하고자 하는 종목의 일자별 개별 레코드를 인공 신경망과 같은 방법으로 학습함으로써 주식 데이터가 가지는 시계열적 특성을 충분히 반영하지 못하였는데, 새로 제안한 모형에서는 주식자료의 과거시차들의 값들도 인공 신경망의 속성(feature)으로 사용하여 기존 연구의 한계를 보완하였다. 또한, 예측대상종목의 정보들 외에도 장기적으로 높은 시계열 유사성을 보유한 종목들을 선발한 후 속성으로 사용하여 모형의 예측성능을 향상 시켰다. 구체적으로 1단계는 Johansen의 공적분 검정을 통하여 예측대상종목과 장기적 관계(long-term relationship)에 있는 종목을 추출하고, 2단계는 이 선발된 종목들과 예측대상종목의 시계열 정보 특성을 속성으로 구축한 인공 신경망으로 학습하여 관심 종목을 예측한다. 제안된 모델의 성능을 확인하기 위하여 KOSPI 지수의 방향성을 예측하는 시스템을 구현하였으며, 시가총액 상위 종목군을 대상으로 지수와의 공적분 검정을 하였다. 성능을 살펴보기 위하여 본 연구에서는 시계열 정보가 속성으로 반영된 단순 인공 신경망 모델, 공적분 검정을 통과한 종목들의 시계열 속성이 포함된 모델, 그리고 그 모델과 속성의 개수를 동일하게 하기 위하여 임의로 종목을 선택하여 이들의 시계열 속성이 포함된 모델을 구축하였다. 실험 결과 공적분 검정을 통과한 종목군의 속성이 결합된 모델은 단순 인공 신경망만으로 학습된 기존 모델에 비하여 평균적으로는 11.29% (최대 29.98%) 정확도가 향상되었고, 임의로 선택된 종목군의 속성이 결합된 모델에 비해서는 평균적으로는 10.59% (최대 25.78%) 가 향상된 예측 정확도를 보여주었다.

기업합병의 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구 (The Gains To Bidding Firms' Stock Returns From Merger)

  • 김용갑
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제23권
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    • pp.41-74
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    • 2007
  • In Korea, corporate merger activities were activated since 1980, and nowadays(particuarly since 1986) the changes in domestic and international economic circumstances have made corporate managers have strong interests in merger. Korea and America have different business environments and it is easily conceivable that there exists many differences in motives, methods, and effects of mergers between the two countries. According to recent studies on takeover bids in America, takeover bids have information effects, tax implications, and co-insurance effects, and the form of payment(cash versus securities), the relative size of target and bidder, the leverage effect, Tobin's q, number of bidders(single versus multiple bidder), the time period (before 1968, 1968-1980, 1981 and later), and the target firm reaction (hostile versus friendly) are important determinants of the magnitude of takeover gains and their distribution between targets and bidders at the announcement of takeover bids. This study examines the theory of takeover bids, the status quo and problems of merger in Korea, and then investigates how the announcement of merger are reflected in common stock returns of bidding firms, finally explores empirically the factors influencing abnormal returns of bidding firms' stock price. The hypotheses of this study are as follows ; Shareholders of bidding firms benefit from mergers. And common stock returns of bidding firms at the announcement of takeover bids, shows significant differences according to the condition of the ratio of target size relative to bidding firm, whether the target being a member of the conglomerate to which bidding firm belongs, whether the target being a listed company, the time period(before 1986, 1986, and later), the number of bidding firm's stock in exchange for a stock of the target, whether the merger being a horizontal and vertical merger or a conglomerate merger, and the ratios of debt to equity capital of target and bidding firm. The data analyzed in this study were drawn from public announcements of proposals to acquire a target firm by means of merger. The sample contains all bidding firms which were listed in the stock market and also engaged in successful mergers in the period 1980 through 1992 for which there are daily stock returns. A merger bid was considered successful if it resulted in a completed merger and the target firm disappeared as a separate entity. The final sample contains 113 acquiring firms. The research hypotheses examined in this study are tested by applying an event-type methodology similar to that described in Dodd and Warner. The ordinary-least-squares coefficients of the market-model regression were estimated over the period t=-135 to t=-16 relative to the date of the proposal's initial announcement, t=0. Daily abnormal common stock returns were calculated for each firm i over the interval t=-15 to t=+15. A daily average abnormal return(AR) for each day t was computed. Average cumulative abnormal returns($CART_{T_1,T_2}$) were also derived by summing the $AR_t's$ over various intervals. The expected values of $AR_t$ and $CART_{T_1,T_2}$ are zero in the absence of abnormal performance. The test statistics of $AR_t$ and $CAR_{T_1,T_2}$ are based on the average standardized abnormal return($ASAR_t$) and the average standardized cumulative abnormal return ($ASCAR_{T_1,T_2}$), respectively. Assuming that the individual abnormal returns are normal and independent across t and across securities, the statistics $Z_t$ and $Z_{T_1,T_2}$ which follow a unit-normal distribution(Dodd and Warner), are used to test the hypotheses that the average standardized abnormal returns and the average cumulative standardized abnormal returns equal zero.

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A Study on the Transnational Performance of China's Enterprises

  • Wang, Jingnan;He, Yugang
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - Currently, the economic globalization has become a common channel for China's enterprise to perform the international economic activities. Due to this background, this paper tries to analyze the influence of internationalization level on operation performance of enterprises. Research design, data, and Methodology - This paper aims at 296 companies going listed in Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The data about the listed companies during the 12 years from 2005 to 2016 have been collected. Relevant theories, including the theory of comparative advantage, monopolistic advantage and product life cycle in developed countries as well as the small scale technology and state on localized technological capacities in developing countries, have been summarized to provide theoretical basis for the influence of international operation on operation performance of the enterprises. Moreover, the current status of international operation of China's enterprises, including the dynamic cause of the internationalization of China's enterprises, its competitive advantage and disadvantage as well as the interest and potential risk of the internationalization, have been also analyzed. Results - Via adopting the panel data to conduct an empirical analysis, It can be found that the relationship between international operation level and operation performance of China's enterprises can be expressed as the S-curve of declining, rising and declining again. Conclusions - This paper has taken the lead in using Ohlson corporate value model to fill the gap in the relevant researches in China. It can also provide guidance for the international operation of China's enterprises. Meanwhile, the two systems for international operation and performance evaluation index have been put forward. The performance of international operation can be classified as financial performance or corporate value so that the operation effect of those China's enterprises going abroad can be better evaluated.