• The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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• v.12 no.5
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• pp.63-73
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• 2024

Purpose: Changes in energy prices can be considered as one of the factors of macroeconomic uncertainty. This study examines the impact of coal price shocks on Indonesian macroeconomic variables. Research design, data and methodology: The structural vector autoregressive model is used on monthly data from January 2010 to June 2023. Results: The impulse response functions indicate that coal price shocks have a negative impact on output and a positive impact on CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the effective real exchange rate. Following a shock in coal price growth, output growth takes twelve months, CPI growth takes fifteen months, and the effective real exchange rate takes seventeen months to reach equilibrium. Coal price growth shocks generally do not have a significant contribution to the variation in output, CPI growth and effective real exchange rate. On average over a twelve-month simulation, coal price growth shocks contribute 2.06 percent to output growth variation, 0.0042 percent to CPI growth variation, and 0.0046 percent to effective real exchange rate growth variation. Conclusions: This study finds that the impact of rising coal prices, as an energy source in Indonesia, can be offset by coal export revenues. This is possible considering that 70-80% of Indonesia's coal is exported.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.06a
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• pp.857-860
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• 2009

This report examines the economic feasibility of a commercial 50,000 barrel per day direct/indirect coal liquefaction (DCL/ICL) facility to produce commercial-grade diesel and naphtha liquids from medium-sulfur bituminous coal. The scope of the study includes capital and operating cost estimates, sensitivity analysis and a comparative financial analysis. Based on plant capacity of 50,000BPD, employing Illinois #6 bituminous coal as feed coal the total capital cost appeared $3,994,858,000(DCL) and $4,942,976,000(ICL). Also, the internal rate of return of DCL/ICL appeared 13.27% and 12.68% on the base condition. In this case, coal price and sale price of products were the most influence factors. And ICL's payback period(6.8 years) was longer than DCL's (6.6 years). According to sensitivity analyses, the important factors on DCL/ICL processes were product sale price, feed coal price and the capital cost in order.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.13 no.21
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• pp.11-18
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• 1990

Because of the descent trend of the recent oil price and the ascent elements of the manufacturing price of public coal. the future demand of public coal is very obscured. In this paper, forecast the public coal demand by the regression analysis method reflected the policy and economic index of alternative energies.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.127-132
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• 2009

This report examines the economic feasibility of a commercial 50,000 barrel per day direct coal liquefaction(DCL) facility to produce commercial-grade diesel and naphtha liquids from medium-sulfur bituminous coal. The scope of the study includes capital and operating cost estimates, sensitivity analysis and a comparative financial analysis. Based on plant capacity of 50,000BPD, employing Illinois #6 bituminous coal as feed coal the total capital cost appeared $3,994,858,000. Also, the internal rate of return of DCL appeared 6.60% on the base condition. In this case, coal price and sale price of products were the most influence factors. And DCL's payback period demanded a long time(12.3 years), because of high coal price at the present time. According to sensitivity analyses, the important factors on DCL processes were product sale price, feed coal price and the capital cost in order.

• Journal of Service Research and Studies
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.75-85
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• 2016

Coal can be divided into thermal coal and coking coal. The price of thermal coal is basically affected by demand and supply. However, many other factors with regard to economic condition such as exchange rate, economy growth rate also make an influence on the price. This study is targeted to develop a forecast model for thermal coal price by using System Dynamics Method. System dynamics provides results that better reflect the real world by employing an inter-dependent system of variables. This study found out that 8 factors have important influence on the thermal coal price. Most of the data of the variables were acquired from the Bloomberg Database. The period extends to 2 years and 4 months, from May of 2011 to August of 2013. The causal relations among the variables were acquired by regression analysis

• Plant Journal
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.47-51
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• 2018

This study analyzed the effect of power output reduction in coal fired power generation on the change of system marginal price and green house gas emissions. Analytical method was used for electricity market forecasting system used in korea state owned companies. Operating conditions of the power system was based on the the 7th Basic Plan for Electricity Demand and Supply. This as a reference, I analyzed change of system marginal price and green house gas emission by reduced power output in coal fired power generation. The results, if the maximum output was declined as 29 [%] to overall coal-fired power plant, system marginal price is reduced 12 [%p] compared to before and decreasing greenhouse gas emissions were 9,966 [kton]. And if the low efficiency coal fired power plant that accounted for 30 [%] in overall coal-fired power plant stopped by year, system marginal price is reduced 14 [%p] compared to before and decreasing greenhouse gas emissions were 12,874 [kton].

• Nuclear industry
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• v.5 no.11 s.33
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• pp.39-45
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• 1985

In some parts of Canada, such as Ontario, the choice between nuclear and coal is clear : the economics, environmental, and public health effects all favour nuclear. It is recognized that the economics of coal depend largely on the price of coal, which in

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.593-619
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• 2004

This study analyzes the interfuel substitution of energy demand in Korean manufacturing sector using static and dynamic linear logit models. For the period of 1981~2002, this study uses petroleum, electricity, natural gas and coal as energy sources. According to the empirical results, firstly, the own-price elasticity of coal has been increased steadily even though its elasticity is smallest compared with those of other energy sources. On the other hand, price elasticity of natural gas is largest, but its value has been decreased after 1997. Price elasticities of petroleum and electricity are very stable over the sample period. One of the main features in trends of interfuel substitution is as follows. Substitution effect of a change in price of natural gas on both petroleum and coal has been increased especially after 1997. The implication of the empirical results is summarized as follows: First, the fact of inelastic own-price elasticity of petroleum implies that the dependency of Korean manufacturing sector on petroleum and coal will be persistent even in a sharp fluctuation of petroleum price. Second, the effects of price increase in natural gas on demand for petroleum and coal are very significant. Thus, price decline of natural gas rather than price declines of coal and petroleum could be more effective as an energy price policy for the reduction of $CO_2$ emission. The assessment on this implication will remain for future researches.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.33-47
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• 2004

Even though the price of extracted but unprocessed coal has been available in Korea, the use of it as scarcity index would be inappropriate because of price subsidy. Following Halvorsen and Smith(1984), Kim and Lee(2002) derived estimates of the shadow price of unextracted coal by estimating the restricted cost function and differentiating with respect to the quantity of coal extracted. In Korea, however, due to the limited data the capital prices have been computed inconsistently case by case without relying on the robust formula like the Christensen-Jorgenson methodology used in US, which could result in biased estimators of the restricted cost function. In the paper the shadow prices of the resources in situ are obtained by measuring an input distance function defined by Shephard (1970), which requires only the data on the quantities of inputs and output. Empirical results for the Korean coal mining industry show that these shadow prices as a coal scarcity have increased fast by approximately three times in comparisons with those obtained by Kim and Lee.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.781-787
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• 2009

This report investigates the economic proprieties of commercial 50,000 barrel per day direct/indirect coal liquefaction(DCL/ICL) plants to produce commercial-grade diesel and naphtha liquids. The scope of the study includes capital and operating cost estimates, sensitivity analyses and a comparative financial analyses. Based on plant capacity of 50,000BPD, employing Illinois #6 bituminous coal as feed coal, the total capital cost appeared $3,994,858,000(DCL) and $4,962,263,000(ICL). Also, the internal rate of return of DCL/ICL appeared 13.27% and 12.68% on the base condition respectively. In this case, coal price and sale price of products were the most influence factors. And ICL's payback period(6.8 years) was longer than DCL's(6.6 years). According to sensitivity analyses, the important factors on both DCL/ICL processes were product sale price, feed coal price and the capital cost in order.