• Water for future
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.31-43
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• 2002

This study describes results of numerical simulations on river flow response due to global warming. Forecasts of changes in climatic conditions are required to estimate the hydrologic effects of increasing trace gas concentratrions in the atmosphere. However, reliable forecasts of regional climate change are unavailable. In there absense various approaches to the development of scenarios of furture climatic conditions are used. The approach in this study is to prescribe climatic changes for a river basin in a simplified manner. As a rule, such scenarios apecify air temperature increases from $0^{\circ}C$ to $4.0^{\circ}C$ and precipitation change (increase or decrease) in the range of 0% to 15%. On the basis of acceptable supposition of warming scenarios, furute daily stream flow is simulated using rainfall-runoff model in the Andong Dam basin. The numerical experiments have quantitatively revealed the change of discharge at 2010, 2020, 2030 and 1050 for each warming scenarios and compared it with the results for a non-worming scenario.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.39 no.4
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• pp.514-527
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• 2004

We investigated the distribution and geomorphic development of alluvial fans at Cheongdo- and Hweyang-eup(town) in the Cheongdo Basin, Gyeongsangbuk-do(Province) of Korea. The alluvial fans of study area are formed confluently to the E-W direction at the northern slope of the Mt. Namsan(840 m). They are classified into Higher surface, Middle surface, and Lower surface according to a relative height to a river bed. And the older alluvial fan is, the deeper gravel in the stream deposits is weathered. The magnitude of each surface composing of confluent fans is related to that of the drainage basin. So called fan-basin system of magnitude on the study area is on the positive(+) relation in the study area. The large fans over 1km in radius are found on the basin of andesite rock which is resistant to the weathering and erosion. Moreover there is no tectonic movement in the basin. It means the most important element influenced on the fan formation is not tectonic movement, but the Quaternary climatic change, which is the periglacial climate alternating glacial and interglacial stages during the Quaternary. Therefore alluvial fans would distribute in Korea overall influenced by the Quaternary climatic change.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.154-154
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• 2022

The frequency of natural disasters, including floods and drought events, driven by climate change has increased in recent times. Investigating the climate regimes and the roles of climate variables are indispensable to forestall future climate change-related disasters. This study compares the variability of two popular and widely used climate indices i.e., the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) aridity index and the Modified De-Martonne (MDM) index to assess the trend of climate change in the Chungcheong provinces of South Korea. The trend of annual and monthly climate indices was conducted using a non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test with daily climate data of 48 years (1978-2020) from 10 synoptic stations. The findings indicate that UNEP and MDM indices had a wet climate regime for the annual trend, with the UNEP index indicating a relatively humid trend of 60% humid, 20% semi-arid, and 10% sub-humid for the 48-years study period. However, the MDM index showed a high frequency of a severe wet climatic condition followed by the semi-arid condition. The months of July and August had the highest occurring frequency of the wet climatic condition (90%) for both UNEP and MDM indices. Comparing the two provinces, Chungnam showed a relatively wetter climatic condition using the UNEP index, while the MDM index indicated no significant regional difference in climate regime between the two provinces. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test showed that all the 10 stations are normally distributed for monthly climate conditions at a 5% significant level in the two provinces except five stations for UNEP index and four stations for MDM index in the month of January.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.285-289
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• 2014

The extension of growing season (GS) across the Northern Hemisphere have been linked to increasing temperature, related with global warming. Therefore, in this study, The start, end, and length of GS in Suwon, Korea from 1971 to 2013 based on observed daily mean air temperature are examined using three indices. The GS starts on average after $98.598.5{\pm}1.42$ Julian days and ends after $318.7{\pm}1.08$ Julian days. The average length of GS is $220.2{\pm}2.09$ Julian days. The length of GS in Suwon from 1971 to 2013 has been extended by 6.8 days/decade with an earlier onset of the GS (-4.1 days/decade) and later end of the GS (2.7 days/decade). This change may be due to an advanced start of the GS in spring rather than later end of the GS. In further study, it is necessary to select an index carefully to find the most suitable one for Korea.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.942-945
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• 2010

The development of decentralized power has appeared as part of an effort to decrease the energy loss and the cost for electric power facilities through installing small renewable energy generation systems including solar and wind power generation. Recently a new era for decentralized power environment in building is coming in order to handle the climatic and environmental change occurred all over the world. Especially solar and wind power generation systems can be easily set up and are also economically feasible, and thus many industrial companies enter into this business. This paper suggests the overall architecture for the decentralized renewable power system and the prediction method of power on climatic change. The ultimate goal is to help manage the overall power efficiently and thus provide the technological basis for achieving zero-energy house.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.189-199
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• 2013

Using meteorological data collected from 60 observation stations during the last 38 years from 1973 through 2010, we have analysed the occurrence frequencies of abnormally low or high temperature leading to agrometeorological disasters. The analysis was made for 20 agro-climatic zones that had already been divided by the Rural Development Administration before. Since 1973, there have been an average of 1.8 frequency of abnormal air temperature occurrence per year. The frequency of abnormally high temperature occurrence has increased from an average of 0.2 per year in 1970s to 1.0 in 2000s. However, the frequency of abnormally low temperature occurrence has decreased from an average of 2.06 per year in 1970s to 0.63 in 2000s, which might be able to explain a recent global warming. The highest frequency of abnormally high temperature occurrence appeared in Taebaek Alpine zone with an average of 0.76 frequency per year. Meanwhile, abnormally low temperature was the highest in Western Sobaek Inland zone with an average of 1.43 frequency per year.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.459-472
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• 2019

The increasing variation in climatic conditions under climate change directly influences plant-microbe interactions. To account for as many variables as possible that may play critical roles in such interactions, the use of an integrated modeling approach is necessary. Here, we report for the first time a local impact assessment and adaptation study of future epidemics of kiwifruit bacterial blossom blight (KBB) in Jeonnam province, Korea, using an integrated modeling approach. This study included a series of models that integrated both the phenological responses of kiwifruit and the epidemiological responses of KBB to climatic factors with a 1 km resolution, under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario. Our results indicate that the area suitable for kiwifruit cultivation in Jeonnam province will increase and that the flowering date of kiwifruit will occur increasingly earlier, mainly due to the warming climate. Future epidemics of KBB during the predicted flowering periods were estimated using the Pss-KBB Risk Model over the predicted suitable cultivation regions, and we found location-specific, periodic outbreaks of KBB in the province through 2100. Here, we further suggest a potential, scientifically-informed, long-term adaptation strategy using a cultivar of kiwifruit with a different maturity period to relieve the pressures of future KBB risk. Our results clearly show one of the possible options for a local impact assessment and adaptation study using multiple models in an integrated way.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.57 no.2
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5, is the most recent, provides projections of future climate change using various global climate models under four major greenhouse gas emission scenarios. There is a wide selection of climate models available to provide projections of future climate change. These provide for a wide range of possible outcomes when trying to inform managers about possible climate changes. Hence, future agrometeorological indicators estimation will be much impacted by which global climate model and climate change scenarios are used. Decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but the uncertainties associated with global climate models pose substantial hurdles for agricultural resources planning. Although it is the most reasonable that quantifying of the future uncertainty using climate change scenarios, preliminary analysis using reasonable factors for selecting a subset for decision making are needed. In order to narrow the projections to a handful of models that could be used in a climate change impact study, we could provide effective information for selecting climate model and scenarios for climate change impact assessment using maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and moisture index of nine Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.128-134
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• 2020

The daily gridded meteorological information and climatology with high resolution (30m and 270m) was produced from 94 Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for the past 50 years (1971-current) by different downscaling methods. In addition, the difference between daily meteorological data and the mean state of past 30 years (1981-2010) was calculated for the analysis of climate change. These datasets with GeoTiff format are available from the web interface (https://agecoclim. agmet.kr). The performance of the data is evaluated using 172 Automatic Weather S tation (AWS ) of Rural Development of Administration (RDA). The data have biases lower than 2.0, and root mean square errors (RMSE) lower than 3.8. This data may help to better understand the regional climatic change and its impact on agroecosystem in S outh Korea.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.17-28
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• 2007

This study was conducted to analyze the optimum heading period according to the recent climatic change for improvement of rice yield and grain quality in the Yeongnam area. We analyzed climatic elements including daily mean air temperature, daily range of air temperature, sunshine hours, and amount of precipitation from 1996 to 2005 in comparison with those of the 1971 to 2000 normal. Daily mean air temperature and amount of precipitation in the recent 10 years increased, but daily range of air temperature and sunshine hours decreased in comparison with the norm. Also, monthly mean air temperature was lowered remarkably in July and August. The monthly amount of precipitation largely increased in August and September. The daily range of air temperature and sunshine hours were greatly decreased from August to October, Possible cultivation periods for rice in the recent 10 years ranged from 171 days in Boughwa to 228 days in Busan and was expanded about $1{\sim}13$ days in comparison with the normal. Optimum heading date by local regions for the maximum climatic yield potential was estimated as July 31 at Bonghwa to September 7 at Busan, Masan, and Tongyeong in the recent 10 years. There was a wide difference in optimum heading date according to local legions of the Yeongnam area. Compared to the normal, optimum heading date in the recent 10 years was delayed about I~8 days in most local regions except Bonghwa, Mungyeong, and Yeongdeok. These results suggested that it is necessary to develop late maturity rice cultivars for producing high yield and quality rice grain due to the recent climatic change. Moreover, it is still more important to select the most suitable cultivation period appropriate to the changed climate of each local region in Yeongnam area.