• Title/Summary/Keyword: Climate sensitivity

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RETRIEVING AEROSOL AMOUNT FROM GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE

  • Yoon, Jong-Min;Kim, Jhoon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.232-235
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    • 2006
  • Using 30 days of hourly visible channel data and DIScrete Ordinate Radiative Transfer (DISORT) model (6S), Aerosol optical depth (AOD) at $0.55{\mu}m$ was retrieved over the East Asia. In contrast with the AOD retrieval using low-earth-orbit satellites such as MODIS (Moderate-Res olution Spectroradiometer) or MISR (Multiangle Imaging SpectroRadiometer), this algorithm with geostationary satellite can improve the monitoring of AOD without the limitation of temporal resolution. Due to the limited number of channels in the conventional meteorological imager onboard the geostationary satellite, an AOD retrieval algorithm utilizing a single visible channel has been introduced. This single channel algorithm has larger retrieval error of AOD than other multiple-channel algorithm due to errors in surface reflectance and atmospheric property. In this study, the effects of manifold atmospheric and surface properties on the retrieval of AOD from the geostationary satellite, are investigated and compared with the AODs from AERONET and MODIS. To improve the accuracy of retrieved AOD, efforts were put together to minimize uncertainties through extensive sensitivity tests. This algorithm can be utilized to retrieve aerosol information from previous geostationary satellite for long-term climate studies.

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Vulnerability Assessments of Climate Change on Flood Damage (기후변화에 따른 홍수피해 취약성 평가)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Lee, Byong-Ju;Kim, Kwang-Cheon;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.289-293
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    • 2008
  • 현재 기후변화는 점점 가속화되고 있으며, 이로 인해 향후 홍수피해는 더욱 증가될 가능성이 높은 것으로 알려져 있다. 장기적이 측면에서 이러한 홍수피해에 대비하기 위해서는 유역별 홍수에 대한 취약성을 평가하고, 기후변화의 영향을 고려하여 유연한 적응 정책을 마련하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 국내유역의 홍수 취약성을 평가하는 방법으로 지표를 이용한 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 기후변화에 따른 홍수 취약성을 민감도(sensitivity), 노출(exposure), 적응능력(adaptation)의 함수로 정의하고, 각 유역별 지표들을 이용하여 상대적인 취약성 정도를 평가하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 유역의 민감도와 노출정도가 클수록 기후변화에 대한 홍수피해에 취약하고, 적응능력이 클수록 취약성이 낮다고 판단하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 방법으로 국내 139개 유역에 대해 상대적인 홍수피해 취약성을 평가한 결과 과거 유역별 홍수 피해액의 분포와 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, A2 시나리오를 이용하여 미래 기후변화 상황에서의 홍수피해 취약성에 대해 평가한 결과 국내 유역의 홍수피해는 증가될 가능성이 있는 것으로 전망되었으나 유역별 공간적인 취약성은 크게 변화지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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Structure of Integrated Adaptive Catenary Inspection System for Improved Safety (안전성 고도화를 위한 융합-가변형 전차선 검측시스템의 구조)

  • Kim, Ji-Yoon;Kim, Jung-Phyung;Kim, Woo-Saeng
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2015
  • Almost all existing inspection methods for catenary system have relied on dedicated track inspection cars. Two factors make it necessary to modify the conventional method: First, the climate has become increasingly similar to that of a subtropical area. In addition, high speed trains have been developed that can run as fast as 450Km/h. This paper presents a visual catenary inspection system structure that incorporates roadbed information for high-speed running environments. Conventional catenary inspection systems determined the degree of wearing only for the trolley wire. The facility inspection system presented in this paper on the other hand utilizes visual and sound data of inspection targets and adjusts inspection frequency and sensitivity depending on the geographic data.

Changes in the Attributable Burden of High Temperatures on Deaths (하절기 기온상승으로 인한 사망의 기여부담 변화)

  • Ha, Jongsik
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.460-471
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: Due to global warming resulting from climate change, there has been increasing interest in the relationship between temperature and mortality. These temperature-related deaths depend on diverse conditions related to a given place and person, as well as on time. This study examined changes in the impact of high temperatures on death in summer, using the effect and burden of elevated temperatures on deaths in Seoul and Daegu. Methods: A Poisson regression model was used to estimate short-term temperature effects on mortality. Temperature-related risks were divided into three time periods of equal length (1996-2000, 2001-2005, and 2006-2010). In addition, in order to compare the impact of high temperatures on deaths, this study calculated the proportion of attributable deaths to population, which simultaneously considers the threshold and the slope above the threshold. Results: The effect and burden of high temperatures on deaths is high in Daegu. However, the impact (i.e. the effect and burden) of elevated summer temperatures on deaths has declined over the past 15 years. Sensitivity analyses using alternative thresholds show the robustness of these findings. Conclusion: This study suggests that the attributable burden of high temperatures on deaths to be more plausible than relative risk or threshold for comparing the health impact of high temperatures across populations. Moreover, these results contain important implications for the development or the adjustment of present and future strategies and policies for controlling the temperature-related health burden on populations.

Sensitivity of Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation to Parameterization Schemes

  • Singh, G.P.
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels show that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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A Review of Detection Methods for the Plant Viruses

  • Jeong, Joo-Jin;Ju, Ho-Jong;Noh, Jaejong
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2014
  • The early and accurate detection of plant viruses is an essential component to control those. Because the globalization of trade by free trade agreement (FTA) and the rapid climate change promote the country-to-country transfer of viruses and their hosts and vectors, diagnosis of viral diseases is getting more important. Because symptoms of viral diseases are not distinct with great variety and are confused with those of abiotic stresses, symptomatic diagnosis may not be appropriate. From the last three decades, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs), developed based on serological principle, have been widely used. However, ELISAs to detect plant viruses decrease due to some limitations such as availability of antibody for target virus, cost to produce antibody, requirement of large volume of sample, and time to complete ELISAs. Many advanced techniques allow overcoming demerits of ELISAs. Since the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) developed as a technique to amplify target DNA, PCR evolved to many variants with greater sensitivity than ELISAs. Many systems of plant virus detection are reviewed here, which includes immunological-based detection system, PCR techniques, and hybridization-based methods such as microarray. Some of techniques have been used in practical, while some are still under developing to get the level of confidence for actual use.

A Numerical Simulation for Thermal Environments by the Modification of Land-use in Busan (부산지역 토지이용(land-use) 변화에 의한 열환경 수치모의)

  • 김유근;문윤섭;오인보;임윤규
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.453-463
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    • 2002
  • Prognostic meteorological model, MM5V3 (Mesoscale Model 5 Version 3) was used to assess the effects of the land-use modifications on spatial variations of temperature and wind fields in Busan during the selected period of summer season in 2000. We first examined sensitivity analysis for temperature between MM5V3 predictions and meteorological data observed at 4 AWS (Automatic Weather System) stations in Busan, which exhibited low structural and accurate errors (Mean Bias Error, MBE: 0.73, Root Mean Square Error, RMSE: 1.18 on maximum). The second part of this paper, MMSV3 simulations for the modification of land-use was performed with 1 km resolution in target domain, 46$\times$46 $\textrm{km}^2$ area around city of Busan. It was found that modification result from change of surface land-use in central urban area altered spatial distributions of temperature and wind. In particular, heat island core moved slightly to the seaward at 1300 LST. This results may imply that modification of surface land-use leads to change the thermal environments; in addition, it has a significant effect on local wind circulations and dispersions of air pollutants.

Sensitivity Analysis for Operation a Reservoir System to Hydrologic Forecast Accuracy (수문학적 예측의 정확도에 따른 저수지 시스템 운영의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Yeong-O
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.855-862
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    • 1998
  • This paper investigates the impact of the forecast error on performance of a reservoir system for hydropower production. Forecast error is measured as th Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and parametrically varied within a Generalized Maintenance Of Variance Extension (GMOVE) procedure. A set of transition probabilities are calculated as a function of the RMSE of the GMOVE procedure and then incorporated into a Bayesian Stochastic Dynamic Programming model which derives monthly operating policies and assesses their performance. As a case study, the proposed methodology is applied to the Skagit Hydropower System (SHS) in Washington state. The results show that the system performance is a nonlinear function of RMSE and therefor suggested that continued improvements in the current forecast accuracy correspond to gradually greater increase in performance of the SHS.

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Advances in the design of high-rise structures by the wind tunnel procedure: Conceptual framework

  • Simiu, Emil;Yeo, DongHun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.489-503
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    • 2015
  • This paper surveys and complements contributions by the National Institute of Standards and Technology to techniques ensuring that the wind tunnel procedure for the design of high-rise structures is based on sound methods and allows unambiguous inter-laboratory comparisons. Developments that enabled substantial advances in these techniques include: Instrumentation for simultaneously measuring pressures at multiple taps; time-domain analysis methods for estimating directional dynamic effects; creation of large simulated extreme directional wind speed data sets; non-parametric methods for estimating mean recurrence intervals (MRIs) of Demand-to-Capacity Indexes (DCIs); and member sizing based on peak DCIs with specified MRIs. To implement these advances changes are needed in the traditional division of tasks between wind and structural engineers. Wind engineers should provide large sets of directional wind speeds, pressure coefficient time series, and estimates of uncertainties in wind speeds and pressure coefficients. Structural engineers should perform the dynamic analyses, estimates of MRIs of wind effects, sensitivity studies, and iterative sizing of structural members. The procedure is transparent, eliminates guesswork inherent in frequency domain methods and due to the lack of pressure measurements, and enables structural engineers to be in full control of the structural design for wind.

Variation of Hydro-Meteorological Variables in Korea

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2014
  • The variability and temporal trends of the annual and seasonal minimum and maximum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine hours, and runoff were analyzed for 5 major rivers in Korea from 1960 to 2010. A simple regression and non-parametric methods (Mann-Kendall test and Sen's estimator) were used in this study. The analysis results show that the minimum temperature ($T_{min}$) had a higher increasing trend than the maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), and the average temperature increased by about $0.03^{\circ}C\;yr.^{-1}$. The relative humidity and wind speed decreased by $0.02%\;yr^{-1}$ and $0.01m\;s^{-1}yr^{-1}$, respectively. With the exception of the Han River basin, the regression analysis and Mann-Kendall and Sen results failed to detect trends for the runoff and rainfall over the study period. Rapid land use changes were linked to the increase in the runoff in the Han River basin. The sensitivity of the evapotranspiration and ultimately the runoff to the meteorological variables was in the order of relative humidity > sunshine duration > wind speed > $T_{max}$ > $T_{min}$. Future studies should investigate the interaction of the variables analyzed herein, and their relative contributions to the runoff trends.