• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.212-235
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• 2021

In spite of the increasing popularity of the Ricardian model for the study of the impact of climate change on agriculture, there has been few attempts to examine the role of interregional spillovers in this framework and all of them rely on geographical proximity-based weighting schemes. We remedy to this gap by focusing on the spatial externalities of surface water flow used for irrigation purposes and demonstrate that farmland value, the usual dependent variable used in the Ricardian framework, is a function of the climate variables experienced locally and in the upstream locations. This novel approach is tested empirically on a spatial panel model estimated across the counties of the Southwest USA over 1997-2012. This region is one of the driest in the country, hence its agriculture relies heavily on irrigated surface water. The results highlight how the weather conditions in upstream counties significantly affect downstream agriculture, thus the actual impact of climate change on agriculture and subsequent adaptation policies cannot overlook the streamflow network anymore.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.447-456
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• 2023

Risk assessment on Jeju Special Self-Governing Province(JSSGP)'s water supply facilities and establishment of adaptation measures for climate crisis factors were implemented. JSSGP's vulnerability to the climate crisis was high in the order of drought, heat wave, heavy rain and strong wind. As a drought adaptation measure, policies of water saving and revenue water ratio improvement were considered. As for the heat wave adaptation measure, the introduction of an advanced water treatment process was suggested in response to the increase of algae cell number which resulting in taste and odor problem. As for heavy rain adaptation measures, the installation and operation of automatic coagulant injection devices for water purification plants that take turbid surface water were proposed. As a measure to adapt to strong winds, stabilization of power supply such as installation of dual power line was proposed in preparation for power outages. It is expected that water facilities will be able to supply high-quality tap water to customers even under extreme climate conditions without interruption through risk assessment for climate crisis factors and active implementation of adaptation measures.

• 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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• pp.303-303
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• 2017

Japanese agriculture has faced to several threats: aging and decrease of farmer population, global competition, and the risk of climate change as well as harsh and variable weather. On the other hands, the number of large scale farms is increasing, because farm lands have been being aggregated to fewer numbers of farms. Cost cutting, development of efficient ways to manage complicatedly scattered farm lands, maintaining yield and quality under variable weather conditions, are required to adapt to changing environments. Information and communications technology (ICT) would contribute to solve such problems and to create innovative technologies. Thus we have been developing an early warning and decision support system to reduce weather and climate risks for rice, wheat and soybean production in Japan. The concept and prototype of the system will be shown. The system consists of a weather data system (Agro-Meteorological Grid Square Data System, AMGSDS), decision support contents where information is automatically created by crop models and delivers information to users via internet. AMGSDS combines JMA's Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (AMeDAS) data, numerical weather forecast data and normal values, for all of Japan with about 1km Grid Square throughout years. Our climate-smart system provides information on the prediction of crop phenology, created with weather forecast data and crop phenology models, as an important function. The system also makes recommendations for crop management, such as nitrogen-topdressing, suitable harvest time, water control, pesticide spray. We are also developing methods to perform risk analysis on weather-related damage to crop production. For example, we have developed an algorism to determine the best transplanting date in rice under a given environment, using the results of multi-year simulation, in order to answer the question "when is the best transplanting date to minimize yield loss, to avoid low temperature damage and to avoid high temperature damage?".

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.287-298
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• 2020

지구온난화로 기후변화 및 이상 기상현상이 증가함에 따라 전 세계적으로 미래 기후 전망에 대한 관심과 연구의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 온난화로 인한 기온의 상승 경향은 미래에도 지속될 것으로 예상되며, 현재 남해안에 국한되는 아열대 기후구는 점차 북상할 것으로 전망된다. 기후대의 이동은 작물재배지의 변화를 의미하기 때문에 본 연구에서는 변화하는 농업기후 조건에서 작물 재배 적응 대책을 마련할 수 있도록 우리나라의 고해상도 기후 자료를 기반으로 현재-미래에 대한 기후대 전망을 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 평년 기간(1981-2010)에 대해 제작된 남한과 북한의 통합된 고해상도 월 최고기온 및 최저기온, 월 적산강수량을 확보 및 제작하였고, 쾨펜 기후대 구분 기준에 따라 한반도 기후대를 분류하였다. 동일한 방법으로 기상청의 RCP8.5 기후변화 시나리오를 기반으로 30-270m 격자 해상도로 상세화 된 한반도 지역의 월 단위 기후 자료를 확보하여, 미래에 예상되는 기후대 변화를 전망하였다. RCP8.5 시나리오를 바탕으로 같은 기후 구분 기준을 적용한 결과, 한반도의 기온과 강수량은 지속적으로 증가하여 기후가 점차 단순해지는 것으로 나타났다. 현재 남부지방에 나타나는 온대기후(C)는 점차 확대되어, 2071-2100년대에는 북한의 함경도와 평안도 일부 지역을 제외한 한반도의 대부분이 온대기후(C)가 될 것으로 예상되었다. 반면 냉대 기후(D)는 서서히 북쪽으로 후퇴하여 한반도가 점점 온난 습윤해질 것으로 예상되었다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제54권11호
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• pp.999-1009
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• 2021

최근 기후변화로 인한 극한기상 현상의 발생빈도 및 강도가 증가하고 있는 추세이므로 기후조건을 평가 분석하여 기후변화에 의한 부정적인 영향을 사전에 관리하고 대응하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 충청도 지역의 기후지수를 산정하여 지역 기후의 추세변화와 최근 20년간 기후의 변동 특성을 분석하였다. 기상청에서 운영하고 있는 10개 종관기상관측소의 1973년-2020년 동안의 기상자료를 활용하여 연도별, 월별 UNEP-MP 지수, UNEP-PM지수과 MDM지수를 산정하고 K-S 검정 통한 정규성 분석, Pearson기법과 Spearman기법을 적용하여 기후변화의 추세를 분석하였다. 충청남도 지역이 충청북도 지역보다 상대적으로 습한 기후로 평가 되었으며 연 기후지수 추세 변화는 청주, 충주 등의 지점에서 건조 기후 추세를 보인반면 서산, 부여 등의 지점에서는 습윤 기후 추세를 보였다. 월별 추세변화 분석 결과 여름과 가을에 습윤 기후 경향을 보인 반면 봄과 겨울에는 건조 기후 경향을 보였다. 과거 10년(2001년-2010년)과 최근 10년(2011년-2020년) 동안 기후지수의 비교에서는 과거 10년보다 최근 10년 동안에 평균 기후지수가 감소하였으며 추세 변화 또한 건조기후 추세를 보였다.

• 한국환경과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국환경과학회 2003년도 International Symposium on Clean Environment
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• pp.27-32
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• 2003

Atmospheric and oceanic numerical models are usually initial-value and/or boundary-value problems. Change in either initial or boundary conditions leads to a variation of model solutions. Much of the predictability research has been done on the response of model behavior to an initial value perturbation. Less effort has been made on the response of model behavior to a boundary value perturbation. In this study, we use the latest version of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model (CCM3) to study the model uncertainty to tiny SST errors. The results show the urgency to investigate the second kind predictability problem for the climate models.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.130-137
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• 2006

In these days abnormal climate occurs frequently because of global warming and earthshock. So it is necessary to prepare for the abnormal conditions like gale, rainfall, heavy snow and high temperature. Fortunately, Korea high speed rail(KTX) have a safety climate detection system for the abnormal weather by using CTC. So the safety is guaranteed in most aspect. But in convention line there isn't any alarm system for the abnormal condition and the train runs until the railroad loss occurred. So convention line need additional regulation same as KTX for the abnormal climate and in the near future passenger safety must be protected by new alarm system.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제7권5호
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• pp.73-80
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• 2007

Indoor climate control equipments is used to make the indoor environment more comfortable when indoor condition is not satisfactory to inhabitants. In this study, which instrument is preferred to control indoor climate and which is not preferred were surveyed with questionnaire. With this result, the needs of dwellers and wanting performance of housing could be revealed. Results are followings 1) The satisfaction ratio and equipment possession ratio of apartment houses' is higher than that of detached dwelling's 2) It is recognized for inhabitants that air cleaner is the mostly used equipment and best equipment for indoor comfort. 3) Electronic fomentation mat is recognized as the most problematic equipment for securing inhabitant's comfort. And air conditioner is considered negative for 60% of responser's. As grow older, this trend is increasing.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.740-741
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• 2015

the downscaled air temperature data over study region for the projected 2001 - 2099 period were then ensemble averaged, and the ensemble averages of 6 realizations were compared against the corresponding historical downscaled data for the 1961 - 2000 period in order to assess the impact of climate change on air temperature over study region by graphical, spatial and statistical methods. In order to evaluate the seasonal trends under future climate change conditions, the simulated annual, annual DJF (December-January-February), and annual JJA (June-July-August) mean air temperature for 5 watersheds during historical and future periods were evaluated. From the results, it is clear that there is a rising trend in the projected air temperature and future air temperature would be warmer by about 3 degrees Celsius toward the end of 21^st century if the ensemble projections of air temperature become true. Spatial comparison of 30-year average annual mean air temperature between historical period (1970 - 1999) and ensemble average of 6-realization shows that air temperature is warmer toward end of 21^st century compared to historical period.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.279-290
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• 2013

본 연구는 도시 메타볼리즘 관점에서 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 향후 도시계획의 방향을 모색하는데 그 목적이 있다. 본 연구는 크게 이론고찰과 사례연구로 구성되어 있으며, 이론고찰은 기후변화대응 도시계획의 패러다임 및 도시 메타볼리즘의 개념 및 특성을 살펴보았다. 사례연구는 에너지 절감 및 자원 폐기물의 효율적 이용에 대한 계획수립 및 실천방안이 적극적으로 실현되고, 지역을 선정하여 투입 에너지 최소화, 재생 가능한 에너지 활용, 폐기물 재활용, 자원 재이용의 네 가지 측면을 분석의 틀로 하여 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과, 모든 사례에서 본 연구에서 제시한 도시 메타볼리즘 체계가 구축되어 있었다. 또한, 사례마다 주력하는 계획요소가 다른 것을 발견할 수 있었는데, 이는 각 지역의 여건을 고려하여 쉽게 얻을 수 있고, 활용이 쉬운 자원을 이용하는 계획을 중점적으로 적용하고 있었다. 이에 향후 메타볼리즘 관점의 기후변화대응 도시 계획을 수립하기 위해 가장 먼저 고려되어야 할 부분은 지역의 주변 환경 및 여건분석을 통해 지역의 잠재력을 극대화 시킬 수 있는 요소를 선택적으로 도입해야 한다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.