• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate Variables

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Classification Abnormal temperatures based on Meteorological Environment using Random forests (랜덤포레스트를 이용한 기상 환경에 따른 이상기온 분류)

  • Youn Su Kim;Kwang Yoon Song;In Hong Chang
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2024
  • Many abnormal climate events are occurring around the world. The cause of abnormal climate is related to temperature. Factors that affect temperature include excessive emissions of carbon and greenhouse gases from a global perspective, and air circulation from a local perspective. Due to the air circulation, many abnormal climate phenomena such as abnormally high temperature and abnormally low temperature are occurring in certain areas, which can cause very serious human damage. Therefore, the problem of abnormal temperature should not be approached only as a case of climate change, but should be studied as a new category of climate crisis. In this study, we proposed a model for the classification of abnormal temperature using random forests based on various meteorological data such as longitudinal observations, yellow dust, ultraviolet radiation from 2018 to 2022 for each region in Korea. Here, the meteorological data had an imbalance problem, so the imbalance problem was solved by oversampling. As a result, we found that the variables affecting abnormal temperature are different in different regions. In particular, the central and southern regions are influenced by high pressure (Mainland China, Siberian high pressure, and North Pacific high pressure) due to their regional characteristics, so pressure-related variables had a significant impact on the classification of abnormal temperature. This suggests that a regional approach can be taken to predict abnormal temperatures from the surrounding meteorological environment. In addition, in the event of an abnormal temperature, it seems that it is possible to take preventive measures in advance according to regional characteristics.

Establishing Online Meeting Climate Types and Developing Measurements: Impact on Meeting Satisfaction

  • Jin, Xiu;Zheng, Fusheng;Hahm, Sangwoo
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.2751-2771
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    • 2022
  • In the post covid-19 era, organizations will experience a new environment. Advances in technologies such as AI and big data, and new experiences such as online meetings and lectures, will increase the use of online communication. Businesses will increasingly engage in online-based information sharing, virtual team operations, and online meetings. This study focuses on meeting climate and satisfaction, to improve the performance of online meetings. Existing studies on meeting climate presuppose off-line situations. Offline and online communication methods and meeting formats are different. This paper proposes new climate types to develop an appropriate climate for online-based meetings. To apply these climates in online meetings, a measurement scale was developed and the impact on online meeting satisfaction was verified. As a result of the study, it was found that the creativity-oriented meeting climate was the most important, and relation-oriented and participation-oriented meeting climates also had a significant effect, while the direction-oriented and task-oriented climates were relatively less important. This study develops new variables and measurements for online meeting climates, and explains their importance. Companies will be able to leverage the appropriate climates for online meetings to improve performance.

Analyzing the Economic Relevance of Climate Variables in the Agriculture of Gangwon-do (기후변수가 강원도의 농업에 미친 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Jun-Ho;Kim, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.192-205
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    • 2012
  • This study estimates how much climate variables affect the land price and acreage of rice paddy and dry farm field in agriculture with the case of Gangwon-do in Korea. To this end, we capitalize upon the Ricardian approach based upon the panel data on climate, soil and geography, farmland prices and acreage, other economic and social variables for 11 municipal units comprising Gangwon-do during the period of 1992-2010. Our empirical analysis shows that the temperature variable has negative economic impacts on the price and acreage of rice paddy and dry farm field, confirming that the temperature variable is much significant than that of precipitation in global warming. On the other hand, the other determinants of farmland price and acreage are different with the type of farmland in Gangwon-do.

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An Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on the Korean Onion Market

  • BAEK, Ho-Seung;KIM, In-Seck
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Agriculture, which is heavily influenced by climate conditions, is one of the industries most affected by climate change. In this respect, various studies on the impact of climate change on the agricultural market have been conducted. Since climate change is a long-term phenomenon for more than a decade, long-term projections of agricultural prices as well as climate variables are needed to properly analyze the impact of climate change on the agricultural market. However, these long-term price projections are often major constraints on studies of climate changes. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impacts of climate changes on the Korean onion market using ex-post analysis approach in order to avoid the difficulties of long-term price projections. Research design, data and methodology: This study develops an annual dynamic partial equilibrium model of Korean onion market. The behavioral equations of the model were estimated by OLS based on the annual data from 1988 to 2018. The modelling system is first simulated to have actual onion market conditions from 2014 to 2018 as a baseline and then compared it to the scenario assuming the climatic conditions under RCP8.5 over the same period. Scenario analyses were simulated by both comparative static and dynamic approach to evaluate the differences between the two approaches. Results: According to the empirical results, if the climate conditions under RCP8.5 were applied from 2014 to 2018, the yield of onion would increase by about 4%, and the price of onion would decrease from 3.7% to 17.4%. In addition, the average price fluctuation rate over the five years under RCP8.5 climate conditions is 56%, which is more volatile than 46% under actual climate conditions. Empirical results also show that the price decreases have been alleviated in dynamic model compared with comparative static model. Conclusions: Empirical results show that climate change is expected to increase onion yields and reduce onion prices. Therefore, the appropriate countermeasures against climate change in Korean onion market should be found in the stabilization of supply and demand for price stabilization rather than technical aspects such as the development of new varieties to increase productivity.

Development of Representative GCMs Selection Technique for Uncertainty in Climate Change Scenario (기후변화 시나리오 자료의 불확실성 고려를 위한 대표 GCM 선정기법 개발)

  • Jung, Imgook;Eum, Hyung-Il;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Park, Jihoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2018
  • It is necessary to select the appropriate global climate model (GCM) to take into account the impacts of climate change on integrated water management. The objective of this study was to develop the selection technique of representative GCMs for uncertainty in climate change scenario. The selection technique which set priorities of GCMs consisted of two steps. First step was evaluating original GCMs by comparing with grid-based observational data for the past period. Second step was evaluating whether the statistical downscaled data reflect characteristics for the historical period. Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM), one of the statistical downscaling methods, was used for the downscaled data. The way of evaluating was using explanatory power, the stepwise ratio of the entire GCMs by Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) basis. We used 26 GCMs based on CMIP5 data. The Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were selected for this study. The period for evaluating reproducibility of historical period was 30 years from 1976 to 2005. Precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature were used as collected climate variables. As a result, we suggested representative 13 GCMs among 26 GCMs by using the selection technique developed in this research. Furthermore, this result can be utilized as a basic data for integrated water management.

Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation (농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Tae-Gon;Go, Gwang-Don
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.

Balancing the nuclear equation: Climate policy uncertainty and budgetary dynamics

  • Chang Li;Sajid Ali;Raima Nazar;Muhammad Saeed Meo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.7
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    • pp.2850-2858
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    • 2024
  • Amidst the uncertainties of climate policy, investing in nuclear energy technology emerges as a sustainable strategy, fostering innovation in a critical sector, while simultaneously addressing urgent environmental concerns and managing budgetary dynamics. Our investigation inspects the asymmetric influence of climate policy uncertainty on nuclear energy technology in the top 10 nations with the highest nuclear energy R&D budgets (Germany, Japan, China, France, USA, UK, India, South Korea, Russia, and Canada). Previous studies adopted panel data methods to evaluate the linkage between climate policy uncertainty and nuclear energy technology. Nonetheless, these investigations overlooked the variability in this association across various countries. Conversely, this investigation introduces an innovative tool, 'Quantile-on-Quantile' to probe this connection merely for every economy. This methodology concedes for a more accurate evaluation, offering a holistic global perspective and delivering tailored insights for individual countries. The findings uncover that climate policy uncertainty significantly reduces nuclear energy technology budgets across multiple quantiles in most selected economies. Additionally, our results highlight the asymmetries in the correlations between our variables across the nations. These findings stress the need for policymakers to conduct thorough assessments and skillfully manage climate policy uncertainty and nuclear energy budgets.

Classification of Forest Vegetation Zone over Southern Part of Korean Peninsula Using Geographic Information Systems (環境因子의 空間分析을 통한 南韓지역의 山林植生帶 구분/지리정보시스템(GIS)에 의한 접근)

  • Lee, Kyu-Sung;Byong-Chun Lee;Joon Hwan Shin
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.465-476
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    • 1996
  • There are several environmental variables that may be influential to the spatial distribution of forest vegetation. To create a map of forest vegetation zone over southern part of Korean Peninsula, digital map layers were produced for each of environmental variables that include topography, geographic locations, and climate. In addition, an extensive set of field survey data was collected at relatively undisturbed forests and they were introduced into the GIS database with exact coordinates of survey sites. Preliminary statistical analysis on the survey data showed that the environmental variables were significantly different among the previously defined five forest vegetation zones. Classification of the six layers of digital map representing environmental variables was carried out by a supervised classifier using the training statistics from field survey data and by a clustering algorithm. Although the maps from two classifiers were somewhat different due to the classification procedure applied, they showed overall patterns of vertical and horizontal distribution of forest zones. considering the spatial contents of many ecological studies, GIS can be used as an important tool to manage and analyze spatial data. This study discusses more about the generation of digital map and the analysis procedure rather than the outcome map of forest vegetation zone.

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Reliability Assessment of Temperature and Precipitation Seasonal Probability in Current Climate Prediction Systems (현 기후예측시스템에서의 기온과 강수 계절 확률 예측 신뢰도 평가)

  • Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Park, Jinkyung;Lee, Johan;Lim, Somin;Heo, Sol-Ip;Ham, Hyunjun;Lee, Sang-Min;Ji, Hee-Sook;Kim, Yoonjae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2020
  • Seasonal forecast is growing in demand, as it provides valuable information for decision making and potential to reduce impact on weather events. This study examines how operational climate prediction systems can be reliable, producing the probability forecast in seasonal scale. A reliability diagram was used, which is a tool for the reliability by comparing probabilities with the corresponding observed frequency. It is proposed for a method grading scales of 1-5 based on the reliability diagram to quantify the reliability. Probabilities are derived from ensemble members using hindcast data. The analysis is focused on skill for 2 m temperature and precipitation from climate prediction systems in KMA, UKMO, and ECMWF, NCEP and JMA. Five categorizations are found depending on variables, seasons and regions. The probability forecast for 2 m temperature can be relied on while that for precipitation is reliable only in few regions. The probabilistic skill in KMA and UKMO is comparable with ECMWF, and the reliabilities tend to increase as the ensemble size and hindcast period increasing.