• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate Temperature

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기후변화에 따른 소양호의 수온 장기 모의 및 불확실성 정량화 (Long-term Simulation and Uncertainty Quantification of Water Temperature in Soyanggang Reservoir due to Climate Change)

  • 윤여정;박형석;정세웅;김용대;온일상;이서로
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2020
  • Future climate change may affect the hydro-thermal and biogeochemical characteristics of dam reservoirs, the most important water resources in Korea. Thus, scientific projection of the impact of climate change on the reservoir environment, factoring uncertainties, is crucial for sustainable water use. The purpose of this study was to predict the future water temperature and stratification structure of the Soyanggang Reservoir in response to a total of 42 scenarios, combining two climate scenarios, seven GCM models, one surface runoff model, and three wind scenarios of hydrodynamic model, and to quantify the uncertainty of each modeling step and scenario. Although there are differences depending on the scenarios, the annual reservoir water temperature tended to rise steadily. In the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the upper water temperature is expected to rise by 0.029 ℃ (±0.012)/year and 0.048 ℃ (±0.014)/year, respectively. These rise rates are correspond to 88.1 % and 85.7 % of the air temperature rise rate. Meanwhile, the lower water temperature is expected to rise by 0.016 ℃ (±0.009)/year and 0.027 ℃ (±0.010)/year, respectively, which is approximately 48.6 % and 46.3 % of the air temperature rise rate. Additionally, as the water temperatures rises, the stratification strength of the reservoir is expected to be stronger, and the number of days when the temperature difference between the upper and lower layers exceeds 5 ℃ increases in the future. As a result of uncertainty quantification, the uncertainty of the GCM models showed the highest contribution with 55.8 %, followed by 30.8 % RCP scenario, and 12.8 % W2 model.

지난 40년간 한반도 기온의 시·공간적 분포 변화에 관한 연구 (A Study on Changes of the Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Temperature in Korea Peninsular During the Past 40 Years)

  • 김남신;김경순
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 한반도 기온변화를 분석하여 기후대의 변화와 도시지역에서의 기온분포의 시 공간적 특성을 파악하고자 하였다. 분석에 사용된 자료는 1974년부터 2007년까지 34년간 남북 기상관측소에서 수집된 자료를 활용하였다. 기온은 고도와 선형관계를 갖기 때문에 고도별 월별 기온단열감율을 계산하여 역거리가중법으로 500m 해상도의 분포도를 작성하였다. 도시화 지역에서의 자료는 연도별 인구변화와 기온변화를 비교분석하였다. 온량지수로 구분한 기후대는 남부기후구가 90년대 이후 위도가 크게 상승하는 것으로 분석되었다. 도시지역의 평균기온상승은 80년대와 90년대에 $0.5{\sim}1.2^{\circ}C$ 상승한 것으로 분석되었다. 기온 상승은 서울과 광역시 그리고 시단위 지역에서 나타났는데 이들 지역은 80년대와 90년대에 인구증가와 더불어 도시화와 산업화의 속도가 빠르게 진행된 지역이다. 북한의 경우는 평양, 안주시, 개천시, 혜산시에서도 인구증가와 더불어 기온상승효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다.

HadCRU4 관측 온도자료와 20CR 재분석 자료 비교로부터 확인된 1900년대 초반 극지역 평균 온도 추정의 불확실성 (Uncertainty in the Estimation of Arctic Surface Temperature during Early 1900s Revealed by the Comparison between HadCRU4 and 20CR Reanalysis)

  • 김백민;김진영
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2015
  • To discuss whether we have credible estimations about historical surface temperature evolution since industrial revolution or not, present study investigates consistencies and differences of averaged surface air temperature since 1900 between the multiple data sources: Hadley Center Climate Research Unit (HadCRU4) surface air temperature data, ECMWF 20 Century Reanalysis data (ERA20CR), and NCEP 20 Century Reanalysis data (NCEP20CR). Averaged surface temperatures are obtained for the global, polar (90S~60S, 60N~0N), midlatitude (60S~30S, 30N~60N), tropical (30S~30N) region, separately. From the analysis, we show that: 1) spatio-temporal inhomogenity and scarcity of HadCRU4 data are not major obstacles in the reliable estimation of global surface air temperature. 2) Globally averaged temperature variability is largely contributed by those of tropical and midlatitude, which occupy more than 70% of earth surface in area. 3) Both data show consistent temperature variability in tropical region. 4) ERA20CR does not capture warm period over Arctic region in early 1900s, which is obvious feature in HadCRU4 data. Discrepancies among datasets suggest that high-level caution is needed especially in the interpretation of large Arctic warming in the early 1900s, which is often regarded as a natural variability in the Arctic region.

Climate Change Concerns in Mongolia

  • Dagvadorj, D.;Gomboluudev, P.;Natsagdorj, L.
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2003
  • Climate of Mongolia is a driven force on natural conditions as well as socio-economic development of the country. Due to the precariousness of climate conditions and traditional economic structure, natural disasters, specially disasters of meteorological and hydrological origin, have substantial effect upon the natural resources and socio-economic sectors of Mongolia. Mongolia's climate is characterized by high variability of weather parameters, and high frequency and magnitude of extreme climate and weather events. During the last few decades, climate of the country is changing significantly under the global warning. The annual mean air temperature for the whole territory of the country has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$ during the last 60 years,. The winter temperature has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$. These changes in temperature are spatially variable: winter warming is more pronounced in the high mountains and wide valleys between the mountains, and less so in the steppe and Gobi regions. There is a slight trend of increased precipitation during the last 60 years. The average precipitation rate is increased during 1940-1998 by 6%. This trend is not seasonally consistent: while summer precipitation increased by 11 %, spring precipitation decreased by 17. The climate change studies in Mongolia show that climate change will have a significant impact on natural resources such as water resources, natural rangeland, land use, snow cover, permafrost as well as major economic activities of arable farming, livestock, and society (i.e. human health, living standards, etc.) of Mongolia. Therefore, in new century, sustainable development of the country is defined by mitigating and adaptation policies of climate change. The objective of the presentation is to contribute one's idea in the how to reflect the changes in climate system and weather extreme events in the country's sustainable development concept.

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Influence of Climate Change on the Lifecycle of Construction Projects at Gaza Strip

  • El-Sawalhi, Nabil;Mahdi, Mahdi
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2015
  • There is a high confidence based on scientific evidence that climate is changing over time. Now climate change is considered as one of the challenges facing the construction industry. As no project is risk free and climate change has a strong impact on the different phases of the construction project lifecycle. This research aimed at providing a platform of knowledge for the construction management practitioners about the impacts of climate change on the construction projects lifecycle, identify the most dangerous climate change factors on the construction project lifecycle, and identify the most affected phase by climate change factors through the construction projects lifecycle. The study depended on the opinions of civil engineers who have worked in the construction projects field among the reality of Gaza Strip. Questionnaire tool was adopted as the main research methodology in order to achieve the desired objectives. The questionnaire included 127 factors in order to obtain responses from 88 construction practitioners out of 98 representing 89.79% response rate about the influence of climate change on the generic lifecycle of construction projects. The results deduced that the most significant influence on the construction project lifecycle was related to the extreme weather events, rainfall change, and temperature change respectively. There was a general agreement between the respondents that the most affected phase by temperature, rainfall, and extreme weather events is the execution phase. The results also asserted with a high responses scale on the need to alternative procedures and clear strategies in order to face the climate change within construction industry.

Characteristics of soil respiration temperature sensitivity in a Pinus/Betula mixed forest during periods of rising and falling temperatures under the Japanese monsoon climate

  • Oe, Yusuke;Yamamoto, Akinori;Mariko, Shigeru
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2011
  • We studied temperature sensitivity characteristics of soil respiration during periods of rising and falling temperatures within a common temperature range. We measured soil respiration continuously through two periods (a period of falling temperature, from August 7, 2003 to October 13, 2003; and a period of rising temperature from May 2, 2004 to July 2, 2004) using an open-top chamber technique. A clear exponential relationship was observed between soil temperature and soil respiration rate during both periods. However, the effects of soil water content were not significant, because the humid monsoon climate prevented soil drought, which would otherwise have limited soil respiration. We analyzed temperature sensitivity using the $Q_{10}$ value and $R_{ref}$ (reference respiration at the average temperature for the observation period) and found that these values tended to be higher during the period of rising temperature than during the period of falling temperature. In the absence of an effect on soil water content, several other factors could explain this phenomenon. Here, we discuss the factors that control temperature sensitivity of soil respiration during periods of rising and falling temperature, such as root respiration, root growth, root exudates, and litter supply. We also discuss how the contribution of these factors may vary due to different growth states or due to the effects of the previous season, despite a similar temperature range.

수자원 영향평가를 위한 기후변화 시나리오의 불확실성 평가 (Uncertainties estimation of AOGCM-based climate scenarios for impact assessment on water resources)

  • 박이형;임은순;권원태;이은정
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.138-142
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    • 2005
  • The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

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Effects of multiple dam projects on river ecology and climate change: Çoruh River Basin, Turkey

  • Aras, Egemen
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.121-138
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    • 2018
  • Depending on the increased energy needs, a large number of dams have been built around the world. These dams have significant impacts on river ecology and climate change. When the climate change scenarios are examined, it is stated that the annual average temperature in Turkey will increase by 2.5-4 degrees in the future years, the south of the country will be opposed to the severe drought threat, and the northern regions will have a flood risk. In particular, it can be predicted that many dams and dam lakes built in the North of Turkey may increase the impact of climate change. In this study, the effects of the dams constructed in Çoruh basin on climate change are examined. Environmental and ecological problems of dam reservoirs have been examined. As a result of the data received from meteorological stations, it was determined that temperature and rainfall changes in the region. In this direction, solution proposal is presented.

기후변화의 쟁점과 물 (Current Issues on Climate Change and Water)

  • 윤주환
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.641-650
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    • 2009
  • The IPCC's standing on the anthropogenic warming is discussed in this article. The differences between the climate alarmist and skeptics have been addressed in terms of scientific and policy stand point of view. The political and economical significances of climate change have been discussed, too. Although atmospheric temperature and rainfall precipitation are two most important factors in the climate change, most of the recent attentions have drawn on mainly temperature and $CO_2$ issue. In spite of argues on the uncertainty in anthropogenic warming related to $CO_2$, the inevitable climate change should correspondingly change the humanity in near feature.

내한성 혼화제를 이용한 시멘트 모르타르의 강도증진 특성 (Properties of Strength Development on Cement Mortar Using Agent for Enduring Cold Climate)

  • 홍상희;김현우;심보길;한민철;한천구
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회논문집(I)
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    • pp.571-574
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    • 2000
  • When fresh concrete is exposed to low temperature, the concrete may suffer from the frost damage at early ages and the strength development may be delayed. To solve such problems of cold weather concreting admixtures called agent for enduring cold climate are developed to prevent the fresh concrete from being frozen at early ages. In this study, the experiments are carried out on several kinds of agent for enduring cold climate to present their performance. According to experimental results, most kinds of agent for enduring cold climate show the strength development in the range $-5^{\circ}C$ of curing temperature, it tends to be delayed at long term maturity without agents for enduring cold climate. while it gains high strength maturity when agents for enduring cold climate is applied.

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