• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.271-290
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• 2017

We study a bivariate response regression model with arbitrary marginal distributions and joint distributions using Frank and Clayton's families of copulas. The proposed model is used for fitting dependent bivariate data with explanatory variables using the log-odd log-logistic Weibull distribution. We consider likelihood inferential procedures based on constrained parameters. For different parameter settings and sample sizes, various simulation studies are performed and compared to the performance of the bivariate odd-log-logistic-Weibull regression model. Sensitivity analysis methods (such as local and total influence) are investigated under three perturbation schemes. The methodology is illustrated in a study to assess changes on schoolchildren's oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL) in a follow-up exam after three years and to evaluate the impact of caries incidence on the OHRQoL of adolescents.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.883-897
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• 2012

Cold-formed channel sections are used in a variety of applications in which they are required to absorb deformation energy. This paper investigates the collapse behaviour and energy absorption capability of cold-formed steel channels with flange edge stiffeners under large deformation major-axis bending. The Yield Line Mechanism technique is applied using the energy method, and based upon measured spatial plastic collapse mechanisms from experiments. Analytical solutions for the collapse curve and in-plane rotation capacity are developed, and used to model the large deformation behaviour and energy absorption. The analytical results are shown to compare well with experimental values. Due to the complexities of the yield line model of the collapse mechanism, a simplified procedure to calculate the energy absorbed by channel sections under large bending deformation is developed and also shown to compare well with the experiments.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.467-483
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• 2023

In this research, a conversion function and a distortion associated with the conversion function are defined and used to derive a unit power Gompertz distortion. A new family of copulas is built using the global distorted function. Four base copulas, namely Clayton, Gumbel, Frank, and Gaussian, are distorted into the family. Some properties including tail dependence coefficients and tail order are examined. Kendall's tau formula is derived for new copulas when the base copula is Clayton, Gumbel, or Frank. The maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation method is employed, and a simulation study was performed. The log-likelihood and AIC are reported to compare the performance of the fitted copulas. According to the applied data, the results indicate that new distorted copulas with additional parameters improve the fit.

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.153-160
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• 2008

Seismic modeling is used to simulate wave propagation in the earth. Although the earth's subsurface is usually semi-infinite, we cannot handle the semi-infinite model in seismic modeling because of limited computational resources. For this reason, we usually assume a finite-sized model in seismic modeling. In that case, we need to eliminate the edge reflections arising from the artificial boundaries introducing a proper boundary condition. In this study, we changed three kinds of boundary conditions (sponge boundary condition, Clayton and Engquist's absorbing boundary condition, and Higdon's transparent boundary condition) so that they can be applied in elastic wave modeling for anisotropic media. We then apply them to several models whose Poisson's ratios are different. Clayton and Engquist's absorbing boundary condition is unstable in both isotropic and anisotropic media, when Poisson's ratio is large. This indicates that the absorbing boundary condition can be applied in anisotropic media restrictively. Although the sponge boundary condition yields good results for both isotropic and anisotropic media, it requires too much computational memory and time. On the other hand, Higdon's transparent boundary condition is not only inexpensive, but also reduce reflections over a wide range of incident angles. We think that Higdon's transparent boundary condition can be a method of choice for anisotropic media, where Poisson's ratio is large.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.170-175
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• 1983

A simplified method for the estimation of lightning performance of transmission Lines is described. Only one stroke current wave shape was used and the potentials of tower top and crossarms were computed at the two time points to obtain the critical stroke current for insulator flashover. Variation of the critical stroke current due to power frequency voltage was also takes into account. An applied example on 345KV Line model was shown and the calculated result was compared with the estimating curve suggested by Clayton & Young.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.445-459
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• 2014

This paper investigates the dependence structure of Korean financial markets (stock, foreign exchange (FX) rates and bond) using copula-GARCH and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models. We examine GJR-GARCH with skewed elliptical distributions and four copulas (Gaussian, Student's t, Clayton and Gumbel) to model dependence among returns, and then employ DCC model to describe system-wide correlation dynamics. We analyze the daily returns of KOSPI, FX (WON/USD) and KRX bond index (Gross Price Index) from $2^{nd}$ May 2006 to $30^{th}$ June 2014 with 2,063 observations. Empirical result shows that there is significant asymmetry and fat-tail of individual return, and strong tail-dependence among returns, especially between KOSPI and FX returns, during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis period. Focused only on recent 30 months, we find that the correlation between stock and bond markets shows dramatic increase, and system-wide correlation wanders around zero, which possibly indicates market tranquility from a systemic perspective.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.340-340
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• 2021

가뭄의 특성상 시점과 종점을 명확하게 정의하기 어렵기 때문에 기준수문량을 설정하고 부족량과 지속기간을 정의하는 것이 일반적이다. 대상 수문량은 강우나 유출량을 사용할 수 있지만, 두 성분간 지체와 감쇄효과로 인하여 빈도해석의 결과는 차이를 보일 수 밖에 없어, 사용 목적에 따라 선별적으로 적용해야 한다. 가뭄빈도해석은 강우를 기반으로 지속기간과 심도를 정의하여 빈도를 해석하는 연구가 선행되어왔지만, 기본적으로 강우의 간헐적 발생특성과 체감도의 한계가 문제로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 유입량의 Run 시계열 특성을 이용하여 다양한 유황을 기준유량으로 활용하여 가뭄의 시점과 종점에 대한 가뭄사상을 추출하고 지속기간과 누적부족량을 계산하여 가뭄빈도해석의 변수로 설정하였다. 두 변수간의 복잡한 상호 관계를 해석하기 위해 Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였다. 먼저 소양강댐('74-'19) 유입량, 충주댐('86-'19) 유입량을 연구대상지역으로 설정하여, 두 유역의 유입량의 추세분석을 통해 시간의존성을 파악하였다. 유황분석에 사용되는 분위량중 평수량을 기준값으로 사용하여 각 년별 최대 지속기간과 누적부족량을 추출하였다. Copula 가뭄빈도해석을 수행하기 전에 지속기간에는 GEV, 누적 부족량에는 Log-normal 분포를 적용해 단변량 누적확률분포를 계산하여 재현기간을 도출하였다. 이변량 빈도해석에 Clayton Copula 함수를 적용하여 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였고, Copula 이변량 재현기간과 SDF곡선을 도출하였다. Clayton Copula를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석의 결과로 소양강댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 1996년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 9.11년, 누적부족량 기준 17.26년, Copula 재현기간은 141.19년 이며 충주댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 2014년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 17.76년, 누적부족량 기준 18.72년, Copula 재현기간은 184.19년으로 단변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 재현기간보다 Copula 재현기간이 높은 결과가 도출되었다. Run 시계열을 바탕으로 한 기준유량의 임계값 기준 Event 산정과 Copula를 이용한 빈도해석은 가뭄분석에 이용되는 자료의 상관관계와 분포특성을 재현하는데 효과적인 특징이 있다. 이를 미루어 보아 Copula 함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도해석의 재현기간은 보다 현실적인 재현기간을 도출할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다. 임계값의 조정을 통해 가뭄빈도해석의 변수의 양이 늘어나면, 보다 정확도 높은 재현기간을 도출하여 수문학적 가뭄을 정의할 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.145-170
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• 2020

This study analyzes the dependence structure between energy (crude oil, natural gas, coal) prices and economic (real and financial) uncertainty. Summary of the results of the dependence structure between energy prices and economic uncertainty analysis is as follows. First, the results of model selection show that the BB7 copula model for the pair of crude oil price and economic uncertainty, the Joe copula model for the pair of natural gas price and economic uncertainty, and the Clayton copula model for the pair of coal price and economic uncertainty were chosen. Second, looking at the dependency structure, it showed that the pair of energy (crude oil, natural gas, coal) prices and real market uncertainty show positive dependence. Whereas, the only pair of financial market uncertainty-crude oil price shows positive dependency. In particular, crude oil price was found to have the greatest dependence on economic uncertainty. Third, looking at the results of tail dependency, the pair of real market uncertainty-crude oil price and pair of real market uncertainty-natural gas price have an asymmetric relationship with the upper tail dependency. It can be seen that the only pair of financial market uncertainty-crude oil represents asymmetric relationships with the upper tail dependencies. In other words, combinations with asymmetric relationships have shown strong dependence when negative extreme events occur. On the other hand, tail dependence between economic uncertainty and coal price be not found.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.403-411
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• 2022

This article presents an independence test between pairs of interval censored failure times. The Mantel-Haenszel test is commonly applied to test the independence between two categorical variables accompanied with a strata variable. Hsu and Prentice (1996) applied a Mantel-Haenszel test to the sequence of 2 × 2 tables formed at the grids which are composed of failure times. In this article, due to unknown failure times, the suitable grid points should be determined and the status of failure and at risk are estimated at those grid points. We also consider a weighted test statistic to bring a more powerful test. Simulation studies are performed to evaluate the power of test statistics under finite samples. The method is applied to analyze two real data sets, mastitis data from milk cows and an age-related eye disease study.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.329-344
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• 2009

Ultrasonic chaotic excitations combined with sensor prediction algorithms have shown the ability to identify incipient damage (loss of preload) in a bolted joint. In this study we examine a physical experiment on a single-bolt aluminum lap joint as well as a three-dimensional physics-based simulation designed to model the behavior of guided ultrasonic waves through a similarly configured joint. A multiple bolt frame structure is also experimentally examined. In the physical experiment each signal is imparted to the structure through a macro-fiber composite (MFC) patch on one side of the lap joint and sensed using an equivalent MFC patch on the opposite side of the joint. The model applies the waveform via direct nodal displacement and 'senses' the resulting displacement using an average of the nodal strain over an area equivalent to the MFC patch. A novel statistical classification feature is developed from information theory concepts of cross-prediction and interdependence. This damage detection algorithm is used to evaluate multiple damage levels and locations.