• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.303-324
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• 2008

생물측정학-멘델주의 논쟁은 다윈이 주장한 생물 진화의 연속성과 자연선택을 두고 1890년대 중반부터 약 10여년간 치열하게 진행되었던 논쟁이다. 본 연구에서는 생물학이 아니라 통계학에 중점을 두고 논쟁의 진행과정을 살펴보았다. 특히 수학자이던 피어슨이 생물학 자료에 대해 통계학을 연구하게된 배경, The Grammar of science에 나타나는 그의 과학철학과 논쟁에서 나타나는 피어슨의 입장, 그리고 그의 입장과 1830년대 이후 영국 통계학 전통 사이의 관계도 살펴보았다. 결과적으로 이 논쟁을 계기로 피어슨의 많은 통계학 연구가 나오게 되었고 처음으로 연구자들이 결집하게 되었으며 새로운 학술지 Biometrka가 창간되었음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 이 논쟁은 우생학과 더불어 수학적인 통계학이 대학에 자리잡는 촉매제로 작용하였다.

• 한국전문물리치료학회지
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.161-167
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• 2021

Understanding sciences behind fall-related hip fractures in older adults is important to develop effective interventions for prevention. The aim of this review is to provide biomechanical understanding and prevention strategies of falls and related hip fractures in older adults, in order to guide future research directions from biomechanical perspectives. While most hip fractures are due to a fall, a few of falls are injurious causing hip fractures, and most falls are non-injurious. Fall mechanics are important in determining injurious versus non-injurious falls. Many different biomechanical factors contribute to the risk of hip fracture, and effects of each individual factors are known well. However, combining effects, and correlation and causation among the factors are poorly understood. While fall prevention interventions include exercise, vision correction, vitamin D intake and environment modification, injury prevention strategies include use of hip protectors, compliant flooring and safe landing strategies, vitamin D intake and exercise. While fall risk assessments have well been established, limited efforts have been made for injury risk assessments. Better understanding is necessary on the correlation and causation among factors affecting the risk of falls and related hip fractures in older adults. Development of the hip fracture risk assessment technique is required to establish more efficient intervention models for fall-related hip fractures in older adults.

• 대한물리의학회지
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.31-41
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• 2009

Purpose : Purpose of this study was to determine correlation between Walter Reed Visual Analogue Scale (WRVAS) and Scoliosis Research Society-22(SRS-22) questionnaire for idiopathic scoliosis. Methods : For this study, to assess reliability, 224 middle school female students were applied the WRVAS & SRS-22 questionnaire. Pearson correlation analysis was used to know correlationship between WRVAS and SRS-22 questionnaire. Regression analysis was used to know causation between WRVAS and SRS-22 questionnaire. Results Positive correlation(.248) was found between WRVAS score and SRS-22 score. And SRS-22 was shown positive correlation compared with WRVAS as a result slope of .078 Conclusion : The WRVAS questionnaire is reliable positive correlation with SRS-22 questionnaire. It is valid and may be useful for clinical evaluation of idiopathic scoliosis patients.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.285-299
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• 2020

In many cases, we are interested in identifying independence between variables. For continuous random variables, correlation coefficients are often used to describe the relationship between variables; however, correlation does not imply independence. For finite discrete random variables, we can use the Pearson chi-square test to find independency. For the mixed type of continuous and discrete random variables, we do not have a general type of independent test. In this study, we develop a independence test of a continuous random variable and a discrete random variable without assuming a specific distribution using kernel density estimation. We provide some statistical criteria to test independence under some special settings and apply the proposed independence test to Pima Indian diabetes data. Through simulations, we calculate false positive rates and true positive rates to compare the proposed test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.13-23
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• 2006

The present study has investigated the patterns and the causes of safety -accidents on the accident-data in semiconductor Industries through near miss report the cases in the advanced companies. The ratio of incomplete actions to incomplete state was 4 to 6 as the cases of accidents in semiconductor industries in the respect of Human-ware, Hard- ware, Environment-ware and System-ware. The ratio of Human to machine in the attributes of semiconductor accident was 4 to 1. The study also investigated correlation among the system related to production, accident, losses and time. In semiconductor industry, we found that pattern of safety-accident analysis is organized potential, interaction, complexity, medium. Therefore, this study find out that semiconductor model consists of organization, individual, task, machine, environment and system.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.233-253
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• 2014

Can the stock market really be predicted? Stock market prediction has attracted much attention from many fields including business, economics, statistics, and mathematics. Early research on stock market prediction was based on random walk theory (RWT) and the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). According to the EMH, stock market are largely driven by new information rather than present and past prices. Since it is unpredictable, stock market will follow a random walk. Even though these theories, Schumaker [2010] asserted that people keep trying to predict the stock market by using artificial intelligence, statistical estimates, and mathematical models. Mathematical approaches include Percolation Methods, Log-Periodic Oscillations and Wavelet Transforms to model future prices. Examples of artificial intelligence approaches that deals with optimization and machine learning are Genetic Algorithms, Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Neural Networks. Statistical approaches typically predicts the future by using past stock market data. Recently, financial engineers have started to predict the stock prices movement pattern by using the SNS data. SNS is the place where peoples opinions and ideas are freely flow and affect others' beliefs on certain things. Through word-of-mouth in SNS, people share product usage experiences, subjective feelings, and commonly accompanying sentiment or mood with others. An increasing number of empirical analyses of sentiment and mood are based on textual collections of public user generated data on the web. The Opinion mining is one domain of the data mining fields extracting public opinions exposed in SNS by utilizing data mining. There have been many studies on the issues of opinion mining from Web sources such as product reviews, forum posts and blogs. In relation to this literatures, we are trying to understand the effects of SNS exposures of firms on stock prices in Korea. Similarly to Bollen et al. [2011], we empirically analyze the impact of SNS exposures on stock return rates. We use Social Metrics by Daum Soft, an SNS big data analysis company in Korea. Social Metrics provides trends and public opinions in Twitter and blogs by using natural language process and analysis tools. It collects the sentences circulated in the Twitter in real time, and breaks down these sentences into the word units and then extracts keywords. In this study, we classify firms' exposures in SNS into two groups: positive and negative. To test the correlation and causation relationship between SNS exposures and stock price returns, we first collect 252 firms' stock prices and KRX100 index in the Korea Stock Exchange (KRX) from May 25, 2012 to September 1, 2012. We also gather the public attitudes (positive, negative) about these firms from Social Metrics over the same period of time. We conduct regression analysis between stock prices and the number of SNS exposures. Having checked the correlation between the two variables, we perform Granger causality test to see the causation direction between the two variables. The research result is that the number of total SNS exposures is positively related with stock market returns. The number of positive mentions of has also positive relationship with stock market returns. Contrarily, the number of negative mentions has negative relationship with stock market returns, but this relationship is statistically not significant. This means that the impact of positive mentions is statistically bigger than the impact of negative mentions. We also investigate whether the impacts are moderated by industry type and firm's size. We find that the SNS exposures impacts are bigger for IT firms than for non-IT firms, and bigger for small sized firms than for large sized firms. The results of Granger causality test shows change of stock price return is caused by SNS exposures, while the causation of the other way round is not significant. Therefore the correlation relationship between SNS exposures and stock prices has uni-direction causality. The more a firm is exposed in SNS, the more is the stock price likely to increase, while stock price changes may not cause more SNS mentions.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.395-395
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• 2000

Optimization of existing processes becomes more important than the past as environmental problems and concerns about energy savings stand out. When we can model a process mathematically, we can easily optimize it by using the model as constraints. However, modeling is very difficult for most chemical processes as they include numerous units together with their correlation and we can hardly obtain parameters. Therefore, optimization that is based on the process models is, in turn, hard to perform. Especially, f3r unknown processes, such as bioprocess or microelectronics materials process, optimization using mathematical model (first principle model) is nearly impossible, as we cannot understand the inside mechanism. Consequently, we propose a few optimization method using empirical model evolutionarily instead of mathematical model. In this method, firstly, designing experiments is executed fur removing unecessary experiments. D-optimal DOE is the most developed one among DOEs. It calculates design points so as to minimize the parameters variances of empirical model. Experiments must be performed in order to see the causation between input variables and output variables as only correlation structure can be detected in historical data. And then, using data generated by experiments, empirical model, i.e. response surface is built by PLS or MLR. Now, as process model is constructed, it is used as objective function for optimization. As the optimum point is a local one. above procedures are repeated while moving to a new experiment region fur finding the global optimum point. As a result of application to the pulp digester benchmark model, kappa number that is an indication fur impurity contents decreased to very low value, 3.0394 from 29.7091. From the result, we can see that the proposed methodology has sufficient good performance fur optimization, and is also applicable to real processes.

• 시큐리티연구
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• 제14호
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• pp.261-283
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• 2007

범죄두려움의 원인을 설명하기 위한 최근의 연구들에서는 성, 연령, 경제수준, 범죄 피해경험 등의 미시적인 개인수준과 거시적인 지역수준과의 연계를 시도하는 연구에 관심과 노력을 보이고 있다. 하지만 이 연구에서는 이러한 지역수준의 특성에 대한 개인의 관심과 해석은 개인의 특성으로서 과거의 범죄피해경험, 범죄피해의 취약성 정도, 범죄관련 정보에 대한 관심에 따라 다를 수 있다고 보며, 미시적인 수준과 거시적인 수준의 연계를 시도하기에 앞서 개인적인 수준에서 개인의 특성과 범죄두려움의 관계에 대해서 실증적인 분석을 실시하였다. 따라서 이 연구의 목적은 범죄두려움이 과연 개인의 특성에 따라서 어떻게 느끼게 되며 또한 얼마나 많은 영향을 받게 되는지를 실증적으로 검증하는 데에 그 목적이 있다. 이 연구의 조사결과 우선 범죄피해경험이 집단간의 차이가 통계적으로 유의미한 인구통계학적 특성은 연령, 결혼상태, 최종학력, 거주하는 장소였으며, 범죄피해의 취약성 정도는 성별과 결혼상태, 범죄관련 정보에 대한 관심은 성별, 연령, 최종학력, 가족 수입, 거주장소 위치에 따라서 집단 간의 통계적으로 유의미한 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 개인적 특성 요인과 범죄두려움의 상관관계 분석을 실시한 결과 독립변수 세요인 모두 범죄두려움과 통계적으로 유의미한 상관관계를 나타내고 있었으며, 특히 범죄피해에 대한 취약성 요인이 범죄두려움과 가장 상관관계가 높게 나타났다. 마지막으로 개인의 특성으로서 범죄피해의 취약성, 범죄정보에 대한 관심, 범죄피해경험은 범죄두려움에 영향을 미쳤으며, 특히 이러한 개인적 특성 요인 중 자신이 범죄피해에 대해 취약하다고 생각 하는 범죄피해의 취약성이 범죄두려움에 가장 많은 영향을 미치는 요인으로 나타났다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.181-191
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• 2009

일반적으로 상선에서 해상운송 사고의 주된 원인은 원의 인적과실로 고려되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 선박에 승선 중인 선장, 1항사, 2항사 및 3항사를 포함하는 갑판사관들이 야기할 수 있는 사고 위기를 평가하기 위한 인적과실 모델(HEM)의 구축기법에 관해서 기술했다. 연구범위는 130척의 선박을 관리하는 회사에 소속된 542명의 갑판사관들을 대상으로 했다. 우선, 갑판사관들의 인적 데이터에 대한 통계적 분석과 전문가에 의한 브레인스토밍 과정을 통해서 KEM을 구축하고, 인적과실을 평가하기 위한 인적요소들의 변수 $\upsilon$와 $\upsilon$에 대한 평가등급 EP($\upsilon$) 및 가중치 $\alpha$, 갑판사관의 직책별 가중치 $\beta$ 등을 결정했다. 그리고 선박의 사고기록에 대한 통계분석 결과, 인적과실에 의한 사고원인 비율 ${\gamma}_H$와 외적과실에 의한 사고원인 비율 ${\gamma}_B$은 0.517(51.7%)과 0.483(48.3%)로 나타났다. $\upsilon$의 상관계수는 95%(p < 0.05) 신뢰구간에서 유의함을 확인하였고, 각 갑판사관의 위기수준 RL의 정규 확률분포 분석으로부터 HEM의 타당성을 검토했다.