• 제목/요약/키워드: Causal association

검색결과 978건 처리시간 0.034초

A Study on the Causal Relationship between Logistics Infrastructure and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Korea

  • Wang, Chao;Kim, Yul-Seong;Wang, Chong;Kim, Chi Yeol
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.18-33
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the causal relationship between logistics infrastructure development and the economic growth of Korea. Considering the industrial and economic structure of Korea, it is likely that logistics infrastructure is positively associated with the economic growth of the country. Design/methodology - The causal relationship between logistics infrastructure and economic development is estimated using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) considering long-run equilibrium between the two factors. To this end, a dataset consisting of 7 logistics infrastructure proxies and 5 economic growth indicators covering the period of 1990-2017 is used. Findings - It was found that causality, in general, runs from logistics infrastructure development to economic growth. Specifically, the results indicate that maritime transport is positively associated with the economic growth of Korea in terms of GDP and international trade. In addition, other modes of transport also have a positive impact on either the GDP or international trade of Korea. Originality/value - While existing studies in this area are based on either regional observations or a specific mode of transport, this study presents empirical evidence on causality between logistics infrastructure and the economic growth of Korea using a more comprehensive dataset. In addition, the findings in this paper can provide valuable implications for transport infrastructure development policies.

Relationships between Inbound Tourism, Financial Development, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Fujian Province, China

  • An Lin, LIU;Yong Cen, LIU
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2023
  • This paper mainly studies the relationship between financial development, inbound tourism development, and economic growth rate in Fujian Province, China. This study uses the data of real GDP, foreign exchange income from international tourism, and financial interrelations ratio from 1994 to 2019. In the analysis process, the Johansen cointegration test is first used to analyze whether the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Then the vector error correction model is established to test the restrictive relationship among the three. Next, the Granger causality test assesses whether the three have a causal relationship. Finally, the contribution rate of the three is analyzed by variance decomposition. The above methods show the following conclusions: first, the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Secondly, in the short term, local economic growth is constrained by inbound tourism and financial development. Thirdly, there is a causal relationship between economic growth and inbound tourism in Fujian, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship between financial development and economic growth, financial development, and inbound tourism. Fourthly, the contribution rate of inbound tourism to economic growth fluctuations in Fujian is higher than that of financial development.

산업보건 분야에서 시스템적 사고 분석 방법의 활용성 검토 - STAMP를 이용한 메탄올 중독사고 분석을 중심으로 - (Application Review of a Systemic Accident Analysis Method in the Field of Occupational Health - Focused on the Analysis of Methanol Poisoning Accidents Using STAMP -)

  • 서동현;박장현;현종수;김진현
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.188-205
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: Methanol poisoning accidents in smartphone parts manufacturing facilities were analyzed using a systemic accident analysis method, and the necessity and possibility of the application of this systemic method in the field of occupational health were reviewed. Methods: A STAMP model for accident analysis was created based on the previously published literature. CAST analysis was performed to find the causal factors of the components and between the components. Results: The STAMP model visually showed the abstract and complex system control structure. The CAST analysis results could include all the causal factors from the previously published literature, and presented them holistically. Additional causal factors that were not presented in the literature were found. Conclusions: The holistic accident analysis results in this study will be helpful to establish comprehensive measures to prevent methanol or other chemical poisoning accidents. Therefore, it will be necessary to use systemic accident analysis methods in the field of occupational health.

코퍼스 지표를 활용한 모의 토익시험의 유용성 검증 : 난이도와 변별도 분석을 중심으로 (Verification of the Usefulness of the Mock TOEIC Test using Corpus Indices : Focusing on the Analysis of Difficulty and Discrimination)

  • 이예나
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제21권10호
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    • pp.576-593
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 토익 시험의 정답률과 변별도에 영향을 미치는 구조적인 요인이 무엇인지 분석하기 위하여 문항 분석에서 도출된 각 파트별 코퍼스 지표들을 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 모의 토익 시험의 정답률과 변별도에 대한 코퍼스 요인들의 회귀 분석을 실시하였고, 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 정답률에 대해서는 기초산출치중에서 word_length, no_word_sentence1, sentence_length, 정합성 지표들 중에서는 LSA_overlap_adjacent_sentences, 어휘 다양성 지표들 중에서는 MTLD_VOCD, 접속사 지표들 중에서는 All_logical_causal_connectives_incidence, 상황모형 지표들 중에서는 casual_particles_causal_verbs_Ratio, 통사적복잡성 지표들 중에서는 Minimal_Edit_Distance1, Left_embeddedness, 통사적 패턴밀도 지표들 중에서는 Infinitive_density, Preposition_phrase_density 등이 음의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 코퍼스 요인들은 토익의 정답률을 낮추는 효과가 있기 때문에 하위 레벨의 학습자들이 단기적인 학습효과를 향상시킬 수 있는 중요한 정보들을 제공해 줄 수 있을 것이다. 변별도에 대해서는 어휘 다양성 지표들 중에서 MTLD_VOCD, 접속사 지표들 중에서는 All_logical_causal_connectives_incidence, Additive_connectives_incidence, 통사적 패턴밀도 지표들 중에서는 Infinitive_density, 어휘정보 지표들 중에서는 person1_2_pronoun_incidence 등이 정의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 코퍼스 요인들은 변별도 증가에 영향을 주기 때문에 영어 능력 하위 그룹에 필요한 학습 프로그램을 개발하는 데 있어서 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

마우스의 기도 내 점적을 통한 가습기살균제 CMIT/MIT와 사망 간의 원인적 연관성에 관한 연구 (Intra-tracheal Administration of the Disinfectant Chloromethylisothiazolinone/methylisothiazolinone (CMIT/MIT) in a Mouse Model to Evaluate a Causal Association with Death)

  • 김하영;정용현;박영철
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: The deaths of Korean victims exposed to the disinfectant CMIT/MIT have remained unresolved. This is mainly due to a lack of concordance between the few available toxicity tests and the abundant epidemiological data, making it difficult to establish a cause-and-effect relationship. Therefore, this study was carried out to investigate any potential associations between CMIT/MIT exposure and death. Methods: Groups of experimental and control C57BL/6 mice were instilled (in the trachea) with chloromethylisothiazolinone/methylisothiazolinone (CMIT/MIT) using a visual instillobot. CMIT/MIT was instilled over a period of three days and eight weeks, respectively, to achieve acute and chronic exposures. A threshold dose-response model was applied for estimating the threshold level as one line of evidence for a causal association between CMIT/MIT and death. Results: An acute exposure of 1.2 mg ai/kg/day of CMIT/MIT was estimated to reflect the threshold for death. The dose-response curve with this threshold showed a very steep slope and a narrow range of CMIT/MIT exposures. The narrow range of CMIT/MIT exposures, in particular, indicated an evident boundary between survival and death, thus implicating a strong causal association. A similar threshold dose-response relationship observed following acute exposure was also seen following chronic exposure to CMIT/MIT. Airborne disinfectant exposure was visible as minimal or mild lung damage with no fibrosis, as shown by histopathological tests. However, many observations are considered to be functional respiratory tract or lung failure due to death, as observed in necropsies of the mice that died due to CMIT/MIT exposures. Conclusions: There are two strong lines of evidence for a causal association between death and CMIT/MIT exposure: 1) The threshold dose-response curve, with a very steep slope and a narrow range of CMIT/MIT exposures showing a visible boundary between survival and death; and 2) many cases of functional respiratory or lung failure.

Genomic partitioning of growth traits using a high-density single nucleotide polymorphism array in Hanwoo (Korean cattle)

  • Park, Mi Na;Seo, Dongwon;Chung, Ki-Yong;Lee, Soo-Hyun;Chung, Yoon-Ji;Lee, Hyo-Jun;Lee, Jun-Heon;Park, Byoungho;Choi, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제33권10호
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    • pp.1558-1565
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to characterize the number of loci affecting growth traits and the distribution of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) effects on growth traits, and to understand the genetic architecture for growth traits in Hanwoo (Korean cattle) using genome-wide association study (GWAS), genomic partitioning, and hierarchical Bayesian mixture models. Methods: GWAS: A single-marker regression-based mixed model was used to test the association between SNPs and causal variants. A genotype relationship matrix was fitted as a random effect in this linear mixed model to correct the genetic structure of a sire family. Genomic restricted maximum likelihood and BayesR: A priori information included setting the fixed additive genetic variance to a pre-specified value; the first mixture component was set to zero, the second to 0.0001×σ2g, the third 0.001×σ2g, and the fourth to 0.01×σ2g. BayesR fixed a priori information was not more than 1% of the genetic variance for each of the SNPs affecting the mixed distribution. Results: The GWAS revealed common genomic regions of 2 Mb on bovine chromosome 14 (BTA14) and 3 had a moderate effect that may contain causal variants for body weight at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. This genomic region explained approximately 10% of the variance against total additive genetic variance and body weight heritability at 12, 18, and 24 months. BayesR identified the exact genomic region containing causal SNPs on BTA14, 3, and 22. However, the genetic variance explained by each chromosome or SNP was estimated to be very small compared to the total additive genetic variance. Causal SNPs for growth trait on BTA14 explained only 0.04% to 0.5% of the genetic variance Conclusion: Segregating mutations have a moderate effect on BTA14, 3, and 19; many other loci with small effects on growth traits at different ages were also identified.

서비스 산업의 종업원 커뮤니케이션이 소비자의 긍정적 감정과 삶의 질에 미치는 영향 (Relationships among Employees' Communication, Customers' Positive Emotions and Quality of Life in Service Industry)

  • 진흔;김규배
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.85-96
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - There are many antecedences and consequences of the positive emotions of customers. The purpose of this research is to examine how Chinese service companies improve not only the positive emotions of customers but also the quality of life through effective verbal and nonverbal communication. Furthermore, we tried to analyze the moderating role of negative expectancy disconfirmation perceived by customers in those causal relationships among the variables. Research design, data, and methodology - The eight hypotheses were proposed and we tested them empirically in this research. Four hypotheses were about the relationship among communication, positive emotion, trust and quality of life. The other four hypotheses were about the moderating effect of negative expectancy disconfirmation in the causal relationships among four variables such as communication, positive emotion, trust and quality of life. A total of 356 samples who had visited the service companies in China were surveyed and 8 hypotheses were tested by empirical analysis using SPSS and AMOS. Results - The results of this research are as follows. First, positive verbal communication and nonverbal communication of employees in the service company have a positive effects on the positive emotions of customers. Second, positive emotion has a positive effect on the overall quality of life on the customer side as well as the trust on the corporate side. Third, negative expectancy disconfirmation perceived by customers has negative moderating effect in the causal relationship between employees' positive verbal communication and customers' positive emotion, and it also has a negative moderating role in the causal relationship between customers' positive emotion and overall quality of life. Conclusions - Based on these results, there can be such implications as follows. First, managers and employees of service companies can induce positive emotion of customers through effective communication. Second, service companies should try to improve not only the corporate-side performance like trust but also the customer-side performance like quality of life. Third, it will be significant for them to lower the level of negative expectancy disconfirmation for the purpose of improving not only the positive emotions of customers but also the quality of customers' life.

아동의 지적능력과 환경변인 간의 인과 모형 분석 (Analysis of a Causal Model about the Relationship of Environmental Variables to Children's Intellectual Ability)

  • 장영애
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.83-112
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    • 1987
  • This study examined the characteristics of the relationship of home environment variables and children's intellectual ability. Two studies were conducted: Study I examined the predictability of home environment variables for children's intellectual ability by children's age and the correlations between environment variables and children's intellectual ability. Study II investigated causal relationships among the variables which are supposed to affect children's intellectual ability. The subjects of this study were 240 children at age four, six and eight attending nursery schools, kindergartens and elementary schools and their mothers. Instruments included the Inventory of Home Stimulation (HOME), inventory of sociodemographic variables, and the K-Binet scale. The results obtained from this study were as follows: 1) Home environment variables had a significant positive correlation (.36 ~ .78) with children's intellectual ability. 2) The home environmental variables that significantly predicted children's intellectual ability differed according to children's age. That is, play materials, breadth of experience, and quality of language environment were predictive of children's intellectual ability at age four, while parent's education, developmental stimulation, and play materials were predictive at age six. Economic status of the home, need gratification, avoidance of restriction, and emotional climate were predictive at age eight. 3) The causal model of home environment affecting children's intellectual ability was formulated by exogenous variables (parent education and economic status of the home) and by endogenous variables (direct stimulation, indirect stimulation and the emotional climate of the home). 4) The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that the kind of variables that affected children's intellectual ability directly differed according to children's age. That is, direct stimulation and parent's education affected children's intellectual ability directly at age four and six, while the economic status of the home and indirect stimulation affected intellectual ability directly at age eight. The amount of variance that explained children's intellectual ability increased with increase in children's age.

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세이프가드협정하의 인과관계의 해석원칙에 관한 연구 (A Study on Interpretation of the "Causal Link" under WTO Safeguard Agreement)

  • 하충룡;김선옥
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.209-227
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    • 2006
  • This paper analyse current interpretation of the "causal link" that in particular, focuses principally on the so-called "non-attribution" requirement of Article 4.2(b) of the Safeguards Agreement. The safeguard measures are justified as a temporary economic adjustment to harm that is caused by an increase in imports. The problem with this justification is that there are other kinds of economic forces that may injure domestic industries, such as changes in consumer tastes, government spending or a lack thereof, and economic downturns. These problems do not justify government-imposed remedies. When factors therefore other than increased imports are causing injury to the domestic industry at the same time, such injury shall not be attributed to increased imports. The Appellate Body stressed that a contribution of third-party imports to the existence of serious injury must be sufficiently clear as to establish the existence of the causal link required, it found that Article 4.2(b) does not suggest that increased imports be the sole cause of the serious injury, or that other factors causing injury must be excluded from the determination of serious injury. The interest in separation is to ensure that a measure is not applied to remedy harm not caused by imports, but this basic point assumes that the harm is distinguishable in the first place. It also assumes that the safeguard is designed to respond to harm caused by imports. In fact safeguards were never intended to respond to this kind of unfair trade, but rather to provide whatever emergency relief might assist an ailing domestic industry if imports happened to be a part of that injury. The Appellate Body's insistence in breaking cause and effect down to minutia in the non-attribution analysis seems to be so overly intricate that it conflicts with it's broader focus on evaluating factors that effect harm on the industry as a whole.

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가정환경변인과 아동의 사회적 능력간의 관계 : 인과 모형 분석 (The Relationship of Home Environments to Children's Social Development : Analysis of a Causal Model)

  • 장영애
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.17-44
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    • 1987
  • The study examined the characteristics of the relationship of home environment variables and children's social development. Two studies were conducted ; Study I examined (1) the correlation of home environment variables and children's social ability and (2) the predictability of home environment variables for children's social ability by children's age. Study II investigated the causal relationship among the variables which are supposed to affect children's social ability. The subjects of this study were 240 children at age four, six and eight attending nursery schools, kindergartens and elementary schools and their mothers. Instruments included the Inventory of Home Stimulation (HOME), the Inventory of Sociodemographic Variables, social maturation scale, and the social-emotional developmental rating scale. The results obtained from this study were as follows : 1) Home environment variables had a positive correlation with children's social development at age four and six, but at age eight, only HOME variables had a significant positive correlation with children's social development. 2) The home environmental variables that significantly predicted children's social development differed according to children's age. That is, play materials, economic status of the home, and parent education were predictive of children's social development at age four, while parent's education, fostering maturity and independence, and play materials were predictive at age six. Fostering maturity and independence, aspects of physical environment, and economic status of the home were predictive at age eight. 3) The causal model of home environment effect on children's social development was formulated by exogenous variables (parent education and economic status of the home) and endogenous variables (direct stimulation, indirect stimulation and the emotional climate of the home). 4) The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that the variables that have a direct effect on children's social development differed according to children's age. That is, direct stimulation had more effect on children's social development at earlier ages, and indirect stimulation had more effect on children's social development at later ages. Among socio-demographic variables, parent's education was most closely related to children's social development. The amount of variance that explained children's social development decreased with increase in children's age.

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