• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal

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퍼지 AHP와 퍼지인식도 기반의 하이브리드 그룹 의사결정지원 메커니즘 (Fuzzy AHP and FCM-driven Hybrid Group Decision Support Mechanism)

  • Kim, Jin-Sung;Lee, Kun-Chang
    • 한국산업정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업정보학회 2003년도 추계공동학술대회
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2003
  • In this research, we propose a hybrid group decision support mechanism (H-GDSM) based on Fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and FCM (Fuzzy Cognitive Map). The AHP elicits a corresponding priority vector interpreting the preferred information among the decision makers. Corresponding vector was composed of the pairwise comparison values of a set of objects. Since pairwise comparison values are the judgments obtained from an appropriate semantic scale. However, AHP couldn't represent the causal relationship among information, which were used by decision makers. In contrast to AHP, FCM could represent the causal relationship among variables or information. Therefore, FCMs were successfully developed and used in several ill-structured domains, such as strategic decision-making, policy making, and simulations. Nonetheless, many researchers used subjective and voluntary inputs to simulate the FCM. As a result of subjective inputs, it couldn't avoid the rebukes of businessman. To overcome these limitations, we incorporated the Fuzzy membership functions, AHP and FCM into a H-GDSM. In contrast to current AHP methods and FCMs, the H-GDSM method developed herein could concurrently tackle the pairwise comparison involving causal relationships under a group decision-making environment. The strengths and contributions of our mechanism were 1) handling of qualitative knowledge and causal relationships, 2) extraction of objective input value to simulate the FCM, 3) multi-phase group decision support based on H-GDSM. To validate our proposed mechanism we developed a simple prototype system to support negotiation-based decisions in electronic commerce (EC).

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인과적 메시지 로그 및 복구를 위한 효율적인 알고리즘 (Efficient Algorithms for Causal Message Logging and Revoery)

  • 이병주;박태순;염헌영;조유근
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.767-777
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    • 1999
  • 인과적 메시지 로깅 기법은 정상프로세스를 역전(roll-back)시키거나 메시지의 저장을 위해 프로세스의 수행을 중단시키지 않는 장점을 지니고 있지만, 메시지의 크기가 지나치게 커진다는 단점을 지니고 있다. 본 논문에서는 인과적 메시지 로깅 기법의 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 로그 상속의 개념을 정의하고 로그 연혁을 이용하여 로그 비용, 특히 로그 크기 면에서 효율적인 로깅 기법을 제안한다. 또한 이 로깅 알고리즘을 이용하여 복구시 메시지의 수와 크기를 줄여 복구시간을 줄이는 효율적인 복구 알고리즘을 제안하고, 제안한 알고리즘이 메시지 로그 크기 면에서 효율적임을 증명한다. 또 제안한 알고리즘의 성능을 검증하기 위하여 두 가지 종류의 모의 실험을 수행하여 기존의 로깅 프로토콜과 메시지 크기 면에서의 성능을 비교한 결과를 제시하였다.Abstract Causal message logging has many good properties such as nonblocking message logging and no rollback propagation. However, it requires a large amount of information to be piggybacked on each message, which may incur severe performance degradation. This paper presents an efficient causal logging algorithm based on the new message log structure, LogOn, which represents the causal inter-process dependency relation with much smaller overhead compared to the existing algorithms. The proposed algorithm is efficient in the sense that it entails no additional information other than LogOn to be carried in each message, while other existing algorithms require extra information other than the message logs. This paper also presents an efficient recovery algorithm to solve the problem of a large amount of data exchanges during the recovery. To verify the performance of our algorithm, we give an analysis of the algorithm and perform two simulations and compare the log size with other causal logging protocols.

Causal Inference Network of Genes Related with Bone Metastasis of Breast Cancer and Osteoblasts Using Causal Bayesian Networks

  • Park, Sung Bae;Chung, Chun Kee;Gonzalez, Efrain;Yoo, Changwon
    • 대한골대사학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.251-266
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    • 2018
  • Background: The causal networks among genes that are commonly expressed in osteoblasts and during bone metastasis (BM) of breast cancer (BC) are not well understood. Here, we developed a machine learning method to obtain a plausible causal network of genes that are commonly expressed during BM and in osteoblasts in BC. Methods: We selected BC genes that are commonly expressed during BM and in osteoblasts from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Bayesian Network Inference with Java Objects (Banjo) was used to obtain the Bayesian network. Genes registered as BC related genes were included as candidate genes in the implementation of Banjo. Next, we obtained the Bayesian structure and assessed the prediction rate for BM, conditional independence among nodes, and causality among nodes. Furthermore, we reported the maximum relative risks (RRs) of combined gene expression of the genes in the model. Results: We mechanistically identified 33 significantly related and plausibly involved genes in the development of BC BM. Further model evaluations showed that 16 genes were enough for a model to be statistically significant in terms of maximum likelihood of the causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and for correct prediction of BM of BC. Maximum RRs of combined gene expression patterns showed that the expression levels of UBIAD1, HEBP1, BTNL8, TSPO, PSAT1, and ZFP36L2 significantly affected development of BM from BC. Conclusions: The CBN structure can be used as a reasonable inference network for accurately predicting BM in BC.

그랜저 인과분석을 통한 댐관리 성과평가 (The performance evaluation of dam management by using Granger causal analysis)

  • 조성민;유명관;이덕로
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문은 근래 급속하게 진행되는 온난화가 수온의 상승과 수량 변동을 수반하여 수질에도 큰 영향을 줄 것으로 전망됨에 따라 방류량 및 수온과 오염도 지수간의 인과관계 분석을 통해 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 수질 개선을 위한 시사점을 도출하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 우리나라 주요 수계의 10개 다목적댐을 대상으로 방류량 및 수온, BOD, COD, DO 등 오염도 지수에 대해 시계열 자료를 활용하여 단위근 검정 및 공적분 검정, 그랜저 인과분석을 실시하여 방류량 보다는 수온이 오염도 지수와 더 많은 인과관계가 있어 수온의 변동이 방류량의 변동보다 오염지수에 더 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 수질과 방류량의 인과관계가 높아 이에 따른 댐의 수량 및 수질관리가 가장 우수한 댐은 합천댐과 충주댐이었으며, 2순위 대청댐이었다. 다음으로 수질과 방류량의 인과관계가 낮은 3순위 그룹의 용담 및 안동댐, 4순위 그룹은 나머지 5개 댐으로 밝혀졌다.

제조업 사업장 사내협력업체 사고사례의 시스템적 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on System-Based Accident Analysis : An Accident at In-house Subcontractor of a Manufacturing Company)

  • 서동현;최이락;박장현;한우섭
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.42-55
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    • 2022
  • In this study, an accident at an in-house maintenance subcontractor of a manufacturing company was analyzed using representative systemic analysis methods, and the results were compared to determine the socio-technical and organizational structure causal factors. Systemic accident analyses were performed using AcciMap, STAMP-CAST, and a method that utilizes work processing procedures. The causal factors derived from the three methods were classified according to HFACS classification criteria. AcciMap and STAMP-CAST analyses were able to derive legal problems and defects in organizational structure between the company and the subcontractors. The method that utilized the work processing procedures drew the most causal factors of the three methods but showed some limitations in deriving legal and facility-related problems. Most of the causal factors identified through the systemic methods could be classified according to the HFACS classification criteria, except for the legal and organizational structure matters. Socio-technical and organizational problems with a holistic perspective of the company and subcontractors could be found using systemic analysis methods. However, it is necessary to conduct analysis using various methods in order to derive more comprehensive measures to prevent accidents because each analysis method showed some limitations in the derivation or expression of some causal factors. The results of this study can be helpful in selecting and using an appropriate method for accident analysis.

PROCESS ANALYSIS OF AUTOMOTIVE PARTS USING GRAPHICAL MODELLING

  • IRIKURA Norio;KUZUYA Kazuyoshi;NISHINA Ken
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 1998년도 The 12th Asia Quality Management Symposium* Total Quality Management for Restoring Competitiveness
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1998
  • Recently graphical modelling is being studied as a useful process analysis tool for exploratory causal analysis. Graphical modelling is a presentation method that uses graphs to describe statistical models of the structures of multivariate data. This paper describes an application of this graphical modeling with two cases from the automotive parts industry. One case is the unbalance problem of the pulley, an automotive generator part. There is multivariate data of the product from each of the processes which are connected in the series. By means of exploratory causal analysis between the variables using graphical modeling, the key processes which causes the variation of the final characteristics and their mechanism of the causal relationship have become clear. Another case is, also, the unbalanced problem of automotive starter parts which consists of many parts and is manufactured by complex machinery and assembling process. By means of the similar technique, the key processes are obtained easily and the results are reasonable from technical knowledge.

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Mediating Effect of Psychological Empowerment on the Causal Relationship between High-Performance Work System and Organizational Citizenship Behavior in Social Welfare Organizations

  • Park, Miyoung
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.152-156
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    • 2020
  • The study is to examine the mediating effect of psychological empowerment on the causal relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. This study collected data from public organizations that are responsible for social welfare provision in Daegu, Gyeongsangbuk-Do, and Pusan in South Korea. This study employs confirmatory factor analysis in Amos 21 to find the discriminant validity of all constructs and regression analysis by Baron and Kenny (1986) to test that psychological empowerment is a mediator of the causal relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. As the result of the analysis, psychological empowerment has a significant mediating effect on the relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. The study suggests to the managers in social welfare organizations how they need to enhance organizational citizenship behavior through psychological empowerment themselves.

Detection of Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri, the causal agent of bacterial canker on Unshiu orange fruits using bacteriophage in Korea.

  • Myung, Inn-Shik;Lee, Young-Hee
    • 한국식물병리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국식물병리학회 2003년도 정기총회 및 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.135.1-135
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    • 2003
  • A technique for detection of Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri, a causal bacterium of canker on Unshiu orange fruits, was developed using bacteriophage. Procedure for the detection was designed on the basis of the previous reports that one group(CPI) of X. axonopodis pv. citri bacteriophage and corresponding two Iysotypes distributed in Korea. First, fruit surface was washed with sterile distilled water and pellet was obtained from centrifugation. The pellet was resuspended in Wakimoto's potato semi-synthetic broth medium and divided equally into two parts. One part was heated in boiling water to kill bacterial cells. Bacteriophages(CP$_1$) were respectively added into two parts and 0.1 ml from each part was mixed with soft agar medium. After incubation for 18 hrs at 25$^{\circ}C$, the causal bacterium of canker was determined based on plaques formed on the medium. This procedure can be effectively used for detection of living bacterial pathogen on fruit surfaces of Unshiu orange.

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비선호시설 입지갈등에 대한 인과지도 작성과 정책 대안 (Causal Loop Diagramming of Location Conflict on LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) Facilities and Policy Alternatives)

  • 이중훈;권혁일;김연식;이만형
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.151-171
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    • 2007
  • Without exception, diverse LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) facilities have been under the location conflict, especially between the public government units and local residents. In spite of repeated trials-and-errors, literally, the location conflict has shown no sign of improvement over time in Korea. As practical means to tackle these issues, this study focuses on divulging explicit and implicit relationships among key factors derived from the location conflict on the LULU facilities. Here, major research variables cover residents' agreement, residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion. As the location conflict on the LULU facilities could be strengthened or resolved by the dynamic feedback system, it applies basic tools geared toward causal loop diagramming. After repeated experiments, the study highlights the fact that the residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion, individually and collectively, exert significant impact on the residents' agreement ratio.

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환노출과 환노출 완화 전략의 인과관계에 관한 탐색적 연구 : 시스템 사고에 의한 접근 (Exploratory Study on Causality of Foreign Exchange Exposure and Hedge Strategy: Systems Thinking Approach)

  • 엄재근;정창권;설원식
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.97-131
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze Foreign Exchange(FX) exposure and FX hedge strategy based on the systems thinking perspective using causal loop diagrams. FX exposure has been a critical issue on a business management. Many studies in Korea have researches on variables which make effects to the company value. This study displays causal loop diagrams(CLDs) on these issues. In order to make CLD more objective, most causalities are articulated from recent 72 studies (1998~2013) of domestic top journals. This approach is valuable in that it is the first try to draw all the causalities from various literature review regarding FX exposure and FX hedge strategy. This study is expected to make a useful and basic material to research the financial issues of corporate, as the first research to dynamically understand FX exposure and FX hedge strategy.

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