• Title/Summary/Keyword: Case-based Reasoning System

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Data Mining Approach for Real-Time Processing of Large Data Using Case-Based Reasoning : High-Risk Group Detection Data Warehouse for Patients with High Blood Pressure (사례기반추론을 이용한 대용량 데이터의 실시간 처리 방법론 : 고혈압 고위험군 관리를 위한 자기학습 시스템 프레임워크)

  • Park, Sung-Hyuk;Yang, Kun-Woo
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose the high-risk group detection model for patients with high blood pressure using case-based reasoning. The proposed model can be applied for public health maintenance organizations to effectively manage knowledge related to high blood pressure and efficiently allocate limited health care resources. Especially, the focus is on the development of the model that can handle constraints such as managing large volume of data, enabling the automatic learning to adapt to external environmental changes and operating the system on a real-time basis. Using real data collected from local public health centers, the optimal high-risk group detection model was derived incorporating optimal parameter sets. The results of the performance test for the model using test data show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is two times better than the natural risk of high blood pressure.

A Study on Case-based Reasoning using K-Means Clustering Algorithm (K-Means 클러스터링 알고리즘을 이용한 사례기반 추론에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Woo-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.341-344
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    • 2003
  • 사례 기반 추론(case-based reasoning)은 현재의 문제를 해결하기 위해서 과거에 유사하게 수행된적이 있는 사례를 유추하여, 유추된 사례의 해를 이용하는 기법으로서 규칙 기반 추론과 함께 여러분야에 응용되고 있다. 하지만 사례기반 추론 시 새로운 사례를 해결하기 위하여 사례베이스 안의 모든 사례를 검색해야 하기 때문에 수행시간이 증가되는 문제점을 지니고 있다. 본 연구에서는 규칙 및 K-Means 클러스터링 알고리즘에 의한 사례 기반 추론을 이용한 ADS-DAAP(Advanced Diagnosis System for Diseases associated with Acute Abdominal Pain)를 제안한다. 제안하는 시스템은 기존의 CDS-DAAP(Combined Diagnosis System for Diseases associated with Acute Abdominal Pain)와 비교해 볼 때, 수행시간을 감소시켰다.

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사례기반추론 모델의 최근접 이웃 설정을 위한 Similarity Threshold의 사용

  • Lee, Jae-Sik;Lee, Jin-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.588-594
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    • 2005
  • 사례기반추론(Case-Based Reasoning)은 다양한 예측 문제에 있어서 성공적으로 활용되고 있는 데이터마이닝 기법 중 하나이다. 사례기반추론 시스템의 예측 성능은 예측에 사용되는 최근접이웃(Nearest Neighbor)을 어떻게 설정하느냐에 따라 영향을 받게 된다. 따라서 최근접 이웃을 결정짓는 k 값의 설정은 성공적인 사례기반추론 시스템을 구축하기 위한 중요 요인 중 하나가 된다. 최근접 이웃의 설정에 있어서 대부분의 선행 연구들은 고정된 k 값을 사용하는 사례기반추론 시스템은 k 값을 크게 설정할 경우 최근접 이웃 안에 주어진 오류를 일으킬 수 있으며, k 값이 작게 설정된 경우에는 유사 사례 중 일부만을 예측에 사용하기 때문에 예측 결과의 왜곡을 초래할 수 있다. 본 이웃을 결정함에 있어서 Similarity Threshold를 이용하는 s-NN 방법을 제안하였다. 본 연구의 실험을 위해 UCI(University of california, Irvine) Machine Learning Repository에서 제공하는 두 개의 신용 데이터 셋을 사용하였으며, 실험 결과 s-NN 적용한 CBR 모델이 고정된 k 값을 적용한 전통적인 CBR 모델보다 더 우수한 성능을 보여주었다.

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Application of Support Vector Machines to the Prediction of KOSPI

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.329-337
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    • 2003
  • Stock market prediction is regarded as a challenging task of financial time-series prediction. There have been many studies using artificial neural networks in this area. Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are regarded as promising methods for the prediction of financial time-series because they me a risk function consisting the empirical ewer and a regularized term which is derived from the structural risk minimization principle. In this study, I apply SVM to predicting the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI). In addition, this study examines the feasibility of applying SVM in financial forecasting by comparing it with back-propagation neural networks and case-based reasoning. The experimental results show that SVM provides a promising alternative to stock market prediction.

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Development of the Context-Aware System for Senior Citizen based on Case-Based Reasoning (고령자를 위한 사례기반추론에 기반한 상황인식 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Jung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 2015
  • The entry of an aging society require a safety of senior citizens against emergency. However, a home and a residence of senior citizens should not consider a characteristic of safety and the unfortunate accidents could happen in the house or the residence. Especially if the elders live alone then they have a help function using a call button in a bathroom or a closed area. But, a sliding or an overbalance in a bathroom or a closed area of a home may happen suddenly how can require a help in real time. That is a very serious accident to senior citizens. In this paper, we developed the context-aware system using the various sensors for collecting the data which is an activities of daily living of elders and we designed the recognition method using case-based reasoning for detecting the anomaly and the emergency context in the bathroom or the closed area in house. After that, if the anomaly or the emergency are detected then it call to a family or a relative or an administration in real-time.

Feature Selection for Case-Based Reasoning using the Order of Selection and Elimination Effects of Individual Features (개별 속성의 선택 및 제거효과 순위를 이용한 사례기반 추론의 속성 선정)

  • 이재식;이혁희
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.117-137
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    • 2002
  • A CBR(Case-Based Reasoning) system solves the new problems by adapting the solutions that were used to solve the old problems. Past cases are retained in the case base, each in a specific form that is determined by features. Features are selected for the purpose of representing the case in the best way. Similar cases are retrieved by comparing the feature values and calculating the similarity scores. Therefore, the performance of CBR depends on the selected feature subsets. In this research, we measured the Selection Effect and the Elimination Effect of each feature. The Selection Effect is measured by performing the CBR with only one feature, and the Elimination Effect is measured by performing the CBR without only one feature. Based on these measurements, the feature subsets are selected. The resulting CBR showed better performance in terms of accuracy and efficiency than the CBR with all features.

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Evaluating the effectiveness of ERS for vessel oil spills using fuzzy evidential reasoning

  • Wang, H.Y.;Ren, J.;Yang, J.Q.;Wang, J.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.161-179
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    • 2015
  • An emergency response system (ERS) for vessel oil spills is a complex and dynamic system comprising a number of subsystems and activities. Failures may occur during the emergency response operations, this has negative impacts on the effectiveness of the ERS. Of the classes of problems in analyzing failures, the lack of quantitative data is fundamental. In fact, most of the empirical data collected via questionnaire survey is subjective in nature and is inevitably associated with uncertainties caused by the human being's inability to provide complete judgement. In addition, incomplete information and/or vagueness of the meaning about the failures add difficulties in evaluating the effectiveness of the system. Therefore this paper proposes a framework to evaluate the ERS effectiveness by using the combination of fuzzy reasoning and evidential synthesis approaches. Based on analyzing the procedure of ERS for oil spills, the failures in the system could be identified, using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to determine the relative weight of identified failures. Fuzzy reasoning combined with evidential synthesis is applied to evaluate the effectiveness of ERS for oil spills under uncertainties last. The proposed method is capable of dealing with uncertainties in data including ignorance and vagueness which traditional methods cannot effectively handle. A case study is used to illustrate the application of the proposed method.

The Effect of Data Size on the k-NN Predictability: Application to Samsung Electronics Stock Market Prediction (데이터 크기에 따른 k-NN의 예측력 연구: 삼성전자주가를 사례로)

  • Chun, Se-Hak
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2019
  • Statistical methods such as moving averages, Kalman filtering, exponential smoothing, regression analysis, and ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) have been used for stock market predictions. However, these statistical methods have not produced superior performances. In recent years, machine learning techniques have been widely used in stock market predictions, including artificial neural network, SVM, and genetic algorithm. In particular, a case-based reasoning method, known as k-nearest neighbor is also widely used for stock price prediction. Case based reasoning retrieves several similar cases from previous cases when a new problem occurs, and combines the class labels of similar cases to create a classification for the new problem. However, case based reasoning has some problems. First, case based reasoning has a tendency to search for a fixed number of neighbors in the observation space and always selects the same number of neighbors rather than the best similar neighbors for the target case. So, case based reasoning may have to take into account more cases even when there are fewer cases applicable depending on the subject. Second, case based reasoning may select neighbors that are far away from the target case. Thus, case based reasoning does not guarantee an optimal pseudo-neighborhood for various target cases, and the predictability can be degraded due to a deviation from the desired similar neighbor. This paper examines how the size of learning data affects stock price predictability through k-nearest neighbor and compares the predictability of k-nearest neighbor with the random walk model according to the size of the learning data and the number of neighbors. In this study, Samsung electronics stock prices were predicted by dividing the learning dataset into two types. For the prediction of next day's closing price, we used four variables: opening value, daily high, daily low, and daily close. In the first experiment, data from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2017 were used for the learning process. In the second experiment, data from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2017 were used for the learning process. The test data is from January 1, 2018 to August 31, 2018 for both experiments. We compared the performance of k-NN with the random walk model using the two learning dataset. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was 1.3497 for the random walk model and 1.3570 for the k-NN for the first experiment when the learning data was small. However, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for the random walk model was 1.3497 and the k-NN was 1.2928 for the second experiment when the learning data was large. These results show that the prediction power when more learning data are used is higher than when less learning data are used. Also, this paper shows that k-NN generally produces a better predictive power than random walk model for larger learning datasets and does not when the learning dataset is relatively small. Future studies need to consider macroeconomic variables related to stock price forecasting including opening price, low price, high price, and closing price. Also, to produce better results, it is recommended that the k-nearest neighbor needs to find nearest neighbors using the second step filtering method considering fundamental economic variables as well as a sufficient amount of learning data.

Quality Design Support System based on Data Mining Approach (데이터 마이닝 기반의 품질설계지원시스템)

  • 지원철
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2003
  • Quality design in practice highly depends on human designer's intuition and past experiences due to lack of formal knowledge about the relationship among 10 variables. This paper represents an data mining approach for developing quality design support system that integrates Case Based Reasoning (CBR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to effectively support all the steps in quality design process. CBR stores design cases in a systematic way and retrieve them quickly and accurately. ANN predicts the resulting quality attributes of design alternatives that are generated from CBR's adaptation process. When the predicted attributes fail to meet the target values, quality design simulation starts to further adapt the alternatives to the customer's new orders. To implement the quality design simulation, this paper suggests (1) the data screening method based on ξ-$\delta$ Ball to obtain the robust ANN models from the large production data bases, (2) the procedure of quality design simulation using ANN and (3) model management system that helps users find the appropriate one from the ANN model base. The integration of CBR and ANN provides quality design engineers the way that produces consistent and reliable design solutions in the remarkably reduced time.

Decision Supporting System for Shadow Mask′s Development Using Rule and Case (Rule과 Case를 활용한 설계 의사결정 지원 시스템)

  • 김민성;진홍기;정사범;손기목;예병진
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.315-322
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    • 2002
  • 최근에 경험적 지식을 체계화하는 방법으로 사례기반추론(CBR: Case Based Reasoning) 및 규칙기반추론(RBR: Rule Based Reasoning)이 여러 분야에서 이용되고 있다. CBR과 RBR이 각각 활용되기도 하지만 문제 해결의 정확성을 높이기 위해 복합된 형태로 사용되기도 하고, 흑은 효과적으로 문제를 해결하기 위해 문제 해결 단계별로 각각 사용되기도 한다 또한 데이터에서 지식을 추출하기 위한 세부 알고리즘으로는 인공지능과 통계적 분석기법 등이 활발하게 연구 및 적용되고 있다. 본 연구는 모니터의 핵심 부품인 섀도우마스크(Shadow Mask)를 개발하는데 있어 도면 협의부터 설계가지의 과정에 CBR과 RBR을 활용하고 발생되는 데이터를 이용하여 진화(Evolution)하는 지식기반시스템(Knowledge Based System)으로 구축하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 특히 도면 협의시 인터넷상에 웹서버 시스템을 통하여 규격 (User Spec.)을 생성하고 이를 이용하여 자동으로 도면이 설계되도록 하고 저장된 사례들을 공유할 수 있도록 하여 도면 검토 시간이 단축되고 검토의 정확성을 기할 수 있어 실패비용을 감소시켰다. 그리고 실제 설계시 CBR과 RBR을 활용하여 자동설계를 할 수 있게 하였고 현장에서 발생되는 데이터를 지식화하여 유사사례 설계가 가능하도록 하였다. 지식기반시스템은 신속한 도면 검토가 가능하므로 인원 활용이 극대화되고, 섀도우 마스크 설계자와 마스터 패턴 설계자 사이의 원활한 의사소통을 통해 고객과의 신뢰성 확보와 신인도 향상을 기대할 수 있는 효과가 있다. 그리고 고급설계자에게만 의지되어온 것을 어느 정도 해결할 수 있고, 신입설계자에게는 훌륭한 교육시스템이 될 수 있다.한 도구임을 입증하였다는 점에서 큰 의의를 갖는다고 하겠다.운 선용품 판매 및 관련 정보 제공 등 해운 거래를 위한 종합적인 서비스가 제공되어야 한다. 이를 위해, 본문에서는 e-Marketplace의 효율적인 연계 방안에 대해 해운 관련 업종별로 제시하고 있다. 리스트 제공형, 중개형, 협력형, 보완형, 정보 연계형 등이 있는데, 이는 해운 분야에서 사이버 해운 거래가 가지는 문제점들을 보완하고 업종간 협업체제를 이루어 원활한 거래를 유도할 것이다. 그리하여 우리나라가 동북아 지역뿐만 아니라 세계적인 해운 국가 및 물류 ·정보 중심지로 성장할 수 있는 여건을 구축하는데 기여할 것이다. 나타내었다.약 1주일간의 포르말린 고정이 끝난 소장 및 대장을 부위별, 별 종양개수 및 분포를 자동영상분석기(Kontron Co. Ltd., Germany)로 분석하였다. 체의 변화, 장기무게, 사료소비량 및 마리당 종양의 개수에 대한 통계학적 유의성 검증을 위하여 Duncan's t-test로 통계처리 하였고, 종양 발생빈도에 대하여는 Likelihood ration Chi-square test로 유의성을 검증하였다. C57BL/6J-Apc$^{min/+}$계 수컷 이형접합체 형질전환 마우스에 AIN-76A 정제사료만을 투여한 대조군의 대장선종의 발생률은 84%(Group 3; 21/25례)로써 I3C 100ppm 및 300ppm을 투여한 경우에 있어서는 각군 모두 60%(Group 1; 12/20 례, Group 2; 15/25 례)로 감소하는 경향을 나타내었다. 대장선종의 마리당 발생개수에 있어서는 C57BL/6J-Apc$^{min/+}$계 수컷 이형접합체 형질전환 마우스에 AIN-76A 정제사료만을 투여한

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