• Title/Summary/Keyword: Case Prediction

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A Study on Life Estimate of Insulation Cable for Image Processing of Electrical Tree (전기트리의 영상처리를 이용한 절연케이블의 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • 정기봉;김형균;김창석;최창주;오무송;김태성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.07a
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    • pp.319-322
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    • 2001
  • The proposed system was composed of pre-processor which was executing binary/high-pass filtering and post-processor which ranged from statistic data to prediction. In post-processor work, step one was filter process of image, step two was image recognition, and step three was destruction degree/time prediction. After these processing, we could predict image of the last destruction timestamp. This research was produced variation value according to growth of tree pattern. This result showed improved correction, when this research was applied image Processing. Pre-processing step of original image had good result binary work after high pass- filter execution. In the case of using partial discharge of the image, our research could predict the last destruction timestamp. By means of experimental data, this Prediction system was acquired ${\pm}$3.2% error range.

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Prediction of ship resistance in level ice based on empirical approach

  • Jeong, Seong-Yeob;Choi, Kyungsik;Kang, Kuk-Jin;Ha, Jung-Seok
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.613-623
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    • 2017
  • A semi-empirical model to predict ship resistance in level ice based on Lindqvist's model is presented. This model assumes that contact between the ship and the ice is a case of symmetrical collision, and two contact cases are considered. Submersion force is calculated via Lindqvist's formula, and the crushing and breaking forces are determined by a concept of energy consideration during ship and ice impact. The effect of the contact coefficient is analyzed in the ice resistance prediction. To validate this model, the predicted results are compared with model test data of USCGC Healy and icebreaker Araon, and full-scale data of the icebreaker KV Svalbard. A relatively good agreement is achieved. As a result, the presented model is recommended for preliminary total resistance prediction in advance of the evaluation of the icebreaking performance of vessels.

A Basic Study on Influential Factors of Building Damages According to Hurricane by Using Correlation Analysis (상관분석을 통한 태풍에 따른 건축물 피해액의 영향인자 도출)

  • Kim, Boo-Young;Yang, Seongpil;Kim, Sangho;Son, Kiyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.05a
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    • pp.164-165
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    • 2014
  • In the case of U.S, various damage prediction models of buildings from natural disasters have been used widely in many organizations such as insurance companies and governments. In South Korea, although studies regarding damage prediction model of hurricane have been conducted, the scope has been only limited to consider the property of hurricane. However, it is necessary to consider various factors such as socio-economic, physical, geographical, and built environmental factors to predict the damages. Therefore, as a basic study on a damage prediction model development of buildings, this study is to analyze the correlation between various factors related to hurricane. The findings of study can be utilized to develop for predicting the damage of hurricane on buildings.

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Development of Material Properties Measurement and Fatigue Life Evaluation System (재료물성치 측정 및 피로수명평가 시스템의 개발)

  • 박종주;서상민;최용식;김영진
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1465-1473
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    • 1994
  • This paper describes the development strategy and contents of a fatigue life evaluation system, FLEVA. The system is composed of 4 parts; material properties, load histories, cycle counting and life prediction. The cycle counting is based on the rain-flow counting method and peak counting method, and the life prediction is performed based on the linear damage rule. Material properties(static, fatigue) are also provided as a database obtained by a computer aided test system. Case study is performed to verify the developed program.

A comparative Study of ARIMA and Neural Network Model;Case study in Korea Corporate Bond Yields

  • Kim, Steven H.;Noh, Hyunju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 1996
  • A traditional approach to the prediction of economic and financial variables takes the form of statistical models to summarize past observations and to project them into the envisioned future. Over the past decade, an increasing number of organizations has turned to the use of neural networks. To date, however, many spheres of interest still lack a systematic evaluation of the statistical and neural approaches. One of these lies in the prediction of corporate bond yields for Korea. This paper reports on a comparative evaluation of ARIMA models and neural networks in the context of interest rate prediction. An additional experiment relates to an integration of the two methods. More specifically, the statistical model serves as a filter by providing estimtes which are then used as input into the neural network models.

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A Study on Stethoscope Signal Analysis for Normal and Heart-diseased Children (정상 및 심질환 소아의 청진음 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.715-720
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    • 2017
  • This study tries to analyze morphology and formant frequencies of linear prediction spectra of stethoscope sounds for heart diseased children. For this object, heart diseased stethoscope sounds were collected in the pediatrics of an university hospital. The collected signals were preprocessed and analyzed by the Burg algorithm, a kind of linear prediction analysis. The linear prediction spectra and the formant frequencies of the spectra for the stethoscope sounds for the normal and the diseased children are estimated and compared. The spectra showed outstanding differences in morphology and formant frequencies between the normal and the diseased children. Normal children showed relatively low frequency of F1(the first formant) and small negative slope from F1. VSD children revealed stiff slope change around F1 to F3. Spectra of ASD children is similar with the normal case, but have negative values of F3. F1-F2 difference of the functional murmur children were relatively large.

Combination Prediction for Nonlinear Time Series Data with Intervention (개입 분석 모형 예측력의 비교분석)

  • 김덕기;김인규;이성덕
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2003
  • Under the case that we know the period and the reason of external events, we reviewed the method of model identification, parameter estimation and model diagnosis with the former papers that have been studied about the linear time series model with intervention, and compared with nonlinear time series model such as ARCH, GARCH model that it has been used widely in economic models, and also we compared with the combination prediction method that Tong(1990) introduced.

A Comparison between predicted and measured values for lateral bearing capacity of PHC pile in weathered Granite soil (화강풍화토 지반에 타입된 PHC 말뚝의 수평지지력에 대한 추정치와 실측치의 비교)

  • 오재화
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.144-150
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    • 2000
  • This study dealt with the comparison of lateral baring capacity for vertical PHC pile between predicted and measured values driven in weathered granite soils to build world cup gymnasium in Kwangju area. Recently, the calculation of horizontal bearing capacity of piles foundation has been considered very important for earthquake or wind resistant design in Korea. During this study , Matlock & Reese, Broms and Chang's methods were selected in prediction of lateral resistant of PHC piles. As for case study, the prediction values were compared with 5 measured ones based on ASTM. The result showed that prediction values proposed by Matlock & Reese , Chang and Broms were smaller that real values. Three proposed methods by Matlock & Reese and Chang based on lateral deflection and Broms by ultimated lateral resistance turned out valid in view of engineering practice.

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Large-Sample Comparisons of Statistical Calibration Procedures When the Standard Measurement is Also Subject to Error: The Replicated Case

  • Lee, Seung-Hoon;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 1988
  • The classicla theory of statistical calibration assumes that the standard measurement is exact. From a realistic point of view, however, this assumption needs to be relaxed so that more meaningful calibration procedures may be developed. This paper presents a model which explicitly considers errors in both standard and nonstandard measurements. Under the assumption that replicated observations are available in the calibration experiment, three estimation techniques (ordinary least squares, grouping least squares, and maximum likelihood estimation) combined with two prediction methods (direct and inverse prediction) are compared in terms of the asymptotic mean square error of prediction.

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Prediction of Highway Traffic Noise-calculation of Sound Attenuation during Propagation (고속도로 교통소음 예측-전달감쇠 산정)

  • 조대승;김진형;최태묵;오정한;김성훈
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.236-242
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents some advanced and supplemental methods to enhance the accuracy In case of calculating geometric divergence attenuation, attenuation by multiple screening structures, ground attenuation at unflat surfaces of sound during propagation outdoors by the methods specified in ISO 9613-2. Moreover, a calculation method for considering short-term wind effect, specified in ASJ Model-1998, is also introduced. To verity the accuracy of adopted methods, we have carried out highway traffic noise prediction and measurement at tile twelve locations appearing representative road shapes and structures, such as flat, retained cut, elevated, barrier-constructed roads. From the results, we have confirmed the predicted results show good correspondence with the measured at direct, diffracted and reflected sound fields within 30 m from the center of near side lane.