• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.19-26
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• 2012

본 논문은 카자흐스탄의 해외직접투자와 경제성장에 관한 연관관계를 연구한다. 이 연구를 위하여 저자들은 먼서 카자흐스탄의 독립이후로 해외직접투자에 영향을 미친 요인들을 조사하고 그들의 영향정도를 파악한다. 다음으로 일인당 GDP대한 일인당 해외직접투자의 영향을 연구한다. 이러한 연구목적을 달성하기 위하여 1992년부터 2009년 사이의 자료를 World Bank Database에서 수집하여 분석하였다. 자료분석은 중회귀분석, 시계열분석 및 Granger Causality Test를 주로 사용하였다. 연구 결과에 의하면 해외직접투자에 영향을 미치는 요소는 GDP 와 economic freedom index로 나타났으며, 경제성장 또한 해외직접 투자에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 특별히, 해외직접투자는 GDP 및 economic freedom index와 양의 상관관계가 있었다. 일인당 GDP에 대한 일인당 해외직접투자의 영향은 일인당 해외직접투자 1달러 증가시 일인당 GDP 30.4달러가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 정책결정자들로 하여금 해외투자를 유치하고 경제성장을 촉진하는 정책결정에 유용한 정보를 제공할 것이다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.377-396
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• 2002

This paper investigates whether an inverted U relationship between pollution and economic development could be found in the Seoul metropolitan region using a panel data for the period of 1985~1999. We uses a model with a more flexible random coefficients specification which allows for a greater degree of regional heterogeneity. The emissions of sulfur dioxidetotal($SO_2$), suspended particulates(TSP), nitrogen dioxide($NO_2$), and carbon monoxide(CO) were selected as four major pollutants. We found that the emissions of these pollutants per capita except sulfur dioxidetotal exhibited inverted U shapes with per capita gross regional domestic product (GRDP). We also noted that the turning points for Seoul metropolitan region occured at a range of incomes, from $3,000 to $5,000 per capita.

• 한국식품조리과학회지
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• 제6권4호통권13호
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• pp.41-50
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• 1990

This study aimed to investigate the change in food balance and dietary patterns, caused by the growth of per capita GNP during $1962{\sim}1987$. For the purpose of this analysis, ordinary least square (OLS) was adopted. Per capita GNP was independent variable and the other factors dependent variables. The other factors included Engel coefficient, food supply, energy supply, nutrient intake and the ratio of self-supply of food. The result revealed that the some variables have (+) correlation, the some variables (-) correlation and the other variables no correlation with per capita GNP. If forecasting models are designed with these results, it will be helpful for national health and nutrition, food balance and disease prevention.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.445-449
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• 2015

Construction industry is one of the most significant sector in national economic, but the portion of construction has been falling regularly with the regional development. In spite of decrease in economic portion, role of construction industry does not changed irrespective of development, as the foundation of development. To distinguish each state of the maturity, countries are grouped on GDP per capita, than compared with variance of GVA in construction and GFCF per GDP as level of construction industry. GVAc% and GFCF% shows corn-shaped plotting in increase of GDP per capita, and each value converge to around 20% and 5% as GDP per capita increase. The definition of maturity is consist of 4 stages; pre-developing, ascending, stabilization, and maturement. Maturity of construction industry is a term of broad sense of construction industry that is easily to figure current state of regional construction and shows what normal condition of construction is in regional economy.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.207-223
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• 1995

A new medical delivery system which regulated outpatient department(OPD) use from tertiary care hospitals was adopted in 1989. Under the new system, patients using tertiary care hospital OPD without referral slip from clinics or hospitals could not get any insurance benefit for the services received from the tertiary care hospital. This study was conducted to evaluate the Patient Referral System(PRS) with respect to health care expenditures and utilization. Two data sets were used in this study. One was monthly data set(from January 1986 to December 1992) from the Annual Report of Korea Medical Insurance Corporation(KMIC). The other was monthly joint data set composed of personal data of which 10% were selected randomly with their utilization data of KMIC from January 1988 to December 1992. The data were analyzed by time-series intervention model of SAS-ETS. The results of this study were as follows: 1. There was no statistically significant changes in per capita expenditures following PRS. 2. Utilization episodes per capita was increased statistically significantly after implementation of PRS. The use of clinics and hospitals increased significantly, whereas in tertiary care hospitals the use decreased significantly immediately after implementation of PRS and increased afterwards. 3. Follow-up visits per episode were decreased statistically significantly after implementation of PRS. The decrease of follow-up visits per episode were remarkable in clinics and hospitals, whereas in tertiary care hospitals it was increased significantly after implementation of PRS. 4. There was no statistically significant changes in prescribing days per episode following PRS. Futhermore, clinics and hospitals showed a statistically significant decrease in prescribing days per episode, whereas in tertiary care hospital it showed statistically significant increase after implementation of PRS. 5. Except high income class, the use of tertiary care hospitals showed statistically significant decrease after implementation of PRS. The degree of decrease in the use of tertiary care hospitals was inversely proportional to income. These results suggest that the PRS policy was not efficient because per capita expenditures did not decrease, and was not effective because utilization episodes per capita, follow-up visits per episode. and prescribing days per episode were not predictable and failed to show proper utilization. It was somewhat positive that utilization episodes per capita were decreased temporarily in tertiary care hospitals. And PRS policy was not appropriate because utilization episodes per capita was different among income groups. In conclusion, the PRS should be revised for initial goal attainment of cost containment and proper health care utilization.

• 한국인구학
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.27-54
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• 2008

본 논문은 최근 출산율 저하와 인구고령화로 인한 성장잠재력의 저하에 대한 우려가 높아지고 있는 상황에서 성장잠재력을 제고하는 정책의 성공 여부는 인적자본의 양적.질적 제고를 통한 생산성 향상에 달려 있음으로 파악하고, 인구구조의 변화, 노동시장 조건의 변화 및 노동생산성의 변화 등이 잠재성장률에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 이를 위해 성장회계 접근방식을 이용하여 1인당 GDP 증가율을 인구구조의 변화에 따른 부양비의 변화와 노동투입 요소의 양적.질적 부분의 변화로 분해하였다. 우선, 노동투입의 양적인 변화는 고용률과 근로시간의 변화에 기초하여 시산하였으며, 노동투입의 질적인 변화는 인적자본에 대한 투자가 노동생산성에 미치는 영향을 감안하였다. 또한 출산율과 여성고용을 제고하는 정책효과를 분석하기 위해 출산율과 여성의 고용률을 주요 정책변수로 한 정책시뮬레이션을 하였다. 1인당 GDP 증가율의 베이스라인 전망결과는 2010년까지 연평균 4%대 중반의 성장률을 보이다가, 2020년대에는 3.94%, 2030년대에는 3.03%, 2040년대에는 2.41%로 서서히 감소할 것으로 나타났다. 또한 출산율 제고에 따른 성장률 효과는 2030년을 지나서 반영이 되며, 고출산율 시나리오 (2030년 이후 합계출산율이 1.57명으로 유지)의 경우 베이스라인보다 2030년대 이후 연평균 약 0.10%p 높은 1인당 GDP 성장률을 보일 것으로 전망되었다. 한편, 여성고용률이 제고되는 시나리오(2025년 이후 $25{\sim}54$세 여성의 고용률이 74.5%로 상승)의 경우 베이스라인보다 2050년까지 연평균 0.04%p 높은 1인당 GDP 성장률을 보일 것으로 전망되었다. 본 연구는 양적인 노동투입의 효과만으로는 성장잠재력에 미치는 영향이 그다지 크지 않으며, 궁극적으로 노동생산성의 향상과 같은 질적인 요소의 증대가 성장잠재력 확충에 중요한 대안이 됨을 알려 주고 있다.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.49-76
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• 1994

Small area variations in health care utilization have long been studied as an important issue related to boto cost containment and quality assurance. This study was conducted to investigate if variations in hospital services across small geographic areas in Korea existed. The claims data of the fiscal year 1992 obtained from the regional health insurance societies were used for the study. Main findings of the research can be summarized as follows : 1. Extremal Quotients(EQ) of hospital expenditure per capita and hospital days per capita varied among diagnosis types. The EQ ranged from 2.05(cataract) to 41.67(pneumonia) in hospital expenditure per capita and from 1.86(cataract) to 45.89(pneumonia) in hospital days per capita. The diagnosis groups which showed high variation were pneumonia, cephalo-pelvic disproportion, gastritis and duodenitis, fracture of rib, and acute bronchitis. Those which showed low variation were acute appendicitis and cataract. 2. The EQ level of admission rate was different in terms of diagnosis types, ranging from 2.57(catarct) to 44.45(pneumonia). The variations were high in medical disorders such as pneumonia, oephalo-pelvic disproportion, gastritis and duodenitis and acute bronchitis, while relatively low in surgical conditions such as acute appendicitis and cataract. 3. As an indicator of service intensity, the EQ of expenditure per admission ranged from 1.67(acute appendicitis) to 31.27(essential hypertension). The diagnoses which had high variation were essential hypertension, gastric ulcer, whereas those which had low variation were cephalopelvic disproportion and acute appendicitis. With regard to hospital days per admission, the EQ ranged from 1.55(acute appendicitis) to 28.13(gastric ulcer) by diagnosis types. The diagnosis groups with showed high variation were gastric ulcer, essential hypertension, and acute bronchitis, whereas those with low variation were cephalo-pelvic disproportion, intervertebral disc disorders, and acute appendicitis. Both the expenditure and hospital days per admission showed lewwer variations than the expenditure per capita, hospital days per capita and admission rate. 4. Comparing patterns of variation in utilization indices, diagnoses such as essential hypertension, gastric ulcer, fracture of rib showed higher variations in expenditure per admission than in admission rates, whereas diagnoses such as pneumonia, cephalo-pelvic disproportion and gastric ulcer showed higher variations in admission rate than expenditure per admission. These findings suggest that wide variations existed in several diagnoses groups across small areas in Korea. Further research should be performed to investigate factors related to small area variations including provider behavior.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.363-377
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• 2018

The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.221-228
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• 2015

In this research traditional Buddhist dietary life style was studied as an alternative for both saving water and decreasing water pollution from household. A traditional dietary life style for the Buddhist monks, called Balwoo Gongyang, and its modernized one for citizens, called Dish Gongyang were examined with water use amount, wastewater quality and pollutant loading rate, and were compared with the kitchen wastewater from household. And several types of natural detergent were also examined to compare their effect on the wastewater quality and pollutant loading rate. This research was carried out using the wastewater from Balwoo and Dish Gongyang in J building located in Seoul. Wastewater generation from Balwoo Gongyang that was about $1.0{\ell}$/capita/day was very low compare to that from dish washing in normal household($32.6{\ell}$/capita/day). In case of Dish Gongyang, water generation was 1.8 times higher than that from Balwoo Gongyang, but it was just 1/19.2 of normal household. When the wastewater quality of Balwoo Gongyang was compared with the kitchen wastewater of normal household, SS was 1/16($15mg/{\ell}$), COD was 1/7($22.1mg/{\ell}$), BOD was 1/9($24.1mg/{\ell}$) and T-N was 1/16($1.7mg/{\ell}$). Pollutant loading rate from Balwoo Gongyang was very low, COD 18.0 mg/capita/day, SS 12.3 mg/capita/day and it was 1/290, 1/639 of that from dish washing wastewater from normal household, respectively. Pollutant loading rate from Dish Gongyang was also low 1/13(SS)~1/144(TN) compared to dish washing wastewater from normal household. As a natural detergent, used water from washing rice showed very low pollutant loading rate. It was concluded that Dish Gongyang that was a modernized and simplified dietary life style of Balwoo Gongyang, was very eco-friendly. Especially when it was combined with natural detergents using by-product from cooking process, its effect on the water pollution was very low.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.307-318
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• 2016

본 연구는 도시화가 1인당 탄소 배출에 미치는 영향을 도시화와 소득 수준 간의 교호 작용을 중심으로 분석하였다. 이를 위해 84개 국가에 대한 패널 자료를 고정효과 모형을 통해 회귀분석하고 동시에 Pooled LS 모형 및 패널 GLS 모형과도 비교하였다. 그 결과 1인당 탄소배출과 도시화는 비선형적 관계를 이루는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 저소득 국가에서 도시로의 인구 집중이 1인당 탄소 배출을 증가시키는 반면, 고소득 국가에서는 오히려 반대의 효과가 나타났다. 이러한 본 연구의 결과는 도시의 압축성(compactness)과 에너지 소비 패턴에 대한 논의로 확장할 수 있으며, 이를 통해 지속가능한 도시개발을 위한 연구와 정책 개발의 토대를 제공할 수 있다.