• Title/Summary/Keyword: CESM

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Contrast-Enhanced Spectral Mammography Versus Ultrasonography: Diagnostic Performance in Symptomatic Patients with Dense Breasts

  • Zhongfei Lu;Cuijuan Hao;Yan Pan;Ning Mao;Xin Wang;Xundi Yin
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.442-449
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    • 2020
  • Objective: To compare the diagnostic performance of contrast-enhanced spectral mammography (CESM) versus ultrasonography (US) in symptomatic patients with dense breasts, while using histology as the gold standard. Materials and Methods: After obtaining approval from the local ethics board, this prospective study collected data from patients with symptomatic breasts who underwent CESM and US examinations from May 1, 2017 to September 30, 2017. We then selected those with dense breasts and pathological results as our sample population. Both CESM and US results were classified by a radiologist through the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System, and the results were compared with their corresponding histological results. The chi-square test was conducted to compare the diagnostic performance of CESM and US, and the receiver operating characteristic curves for the two imaging modalities were obtained. Results: A total of 131 lesions from 115 patients with dense breasts were included in this study. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy were 93.8%, 88.1%, 88.2%, 93.7%, and 90.8% for CESM, and 90.6%, 82.1%, 82.9%, 90.2%, and 86.3% for US, respectively. The p values for sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy were 0.687, 0.388, 0.370, 0.702, and 0.238, respectively. The area under the curve of CESM (0.917) was comparable with that of US (0.884); however, the differences between CESM and US were not statistically significant (p = 0.225). Eight false-positive cases and 4 false-negative cases for breast cancer were found in CESM, while 12 false-positive cases and 6 false-negative cases were found in US. Conclusion: The diagnostic performances of CESM and US are comparable in symptomatic women with dense breasts; however, the routine use of additional US imaging is questionable for lesions that can be detected by CESM.

Application of the WRF Model for Dynamical Downscaling of Climate Projections from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) (WRF V3.3 모형을 활용한 CESM 기후 모형의 역학적 상세화)

  • Seo, Jihyun;Shim, Changsub;Hong, Jiyoun;Kang, Sungdae;Moon, Nankyoung;Hwang, Yun Seop
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2013
  • The climate projection with a high spatial resolution is required for the studies on regional climate changes. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has provided downscaled RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios over Korea with 1 km spatial resolution. If there are additional climate projections produced by dynamically downscale, the quality of impacts and vulnerability assessments of Korea would be improved with uncertainty information. This technical note intends to instruct the methods to downscale the climate projections dynamically from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. In particular, here we focus on the instruction to utilize CAM2WRF, a sub-program to link output of CESM to initial and boundary condition of WRF at Linux platform. We also provide the example of the dynamically downscaled results over Korean Peninsula with 50 km spatial resolution for August, 2020. This instruction can be helpful to utilize global scale climate scenarios for studying regional climate change over Korean peninsula with further validation and uncertainty/bias analysis.

Performance Improvement of Cumulus Parameterization Code by Unicon Optimization Scheme (Unicon Optimization 기법을 이용한 적운모수화 코드 성능 향상)

  • Lee, Chang-Hyun;kim, Min-gyu;Shin, Dae-Yeong;Cho, Ye-Rin;Yeom, Gi-Hun;Chung, Sung-Wook
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.124-133
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    • 2022
  • With the development of hardware technology and the advancement of numerical model methods, more precise weather forecasts can be carried out. In this paper, we propose a Unicon Optimization scheme combining Loop Vectorization, Dependency Vectorization, and Code Modernization to optimize and increase Maintainability the Unicon source contained in SCAM, a simplified version of CESM, and present an overall SCAM structure. This paper tested the unicorn optimization scheme in the SCAM structure, and compared to the existing source code, the loop vectorization resulted in a performance improvement of 3.086% and the dependency vectorization of 0.4572%. And in the case of Unicorn Optimization, which applied all of these, the performance improvement was 3.457% compared to the existing source code. This proves that the Unicorn Optimization technique proposed in this paper provides excellent performance.

Performance Improvements of SCAM Climate Model using LAPACK BLAS Library (SCAM 기상모델의 성능향상을 위한 LAPACK BLAS 라이브러리의 활용)

  • Dae-Yeong Shin;Ye-Rin Cho;Sung-Wook Chung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2023
  • With the development of supercomputing technology and hardware technology, numerical computation methods are also being advanced. Accordingly, improved weather prediction becomes possible. In this paper, we propose to apply the LAPACK(Linear Algebra PACKage) BLAS(Basic Linear Algebra Subprograms) library to the linear algebraic numerical computation part within the source code to improve the performance of the cumulative parametric code, Unicon(A Unified Convection Scheme), which is included in SCAM(Single-Columns Atmospheric Model, simplified version of CESM(Community Earth System Model)) and performs standby operations. In order to analyze this, an overall execution structure diagram of SCAM was presented and a test was conducted in the relevant execution environment. Compared to the existing source code, the SCOPY function achieved 0.4053% performance improvement, the DSCAL function 0.7812%, and the DDOT function 0.0469%, and all of them showed a 0.8537% performance improvement. This means that the LAPACK BLAS application method, a library for high-density linear algebra operations proposed in this paper, can improve performance without additional hardware intervention in the same CPU environment.

Evaluation of the future agricultural drought severity of South Korea by using reservoir drought index (RDI) and climate change scenarios (저수지 가뭄지수와 기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 우리나라 미래 농업가뭄 평가)

  • Kim, Jin Uk;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.381-395
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to predict agricultural reservoir storage rate (RSR) in a month. This algorithm was developed by multiple linear regression model (MLRM) which included the past 3 months RSRs data and the future climate change scenarios. In order to improve use of predicted RSR, this study need the severe criteria in terms of drought. So, the predicted RSR was indexed as the 3 months reservoir drought index (RDI3) and then it was disaggregated into drought duration, severity, and intensity. For the future RSR estimation by climate change scenarios, the 6 RCP 8.5 scenarios of HadGEM2-ES, CESM1-BGC, MPI-ESM-MR, INM-CM4, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA were used in three future evaluation periods (S1: 2011~2040, S2: 2041~2070, S3: 2071~2099). The future S3 period of HadGEM2-ES scenario which has the biggest increase in precipitation and temperature showed the largest decrease to 60.2% among the 6 scenarios compared to the historical RSR (1976~2005) 77.3%. In contrast, INM-CM4 scenario which has smallest changes in precipitation and temperature in S3 period showed the smallest decrease to 72.8%. For the CESM1-BGC and MPI-ESM-MR, FGOALS-s2, and HadGEM3-RA, the S3 period RSR showed 72.6%, 72.6%, 67.4%, and 64.5% decrease respectively. The future severe drought condition of RDI3 below -0.25 showed the increase trend for the number and severity up to -2.0 during S3 period.

Analysis of extreme cases of climate change impact on watershed hydrology and flow duration in Geum river basin using SWAT and STARDEX (SWAT과 STARDEX를 이용한 극한 기후변화 사상에 따른 금강유역의 수문 및 유황분석)

  • Kim, Yong Won;Lee, Ji Wan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.10
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    • pp.905-916
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the climate change impact on watershed hydrology and flow duration in Geum River basin ($9,645.5km^2$) especially by extreme scenarios. The rainfall related extreme index, STARDEX (STAtistical and Regional dynamical Downscaling of EXtremes) was adopted to select the future extreme scenario from the 10 GCMs with RCP 8.5 scenarios by four projection periods (Historical: 1975~2005, 2020s: 2011~2040, 2050s: 2041~2070, 2080s: 2071~2100). As a result, the 5 scenarios of wet (CESM1-BGC and HadGEM2-ES), normal (MPI-ESM-MR), and dry (INM-CM4 and FGOALS-s2) were selected and applied to SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) hydrological model. The wet scenarios showed big differences comparing with the normal scenario in 2080s period. The 2080s evapotranspiration (ET) of wet scenarios varied from -3.2 to +3.1 mm, the 2080s total runoff (TR) varied from +5.5 to +128.4 mm. The dry scenarios showed big differences comparing with the normal scenario in 2020s period. The 2020s ET for dry scenarios varied from -16.8 to -13.3 mm and the TR varied from -264.0 to -132.3 mm respectively. For the flow duration change, the CFR (coefficient of flow regime, Q10/Q355) was altered from +4.2 to +10.5 for 2080s wet scenarios and from +1.7 to +2.6 for 2020s dry scenarios. As a result of the flow duration analysis according to the change of the hydrological factors of the Geum River basin applying the extreme climate change scenario, INM-CM4 showed suitable scenario to show extreme dry condition and FGOALS-s2 showed suitable scenario for the analysis of the drought condition with large flow duration variability. HadGEM2-ES was evaluated as a scenario that can be used for maximum flow analysis because the flow duration variability was small and CESM1-BGC was evaluated as a scenario that can be applied to the case of extreme flood analysis with large flow duration variability.

Simulation Assessment of GCM Model in Case of Daily Precipitation and Temperature (일 강우량 및 기온 자료의 모의를 위한 GCM 모형의 평가)

  • Son, Minwoo;Byun, Jisun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.307-307
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    • 2019
  • General Ciculation Model (GCM) 모형에 대한 평가를 본 연구에서 수행한다. 모형의 적용을 위해서는 국지적 일 강우량 및 기온자료를 이용한다. 31개의 GCM 모의를 통해 도출되는 결과가 성능 평가에서 활용되었다. 일 최대, 최소 기온와 강우량이 파키스탄 지역을 대상으로 모의되었다. 모의를 위해서는 Gridded 데이터가 적용되었으며 각각 Asian Precipitation-Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Toward Evaluation, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Princeton Global Meteorological Forcing, Climate Prediction Centre에 해당된다. GCM의 순위를 결정하기 위해서는 Symmetrical Uncertainty 방법이 이용된다. 결과를 통해서 Gridded 데이터의 종류에 따라 가장 높은 효율을 나타내는 GCM의 공간 분포가 달라진다는 점을 확인하였다. 이러한 특성은 기온과 강우량 자료 모두에서 확인된다. 기온의 경우에는 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, Australia-MK3-6-0과 Max Planck Institute-ESM-LR이 우수한 결과를 모의하는 것으로 나타났다. 반면 강우량의 경우에는 EC-Earth와 MIROC가 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 파키스탄 지역에서의 기온 및 강우량 자료의 합리적 반영을 위해서는 ACCESS1-3, CESM1-BGC, CMCC-CM, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, MIRCO5와 같은 6개 GCM을 이용하였을 때 다양한 기상 인자를 고려한 모의가 가능한 것으로 평가된다.

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Assessment of CMIP5 GCMs for future extreme drought analysis (미래 극한 가뭄 전망을 위한 CMIP5 GCMs 평가)

  • Hong, Hyun-Pyo;Park, Seo-Yeon;Kim, Tae-Woong;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.7
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    • pp.617-627
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    • 2018
  • In this study, CMIP5 GCMs rainfall data (2011~2099) based on RCP scenarios were used to analyze the extreme drought evaluation for the future period. For prospective drought assessment, historical observations were used based on the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data (1976~2010) of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Through the analysis of various indicators, such as average annual rainfall, rainy days, drought spell, and average drought severity was carried out for the drought evaluation of the five major river basins (Han river, Nakdong river, Geum river, Sumjin river, and Youngsan river) over the Korean peninsula. The GCMs that predicted the most severe future droughts are CMCC-CMS, IPSL-CM5A-LR and IPSL-CM5A-MR. Moderate future droughts were predicted from HadGEM2-CC, CMCC-CM and HadGEM2-ES. GCMs with relatively weak future drought forecasts were selected as CESM1-CAM5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM and CanESM2. The results of this study might be used as a fundamental data to choose a reasonable climate change scenario in future extreme drought evaluation.

Assessing Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change in the Mankyung Watershed with Different GCM Spatial Downscaling Methods (GCM 공간상세화 방법별 기후변화에 따른 수문영향 평가 - 만경강 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Jang, Taeil;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.6
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate hydrologic impacts of climate change according to downscaling methods using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model at watershed scale. We used the APCC Integrated Modeling Solution (AIMS) for assessing various General Circulation Models (GCMs) and downscaling methods. AIMS provides three downscaling methods: 1) BCSA (Bias-Correction & Stochastic Analogue), 2) Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM), 3) SDQDM (Spatial Disaggregation and Quantile Delta Mapping). To assess future hydrologic responses of climate change, we adopted three GCMs: CESM1-BGC for flood, MIROC-ESM for drought, and HadGEM2-AO for Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) national standard scenario. Combined nine climate change scenarios were assessed by Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). SWAT model was established at the Mankyung watershed and the applicability assessment was completed by performing calibration and validation from 2008 to 2017. Historical reproducibility results from BCSA, SQM, SDQDM of three GCMs show different patterns on annual precipitation, maximum temperature, and four selected ETCCDI. BCSA and SQM showed high historical reproducibility compared with the observed data, however SDQDM was underestimated, possibly due to the uncertainty of future climate data. Future hydrologic responses presented greater variability in SQM and relatively less variability in BCSA and SDQDM. This study implies that reasonable selection of GCMs and downscaling methods considering research objective is important and necessary to minimize uncertainty of climate change scenarios.

Performance Improvement of SCAM Climate Model using PGI Compiler with OpenACC (SCAM 기상모델의 성능향상을 위한 PGI Compiler의 OpenACC 활용)

  • Lee, Chang-Hyun;Kang, Bol-Kyung;Chung, Sung-Wook
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2022
  • With the development of high-performance computing technology and the advancement of numerical model, it is possible to predict the better weather forecasting. The purpose of this paper is the performance improvement for the SCAM climate model for the model running time excluding the compilation time. Therefore, the model previously performed using the Intel Fortran Compiler was changed to PGI Fortran Compiler. To this end, we reconfigure system environment variables, reset compilation options, install dependencies SW and library, and modify source code. In addition, we proposed and applied the 'PGI Compile with OpenACC' method. As a result, when the compiler was changed from intel to PGI, it led to an improvement of 6.08% in running time and when the openACC method was applied, it led to an improvement of 43.05% in running time. This demonstrates that the PGI Compile with OpenACC method proposed in this paper leads to excellent performance.