• Title/Summary/Keyword: CDM2.0

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The Application and Evaluation of Atmospheric Dispersion Models in Pusan Area - Based on TCM2, CDM2.0, ISCLT2 - (부산지역에서의 대기확산모델의 적용 및 평가 -TCM2, CDM2.0, ISCLT2 모델을 중심으로)

  • 방종선;김유근
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.699-712
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    • 1996
  • For the efficient control of atmospheric quality, it is so important to predict the influence accurately of which the air pollutant emitted into the atmosphere. Atmospheric dispersion model enables to simulate and grasp the atmospheric condition occurred due to the emission of pollutants. The result of model is largely affected by the amount of emission, the characteristics of physical and chemical process, meteorological input data, and the receptor which the concentration is calculated. The aim of this research, therefore, is to suggest more suitable model in Pusan area than other areas by performing TCM2, CDM2.0 and ISCLT2 models. As the basic work for executing the model, we computed the amount of emission of air pollutants in Pusan at 1992 and analyzed the occurrence frequency of atmospheric stability for recent decade(1985~19941, CDM2.0 showed the similar result relatively with observed value in the case of full year(1992), fall and winter, and ISCLT2 brought more suitable result in spring for Pusan area. As the result of this research, in future, it is necessary for us to develop the numerical model considering the topographical characteristics, to select the proper observation site and to increase the observation site for Pusan.

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Predicting the success of CDM Registration for Hydropower Projects using Logistic Regression and CART (로그 회귀분석 및 CART를 활용한 수력사업의 CDM 승인여부 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Ho;Koo, Bonsang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2015
  • The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is the multi-lateral 'cap and trade' system endorsed by the Kyoto Protocol. CDM allows developed (Annex I) countries to buy CER credits from New and Renewable (NE) projects of non-Annex countries, to meet their carbon reduction requirements. This in effect subsidizes and promotes NE projects in developing countries, ultimately reducing global greenhouse gases (GHG). To be registered as a CDM project, the project must prove 'additionality,' which depends on numerous factors including the adopted technology, baseline methodology, emission reductions, and the project's internal rate of return. This makes it difficult to determine ex ante a project's acceptance as a CDM approved project, and entails sunk costs and even project cancellation to its project stakeholders. Focusing on hydro power projects and employing UNFCCC public data, this research developed a prediction model using logistic regression and CART to determine the likelihood of approval as a CDM project. The AUC for the logistic regression and CART model was 0.7674 and 0.7231 respectively, which proves the model's prediction accuracy. More importantly, results indicate that the emission reduction amount, MW per hour, investment/Emission as crucial variables, whereas the baseline methodology and technology types were insignificant. This demonstrates that at least for hydro power projects, the specific technology is not as important as the amount of emission reductions and relatively small scale projects and investment to carbon reduction ratios.

A Study on the Development of Air Pollution Dispersion Model for Personal Computer (特定地域의 大氣汚染 擴散모델 開發에 關한 硏究)

  • 송기유;임흥재;윤명희
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 1986
  • This study was performed to develop a long-term air pollution dispersion model based on CDM program for use in the personal computer. The model CDM.PC, developmented for use of this study, simplified the plum equation of point pollution source in a windy state and sindless state. We used the classified 8 class stability, 16 wind direction and 4 class wind speed for the computer input climatological data. The plum rise equation is applied for CONCAWE's equation above 2,000 Kcal/sec of the exhaust calorie and Moses-Carson's equation below 2,000Kcal/sec at windy state, and Brigg's equation at calm. The time required is 200 minutes for drawing the air pollution contour for treating ten stacks under the above-stated conditions. It is the weakness of using personal computer that the operation time is longer than a large-size computer. But it strength is that the personal computer is used widely. To compare the treatment results of CDM.PC with TCM, we comfirmed that the shape of $SO_2$ pollution contour is similar but the concentration distribution is quite different because of characteristics of each models. Estimated and measured $SO_2$ concentration were similar, namely, Cest/Cob ratio of CDM.PC and TCM were respectively $0.96 \pm 0.25 (mean\pmS.D)$ and $1.08\pm0.26$.

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Transitional Dark Energy - A solution to the H0 tension

  • Keeley, Ryan
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.59.2-59.2
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    • 2019
  • In this talk, I will explain the implications of a rapid appearance of dark energy between the redshifts ($z$) of one and two on the expansion rate and growth of perturbations. Using both Gaussian process regression and a parametric model, I show that this is the preferred solution to the current set of low-redshift ($z<3$) distance measurements if $H_0=73~\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}$ to within 1\% and the high-redshift expansion history is unchanged from the $\Lambda$CDM inference by the Planck satellite. Dark energy was effectively non-existent around $z=2$, but its density is close to the $\Lambda$CDM model value today, with an equation of state greater than $-1$ at $z<0.5$. If sources of clustering other than matter are negligible, we show that this expansion history leads to slower growth of perturbations at $z<1$, compared to $\Lambda$CDM, that is measurable by upcoming surveys and can alleviate the $\sigma_8$ tension between the Planck CMB temperature and low-redshift probes of the large-scale structure.

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A Study on Greenhouse Gas Removals Estimation of a Small Scale Afforestation/reforestation CDM Pilot Project in Goseong, Gangwon Province (강원도 고성군 소규모 신규조림/재조림 CDM 시범사업의 온실가스 감축량 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Lee, Sue Kyoung;Noh, Nam Jin;Yoon, Tae Kyung;Han, Saerom;Cui, Guishan;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Son, Yowhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.3
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    • pp.398-406
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    • 2013
  • Afforestation/reforestation (A/R) clean development mechanism (CDM) is the only forestry-based activities allowed under the Kyoto protocol. This study was conducted to develop a methodology to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) removals of a small scale A/R CDM pilot project in Goseong, Gangwon Province, Korea. AR-AMS0001 was applied as a methodology and selected tree species were Pinus koraiensis, Larix kaempferi, and Betula platyphylla for total area of 75.0 ha. To improve the accuracy on the GHG removals estimation, selection of the baseline scenario and carbon pools and stratification of the project site were conducted. Based on the developed methodology, net anthropogenic GHG removals were estimated as actual net GHG removals, subtracted by baseline net greenhouse gas removals and leakage. As a result, anthropogenic GHG removals of the project were 12,415 ton $CO_2-e$ and 165.5 ton $CO_2-e/ha$. This project is the first A/R CDM in domestic site and could enhance the technical accuracy of the GHG removals estimation by using countryspecific data reflecting the site condition.

The Study on CDM Project of Ligneous Biomass Co-fired in Coal Thermal Power Plant (석탄화력에서 목질계 바이오매스의 혼소시 CDM 사업 연구)

  • Jeong, Nam-Young;Kim, Lae-Hyun
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2011
  • Ligneous biomass such as wood pellet is characterized as carbon neutral which has no carbon dioxide emission ; additionally, it can be used as an alternative fuel by co-firing without additional plant reformation as well as for maintaining stability of fuel supply. We can develop CDM project while co-firing by using biomass into conventional coal fired thermal power plant with AM0085 CDM methodology, and it's possible to prove additionality as fuel cost per kWh is higher than bituminous. The study shows that the electricity by biomass can reduce green house emission by $0.6737tCO_2$ per MWh.

Development on the Methodology of CDM Projects in the SF6 Recovery and Recycling of Electrical Equipment (전력설비에서의 SF6 회수 및 재활용 CDM 방법론 개발)

  • Pyo, Jeong-Gwan;Sa, Jae-Hwan;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2011
  • Projects applying the CDM methodology AM0035 of the $SF_6$ Emission Reductions in Electrical Grids should provide direct monitoring of all the key parameters that are related to estimation of baseline and project emissions including detailed explanations of key operating conditions and procedures, and an explanation addressing uncertainty as the result of EB meeting 41. Through this study, recovery ratio during maintenance, purity of $SF_6$ before and after disposal, replacing, loss rate of $SF_6$ before and after reclamation, leakage emission from electricity consumption and fossil fuel combustion, considered conservatively the key parameter of various monitoring. Consequently, confirmed the reduction in the amount of reduction due to the baseline emission decrease, project emission increase.

A Study on the Validation of Long-Term Dispersion Models (장기예측모델의 정합도 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 송동웅;김원만
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.150-155
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    • 1991
  • The Gaussian models were selected as the reference models for the study. During the study of the model verification in the Ulsan Industrial Complex, the accuracy and limitation of models were assessed. The correlation coefficients of the observed and the predicted values for CDM 2.0 and TCM2B were ranged from 0.57 to 0.73 and from 0.72 to 0.86, respectively. And there were relatively large discrepancies between the predicted and predicted and the measured concentrations for several locations. Therefore, the Gaussian models should be used with careful discretion to apply the urban area in Korea.

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Constraints on Cosmological Models from the Large-Scale Velocity Field

  • Doh, Jean-Gyung;Park, Changbom-;Chun, Mun-Suk
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 1993.04a
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    • pp.16-16
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    • 1993
  • The Cosmic Mach number M is the ratio of the bulk flow velocity of the galaxrvelocity field on some scale R to the unall scale velocity dispersion within refcions of scale R. Because M is the ratio of two velocities, it is inn-dimansionat and the Here, independent of the amplitude of the power specHim and of the biasplnmeter in the linear theory. We have measured the Mach rnlmber for two observational samples: a spiral galaxy sample(AHM) of Aaronson and hiscoBlaborators with absolute distances measured by the infrared Ttillr-Fisher relatioa and an elliptical galaxy sample(EGALS) of Faber or 0, with distances determined by the relation. The effective depths distances of galaxies from the Local Group of these samples are 1639 km/s and 2862 e/s, respectivelr. The Machnumbers from these observed peculiar velocity Selds He fund as M=0.95 for AHMand M=0.59 for EGALS. We comPBre these calculated Mach numbers with thosefrom meck surweys drawn fuom three cosnulogical medels: the stand8rd biased nh=0.5 CDM modet an open CDM rrudel with gh=0.2, and a medd with thepower-law power specelm P(k)-k-1 and n=1. The Mach rnlmber test can give robust constraints on these cosmelogical nudels whose power spectra have very different shapes at large scales.

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Optimal Issuance Price of Carbon Credits in the Energy Industry (에너지산업 분야 탄소배출권의 적정 발행가격 분석)

  • Sungsoo Lim
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the optimal level of CER issuance price in the energy industry was estimated using a real options considering the uncertainty of emission price. As a result of the analysis, the break-even point for CDM projects in the energy industry registered by UNFCCC from December 2012 to the end of 2021 was 0.64-36.69 euros per ton of CO2 for each individual project. More closely, the emission permit price that reaches the break-even point when NPVw/o CER+ NPVCER ≥ 0 is estimated to be 12.10 euros on average, and the emission permit price that reaches the break-even point when NPVw/o CER + NPVCER ≥ option value is estimated to be 12.63 euros on average. Meanwhile, the option value using real options to reduce business uncertainty is about 19% at the 1-5 euro per ton level, about 11% at the 5-10 euro per ton level, and about 5% at the 10-15 euro per ton level. It was analyzed that there was an effect of increasing emissions prices due to uncertainty reduction. The results of this study may be useful to greenhouse gas reduction project entities, including investors, project operators, and companies with potential mandatory reductions.