• 수산해양교육연구
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.333-342
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• 2017

In this study, we studied and analyzed 3,751 ships regarding detention list of Tokyo MOU from 2013 to 2015 total for 36 months. The Member Authorities of the MOU has 20 committee consists of Korea and Peru joined in 2015. 1,250 ships in a year and 140 ships in a month are granted PSC Action Code-30 corresponding to detention. Averagely, 30,943 ships in a year and 2,579 ships have been received PSC inspection. Additionally, according to this PSC inspection, rate of Detention reaches to 4.04%. When it comes to Korean Flag Ships however, the number of Detention ships of Tokyo MOU has been rather increased from 3 ships in 2013 to 18 ships during 2years. Furthermore, MOU in the all over the world, the number of ships had Detention has largely increased from 5 ships to 9 up-to 19ships. The number of Detention Ships has been reached to 44.8% of 1~2 days period of Detentions, under 3~10 days period of Detentions reaches to 34.7% and over 10 days detention reaches 10.3%, which cause economically enormous loss. Continually, each MOU has been implemented Concentrated Inspection Campaign(CIC) annually. Each MOU including Tokyo MOU implemented "Crew Familiarization for Enclosed Space Entry" for 3 month from september, and During this period, Concentrated Inspection were carried out to 8,429 ships of Tokyo MOU. Accordingly, If ships and owners can get the information of CIC and deliver the information to the ship, then Ships can minimize the rate of Detention by thoroughly preparing for PSC Inspection. In addition, Bulk Carrier and General Cargo ship occupy 50% of rate of Detention and it shows that majority of list among Nature of Deficiencies are identical. Finally, If we can obtain the information of the ships inspected previously, We can reduce the number of detention by preparing for PSC inspection. And this will be able to contribute to shipping industry also.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.523-531
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• 2011

급속한 세계화와 블록경제체제는 한 일간의 교역을 크게 확대시켜 취급품목도 경공업분야로부터 중공업분야까지 다양하게 증대되었다. 이러한 국제교역의 확대는 원활한 운송시스템을 필요하게 되었고, 특히 한 일간 기계류나 호화 요트와 같은 특수화물에 대한 운송수요로 카-훼리 국제복합운송체제가 발전하게 되었다. 카-훼리 국제복합운송은 "문전에서 문전까지"라는 하주의 욕구를 충족시켜 주지만 그로 인해 불명손해의 클레임을 야기시킨다. 본 논문의 목적은 한 일간 카-훼리 국제복합운송에 따른 불명손해의 원인과 문제점을 규명하여 합리적인 책임배분에 의한 대응방안을 모색해 한 일간 카-훼리 국제복합운송의 지속적인 발전을 도모함에 있다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.57-66
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• 2018

해운산업은 파생적 수요의 특성으로 대외적 요인에 영향을 크게 받는다. 하지만, 공급 측면은 이러한 수요의 변화에 즉각적으로 대응할 수 없는 특성 때문에 해운산업은 호황과 불황을 거듭하게 된다. 그러므로 정부는 이러한 상황에 대응하기 위해 조기경보모형을 구축해 시장을 모니터링하고 다가올 위험을 예측하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 신호접근법을 사용해 조기경보모형을 구축하였으며, 위기지수는 BDI를 사용해 정의하였으며 금융, 경제, 선박 등 다양한 선행지수를 활용해 종합선행지수를 도출하였다. 그 결과, 종합선행지수가 해운분야의 실제 위기지수와 비교해 4개월의 시차를 두고 높은 상관관계를 보였고, QPS(Quadratic Probability Score)가 0.37로 정확도가 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.385-391
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• 2022

본 연구에서는 수요 및 공급요인 외 해상운임에 영향을 주는 다양한 변수들을 발굴하고자 다변량 시계열분석을 수행해 보았다. 우선 종속변수에는 해상운임을 대용할 변수로 Shipping Intelligence에서 제공하고 있는 종합운임지수(ClarkSea Index), 벌크선운임(Clarksons Average Bulker Earnings), 탱커선운임(Clarksons Average Tanker Earnings) 등을 활용하였다. 선행연구를 통해 해상운임에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되는 세계 해상물동량(World Seaborne Trade), 세계 선복량(World Fleet), 유가(Brent Crude Oil Price), 세계 GDP성장률(GDP World), OECD 산업생산성장률(Industrial Production OECD), 금리(US$ LIBOR 6 Months), OECD 인플레이션(CPI OECD) 등을 독립변수로 설정하여 회귀분석을 수행해 보았다. 데이터는 시계열자료로 1992년부터 2020년까지의 연데이터로 구성하였다. 분석결과 종합운임지수에는 해상물동량과 유가가, 벌크선운임에는 해상물동량만이, 탱커선운임에는 해상물동량, 유가, 산업생산성장률, 인플레이션 등이 통계적으로 유의미한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.13-23
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• 2022

본 연구는 2015년 1월부터 2020년 4월까지 건화물선 시장의 일별 운임수익률에 대한 레버리지 효과를 포착하기 위한 확률 변동성(stochastic volatility) 모형을 제안하고 운임수익률을 분석한다. 확률 변동성 분석에서 수익률과 변동성 간에 존재하는 음의 상관관계에 기초한 레버리지 효과에 대한 Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo 방법을 포함하는 추정은 건화물선 운임수익률은 레버리지 효과를 포함하는 추정이 일반적인 SV 모형에 기초한 분석보다 유사한 추정치를 나타내지만 레버리지 효과에 대한 상관성 추정에서 통계적으로 유의미함을 나타낸다. 즉, 실증분석 결과는 수익률과 변동성의 상관도, 변동의 크기와 부호에 따라 상이함을 나타내며, 이는 SV 모델이 레버리지 효과를 고려하는 것이 추정치의 적합도를 향상시킴을 나타낸다. 추정모형의 레버리지 효과에 대한 통계적 유의성에 추가적으로 로그 예측력 점수를 통한 분석은 레버리지 효과를 고려하는 모형의 예측력이 향상된 추정 결과를 제시한다. 이러한 실증분석 결과는 레버리지 효과를 포함하는 확률 변동성 모형이 해양 산업의 운임 리스크 모델링에 중요함을 통계적으로 제시하는 유의미한 실증분석 결과다.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 논문집 반도체 재료 센서 박막재료 전자세라믹스
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• pp.137-140
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• 2004

We treated $O_2$ plasma on ITO thin film using RIE (Reactive Ion Etching) system, and analyzed the ingredient of ITO thin film according to change of processing conditions. The ingredient analysis of ITO thin film was used by EDS (Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy) and XPS (X-ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy) to compare and analyze the ingredient of bulk and surface. We measured electrical resistivity using Four-Point-Probe and calculated sheet resistance, and ITO surface roughness was measured by using AFM (Atomic Force Microscope). Finally, we fabricated OLEDs (Organic Light-Emitting Diodes) device using substrate that was treated optimum ITO surface. The result of the study for electrical and optical properties using I V L System (Flat Panel Display Analysis System), we confirmed that electrical properties (I-V) and optical properties (L-V) were improved.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.27-46
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• 1996

Vessles in the world merchant fleet generally operate in either liner or bulk trade. The supply and the demand trend of general cargo ship are both on the ebb, however, those trend of tankers and containers are in slight ascension. Oil tankers are so far the largest single vessel type in the world fleet and the tanker market is often cited as a textbook example of perfect competition. Some shipping statistics in recent years show that there has been a radical fluctuation in spot charter rate under easy charterer's market. This implys that the proper scheduling of tankers under spot market fluctuation has the great potential of improving the owner's profit and economic performance of shipping. This paper aims at developing the TS-DSS(Decision Support System for Tanker Scheduling) in the context of the importance of scheduling decisions. The TS-DSS is defined as the DSS based on the optimization models for tanker scheduling. The system has been developed through the life cycle of systems analysis, design, and implementation to be user-friendly system. The performance of the system has been tested and examined by using the data edited under several tanker scheduling scenarios and thereby the effectiveness of TS-DSS is validated satifactorily. The authors conclude the paper with the comments on the need of appropriate support environment such as data-based DSS and network system for succesful implementation of the TS-DSS.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.61-78
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• 1993

Large offshore structure are to be considered for oil storage facilities , marine terminals, power plants, offshore airports, industrial complexes and recreational facilities. Some of them have already been constructed. Some of the envisioned structures will be of the artificial-island type, in which the bulk of structures may act as significant barriers to normal waves and the prediction of the wave intensity will be of importance for design of structure. The present study deals wave scattering problem combining reflection and diffraction of waves due to the shape of the impermeable rigid upright structure, subject to the excitation of a plane simple harmonic wave coming from infinity. In this study, a finite difference technique for the numerical solution is applied to the boundary integral equation obtained for wave potential. The numerical solution is verified with the analytic solution. The model is applied to various structures, such as the detached breakwater (3L${\times}$0.1L), bird-type breakwater(318L${\times}$0.17L), cylinder-type and crescent -type structure (2.89L${\times}$0.6L, 0.8L${\times}$0.26L).The result are presented in wave height amplification factors and wave height diagram. Also, the amplification factors across the structure or 1 or 2 wavelengths away from the structure are compared with each given case. From the numerical simulation for the various boundary types of structure, we could figure out the transformation pattern of waves and predict the waves and predict the wave intensity in the vicinity of large artificial structures.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.19-40
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• 1994

Several factors can be chosen for evaluating seakeeping performance, such as deck wetness, propeller racing, slamming, rolling, vertical acceleration and vertical bending moment, in consi-deration of the safety of human being, cargo and ship. In fact, there are few developments for an evalua-tion method of seakeepting performance correponding with each ship's characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to develop an quantitative evaluation method of seakeeping performance according to ship types. The scope and the method of this study are as follow. (1) Obtain each response amplitude of ship's motion in waves by Ordinary Strip Method and apply it to short-crested, irregular wave for random process of the factors on seakeeping performance. (2) Define the evaluation index, the dangerousness, the maximum dangerousness and the evaluation diagram. (3) Figure out the different characteristics according to ship types by computer simulation of evaluating seakeeping performance. (4) Adopt vertical acceleration and one of rolling or lateral acceleration as the factors on seakeeping performance by clarifying the correlation of stochastic process. This study developed an evaluation method coincident with each ship's characteristics, and suggested a device for application to actual ship. This method might be useful in developing the practical system of seakeeping performance in accordance with ship types. The ship models for computer simulation are 175m container ship types, 93m tranning ship HANARA as passenger ship type, 259m bulk-carrier type and 164m pure car-carrier type.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.1-14
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• 1998

There are three basic modes of operation of ships: liner, tramp and industrial operations. Industrial operations, where the owner of the cargo, i.e. the industrial carrier controls the ships, abound in the shipment of bulk commodities, such as oil, chemicals and ores. Industrial carriers strive to minimize the shipping cost of their cargoes. This paper is concerned with the operational optimization problem of a fleet owned by major international oil company. The major oil company is a holding corporation for a group of oil producing, transporting, refining, and marketing companies located in various countries throughout the world. The operational optimization problem of the fleet is divided into two-phases. The front end corresponds to the optimization of transporting crude oil, product mix, and the distribution of product oil to meet market demand. The back end tackles the operational optimization problem of the fleet to meet the transportation demand derived from the front end. A case study is carried out with the H major oil company problem composed by reflecting the practices of an international major oil company. The results are summarized and examined in the point of optimization for the total operation of the H major oil company and the operational optimization problem of the fleet. The paper concludes with the remark that the results of the study might be useful and applicable in practices of these related decision problems.