• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.211-218
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• 2014

최근 풍력에너지는 풍력터빈의 지능화뿐만 아니라 풍력 발전량 예측 부분에서 컴퓨팅과의 결합이 확대되고 있다. 풍력 발전은 기상상태에 따라 출력변동이 심하고 출력 예측이 어려워 효율적인 전력 생산을 위해서 신재생에너지를 전력계통에 안정적으로 연계할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 분산형 전원의 예측정보를 향상시켜 예측한 발전량과 실제 발전량의 차이를 최소화하기 위한 분산형 전원전력의 단기예측 모델을 설계한다. 제안된 모델은 단기 예측을 위해서 물리모델과 통계모델을 결합하였으며, 물리모델에서 생산된 격자별 예측값 중 예측 지점내 예측지점의 값을 추출하고, 물리 모델 예측값에 통계모델을 적용하여 발전량 산정을 위한 최종 기상 예측값을 생성한다. 또한, 제안 모델에서는 실시간 기상청 관측자료와 실시간 중기 예측 자료를 입력 자료로 사용하여 단기 예측모델을 수행한다.

• 전자공학회논문지T
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• 제35T권3호
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• pp.103-112
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 전파경로를 해석할 때 기하광학적 영상법과 전파송출법의 단점을 보완하여 계산속도를 향상시킴은 물론 전파의 입사각과 반사각에 따른 전파경로, 진행파의 수평경로 그리고 반사횟수를 동시에 처리 할 수 있는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 제안 알고리즘을 활용한 전파예측모델을 제안하고, 반복된 반사에 의해 전파가 진행하는 경우, 임의 지점의 전파경로 손실을 쉽게 계산할 수 있다. 마지막으로 광주광역시 광산구 월곡동에 있는 SK텔레콤 전남지사 주변의 실제 도로 상황을 샘플로 취하여 제안 전파예측 모델을 시뮬레이션하여, 일반적인 타당성을 입증하였다.

• Corrosion Science and Technology
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.62-68
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• 2021

Artificial neural network techniques show an excellent ability to predict the data (output) for various complex characteristics (input). It is primarily specialized to solve nonlinear relationship problems. This study is an experimental investigation that applies artificial neural network techniques and an experimental design to predict the cyclic polarization curves of the super-austenitic stainless steel AL-6XN alloy with sensitization. A cyclic polarization test was conducted in a 3.5% NaCl solution based on an experimental design matrix with various factors (degree of sensitization, temperature, pH) and their levels, and a total of 36 cyclic polarization data were acquired. The 36 cyclic polarization patterns were used as training data for the artificial neural network model. As a result, the supervised learning algorithms with back-propagation showed high learning and prediction performances. The model showed an excellent training performance (R²=0.998) and a considerable prediction performance (R²=0.812) for the conditions that were not included in the training data.

• Corrosion Science and Technology
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.52-61
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• 2021

This study using experimental design and linear regression technique was implemented in order to predict the pitting potential of stainless steel in marine environments, with the target materials being AL-6XN and STS 316L. The various variables (inputs) which affect stainless steel's pitting potential included the pitting resistance equivalent number (PRNE), temperature, pH, Cl^- concentration, sulfate levels, and nitrate levels. Among them, significant factors affecting pitting potential were chosen through an experimental design method (screening design, full factor design, analysis of variance). The potentiodynamic polarization test was performed based on the experimental design, including significant factor levels. From these testing methods, a total 32 polarization curves were obtained, which were used as training data for the linear regression model. As a result of the model's validation, it showed an acceptable prediction performance, which was statistically significant within the 95% confidence level. The linear regression model based on the full factorial design and ANOVA also showed a high confidence level in the prediction of pitting potential. This study confirmed the possibility to predict the pitting potential of stainless steel according to various variables used with experimental linear regression design.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제35권5호
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• pp.425-431
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• 2019

Recently, people have been attracting attention to the good quality of water resources as well as water welfare. to improve the quality of life. This study is a papers on the prediction of benthic macroinvertebrate index (BMI), which is a aquatic ecological health, using the machine learning based CFS (Correlation-based Feature Selection) method and the random forest model to compare the measured and predicted values of the BMI. The data collected from the Han River's branch for 10 years are extracted and utilized in 1312 data. Through the utilized data, Pearson correlation analysis showed a lack of correlation between single factor and BMI. The CFS method for multiple regression analysis was introduced. This study calculated 10 factors(water temperature, DO, electrical conductivity, turbidity, BOD, $NH_3-N$, T-N, $PO_4-P$, T-P, Average flow rate) that are considered to be related to the BMI. The random forest model was used based on the ten factors. In order to prove the validity of the model, $R^2$, %Difference, NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) were used. Each factor was 0.9438, -0.997, and 0,992, and accuracy rate was 71.6% level. As a result, These results can suggest the future direction of water resource management and Pre-review function for water ecological prediction.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.339-352
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• 2022

Studying slope stability is an important branch of civil engineering. In this way, engineers have employed machine learning models, due to their high efficiency in complex calculations. This paper examines the robustness of various novel optimization schemes, namely equilibrium optimizer (EO), Harris hawks optimization (HHO), water cycle algorithm (WCA), biogeography-based optimization (BBO), dragonfly algorithm (DA), grey wolf optimization (GWO), and teaching learning-based optimization (TLBO) for enhancing the performance of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in slope stability prediction. The hybrid models estimate the factor of safety (F_S) of a cohesive soil-footing system. The role of these algorithms lies in finding the optimal parameters of the membership function in the fuzzy system. By examining the convergence proceeding of the proposed hybrids, the best population sizes are selected, and the corresponding results are compared to the typical ANFIS. Accuracy assessments via root mean square error, mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error, and Pearson correlation coefficient showed that all models can reliably understand and reproduce the F_S behavior. Moreover, applying the WCA, EO, GWO, and TLBO resulted in reducing both learning and prediction error of the ANFIS. Also, an efficiency comparison demonstrated the WCA-ANFIS as the most accurate hybrid, while the GWO-ANFIS was the fastest promising model. Overall, the findings of this research professed the suitability of improved intelligent models for practical slope stability evaluations.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.323-338
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• 2000

An analytical approach for the prediction of the behaviour of steel-fiber reinforced concrete beams subjected to torsion is described. The analysis method employs a special stress-strain model with a non-linear post cracking branch for the material behaviour in tension. Predictions of this model for the behaviour of steel-fiber concrete in direct tension are also presented and compared with results from tests conducted for this reason. Further in this work, the validation of the proposed torsional analysis by providing comparisons between experimental curves and analytical predictions, is attempted. For this purpose a series of 10 steel-fiber concrete beams with various cross-sections and steel-fiber volume fractions tested in pure torsion, are reported here. Furthermore, experimental information compiled from works around the world are also used in an attempt to establish the validity of the described approach based on test results of a broad range of studies. From these comparisons it is demonstrated that the proposed analysis describes well the behaviour of steel-fiber concrete in pure torsion even in the case of elements with non-rectangular cross-sections.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.355-363
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• 2018

In the following paper, a socio-political heuristic search approach, named the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) has been used to improve the efficiency of the multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting the compressive strength of concrete. 173 concrete samples have been investigated. For this purpose the values of slump flow, the weight of aggregate and cement, the maximum size of aggregate and the water-cement ratio have been used as the inputs. The compressive strength of concrete has been used as the output in the hybrid ICA-ANN model. Results have been compared with the multiple-linear regression model (MLR), the genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The results indicate the superiority and high accuracy of the hybrid ICA-ANN model in predicting the compressive strength of concrete when compared to the other methods.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.379-390
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• 2018

In this paper, a novel and effective damage diagnosis algorithm is proposed to detect and estimate damage using two stages least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) and limited number of attached sensors on structures. In the first stage, LS-SVM1 is used to predict the unmeasured mode shapes data based on limited measured modal data and in the second stage, LS-SVM2 is used to predicting the damage location and severity using the complete modal data from the first-stage LS-SVM1. The presented methods are applied to a three story irregular frame and cantilever plate. To investigate the noise effects and modeling errors, two uncertainty levels have been considered. Moreover, the performance of the proposed methods has been verified through using experimental modal data of a mass-stiffness system. The obtained damage identification results show the suitable performance of the proposed damage identification method for structures in spite of different uncertainty levels.

• 대한기계학회논문집B
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• 제27권8호
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• pp.1097-1104
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• 2003

The current study analyzes Langmuir slip boundary condition theoretically and it is tested in practical numerical analysis for separation-associated flow. Slip phenomenon at the channel wall is properly implemented by various numerical slip boundary conditions including Langmuir slip model. Compressible backward-facing step flow is compared to other analysis results with the purpose of diatomic gas Langmuir slip model validation. The numerical solutions of pressure and velocity distributions where separation occurs are in good agreement with other numerical results. Numerical analysis is conducted for Reynolds number from 10 to 60 for a prediction of separation at T-shaped micro manifold. Reattachment length of flows shows nonlinear distribution at the wall of side branch. The Langmuir slip model predicts fairly the physics in terms of slip effect and separation.