• 제목/요약/키워드: Bivariate model

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An Evaluation on Use Suitability of Recreation Resource in Natural Parks (자연공원 휴양자원의 이용적합성 평가)

  • 배민기;신원섭
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is to provide useful knowledge for recreation management in natural park(NP) by evaluating use suitability of recreation resource. We had obtained data through a questionnaire, which surveyed 385 visitors at 6 of the 73 NP in Korea in 2001, based on stratified sampling method. We have analyzed the data using the multiple regression method. We found that 1) in bivariate analysis, the relationships between use suitability and all the recreation resources are fairly high and statistically significant. The higher the degree of recreation resources, the higher the degree of use suitability. 2) in multivariate analysis, topography, social resource(SR), cultural resource(CR), landscape, smell, color and sound(SCS) have been turned out to be statistically significant at one percent level. 3) the direction of relationship between topography, SR, CR, landscape, SCS and use suitability is same. 4) in relative contribution of the use suitability of recreation resource, level of topography has been turned out to have about 1.05, 1.56, 2.16 and 2.70 times more important than that of SCS, SR, landscape, topography, respectively This results will be used for a criterion for recreation resource evaluation and a settlement of management priority and increasing user's satisfaction.

Analysis of Relationship between Housing Tenure and Birth in Newlywed Couples by Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 신혼가구의 주택점유형태와 출산 관계 연구)

  • Shin, Hyungsub
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we investigate the interrelationship between housing tenure and childbirth by exploiting the correlation probability effect method that accounts for household heterogeneity. Using the newlywed household panel from 2011 to 2022, we find that home ownership has a positive impact on childbirth in newlyweds. Specifically, newlywed households with housing tenure show a 6.2%p higher birth rate and a 5.7%p higher second childbirth than newlywed households living in rented houses. For the case of first childbirth, we employ the probability effect probit model since the endogeneity was not detected between housing tenure and birth rate. We document the differential effects of housing tenure on childbirth in that the first childbirth rate is higher for households without housing tenures. The negative effects on first childbirth could be attributed to the economic burden due to initial housing ownership, while housing tenure could eventually provide housing stability, leading to positive effects on more than one childbirth. Finally, we identify that households with childbirth over the last year show a 4.2%p and 3.9%p lower probabilities of housing tenure in the total sample and second childbirth sample, respectively. This suggests that the increased living cost due to childbirth could delay home ownership.

Drought frequency analysis for multi-purpose dam inflow using bivariate Copula model (이변량 Copula 모형을 활용한 다목적댐 유입량 가뭄빈도해석)

  • Sung, Jiyoung;Kim, Eunji;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.340-340
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    • 2021
  • 가뭄의 특성상 시점과 종점을 명확하게 정의하기 어렵기 때문에 기준수문량을 설정하고 부족량과 지속기간을 정의하는 것이 일반적이다. 대상 수문량은 강우나 유출량을 사용할 수 있지만, 두 성분간 지체와 감쇄효과로 인하여 빈도해석의 결과는 차이를 보일 수 밖에 없어, 사용 목적에 따라 선별적으로 적용해야 한다. 가뭄빈도해석은 강우를 기반으로 지속기간과 심도를 정의하여 빈도를 해석하는 연구가 선행되어왔지만, 기본적으로 강우의 간헐적 발생특성과 체감도의 한계가 문제로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 유입량의 Run 시계열 특성을 이용하여 다양한 유황을 기준유량으로 활용하여 가뭄의 시점과 종점에 대한 가뭄사상을 추출하고 지속기간과 누적부족량을 계산하여 가뭄빈도해석의 변수로 설정하였다. 두 변수간의 복잡한 상호 관계를 해석하기 위해 Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였다. 먼저 소양강댐('74-'19) 유입량, 충주댐('86-'19) 유입량을 연구대상지역으로 설정하여, 두 유역의 유입량의 추세분석을 통해 시간의존성을 파악하였다. 유황분석에 사용되는 분위량중 평수량을 기준값으로 사용하여 각 년별 최대 지속기간과 누적부족량을 추출하였다. Copula 가뭄빈도해석을 수행하기 전에 지속기간에는 GEV, 누적 부족량에는 Log-normal 분포를 적용해 단변량 누적확률분포를 계산하여 재현기간을 도출하였다. 이변량 빈도해석에 Clayton Copula 함수를 적용하여 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였고, Copula 이변량 재현기간과 SDF곡선을 도출하였다. Clayton Copula를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석의 결과로 소양강댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 1996년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 9.11년, 누적부족량 기준 17.26년, Copula 재현기간은 141.19년 이며 충주댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 2014년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 17.76년, 누적부족량 기준 18.72년, Copula 재현기간은 184.19년으로 단변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 재현기간보다 Copula 재현기간이 높은 결과가 도출되었다. Run 시계열을 바탕으로 한 기준유량의 임계값 기준 Event 산정과 Copula를 이용한 빈도해석은 가뭄분석에 이용되는 자료의 상관관계와 분포특성을 재현하는데 효과적인 특징이 있다. 이를 미루어 보아 Copula 함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도해석의 재현기간은 보다 현실적인 재현기간을 도출할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다. 임계값의 조정을 통해 가뭄빈도해석의 변수의 양이 늘어나면, 보다 정확도 높은 재현기간을 도출하여 수문학적 가뭄을 정의할 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

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Accuracy of Digital Breast Tomosynthesis for Detecting Breast Cancer in the Diagnostic Setting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Min Jung Ko;Dong A Park;Sung Hyun Kim;Eun Sook Ko;Kyung Hwan Shin;Woosung Lim;Beom Seok Kwak;Jung Min Chang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.1240-1252
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To compare the accuracy for detecting breast cancer in the diagnostic setting between the use of digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT), defined as DBT alone or combined DBT and digital mammography (DM), and the use of DM alone through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Materials and Methods: Ovid-MEDLINE, Ovid-Embase, Cochrane Library and five Korean local databases were searched for articles published until March 25, 2020. We selected studies that reported diagnostic accuracy in women who were recalled after screening or symptomatic. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A bivariate random effects model was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity. We compared the diagnostic accuracy between DBT and DM alone using meta-regression and subgroup analyses by modality of intervention, country, existence of calcifications, breast density, Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System category threshold, study design, protocol for participant sampling, sample size, reason for diagnostic examination, and number of readers who interpreted the studies. Results: Twenty studies (n = 44513) that compared DBT and DM alone were included. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-0.93) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84-0.94), respectively, for DBT, which were higher than 0.76 (95% CI 0.68-0.83) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.73-0.89), respectively, for DM alone (p < 0.001). The area under the summary receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.95 (95% CI 0.93-0.97) for DBT and 0.86 (95% CI 0.82-0.88) for DM alone. The higher sensitivity and specificity of DBT than DM alone were consistently noted in most subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Conclusion: Use of DBT was more accurate than DM alone for the diagnosis of breast cancer. Women with clinical symptoms or abnormal screening findings could be more effectively evaluated for breast cancer using DBT, which has a superior diagnostic performance compared to DM alone.