• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bilateral Fta

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The Effects of FTA Diversification on Bilateral Trade in the Spatial Model (공간모형을 통한 FTA의 다각화가 양자무역에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.53-78
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    • 2016
  • This study is to analyze the effects of both the bilateral FTA and a home and its trade partner's FTAs on the trade with 62 country-pair panel data over the period of 2003-2013 using the gravity model and the spatial autoregressive model. First, the study analyzes how the bilateral FTAs affect the trade using the gravity model and the spatial model. Next, the article analyzes how the home and its trade partners' FTAs affect their trade using only the spatial model under controlling the bilateral FTA. The empirical results are summarized as the followings: first, the spatial mode fits well more than the gravity model in analyzing the relationship between the bilateral FTA and trade. It implies that the spatial spillover effect of FTA is important in the international trade with FTA. Second, the bilateral FTA plays a role in expanding the trade between or among the FTA members as proved by the previous studies. Third, the more the home and its trade partners' FTAs, the more the bilateral trade are extended. Fourth, with the bilateral FTAs, as the home and its trade partners enter into more FTAs, the bilateral trade reduces due to trade diversion effects. In conclusion, this study provides a political implication that in order to increase the trade volume, a country enters into as many FTAs as possible because the effects of the bilateral FTAs would decrease.

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of FTAs and FTA Spillover on the Bilateral Trade using GMM, Fixed and Random Panel Model, and PPML Estimation (GMM, 패널, PPML 비교분석을 통한 FTA와 FTA파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyzes both the FTA effects and FTA spillover effects on bilateral trade using 62 countries' panel data during the period of 2003 ~ 2013. To this end, we construct a FTA dummy variable for the effect of FTA in the model and the weighted FTA matrix interacted with export and import for the spillover effect of FTA. Gravity model is applied to the empirical analysis with GMM, fixed and random effects, and PPML estimation. As a result of the analysis, FTA variables have positive relationships with bilateral export and import. The weighted FTA matrix interacted with export and import also have positive signs on the bilateral export and import in all estimations. Thus, we conclude that various FTAs of neighbor or 3rd countries increase the bilateral export and import. We provide some implications that a country to increase the amount of trade has a trade relationship with the countries having various FTAs and for the FTA effect analysis, the three-country model is better than to the two-country model.

An Analysis of the Effects of Establishing Multilateral FTA on the R&D Investment of Exporting Firm (다자간 FTA의 형성이 역내 수출기업의 R&D 투자에 미치는 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Park, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Hee-Ho
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2019
  • We compared and analyzed the effects of establishing multilateral FTA and bilateral FTA on the R&D investment of exporting firms when they compete in Cournot fashion and when the government of the importing country acts strategically. In the short run, we found that the importing country prefers to enter into a bilateral FTA with each exporting country separately for maximizing its welfare. However, we also found that, in the long run, it is more welfare-enhancing policy for importing country that entering into a multilateral FTA with all of the exporting countries simultaneously because it helps facilitate the R&D investment of exporting firms. But once entering into a multilateral FTA, the exporting firms would be faced with more intensive R&D investment competition and hence they would suffer severe welfare loss.

The Impact of Bilateral Free Trade Agreements on International Trade Volume of Bulk Shipment at the Port of Busan in Korea : Focusing on Korea's FTA with Chile, Peru, Singapore, India, and United States (대한민국 FTA체결에 따른 부산항 벌크물동량 영향분석 : 칠레, 페루, 싱가포르, 인도, 미국을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Kyong Han;Park, Ju Dong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2016
  • The primary purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of bilateral Free Trade Agreements on international trade volume of bulk shipment at the port of Busan in Korea using the Gravity Model. Most recently, the total of 15 Korea's FTAs have been enforced since Korea-Chile FTA in 2004 and more than 50 countries became member of Korea's FTAs. Therefore, aggregated trade volume of Korea's FTA members out of the total trade volume in Korea increased from 25% in 2011 to 67% in 2015. Five Korea's bilateral FTA members are concerned as experimental group while top 10 foreign countries base on trade volume of bulk shipment are applied to the model as control group and panel data was used in this study. According to the results, bilateral FTA, GDP and population have positive impacts on trade volume of bulk shipment at the port of Busan. On the other hand, distance between Korea and its trade partner has negative impact. In examining Hausman test and LR test, the random effect model is statistically more appropriate than the fixed effect model for this study.

A Study on the Interpretation of FTA Rules under WTO Agreement (WTO 협정하에서 FTA 체결의 정합성에 관한 연구)

  • Park Jong-Sam
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.233-266
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    • 2005
  • The world trading system has been under many changes in recent years. One notably important development is that much attention away from the multilateralism-oriented World Trade Organization towards FTA(Free Trade Agreement). The Free Trade Agreement signed between korea and chile formally have been come effective for free trade in goods and services as from April 1, 2004. During Free Trade Agreement negotiations between both countries. This study aims at presenting the suggestion for the Korea to make the WTO rules and FTA by analyzing The interpretation of FTA under WTO System. It was founded by the investigation of WTO rules, most of the provisions are similar with other FTA, but a little provisions different from other FTA's. It is an appearance from the contracting party's peculiar circumstances such as state of industrial development or future prospect, conditions around international trade. The whole world has entered the new stage of bilateral and multilateral FTA. The essential or new generation or bilateral and multilateral FTA is creating more trade opportunities, promoting all factors, commodity, service, capital, technology and talent freely flow through canceling the trade barriers between FTA, in order to develop together within the regions. It shows that the cooperations transfer form the whole region into FTA. FTA makes not only the free trade smooth ,but also takes place the trade distortion effect. especially as the agriculture has a speciality each country, should it is ignored in negotiation, many reactions will be occurred in the process of fta Therefore Korea needs to deliver the message that Korea's hub is an essential ingredient for an efficient FTA and WTO system in a bilateral and multilateral win-win framework. Consequently Korea should have criterions about the rules of FTA and WTO system for peculiar circumstances of Korean economy and international trade.

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Economic Impacts of a Possible South Korea-Malaysia FTA on Trade

  • Kim, Yoomi
    • SUVANNABHUMI
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.255-275
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    • 2023
  • Trade between South Korea and Malaysia has been steadily increasing since the conclusion of the multilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and South Korea. Bilateral FTAs such as Singapore-South Korea, Vietnam-South Korea, and Indonesia-South Korea came into effect to enhance the economic cooperation between South Korea and major ASEAN countries. However, the bilateral FTA between South Korea and Malaysia, known as Republic of Korea-Malaysia FTA, is still under negotiation. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the economic impact of a possible FTA between these two countries. To examine the economic effects of bilateral FTAs, this study analyzes the trade structure and change in the value of trade between Malaysia and South Korea using panel data analysis. Two significant findings were identified by the analysis. First, the Republic of Korea-Malaysia FTA is expected to promote trade and have a positive effect on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of South Korea. Second, the result of the calculated price elasticity based on substituting figures such as tariff, demand elasticity, and export value is that the value of manufacturing exports is expected to considerably get an increase. Therefore, an early FTA between South Korea and Malaysia would be beneficial for both national economies.

The Impact of Bilateral Free Trade Agreements on International Trade Volume of Bulk Shipment at the Port of Korea: Focusing on Korea's FTA with Singapore, India, and United States (한·단일국가 FTA체결에 따른 우리나라 벌크물동량 영향분석 : 싱가포르, 인도, 미국을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Kyong-Han;Choi, Nayoung-Hwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2016
  • The primary purpose of this study is to analyze the impact and determinants of bilateral Free Trade Agreements on international total bulk shipment trade volume at the port of Korea using the Panel Gravity Model. The model estimates the aggregated panel data of exports and imports (excluding transshipment) as a dependent variable during the period from 1996 to 2015. GDP, GDP per capita, distances between bilateral countries, and FTA dummies are included as independent variables. And the economic integration of FTAs including ASEAN+3 and NAFTA3 countries were used as dummy variables. Study results show that GDP and GDP per capita have positive impacts on bulk shipment trade volume at the port of Korea. In addition, Korea's bilateral FTAs with Singapore, India and the United States have positive effects on total bulk trade volume in Korea. This is the so called trade creation effect. On the other hand, ASEAN+3 and NAFTA have negative effects on the total bulk trade. This is the so called trade diversion effect. Also, the distance between Korea and its trade partners has a negative impact. These findings provide insights for: further academic research, site operators who work in related trade and maritime sectors, and policy makers engaged in port and maritime operations. The results can be used to develop strategies for maximizing bulk port throughput.

Characteristics of the Trade between Korea and China and the Implications for the Korea-China FTA (한.중 무역구조의 특성을 고려한 FTA 체결시 정책적 함의)

  • Lee, Seo-Young;Ahn, Byung-Min
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.235-253
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    • 2010
  • The export is an important economic growth strategy in South Korea. South Korea is strongly dependant on external trades. Bilateral trade between China and South Korea has been grown rapidly in recent years. The China is now Korea's first-largest trading partner. Thus, the Korea-China Free Trade Agrement (FTA) in South Korea's trade operations is very important. A discussion of Korea-China bilateral FTA commenced in 2004 November. This paper is to recognize the phenomenon of major issued fields in the Korea-China FTA such as a manufacturing, agriculture, customs and seek a negotiation strategy that are summarized as follows. In terms of trade based on manufacturing, it is necessary to divide into a private, general reduction and priority reduction item to recognize whether it is complementary or competitive on the specific industry in the FTA negotiation by using an index regarding supplement and competition of these two countries. In particularly sensitive agricultural field, FTA should be progressed gradually after giving a certain period of time of grace period on the basis of various flexible tariff systems in order to minimize agriculture damage as a result of the rapid growth from import of Chinese agricultural goods.

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A Comparative Study on FTA Verification System Among Korea vs USA, EU (한국과 미국, EU의 FTA협정 상 원산지검증에 대한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Man Gil;Chung, Jae Wan
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.58
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    • pp.267-286
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    • 2013
  • Origin verification is regarded most essential for FTA performance administration. This administration is divided into direct and indirect system where Korea has adapted indirect system to Korea-EU FTA while direct system to Korea-USA FTA. A comparative analysis was conducted on the system of origin verification and provisions contained in preferential tariff law of each countries. The study finds that Korean origin verification system is a bit lack of procedural provision resulting in less protection of domestic trader's rights. Another point is that Korean Customs Authority is weak, in respect of organization and man power, to protect illegal bilateral tariff application by counter part FTA countries. And therefore this study suggests the policy makers to arrange detailed FTA origin verification procedures with earliest meeting with counter part FTA countries, and further stress that make up of organization and man power for origin verification in a timely manner.

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An Analysis on the Trade Effect of FTA using Intensity of Trade (무역결합도를 활용한 FTA 효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Jae-Hwa
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.141-170
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    • 2012
  • There are a couple of methods to analyze the trade effect of FTA. Some compare bilateral trade amounts, partner's share in total export, or market share in partner's total import. Others set up partial equilibrium models or general equilibrium models for more sophisticated analyses. The purpose of this paper is to analyze bilateral trade between Korea and Chile, Singapore, Switzerland and Norway using the Intensity of Trade and Special Country Bias. The Trade Intensity Analysis focuses on how much the real trade diverges from the expected one which is derived by the Gravity Model, and it enable us to define how much the bilateral trade is closely related with each other compared with the rest of the world. Also by excluding the effects of changes in Trade Complementarity, it enables us to evaluate the trade effect of FTA. The results show that regarding Korea's export, the biggest trade effects are found with Norway, and the effects are evading after a couple of years of outstanding accomplishment with Chile and Singapore. With Switzerland, however, almost no effect is found. Regarding Korea's import, Norway has recorded the biggest advance into Korean market, whereas, other countries do not show significant changes.

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