• Title/Summary/Keyword: Big 5 모델

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Predicting Regional Soybean Yield using Crop Growth Simulation Model (작물 생육 모델을 이용한 지역단위 콩 수량 예측)

  • Ban, Ho-Young;Choi, Doug-Hwan;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Lee, Byun-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_2
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    • pp.699-708
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    • 2017
  • The present study was to develop an approach for predicting soybean yield using a crop growth simulation model at the regional level where the detailed and site-specific information on cultivation management practices is not easily accessible for model input. CROPGRO-Soybean model included in Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) was employed for this study, and Illinois which is a major soybean production region of USA was selected as a study region. As a first step to predict soybean yield of Illinois using CROPGRO-Soybean model, genetic coefficients representative for each soybean maturity group (MG I~VI) were estimated through sowing date experiments using domestic and foreign cultivars with diverse maturity in Seoul National University Farm ($37.27^{\circ}N$, $126.99^{\circ}E$) for two years. The model using the representative genetic coefficients simulated the developmental stages of cultivars within each maturity group fairly well. Soybean yields for the grids of $10km{\times}10km$ in Illinois state were simulated from 2,000 to 2,011 with weather data under 18 simulation conditions including the combinations of three maturity groups, three seeding dates and two irrigation regimes. Planting dates and maturity groups were assigned differently to the three sub-regions divided longitudinally. The yearly state yields that were estimated by averaging all the grid yields simulated under non-irrigated and fully-Irrigated conditions showed a big difference from the statistical yields and did not explain the annual trend of yield increase due to the improved cultivation technologies. Using the grain yield data of 9 agricultural districts in Illinois observed and estimated from the simulated grid yield under 18 simulation conditions, a multiple regression model was constructed to estimate soybean yield at agricultural district level. In this model a year variable was also added to reflect the yearly yield trend. This model explained the yearly and district yield variation fairly well with a determination coefficients of $R^2=0.61$ (n = 108). Yearly state yields which were calculated by weighting the model-estimated yearly average agricultural district yield by the cultivation area of each agricultural district showed very close correspondence ($R^2=0.80$) to the yearly statistical state yields. Furthermore, the model predicted state yield fairly well in 2012 in which data were not used for the model construction and severe yield reduction was recorded due to drought.

Prediction of infectious diseases using multiple web data and LSTM (다중 웹 데이터와 LSTM을 사용한 전염병 예측)

  • Kim, Yeongha;Kim, Inhwan;Jang, Beakcheol
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2020
  • Infectious diseases have long plagued mankind, and predicting and preventing them has been a big challenge for mankind. For this reasen, various studies have been conducted so far to predict infectious diseases. Most of the early studies relied on epidemiological data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the problem was that the data provided by the CDC was updated only once a week, making it difficult to predict the number of real-time disease outbreaks. However, with the emergence of various Internet media due to the recent development of IT technology, studies have been conducted to predict the occurrence of infectious diseases through web data, and most of the studies we have researched have been using single Web data to predict diseases. However, disease forecasting through a single Web data has the disadvantage of having difficulty collecting large amounts of learning data and making accurate predictions through models for recent outbreaks such as "COVID-19". Thus, we would like to demonstrate through experiments that models that use multiple Web data to predict the occurrence of infectious diseases through LSTM models are more accurate than those that use single Web data and suggest models suitable for predicting infectious diseases. In this experiment, we predicted the occurrence of "Malaria" and "Epidemic-parotitis" using a single web data model and the model we propose. A total of 104 weeks of NEWS, SNS, and search query data were collected, of which 75 weeks were used as learning data and 29 weeks were used as verification data. In the experiment we predicted verification data using our proposed model and single web data, Pearson correlation coefficient for the predicted results of our proposed model showed the highest similarity at 0.94, 0.86, and RMSE was also the lowest at 0.19, 0.07.

Research and Policy Directions against Ambient Fine Particles (초미세먼지 문제 해결을 위한 연구 및 정책 방향)

  • Kim, Yong Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2017
  • Concerns on the air pollution problem caused by ambient fine particles have become a big social issue in Korea. Important factors that should be addressed to develop effective and efficient air quality management policy, especially, against fine particles are discussed and research and policy directions to address these factors are suggested. It is suggested that two factors are in high priority; one is scientific understanding of the major formation mechanisms of fine particles and the other is the process of policy decision and implementation. For the scientific understanding, smog chamber measurement, intensive field study, and chemical transport model development that can simulate the characteristics of Northeast Asia are considered to be important. For the policy directions, priority setting of the proposed policies and development and implement of effective communication sytem are considered to be important.

AI-based stuttering automatic classification method: Using a convolutional neural network (인공지능 기반의 말더듬 자동분류 방법: 합성곱신경망(CNN) 활용)

  • Jin Park;Chang Gyun Lee
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2023
  • This study primarily aimed to develop an automated stuttering identification and classification method using artificial intelligence technology. In particular, this study aimed to develop a deep learning-based identification model utilizing the convolutional neural networks (CNNs) algorithm for Korean speakers who stutter. To this aim, speech data were collected from 9 adults who stutter and 9 normally-fluent speakers. The data were automatically segmented at the phrasal level using Google Cloud speech-to-text (STT), and labels such as 'fluent', 'blockage', prolongation', and 'repetition' were assigned to them. Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and the CNN-based classifier were also used for detecting and classifying each type of the stuttered disfluency. However, in the case of prolongation, five results were found and, therefore, excluded from the classifier model. Results showed that the accuracy of the CNN classifier was 0.96, and the F1-score for classification performance was as follows: 'fluent' 1.00, 'blockage' 0.67, and 'repetition' 0.74. Although the effectiveness of the automatic classification identifier was validated using CNNs to detect the stuttered disfluencies, the performance was found to be inadequate especially for the blockage and prolongation types. Consequently, the establishment of a big speech database for collecting data based on the types of stuttered disfluencies was identified as a necessary foundation for improving classification performance.

An Empirical Study on the Failure Prediction for KOSDAQ Firms (코스닥기업의 부실예측에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Park, Hee-Jung;Kang, Ho-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.670-676
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    • 2009
  • Bankruptcy of firms in Korea can cause distress of financial institutions because these institutions have disterssed bond. Accordingly, social and economical spill-over effects by these results are very big. Even after the difficult times of IMF crisis had ended, bankruptcy of information-based small-medium companies and venture firms listed on the KOSDAQ has been continued. In this context, this study developed and adopted failure prediction models for which discriminant analysis was used. Samples of this study was 81 firms respectively for both failed and non-failed firms listed on the KOSDAQ between the year of 2000 and 2007. The results of this study are as follows. First, the accuracy of classification of the model by years was $74.5%{\sim}76.5%$, and the accuracy of classification of the mean model was $69.6%{\sim}80.4%$. Among the models, the mean model of -one year, -two years, and -three years was highest in accuracy of classification (80.4%). Second, accuracy of prediction of final model adopted on validation samples showed 85% before one year of bankruptcy. The results of this study may be significant in that the results may be used as early warning system for bankruptcy prediction of KOSDAQ firms.

5G Mobile Communications: 4th Industrial Aorta (5G 이동통신: 4차 산업 대동맥)

  • Kim, Jeong Su;Lee, Moon Ho
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2018
  • This paper discusses 5G IOT, Augmented Reality, Cloud Computing, Big Data, Future Autonomous Driving Vehicle technology, and presents 5G utilization of Pyeongchang Winter Olympic Games and Jeju Smart City model. The reason is that 5G is the main artery of the 4th industry.5G is the fourth industrial aorta because 5G is the core infrastructure of the fourth industrial revolution. In order for the AI, autonomous vehicle, VR / AR, and Internet (IoT) era to take off, data must be transmitted several times faster and more securely than before. For example, if you send a stop signal to LTE, which is a communication technology, to a remote autonomous vehicle, it takes a hundredth of a second. It seems to be fairly fast, but if you run at 100km / h, you can not guarantee safety because the car moves 30cm until it stops. 5G is more than 20 gigabits per second (Gbps), about 40 times faster than current LTE. Theoretically, the vehicle can be set up within 1 cm. 5G not only connects 1 million Internet (IoT) devices within a radius of 1 kilometer, but also has a speed delay of less than 0.001 sec. Steve Mollenkov, chief executive officer of Qualcomm, the world's largest maker of smartphones, said, "5G is a key element and innovative technology that will connect the future." With 5G commercialization, there will be an economic effect of 12 trillion dollars in 2035 and 22 million new jobs We can expect to see the effect of creation.

A Study on the Digital Economic Democratization Model and the Realization Requirement (디지털경제 민주화 모델과 실현 조건)

  • Noh, Kyoo-Sung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 2012
  • ICT industry in Korea was constituted an industry in early 1980's and has been growing more and more since then. In the process of this growth, most of the large ICT companies in Chaebeols has been absorbing in undemocratic economic behaviors. As a result, the sales and the profit of Cheabeols and large companies has been increasing by geometrical progression, but most of small and medium cooperative companies of these big corporations have been eking a scanty existence. And many of them had gone belly up. This article will propose the digital economic democratization as an alternative to overcome the present undemocratic economic situation in the digital economic field and to develop the healthy ICT industry, and to preliminarily study the concept, elements and meaning of the digital economic democratization.

Fire Accident Analysis of Hazardous Materials Using Data Analytics (Data Analytics를 활용한 위험물 화재사고 분석)

  • Shin, Eun-Ji;Koh, Moon-Soo;Shin, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2020
  • Hazardous materials accidents are not limited to the leakage of the material, but if the early response is not appropriate, it can lead to a fire or an explosion, which increases the scale of the damage. However, as the 4th industrial revolution and the rise of the big data era are being discussed, systematic analysis of hazardous materials accidents based on new techniques has not been attempted, but simple statistics are being collected. In this study, we perform the systematic analysis, using machine learning, on the fire accident data for the past 11 years (2008 ~ 2018), accumulated by the National Fire Service. The analysis results are visualized and presented through text mining analysis, and the possibility of developing a damage-scale prediction model is explored by applying the regression analysis method, using the main factors present in the hazardous materials fire accident data.

The Design of Authentication Model based on Symmetric Key Encryption for Improving Network Availability in Cloud Environment (클라우드 환경에서 네트워크 가용성 개선을 위한 대칭키 암호화 기반 인증 모델 설계)

  • Baek, Yong-Jin;Hong, Suk-Won;Kim, Sang-Bok
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2019
  • Network-based sharing of information has evolved into a cloud service environment today, increasing its number of users rapidly, but has become a major target for network-based illegal attackers.. In addition, IP spoofing among attackers' various attack techniques generally involves resource exhaustion attacks. Therefore, fast detection and response techniques are required. The existing detection method for IP spoofing attack performs the final authentication process according to the analysis and matching of traceback information of the client who attempted the connection request. However, the simple comparison method of traceback information may require excessive OTP due to frequent false positives in an environment requiring service transparency. In this paper, symmetric key cryptography based on traceback information is used as mutual authentication information to improve this problem. That is, after generating a traceback-based encryption key, mutual authentication is possible by performing a normal decryption process. In addition, this process could improve the overhead caused by false positives.

A Study of the Probability of Prediction to Crime according to Time Status Change (시간 상태 변화를 적용한 범죄 발생 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2013
  • Each field of modern society, industrialization and the development of science and technology are rapidly changing. However, as a side effect of rapid social change has caused various problems. Crime of the side effects of rapid social change is a big problem. In this paper, a model for predicting crime and Markov chains applied to the crime, predictive modeling is proposed. Markov chain modeling of the existing one with the overall status of the case determined the probability of predicting the future, but this paper predict the events to increase the probability of occurrence probability of the prediction and the recent state of the entire state was divided by the probability of the prediction. And the whole state and the probability of the prediction and the recent state by applying the average of the prediction probability and the probability of the prediction model were implemented. Data was applied to the incidence of crime. As a result, the entire state applies only when the probability of the prediction than the entire state and the last state is calculated by dividing the probability value. And that means when applied to predict the probability, close to the crime was concluded that prediction.