• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bias-Correction

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Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level (분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Song, Inhong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

A Study on Regionalization of Bias Correction Parameters for Radar Precipitation Considering Geomorphic Characteristics (지형특성을 고려한 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수 지역화 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.57-57
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    • 2019
  • 최근 수문기상학 분야에서 레이더 강수량을 활용한 응용연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 하지만 레이더 강수량은 경험적으로 설정된 레이더 반사도-강우강도 관계식을 활용하여 레이더 강수량을 산정하기 때문에 실제지상에 도달하는 강수량과 정량적인 오차가 필연적으로 발생한다. 따라서 고해상도의 레이더 강수량을 활용한 신뢰도 높은 수문해석을 위하여 레이더 강수량의 편의보정이 필수적으로 선행되어야한다. 본 연구에서는 불확실성을 고려한 레이더 강수량 편의보정을 위하여 Bayesian 추론기법과 일반화 선형모형(generalized linear model)을 연계하여 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수를 산정하였다. 일반화 선형모형을 적용한 레이더 강수량 편의보정 결과는 현재 널리 사용되고 있는 평균보정(mean field bias) 기법에 비하여 통계지표가 개선된 레이더 강수량 편의보정 결과를 도출하였다. 추가적으로 지형학적 특성에 따른 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수의 변동성을 분석하여 고도 및 이격거리에 따른 편의보정 매개변수의 지역화 공식을 제시하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 개발된 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수 산정 및 지역화 연구는 레이더 관측전략 수립과정에 유용한 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

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Vision Aided Inertial Sensor Bias Compensation for Firing Lane Alignment (사격 차선 정렬을 위한 영상 기반의 관성 센서 편차 보상)

  • Arshad, Awais;Park, Junwoo;Bang, Hyochoong;Kim, Yun-young;Kim, Heesu;Lee, Yongseon;Choi, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.617-625
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the use of movable calibration target for gyroscopic and accelerometer bias compensation of inertial measurement units for firing lane alignment. Calibration source is detected with the help of vision sensor and its information in fused with other sensors on launcher for error correction. An algorithm is proposed and tested in simulation. It has been shown that it is possible to compensate sensor biases in firing launcher in few seconds by accurately estimating the location of calibration target in inertial frame of reference.

Evidence for a decelerating cosmic expansion from supernova cosmology

  • Lee, Young-Wook
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.27.3-27.3
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    • 2021
  • Supernova (SN) cosmology is based on the assumption that the width-luminosity relation (WLR) in the type Ia SN luminosity standardization would not vary with progenitor age. Unlike this expectation, recent age datings of stellar populations in host galaxies have shown significant correlations between progenitor age and Hubble residual (HR). It was not clear, however, how this correlation arises from the SN luminosity standardization process, and how this would impact the cosmological result. Here we show that this correlation originates from a strong progenitor age dependence of the WLR and color-luminosity relation (CLR), in the sense that SNe from younger progenitors are fainter each at given light-curve parameters x1 and c. This is reminiscent of Baade's discovery of two Cepheid period-luminosity relations, and, as such, causes a serious systematic bias with redshift in SN cosmology. We illustrate that the differences between the high-z and low-z SNe in the WLR and CLR, and in HR after the standardization, are fully comparable to those between the correspondingly young and old SNe at intermediate redshift, indicating that the observed dimming of SNe with redshift is most likely an artifact of over-correction in the luminosity standardization. When this systematic bias with redshift is properly taken into account, there is no evidence left for an accelerating universe, and the SN data now support a decelerating cosmic expansion. Since the SN cosmology has long been considered as the most direct evidence for an accelerating universe with dark energy, this finding poses a serious question to one of the cornerstones of the concordance model.

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Effects of Taekwondo training on physical fitness factors in Korean elementary students: A systematic review and meta-analysis

  • Nam, Sang-Seok;Lim, Kiwon
    • Korean Journal of Exercise Nutrition
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.36-47
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    • 2019
  • [Purpose] We conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the effects of Taekwondo training on the physical fitness factors in Korean elementary students comprehensively and quantitatively. [Methods] We classified research studies published until November 2018 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines and selected a total of 17 research items; a meta-analysis of these items was then conducted. We used the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis 3.0 and Review Manager 5.3 to analyze the mean effect size, study quality, and publication bias. [Results] Taekwondo training improved the cardiopulmonary endurance, muscle endurance, and power of the elementary students, but was not practical or less useful on other physical fitness factors. The meta-regression analysis of the cardiopulmonary endurance and power items showed that the effect size was large when the sample size was small. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the sample size in interpreting the effect size for these two items. Further, during correction of the publication bias for the power items, the improvement effect by Taekwondo training was eliminated. [Conclusion] Taekwondo training is helpful for improving the cardiopulmonary endurance and muscle endurance of Korean elementary students but is not useful for other physical fitness factors.

Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics of Regional Climate Model for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (기후변화에 따른 수자원 영향 평가를 위한 Regional Climate Model 강수 계열의 특성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5B
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2008
  • Global circulation models (GCMs) have been used to study impact of climate change on water resources for hydrologic models as inputs. Recently, regional circulation models (RCMs) have been used widely for climate change study, but the RCMs have been rarely used in the climate change impacts on water resources in Korea. Therefore, this study is intended to use a set of climate scenarios derived by RegCM3 RCM ($27km{\times}27km$), which is operated by Korea Meteorological Administration. To begin with, the RCM precipitation data surrounding major rainfall stations are extracted to assess validation of the scenarios in terms of reproducing low frequency behavior. A comprehensive comparison between observation and precipitation scenario is performed through statistical analysis, wavelet transform analysis and EOF analysis. Overall analysis confirmed that the precipitation data driven by RegCM3 shows capabilities in simulating hydrological low frequency behavior and reproducing spatio-temporal patterns. However, it is found that spatio-temporal patterns are slightly biased and amplitudes (variances) from the RCMs precipitation tend to be lower than the observations. Therefore, a bias correction scheme to correct the systematic bias needs to be considered in case the RCMs are applied to water resources assessment under climate change.

Determination of Protein and Oil Contents in Soybean Seed by Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy

  • Choung, Myoung-Gun;Baek, In-Youl;Kang, Sung-Taeg;Han, Won-Young;Shin, Doo-Chull;Moon, Huhn-Pal;Kang, Kwang-Hee
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.106-111
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    • 2001
  • The applicability of near infrared reflectance spectroscopy(NIRS) was tested to determine the protein and oil contents in ground soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.] seeds. A total of 189 soybean calibration samples and 103 validation samples were used for NIRS equation development and validation, respectively. In the NIRS equation of protein, the most accurate equation was obtained at 2, 8, 6, 1(2nd derivative, 8 nm gap, 6 points smoothing and 1 point second smoothing) math treatment condition with SNV-D (Standard Normal Variate and Detrend) scatter correction method and entire spectrum by using MPLS (Modified Partial Least Squares) regression. In the case of oil, the best equation was obtained at 1, 4, 4, 1 condition with SNV-D scatter correction method and near infrared (1100-2500nm) region by using MPLS regression. Validation of these NIRS equations showed very low bias (protein:-0.016%, oil : -0.011 %) and standard error of prediction (SEP, protein: 0.437%, oil: 0.377%) and very high coefficient of determination ($R^2$, protein: 0.985, oil : 0.965). Therefore, these NIRS equation seems reliable for determining the protein and oil content, and NIRS method could be used as a mass screening method of soybean seed.

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Accuracy Analysis of SBAS Satellite Orbit and Clock Corrections using IGS Precise Ephemeris (IGS 정밀궤도력을 이용한 SBAS 위성궤도 및 시계보정정보의 정확도 분석)

  • Jeong, Myeong-Sook;Kim, Jeong-Rae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2009
  • SBAS(Satellite Based Augmentation System) provides GNSS satellite orbit and clock corrections for positioning accuracy improvement of GNSS users. In this paper, the accuracy of SBAS satellite orbit and clock corrections were analyzed by comparing with the IGS(International GNSS Service) precise ephemeris. The GPS antenna phase center offsets and the P1-C1 bias are considered for the analysis. The correction data of the US WAAS and the Japanese MSAS were analyzed. The analysis results showed that the SBAS satellite orbit and clock corrections are highly correlated. The correction data accuracy depends on the SBAS ground network size and orbit trajectories.

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Uranium Enrichment Determination Using a New Analysis Code for the U XKα Region: HyperGam-U

  • Kim, Junhyuck;Choi, Hee-Dong;Park, Jongho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.778-784
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    • 2016
  • HyperGam-U was recently developed to determine uranium enrichment based on ${\gamma}$- and X-ray spectroscopy analysis. The $XK_{\alpha}$ region of the uranium spectrum contains 13 peaks for $^{235}U$ and $^{238}U$ and is used mainly for analysis. To describe the X-ray peaks, a Lorentzian broadened shape function was used, and methods were developed to reduce the number of fitting parameters for decomposing the strongly overlapping peaks using channel-energy, energy-width, and energy-efficiency calibration functions. For validation, eight certified reference material uranium samples covering uranium enrichments from 1% to 99% were measured using a high-resolution planar high-purity germanium detector and analyzed using the HyperGam-U code. When corrections for the attenuation and true coincidence summing were performed for the detection geometry in this experiment, the goodness of fit was improved by a few percent. The enrichment bias in this study did not exceed 2% compared with the certified values for all measured samples.

Study on the Real-Time Precise Orbit Biases Correction Technique for the GPS/VRS Network

  • Li, Cheng-Gang;Huang, Ding-Fa;Zhou, Dong-Wei;Zhou, Le-Tao;Xiong, Yong-Liang;Xu, Rui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.251-254
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    • 2006
  • A precise real-time method of using the IGS ultra rapid products (IGU) and the GPS broadcast ephemeris to calculate the VRS orbit corrections was presented here which was suited for GPS/VRS reference station network based positioning. Test data acquired from both the SGRSN (Sichuan GPS Reference Station Network) and SCIGN (Southern California integrated GPS network) were used to evaluate the performance of the modeling techniques. The new method was proven to be more precise and reliable compared with the existing conventional network-based orbit error interpolation method. It was shown that 0.004ppm relative accuracy was reached, namely the influence from the orbit bias for the RTK positioning within 100km area can be of sub-millimeter level.

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