• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian update

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Viscoplasticity model stochastic parameter identification: Multi-scale approach and Bayesian inference

  • Nguyen, Cong-Uy;Hoang, Truong-Vinh;Hadzalic, Emina;Dobrilla, Simona;Matthies, Hermann G.;Ibrahimbegovic, Adnan
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.411-438
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we present the parameter identification for inelastic and multi-scale problems. First, the theoretical background of several fundamental methods used in the upscaling process is reviewed. Several key definitions including random field, Bayesian theorem, Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE), and Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter are briefly summarized. An illustrative example is given to assimilate fracture energy in a simple inelastic problem with linear hardening and softening phases. Second, the parameter identification using the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter is employed for a multi-scale problem to identify bulk and shear moduli and other material properties in a macro-scale with the data from a micro-scale as quantities of interest (QoI). The problem can also be viewed as upscaling homogenization.

A Unified Bayesian Tikhonov Regularization Method for Image Restoration (영상 복원을 위한 통합 베이즈 티코노프 정규화 방법)

  • Yoo, Jae-Hung
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.1129-1134
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    • 2016
  • This paper suggests a new method of finding regularization parameter for image restoration problems. If the prior information is not available, separate optimization functions for Tikhonov regularization parameter are suggested in the literature such as generalized cross validation and L-curve criterion. In this paper, unified Bayesian interpretation of Tikhonov regularization is introduced and applied to the image restoration problems. The relationship between Tikhonov regularization parameter and Bayesian hyper-parameters is established. Update formular for the regularization parameter using both maximum a posteriori(: MAP) and evidence frameworks is suggested. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Bayesian Inversion of Gravity and Resistivity Data: Detection of Lava Tunnel

  • Kwon, Byung-Doo;Oh, Seok-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2002
  • Bayesian inversion for gravity and resistivity data was performed to investigate the cavity structure appearing as a lava tunnel in Cheju Island, Korea. Dipole-dipole DC resistivity data were proposed for a prior information of gravity data and we applied the geostatistical techniques such as kriging and simulation algorithms to provide a prior model information and covariance matrix in data domain. The inverted resistivity section gave the indicator variogram modeling for each threshold and it provided spatial uncertainty to give a prior PDF by sequential indicator simulations. We also presented a more objective way to make data covariance matrix that reflects the state of the achieved field data by geostatistical technique, cross-validation. Then Gaussian approximation was adopted for the inference of characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters and Broyden update for simple calculation of sensitivity matrix and SVD was applied. Generally cavity investigation by geophysical exploration is difficult and success is hard to be achieved. However, this exotic multiple interpretations showed remarkable improvement and stability for interpretation when compared to data-fit alone results, and suggested the possibility of diverse application for Bayesian inversion in geophysical inverse problem.

Direction of Arrival Estimation for Desired Target to Remove Interference and Noise using MUSIC Algorithm and Bayesian Method (베이즈 방법과 뮤직 알고리즘을 이용한 간섭과 잡음제거를 위한 원하는 목표물의 도래방향 추정)

  • Lee, Kwan-Hyeong;Kang, Kyoung-Sik
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.400-404
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we study for direction of arrival MUSIC spatial spectrum algorithm in order to desired signal estimation in spatial. Proposal MUSIC spatial spectrum algorithm in paper use model error and Bayesian method to estimation on correct target position. Receiver array response vector using adaptive array antenna use Bayesian method, and target position estimate to update weight value with model error method. Target's signal estimation of desired direction of arrival in this paper apply weight value of signal covariance matrix for array response vector after removing incident signal interference and noise, respectively. Though simulation, we analyze to compare proposed method with general method.

A Classification Analysis using Bayesian Neural Network (베이지안 신경망을 이용한 분류분석)

  • Hwang, Jin-Soo;Choi, Seong-Yong;Jun, Hong-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2001
  • There are several algorithms for classification in modeling relations, patterns, and rules which exist in data. We learn to classify objects on the basis of instances presented to us, not by being given a set of classification rules. The Bayesian learning uses the probability distribution to express our knowledge about unknown parameters and update our knowledge by the law of probability as the evidence gathered from data. Also, the neural network models are designed for predicting an unknown category or quantity on the basis of known attributes by training. In this paper, we compare the misclassification error rates of Bayesian Neural Network method with those of other classification algorithms, CHAID, CART, and QUBST using several data sets.

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Seismic risk assessment of intake tower in Korea using updated fragility by Bayesian inference

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.3
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2019
  • This research aims to assess the tight seismic risk curve of the intake tower at Geumgwang reservoir by considering the recorded historical earthquake data in the Korean Peninsula. The seismic fragility, a significant part of risk assessment, is updated by using Bayesian inference to consider the uncertainties and computational efficiency. The reservoir is one of the largest reservoirs in Korea for the supply of agricultural water. The intake tower controls the release of water from the reservoir. The seismic risk assessment of the intake tower plays an important role in the risk management of the reservoir. Site-specific seismic hazard is computed based on the four different seismic source maps of Korea. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) method is used to estimate the annual exceedance rate of hazard for corresponding Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA). Hazard deaggregation is shown at two customary hazard levels. Multiple dynamic analyses and a nonlinear static pushover analysis are performed for deriving fragility parameters. Thereafter, Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used to update the fragility parameters by integrating the results of the analyses. This study proves to reduce the uncertainties associated with fragility and risk curve, and to increase significant statistical and computational efficiency. The range of seismic risk curve of the intake tower is extracted for the reservoir site by considering four different source models and updated fragility function, which can be effectively used for the risk management and mitigation of reservoir.

Bayesian Rules Based Optimal Defense Strategies for Clustered WSNs

  • Zhou, Weiwei;Yu, Bin
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.5819-5840
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    • 2018
  • Considering the topology of hierarchical tree structure, each cluster in WSNs is faced with various attacks launched by malicious nodes, which include network eavesdropping, channel interference and data tampering. The existing intrusion detection algorithm does not take into consideration the resource constraints of cluster heads and sensor nodes. Due to application requirements, sensor nodes in WSNs are deployed with approximately uncorrelated security weights. In our study, a novel and versatile intrusion detection system (IDS) for the optimal defense strategy is primarily introduced. Given the flexibility that wireless communication provides, it is unreasonable to expect malicious nodes will demonstrate a fixed behavior over time. Instead, malicious nodes can dynamically update the attack strategy in response to the IDS in each game stage. Thus, a multi-stage intrusion detection game (MIDG) based on Bayesian rules is proposed. In order to formulate the solution of MIDG, an in-depth analysis on the Bayesian equilibrium is performed iteratively. Depending on the MIDG theoretical analysis, the optimal behaviors of rational attackers and defenders are derived and calculated accurately. The numerical experimental results validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed scheme.

Seismic capacity re-evaluation of the 480V motor control center of South Korea NPPs using earthquake experience and experiment data

  • Choi, Eujeong;Kim, Min Kyu;Choi, In-Kil
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.1363-1373
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    • 2022
  • The recent seismic events that occurred in South Korea have increased the interest in the re-evaluation of the seismic capacity of nuclear power plant (NPP) equipment, which is often conservatively estimated. To date, various approaches-including the Bayesian method proposed by the United States (US) Electric Power Research Institute -have been developed to quantify the seismic capacity of NPP equipment. Among these, the Bayesian approach has advantages in accounting for both prior knowledge and new information to update the probabilistic distribution of seismic capacity. However, data availability and region-specific issues exist in applying this Bayesian approach to Korean NPP equipment. Therefore, this paper proposes to construct an earthquake experience database by combining available earthquake records at Korean NPP sites and the general location of equipment within NPPs. Also, for the better representation of the seismic demand of Korean earthquake datasets, which have distinct seismic characteristics from those of the US at a high-frequency range, a broadband frequency range optimization is suggested. The proposed data construction and seismic demand optimization method for seismic capacity re-evaluation are demonstrated and tested on a 480 V motor control center of a South Korea NPP.

Reliability Updates of Driven Piles Using Proof Pile Load Test Results (검증용 정재하시험 자료를 이용한 항타강관말뚝의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kwak, Ki-Seok;Chung, Moon-Kyung;Kim, Jun-Young;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.324-337
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    • 2010
  • For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was constructed based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability index of driven steel pile piles by adding more pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, into the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio and the total load distribution using First-order Reliability Method (FORM). The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian update are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis or resistance factors calibration.

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A Probabilistic Reasoning in Incomplete Knowledge for Theorem Proving (불완전한 지식에서 정리증명을 위한 확률추론)

  • Kim, Jin-Sang;Shin, Yang-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2001
  • We present a probabilistic reasoning method for inferring knowledge about mathematical truth before an automated theorem prover completes a proof. We use a Bayesian analysis to update beleif in truth, given theorem-proving progress, and show how decision-theoretic methods can be used to determine the value of continuing to deliberate versus taking immediate action in time-critical situations.

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