• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian test criterion

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Design of Bayesian Zero-Failure Reliability Demonstration Test and Its Application (베이지안 신뢰성입증시험 설계와 활용)

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • A Bayesian zero-failure reliability demonstration test method for products with exponential lifetime distribution is presented. Beta prior distribution for reliability of a product is used to design the Bayesian test plan and selecting a prior distribution using a prior test information is discussed. A test procedure with zero-failure acceptance criterion is developed that guarantees specified reliability of a product with given confidence level. An example is provided to illustrate the use of the developed Bayesian reliability demonstration test method.

Bayesian Testing for Independence in Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.521-527
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we consider the Bayesian hypotheses testing for independence in bivariate exponential model. In Bayesian testing problem, we use the noninformative priors for parameters which are improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. And we use the recently proposed hypotheses testing criterion called the fractional Bayes factor. Also we give some numerical results to illustrate our results.

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A Bayesian test for the first-order autocorrelations in regression analysis (회귀모형 오차항의 1차 자기상관에 대한 베이즈 검정법)

  • 김혜중;한성실
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 1998
  • This paper suggests a Bayesian method for testing first-order markov correlation among linear regression disturbances. As a Bayesian test criterion, Bayes factor is derived in the form of generalized Savage-Dickey density ratio that is easily estimated by means of posterior simulation via Gibbs sampling scheme. Performance of the Bayesian test is evaluated and examined based upon a Monte Carlo experiment and an empirical data analysis. Efficiency of the posterior simulation is also examined.

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Classical and Bayesian methods of estimation for power Lindley distribution with application to waiting time data

  • Sharma, Vikas Kumar;Singh, Sanjay Kumar;Singh, Umesh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.193-209
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    • 2017
  • The power Lindley distribution with some of its properties is considered in this article. Maximum likelihood, least squares, maximum product spacings, and Bayes estimators are proposed to estimate all the unknown parameters of the power Lindley distribution. Lindley's approximation and Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are utilized for Bayesian calculations since posterior distribution cannot be reduced to standard distribution. The performances of the proposed estimators are compared based on simulated samples. The waiting times of research articles to be accepted in statistical journals are fitted to the power Lindley distribution with other competing distributions. Chi-square statistic, Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic, Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion are used to access goodness-of-fit. It was found that the power Lindley distribution gives a better fit for the data than other distributions.

Prediction on Clusters by using Information Criterion and Multiple Seeds (정보기준과 다중 중심점을 활용한 클러스터별 예측)

  • Cho, Young-Hee;Lee, Gye-Sung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2010
  • Bayesian information criterion is used to do clustering for time series data. To acquire more stable clusters, multiple seeds are chosen first for the algorithm. Once clusters being set up, most similar time series data in the cluster to the one under consideration are to be chosen for prediction test. These chosen time series data are used to extract valid Markov rules by which we test the prediction accuracy. We confirmed that clustering with multiple seeds led to better prediction performance.

Noninformative Priors for Step Stress Accelerated Life Tests in Exponential Distribution

  • Lee, Woo-Dong;Pak, Hong-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with noninformative priors for such as Jeffres' prior, reference prior and probability matching prior for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We find the noninformative priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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Binary Segmentation Procedure for Detecting Change Points in a DNA Sequence

  • Yang Tae Young;Kim Jeongjin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2005
  • It is interesting to locate homogeneous segments within a DNA sequence. Suppose that the DNA sequence has segments within which the observations follow the same residue frequency distribution, and between which observations have different distributions. In this setting, change points correspond to the end points of these segments. This article explores the use of a binary segmentation procedure in detecting the change points in the DNA sequence. The change points are determined using a sequence of nested hypothesis tests of whether a change point exists. At each test, we compare no change-point model with a single change-point model by using the Bayesian information criterion. Thus, the method circumvents the computational complexity one would normally face in problems with an unknown number of change points. We illustrate the procedure by analyzing the genome of the bacteriophage lambda.

On a Bayes Criterion for the Goodness-of-Link Test for Binary Response Regression Models : Probit Link versus Logit Link

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.261-276
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    • 1997
  • In the context of binary response regression, the problem of constructing Bayesian goodness-of-link test for testing logit link versus probit link is considered. Based upon the well known facts that cdf of logistic variate .approx. cdf of $t_{8}$/.634 and, as .nu. .to. .infty., cdf of $t_{\nu}$ approximates to that of N(0,1), Bayes factor is derived as a test criterion. A synthesis of the Gibbs sampling and a marginal likelihood estimation scheme is also proposed to compute the Bayes factor. Performance of the test is investigated via Monte Carlo study. The new test is also illustrated with an empirical data example.e.

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An objective Bayesian analysis for multiple step stress accelerated life tests

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.601-614
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    • 2009
  • This paper derives noninformative priors for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We nd the objective priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior. Some simulation results are given and using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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BAYESIAN TEST FOR THE EQUALITY OF THE MEANS AND VARIANCES OF THE TWO NORMAL POPULATIONS WITH VARIANCES RELATED TO THE MEANS USING NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.271-288
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, when the variance of the normal distribution is related to the mean, we develop noninformative priors such as matching priors and reference priors. We prove that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the same order and also it is a HPD matching prior. It turns out that one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Then using these noninformative priors, we develop a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of the means and variances of two independent normal distributions using fractional Bayes factor. Some simulation study is performed, and a real data example is also provided.