• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian regularization

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Combining SWAT model with artificial neural networks for modelling a daily discharge (일 유출량 해석을 위한 SWAT 모형과 인공신경망의 연계)

  • Lee, Do-Hun;Kim, Nam-Won;Jung, Il-Moon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.195-195
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    • 2012
  • 인공신경망 모형은 복잡하고 비선형의 입력과 출력 관계를 잘 반영할 수 있어서 유출 모델링에 널리 적용되어 왔다. 그러나 인공신경망 모형은 강우나 유역특성의 공간적 분포를 반영하는 것이 어려우며 물리적 개념이 결여되어 있는 단점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 유역특성과 물리적 개념을 반영할 수 있는 물리기반 모형과 인공신경망 모형의 장점들을 조합하여 물리기반 모형의 일 유출량 해석 능력을 향상하기 위하여 SWAT 모형과 인공신경망(ANN)을 연계하였다. SWAT-ANN 연계모형은 두 단계로 구성되어 진다. 첫 번째 단계에서는 관측 자료를 이용하여 SWAT 모형을 보정한다. 두 번째 단계에서는 첫 번째 단계에서 계산한 소유역별 SWAT 모형의 유출결과를 ANN의 입력자료로 이용하여 SWAT-ANN 연계모형을 구축한다. SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 적용하여 SWAT 모형의 매개변수들을 보정하였고, ANN 학습은 3층의 feed-forward 역전파 알고리즘에 기초한 Bayesian Regularization 방법을 적용하였다. ANN 은닉층의 뉴런 및 전달함수는 시행착오를 통하여 적절한 ANN 구조를 설정하여 SWAT-ANN 연계모형의 일유출량을 모의하였다. 여러 가지 통계적 오차기준을 이용하여 보청천 유역에서 SWAT-ANN 연계모형의 결과와 SWAT 단독 모형의 결과를 비교하였다. SWAT-ANN 연계모형이 SWAT 단독 모형보다 더 우수한 결과를 나타내어 일 유출량 해석을 위한 SWAT-ANN 연계모형의 유용성을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Differentiation among stability regimes of alumina-water nanofluids using smart classifiers

  • Daryayehsalameh, Bahador;Ayari, Mohamed Arselene;Tounsi, Abdelouahed;Khandakar, Amith;Vaferi, Behzad
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2022
  • Nanofluids have recently triggered a substantial scientific interest as cooling media. However, their stability is challenging for successful engagement in industrial applications. Different factors, including temperature, nanoparticles and base fluids characteristics, pH, ultrasonic power and frequency, agitation time, and surfactant type and concentration, determine the nanofluid stability regime. Indeed, it is often too complicated and even impossible to accurately find the conditions resulting in a stabilized nanofluid. Furthermore, there are no empirical, semi-empirical, and even intelligent scenarios for anticipating the stability of nanofluids. Therefore, this study introduces a straightforward and reliable intelligent classifier for discriminating among the stability regimes of alumina-water nanofluids based on the Zeta potential margins. In this regard, various intelligent classifiers (i.e., deep learning and multilayer perceptron neural network, decision tree, GoogleNet, and multi-output least squares support vector regression) have been designed, and their classification accuracy was compared. This comparison approved that the multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) with the SoftMax activation function trained by the Bayesian regularization algorithm is the best classifier for the considered task. This intelligent classifier accurately detects the stability regimes of more than 90% of 345 different nanofluid samples. The overall classification accuracy and misclassification percent of 90.1% and 9.9% have been achieved by this model. This research is the first try toward anticipting the stability of water-alumin nanofluids from some easily measured independent variables.

An artificial intelligence-based design model for circular CFST stub columns under axial load

  • Ipek, Suleyman;Erdogan, Aysegul;Guneyisi, Esra Mete
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.119-139
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to use the artificial intelligence approach to develop a new model for predicting the ultimate axial strength of the circular concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST) stub columns. For this, the results of 314 experimentally tested circular CFST stub columns were employed in the generation of the design model. Since the influence of the column diameter, steel tube thickness, concrete compressive strength, steel tube yield strength, and column length on the ultimate axial strengths of columns were investigated in these experimental studies, here, in the development of the design model, these variables were taken into account as input parameters. The model was developed using the backpropagation algorithm named Bayesian Regularization. The accuracy, reliability, and consistency of the developed model were evaluated statistically, and also the design formulae given in the codes (EC4, ACI, AS, AIJ, and AISC) and the previous empirical formulations proposed by other researchers were used for the validation and comparison purposes. Based on this evaluation, it can be expressed that the developed design model has a strong and reliable prediction performance with a considerably high coefficient of determination (R-squared) value of 0.9994 and a low average percent error of 4.61. Besides, the sensitivity of the developed model was also monitored in terms of dimensional properties of columns and mechanical characteristics of materials. As a consequence, it can be stated that for the design of the ultimate axial capacity of the circular CFST stub columns, a novel artificial intelligence-based design model with a good and robust prediction performance was proposed herein.

Prediction of aerodynamic coefficients of streamlined bridge decks using artificial neural network based on CFD dataset

  • Severin Tinmitonde;Xuhui He;Lei Yan;Cunming Ma;Haizhu Xiao
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2023
  • Aerodynamic force coefficients are generally obtained from traditional wind tunnel tests or computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Unfortunately, the techniques mentioned above can sometimes be cumbersome because of the cost involved, such as the computational cost and the use of heavy equipment, to name only two examples. This study proposed to build a deep neural network model to predict the aerodynamic force coefficients based on data collected from CFD simulations to overcome these drawbacks. Therefore, a series of CFD simulations were conducted using different geometric parameters to obtain the aerodynamic force coefficients, validated with wind tunnel tests. The results obtained from CFD simulations were used to create a dataset to train a multilayer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) model. The models were obtained using three optimization algorithms: scaled conjugate gradient (SCG), Bayesian regularization (BR), and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithms (LM). Furthermore, the performance of each neural network was verified using two performance metrics, including the mean square error and the R-squared coefficient of determination. Finally, the ANN model proved to be highly accurate in predicting the force coefficients of similar bridge sections, thus circumventing the computational burden associated with CFD simulation and the cost of traditional wind tunnel tests.

Predicting unconfined compression strength and split tensile strength of soil-cement via artificial neural networks

  • Luis Pereira;Luis Godinho;Fernando G. Branco
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.611-624
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    • 2023
  • Soil properties make it attractive as a building material due to its mechanical strength, aesthetically appearance, plasticity, and low cost. However, it is frequently necessary to improve and stabilize the soil mechanical properties with binders. Soil-cement is applied for purposes ranging from housing to dams, roads and foundations. Unconfined compression strength (UCS) and split tensile strength (CD) are essential mechanical parameters for ascertaining the aptitude of soil-cement for a given application. However, quantifying these parameters requires specimen preparation, testing, and several weeks. Methodologies that allowed accurate estimation of mechanical parameters in shorter time would represent an important advance in order to ensure shorter deliverable timeline and reduce the amount of laboratory work. In this work, an extensive campaign of UCS and CD tests was carried out in a sandy soil from the Leiria region (Portugal). Then, using the machine learning tool Neural Pattern Recognition of the MATLAB software, a prediction of these two parameters based on six input parameters was made. The results, especially those obtained with resource to a Bayesian regularization-backpropagation algorithm, are frankly positive, with a forecast success percentage over 90% and very low root mean square error (RMSE).

Hybrid GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods for accurate prediction of uniaxial compression capacity of CFDST columns

  • Quang-Viet Vu;Sawekchai Tangaramvong;Thu Huynh Van;George Papazafeiropoulos
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.759-779
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    • 2023
  • The paper proposes two hybrid metaheuristic optimization and artificial neural network (ANN) methods for the close prediction of the ultimate axial compressive capacity of concentrically loaded concrete filled double skin steel tube (CFDST) columns. Two metaheuristic optimization, namely genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), approaches enable the dynamic training architecture underlying an ANN model by optimizing the number and sizes of hidden layers as well as the weights and biases of the neurons, simultaneously. The former is termed as GA-ANN, and the latter as PSO-ANN. These techniques utilize the gradient-based optimization with Bayesian regularization that enhances the optimization process. The proposed GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods construct the predictive ANNs from 125 available experimental datasets and present the superior performance over standard ANNs. Both the hybrid GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods are encoded within a user-friendly graphical interface that can reliably map out the accurate ultimate axial compressive capacity of CFDST columns with various geometry and material parameters.

Application of 3D magnetotelluric investigation for geothermal exploration - Examples in Japan and Korea

  • Uchida Toshihiro;Song Yoonho;Mitsuhata Yuji;Lee Seong Kon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.390-397
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    • 2003
  • A three-dimensional (3D) inversion technique has been developed for interpretation of magnetotelluric (MT) data. The inversion method is based on the linearized least-squares (Gauss-Newton) method with smoothness regularization. In addition to the underground 3D resistivity distribution, static shifts are also treated as unknown parameters in the inversion. The forward modeling is by the staggered-grid finite difference method. A Bayesian criterion ABle is applied to search the optimum trade-off among the minimization of the data misfit, model roughness and static shifts. The method has been applied to several MT datasets obtained at geothermal fields in Japan and other Asian countries. In this paper, two examples will be discussed: one is the data at the Ogiri geothermal area, southwestern Japan, and the other is at the Pohang low-enthalpy geothermal field, southeastern Korea. The inversion of the Ogiri data has been performed stably, resulting in a good fitting between the observed and computed apparent resistivities and phases. The recovered 3D resistivity structure is generally similar to the two-dimensional (2D) inversion models, although the deeper portion of the 3D model seems to be more realistic than that of the 2D model. The 3D model is also in a good agreement with the geological model of the geothermal reservoirs. 3D interpretation of the Pohang MT data is still preliminary. Although the fitting to the observed data is very good, the preliminary 3D model is not reliable enough because the station coverage is not sufficient for a 3D inversion.

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Elastic modulus of ASR-affected concrete: An evaluation using Artificial Neural Network

  • Nguyen, Thuc Nhu;Yu, Yang;Li, Jianchun;Gowripalan, Nadarajah;Sirivivatnanon, Vute
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.541-553
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    • 2019
  • Alkali-silica reaction (ASR) in concrete can induce degradation in its mechanical properties, leading to compromised serviceability and even loss in load capacity of concrete structures. Compared to other properties, ASR often affects the modulus of elasticity more significantly. Several empirical models have thus been established to estimate elastic modulus reduction based on the ASR expansion only for condition assessment and capacity evaluation of the distressed structures. However, it has been observed from experimental studies in the literature that for any given level of ASR expansion, there are significant variations on the measured modulus of elasticity. In fact, many other factors, such as cement content, reactive aggregate type, exposure condition, additional alkali and concrete strength, have been commonly known in contribution to changes of concrete elastic modulus due to ASR. In this study, an artificial intelligent model using artificial neural network (ANN) is proposed for the first time to provide an innovative approach for evaluation of the elastic modulus of ASR-affected concrete, which is able to take into account contribution of several influence factors. By intelligently fusing multiple information, the proposed ANN model can provide an accurate estimation of the modulus of elasticity, which shows a significant improvement from empirical based models used in current practice. The results also indicate that expansion due to ASR is not the only factor contributing to the stiffness change, and various factors have to be included during the evaluation.

Modelling of starch industry wastewater microfiltration parameters by neural network

  • Jokic, Aleksandar I.;Seres, Laslo L.;Milovic, Nemanja R.;Seres, Zita I.;Maravic, Nikola R.;Saranovic, Zana;Dokic, Ljubica P.
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2018
  • Artificial neural network (ANN) simulation is used to predict the dynamic change of permeate flux during wheat starch industry wastewater microfiltration with and without static turbulence promoter. The experimental program spans range of a sedimentation times from 2 to 4 h, for feed flow rates 50 to 150 L/h, at transmembrane pressures covering the range of $1{\times}10^5$ to $3{\times}10^5Pa$. ANN predictions of the wastewater microfiltration are compared with experimental results obtained using two different set of microfiltration experiments, with and without static turbulence promoter. The effects of the training algorithm, neural network architectures on the ANN performance are discussed. For the most of the cases considered, the ANN proved to be an adequate interpolation tool, where an excellent prediction was obtained using automated Bayesian regularization as training algorithm. The optimal ANN architecture was determined as 4-10-1 with hyperbolic tangent sigmoid transfer function transfer function for hidden and output layers. The error distributions of data revealed that experimental results are in very good agreement with computed ones with only 2% data points had absolute relative error greater than 20% for the microfiltration without static turbulence promoter whereas for the microfiltration with static turbulence promoter it was 1%. The contribution of filtration time variable to flux values provided by ANNs was determined in an important level at the range of 52-66% due to increased membrane fouling by the time. In the case of microfiltration with static turbulence promoter, relative importance of transmembrane pressure and feed flow rate increased for about 30%.

Target-free vision-based approach for vibration measurement and damage identification of truss bridges

  • Dong Tan;Zhenghao Ding;Jun Li;Hong Hao
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.421-436
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    • 2023
  • This paper presents a vibration displacement measurement and damage identification method for a space truss structure from its vibration videos. Features from Accelerated Segment Test (FAST) algorithm is combined with adaptive threshold strategy to detect the feature points of high quality within the Region of Interest (ROI), around each node of the truss structure. Then these points are tracked by Kanade-Lucas-Tomasi (KLT) algorithm along the video frame sequences to obtain the vibration displacement time histories. For some cases with the image plane not parallel to the truss structural plane, the scale factors cannot be applied directly. Therefore, these videos are processed with homography transformation. After scale factor adaptation, tracking results are expressed in physical units and compared with ground truth data. The main operational frequencies and the corresponding mode shapes are identified by using Subspace Stochastic Identification (SSI) from the obtained vibration displacement responses and compared with ground truth data. Structural damages are quantified by elemental stiffness reductions. A Bayesian inference-based objective function is constructed based on natural frequencies to identify the damage by model updating. The Success-History based Adaptive Differential Evolution with Linear Population Size Reduction (L-SHADE) is applied to minimise the objective function by tuning the damage parameter of each element. The locations and severities of damage in each case are then identified. The accuracy and effectiveness are verified by comparison of the identified results with the ground truth data.