• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Algorithm

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Semiparametric Bayesian Regression Model for Multiple Event Time Data

  • Kim, Yongdai
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2002
  • This paper is concerned with semiparametric Bayesian analysis of the proportional intensity regression model of the Poisson process for multiple event time data. A nonparametric prior distribution is put on the baseline cumulative intensity function and a usual parametric prior distribution is given to the regression parameter. Also we allow heterogeneity among the intensity processes in different subjects by using unobserved random frailty components. Gibbs sampling approach with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is used to explore the posterior distributions. Finally, the results are applied to a real data set.

Using Bayesian tree-based model integrated with genetic algorithm for streamflow forecasting in an urban basin

  • Nguyen, Duc Hai;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.140-140
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    • 2021
  • Urban flood management is a crucial and challenging task, particularly in developed cities. Therefore, accurate prediction of urban flooding under heavy precipitation is critically important to address such a challenge. In recent years, machine learning techniques have received considerable attention for their strong learning ability and suitability for modeling complex and nonlinear hydrological processes. Moreover, a survey of the published literature finds that hybrid computational intelligent methods using nature-inspired algorithms have been increasingly employed to predict or simulate the streamflow with high reliability. The present study is aimed to propose a novel approach, an ensemble tree, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model incorporating a nature-inspired algorithm to predict hourly multi-step ahead streamflow. For this reason, a hybrid intelligent model was developed, namely GA-BART, containing BART model integrating with Genetic algorithm (GA). The Jungrang urban basin located in Seoul, South Korea, was selected as a case study for the purpose. A database was established based on 39 heavy rainfall events during 2003 and 2020 that collected from the rain gauges and monitoring stations system in the basin. For the goal of this study, the different step ahead models will be developed based in the methods, including 1-hour, 2-hour, 3-hour, 4-hour, 5-hour, and 6-hour step ahead streamflow predictions. In addition, the comparison of the hybrid BART model with a baseline model such as super vector regression models is examined in this study. It is expected that the hybrid BART model has a robust performance and can be an optional choice in streamflow forecasting for urban basins.

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A Review on the Analysis of Life Data Based on Bayesian Method: 2000~2016 (베이지안 기법에 기반한 수명자료 분석에 관한 문헌 연구: 2000~2016)

  • Won, Dong-Yeon;Lim, Jun Hyoung;Sim, Hyun Su;Sung, Si-il;Lim, Heonsang;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.

A Study on the Gesture Recognition Using the Particle Filter Algorithm (Particle Filter를 이용한 제스처 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Yang-Weon;Kim, Chul-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.2032-2038
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    • 2006
  • The recognition of human gestures in image sequences is an important and challenging problem that enables a host of human-computer interaction applications. This paper describes a gesture recognition algorithm based on the particle filters, namely CONDENSATION. The particle filter is more efficient than any other tracking algorithm because the tracking mechanism follows Bayesian estimation rule of conditional probability propagation. We used two models for the evaluation of particle Inter and apply the MATLAB for the preprocessing of the image sequence. But we implement the particle filter using the C++ to get the high speed processing. In the experimental results, it is demonstrated that the proposed algorithm prove to be robust in the cluttered environment.

A Study on the Gesture Recognition Based on the Particle Filter Using CONDENSATION Algorithm (CONDENSATION 알고리즘을 이용한 입자필터 기반 동작 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Yang-Weon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.584-591
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    • 2007
  • The recognition of human gestures in image sequences is an important and challenging problem that enables a host of human-computer interaction applications. This paper describes a gesture recognition algorithm based on the particle filters, namely CONDENSATION. The particle filter is more efficient than any other tracking algorithm because the tracking mechanism follows Bayesian estimation rule of conditional probability propagation. We used two models for the evaluation of particle filter and apply the MAILAB for the preprocessing of the image sequence. But we implement the particle filter using the C++ to get the high speed processing. In the experimental results, it is demonstrated that the proposed algorithm prove to be robust in the cluttered environment.

Performance Prediction of Multiple Hypothesis Tracking Algorithm (다중 가설 추적 알고리듬의 추적 성능예측)

  • 정영헌
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2003.07c
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    • pp.2787-2790
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we predict tracking performance of the multiple hypothesis tracking (MHT) algorithm. The MHT algorithm is known to be an optimal Bayesian approach and is superior to asly other tracking filters because it takes into account the events that the measurements can be originated from new targets and false alarms 3s well as interesting targets. In the MHT algorithm, a number of candidate hypotheses are generated and evaluated later as more data are received. The probability of each candidate hypotheses is approximately evaluated by using the hybrid conditional average approach (HYCA). We performed numerical experiments to show the validity of our performance prediction.

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The Pattern Recognition Methods for Emotion Recognition with Speech Signal (음성신호를 이용한 감성인식에서의 패턴인식 방법)

  • Park Chang-Hyun;Sim Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.284-288
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we apply several pattern recognition algorithms to emotion recognition system with speech signal and compare the results. Firstly, we need emotional speech databases. Also, speech features for emotion recognition is determined on the database analysis step. Secondly, recognition algorithms are applied to these speech features. The algorithms we try are artificial neural network, Bayesian learning, Principal Component Analysis, LBG algorithm. Thereafter, the performance gap of these methods is presented on the experiment result section. Truly, emotion recognition technique is not mature. That is, the emotion feature selection, relevant classification method selection, all these problems are disputable. So, we wish this paper to be a reference for the disputes.

Terrain Classification for Enhancing Mobility of Outdoor Mobile Robot (실외 주행 로봇의 이동 성능 개선을 위한 지형 분류)

  • Kim, Ja-Young;Lee, Jong-Hwa;Lee, Ji-Hong;Kweon, In-So
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 2010
  • One of the requirements for autonomous vehicles on off-road is to move stably in unstructured environments. Such capacity of autonomous vehicles is one of the most important abilities in consideration of mobility. So, many researchers use contact and/or non-contact methods to determine a terrain whether the vehicle can move on or not. In this paper we introduce an algorithm to classify terrains using visual information(one of the non-contacting methods). As a pre-processing, a contrast enhancement technique is introduced to improve classification of terrain. Also, for conducting classification algorithm, training images are grouped according to materials of the surface, and then Bayesian classification are applied to new images to determine membership to each group. In addition to the classification, we can build Traversability map specified by friction coefficients on which autonomous vehicles can decide to go or not. Experiments are made with Load-Cell to determine real friction coefficients of various terrains.

Bayesian Parameter Estimation using the MCMC method for the Mean Change Model of Multivariate Normal Random Variates

  • Oh, Mi-Ra;Kim, Eoi-Lyoung;Sim, Jung-Wook;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2004
  • In this thesis, Bayesian parameter estimation procedure is discussed for the mean change model of multivariate normal random variates under the assumption of noninformative priors for all the parameters. Parameters are estimated by Gibbs sampling method. In Gibbs sampler, the change point parameter is generated by Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We apply our methodology to numerical data to examine it.

The Pattern Recognition Methods for Emotion Recognition with Speech Signal (음성신호를 이용한 감성인식에서의 패턴인식 방법)

  • Park Chang-Hyeon;Sim Gwi-Bo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.347-350
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we apply several pattern recognition algorithms to emotion recognition system with speech signal and compare the results. Firstly, we need emotional speech databases. Also, speech features for emotion recognition is determined on the database analysis step. Secondly, recognition algorithms are applied to these speech features. The algorithms we try are artificial neural network, Bayesian learning, Principal Component Analysis, LBG algorithm. Thereafter, the performance gap of these methods is presented on the experiment result section. Truly, emotion recognition technique is not mature. That is, the emotion feature selection, relevant classification method selection, all these problems are disputable. So, we wish this paper to be a reference for the disputes.

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