• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes method

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Evaluation of Genome Based Estimated Breeding Values for Meat Quality in a Berkshire Population Using High Density Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Chips

  • Baby, S.;Hyeong, K.E.;Lee, Y.M.;Jung, J.H.;Oh, D.Y.;Nam, K.C.;Kim, T.H.;Lee, H.K.;Kim, Jong-Joo
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.1540-1547
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    • 2014
  • The accuracy of genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV) was evaluated for sixteen meat quality traits in a Berkshire population (n = 1,191) that was collected from Dasan breeding farm, Namwon, Korea. The animals were genotyped with the Illumina porcine 62 K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) bead chips, in which a set of 36,605 SNPs were available after quality control tests. Two methods were applied to evaluate GEBV accuracies, i.e. genome based linear unbiased prediction method (GBLUP) and Bayes B, using ASREML 3.0 and Gensel 4.0 software, respectively. The traits composed different sets of training (both genotypes and phenotypes) and testing (genotypes only) data. Under the GBLUP model, the GEBV accuracies for the training data ranged from $0.42{\pm}0.08$ for collagen to $0.75{\pm}0.02$ for water holding capacity with an average of $0.65{\pm}0.04$ across all the traits. Under the Bayes B model, the GEBV accuracy ranged from $0.10{\pm}0.14$ for National Pork Producers Council (NPCC) marbling score to $0.76{\pm}0.04$ for drip loss, with an average of $0.49{\pm}0.10$. For the testing samples, the GEBV accuracy had an average of $0.46{\pm}0.10$ under the GBLUP model, ranging from $0.20{\pm}0.18$ for protein to $0.65{\pm}0.06$ for drip loss. Under the Bayes B model, the GEBV accuracy ranged from $0.04{\pm}0.09$ for NPCC marbling score to $0.72{\pm}0.05$ for drip loss with an average of $0.38{\pm}0.13$. The GEBV accuracy increased with the size of the training data and heritability. In general, the GEBV accuracies under the Bayes B model were lower than under the GBLUP model, especially when the training sample size was small. Our results suggest that a much greater training sample size is needed to get better GEBV accuracies for the testing samples.

X-ray Absorptiometry Image Enhancement using Sparse Representation (Sparse 표현을 이용한 X선 흡수 영상 개선)

  • Kim, Hyungil;Eom, Wonyong;Ro, Yong Man
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.1205-1211
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the evaluating method of the bone mineral density (BMD) in X-ray absorptiometry image has been studied for the early diagnosis of osteoporosis which is known as a metabolic disease. The BMD, in general, is evaluated by calculating pixel intensity in the bone segmented regions. Accurate bone region extraction is extremely crucial for the BMD evaluation. So, a X-Ray image enhancement is needed to get precise bone segmentation. In this paper, we propose an image enhancement method of X-ray image having multiple noise based sparse representation. To evaluate the performance of proposed method, we employ the contrast to noise ratio (CNR) metric and cut-view graphs visualizing image enhancement performance. Experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms the BayesShrink noise reduction methods and the previous noise reduction method in sparse representation with general noise model.

The Modified LVQ method for Performance Improvement of Pattern Classification (패턴 분류 성능을 개선하기 위한 수정된 LVQ 방식)

  • Eom Ki-Hwan;Jung Kyung-Kwon;Chung Sung-Boo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.43 no.2 s.308
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the modified LVQ method for performance improvement of pattern classification. The proposed method uses the skewness of probability distribution between the input vectors and the reference vectors. During training, the reference vectors are closest to the input vectors using the probabilistic distribution of the input vectors, and they are positioned to approximate the decision surfaces of the theoretical Bayes classifier. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, we performed experiments on the Gaussian distribution data set, and the Fisher's IRIS data set. The experimental results show that the proposed method considerably improves on the performance of the LVQ1, LVQ2, and GLVQ.

Model selection method for categorical data with non-response (무응답을 가지고 있는 범주형 자료에 대한 모형 선택 방법)

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Choi, Bo-Seung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.627-641
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    • 2012
  • We consider a model estimation and model selection methods for the multi-way contingency table data with non-response or missing values. We also consider hierarchical Bayesian model in order to handle a boundary solution problem that can happen in the maximum likelihood estimation under non-ignorable non-response model and we deal with a model selection method to find the best model for the data. We utilized Bayes factors to handle model selection problem under Bayesian approach. We applied proposed method to the pre-election survey for the 2004 Korean National Assembly race. As a result, we got the non-ignorable non-response model was favored and the variable of voting intention was most suitable.

Comparison of genome-wide association and genomic prediction methods for milk production traits in Korean Holstein cattle

  • Lee, SeokHyun;Dang, ChangGwon;Choy, YunHo;Do, ChangHee;Cho, Kwanghyun;Kim, Jongjoo;Kim, Yousam;Lee, Jungjae
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.32 no.7
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    • pp.913-921
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The objectives of this study were to compare identified informative regions through two genome-wide association study (GWAS) approaches and determine the accuracy and bias of the direct genomic value (DGV) for milk production traits in Korean Holstein cattle, using two genomic prediction approaches: single-step genomic best linear unbiased prediction (ss-GBLUP) and Bayesian Bayes-B. Methods: Records on production traits such as adjusted 305-day milk (MY305), fat (FY305), and protein (PY305) yields were collected from 265,271 first parity cows. After quality control, 50,765 single-nucleotide polymorphic genotypes were available for analysis. In GWAS for ss-GBLUP (ssGWAS) and Bayes-B (BayesGWAS), the proportion of genetic variance for each 1-Mb genomic window was calculated and used to identify informative genomic regions. Accuracy of the DGV was estimated by a five-fold cross-validation with random clustering. As a measure of accuracy for DGV, we also assessed the correlation between DGV and deregressed-estimated breeding value (DEBV). The bias of DGV for each method was obtained by determining regression coefficients. Results: A total of nine and five significant windows (1 Mb) were identified for MY305 using ssGWAS and BayesGWAS, respectively. Using ssGWAS and BayesGWAS, we also detected multiple significant regions for FY305 (12 and 7) and PY305 (14 and 2), respectively. Both single-step DGV and Bayes DGV also showed somewhat moderate accuracy ranges for MY305 (0.32 to 0.34), FY305 (0.37 to 0.39), and PY305 (0.35 to 0.36) traits, respectively. The mean biases of DGVs determined using the single-step and Bayesian methods were $1.50{\pm}0.21$ and $1.18{\pm}0.26$ for MY305, $1.75{\pm}0.33$ and $1.14{\pm}0.20$ for FY305, and $1.59{\pm}0.20$ and $1.14{\pm}0.15$ for PY305, respectively. Conclusion: From the bias perspective, we believe that genomic selection based on the application of Bayesian approaches would be more suitable than application of ss-GBLUP in Korean Holstein populations.

Sampling Based Approach to Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Reliability Function

  • Younshik Chung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 1995
  • For the stress-strengh function, hierarchical Bayes estimations considered under squared error loss and entropy loss. In particular, the desired marginal postrior densities ate obtained via Gibbs sampler, an iterative Monte Carlo method, and Normal approximation (by Delta method). A simulation is presented.

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BAYES EMPIRICAL BAYES ESTIMATION OF A PROPORT10N UNDER NONIGNORABLE NONRESPONSE

  • Choi, Jai-Won;Nandram, Balgobin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.121-150
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    • 2003
  • The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) is one of the surveys used to assess the health status of the US population. One indicator of the nation's health is the total number of doctor visits made by the household members in the past year, There is a substantial nonresponse among the sampled households, and the main issue we address here is that the nonrespones mechanism should not be ignored because respondents and nonrespondents differ. It is standard practice to summarize the number of doctor visits by the binary variable of no doctor visit versus at least one doctor visit by a household for each of the fifty states and the District of Columbia. We consider a nonignorable nonresponse model that expresses uncertainty about ignorability through the ratio of odds of a household doctor visit among respondents to the odds of doctor visit among all households. This is a hierarchical model in which a nonignorable nonresponse model is centered on an ignorable nonresponse model. Another feature of this model is that it permits us to "borrow strength" across states as in small area estimation; this helps because some of the parameters are weakly identified. However, for simplicity we assume that the hyperparameters are fixed but unknown, and these hyperparameters are estimated by the EM algorithm; thereby making our method Bayes empirical Bayes. Our main result is that for some of the states the nonresponse mechanism can be considered non-ignorable, and that 95% credible intervals of the probability of a household doctor visit and the probability that a household responds shed important light on the NHIS.

A High Order Product Approximation Method based on the Minimization of Upper Bound of a Bayes Error Rate and Its Application to the Combination of Numeral Recognizers (베이스 에러율의 상위 경계 최소화에 기반한 고차 곱 근사 방법과 숫자 인식기 결합에의 적용)

  • Kang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.681-687
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    • 2001
  • In order to raise a class discrimination power by combining multiple classifiers under the Bayesian decision theory, the upper bound of a Bayes error rate bounded by the conditional entropy of a class variable and decision variables obtained from training data samples should be minimized. Wang and Wong proposed a tree dependence first-order approximation scheme of a high order probability distribution composed of the class and multiple feature pattern variables for minimizing the upper bound of the Bayes error rate. This paper presents an extended high order product approximation scheme dealing with higher order dependency more than the first-order tree dependence, based on the minimization of the upper bound of the Bayes error rate. Multiple recognizers for unconstrained handwritten numerals from CENPARMI were combined by the proposed approximation scheme using the Bayesian formalism, and the high recognition rates were obtained by them.

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Development and application of dam inflow prediction method using Bayesian theory (베이지안 이론을 활용한 댐 유입량 예측기법 개발 및 적용)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.87-87
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    • 2017
  • 최근 이상기후로 인해 국내 가뭄피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 미래 가뭄의 심도 및 지속시간은 증가할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 특히 우리나라는 용수공급의 56.5%를 댐에 의존하여 댐 유역의 가뭄은 생 공 농업용수 공급제한 등의 광범위한 피해를 발생시킬 수 있다. 다만 가뭄은 홍수와 달리 진행속도가 비교적 느리기 때문에 사전에 정확한 댐 유입량 예측이 가능하다면, 용수공급량 조정을 통해 피해를 최소화할 수 있다. 국내에서는 댐 유입량 예측에 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) 기법을 활용하고 있으며, ESP 기법은 과거 기상자료를 기반으로 미래를 예측하기 때문에 기상자료, 초기수문조건, 매개변수 등에 불확실성을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 베이지안 이론을 이용하여 댐 예측유입량의 정확도 향상기법을 개발하고 예측성을 평가하고자 하며, 강우유출모델은 ABCD를 활용하였다. 대상유역은 국내의 대표 다목적댐인 충주댐 유역을 선정하였으며, 기상자료는 기상청, 국토교통부 및 한국수자원공사의 지점자료를 수집하였다. 예측성 평가기법으로는 도시적 분석방법인 시계열 분석, 통계적 분석방법인 Skill Score (SS)를 활용하였다. 시계열 분석 결과 ESP 댐 예측유입량(ESP)은 매년 월별 전망값의 큰 차이가 없었으며, 다우년 및 과우년의 예측성이 떨어지는 것으로 나타났다. 베이지안 기반의 댐 예측유입량(BAYES-ESP)는 ESP의 과소모의하는 경향을 보정하였으며, 다우년에 예측성이 향상되었다. 월별 평균 댐 관측유입량과 ESP, BAYES-ESP의 SS 비교분석 결과 ESP는 유입량 값이 적은 1, 2, 3월에 SS가 양의 값을 가졌으며, 이외의 월에는 음의 값으로 나타났다. BAYES-ESP는 ESP와 관측값이 비교적 선형관계를 나타내는 1, 2, 3월에 ESP의 예측성을 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. ESP 기법은 강수량의 월별, 계절별 변동성이 큰 우리나라에 적용하기에는 예측성의 한계가 있었으며, 이를 개선한 BAYES-ESP 기법은 댐 유입량 예측 연구에 가치가 있는 것으로 판단된다.

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On the Parcel Loading System of Naive Bayes-LSTM Model Based Predictive Maintenance Platform for Operational Safety and Reliability (Naive Bayes-LSTM 기반 예지정비 플랫폼 적용을 통한 화물 상차 시스템의 운영 안전성 및 신뢰성 확보 연구)

  • Sunwoo Hwang;Jinoh Kim;Junwoo Choi;Youngmin Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2023
  • Recently, due to the expansion of the logistics industry, demand for logistics automation equipment is increasing. The modern logistics industry is a high-tech industry that combines various technologies. In general, as various technologies are grafted, the complexity of the system increases, and the occurrence rate of defects and failures also increases. As such, it is time for a predictive maintenance model specialized for logistics automation equipment. In this paper, in order to secure the operational safety and reliability of the parcel loading system, a predictive maintenance platform was implemented based on the Naive Bayes-LSTM(Long Short Term Memory) model. The predictive maintenance platform presented in this paper works by collecting data and receiving data based on a RabbitMQ, loading data in an InMemory method using a Redis, and managing snapshot DB in real time. Also, in this paper, as a verification of the Naive Bayes-LSTM predictive maintenance platform, the function of measuring the time for data collection/storage/processing and determining outliers/normal values was confirmed. The predictive maintenance platform can contribute to securing reliability and safety by identifying potential failures and defects that may occur in the operation of the parcel loading system in the future.