• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes Model

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A Bayes Rule for Determining the Number of Common Factors in Oblique Factor Model

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2000
  • Consider the oblique factor model X=Af+$\varepsilon$, with defining relation $\Sigma$$\Phi$Λ'+Ψ. This paper is concerned with suggesting an optimal Bayes criterion for determining the number of factors in the model, i.e. dimension of the vector f. The use of marginal likelihood as a method for calculating posterior probability of each model with given dimension is developed under a generalized conjugate prior. Then based on an appropriate loss function, a Bayes rule is developed by use of the posterior probabilities. It is shown that the approach is straightforward to specify distributionally and to imploement computationally, with output readily adopted for constructing required cirterion.

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PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF INFORMATION CRITERIA FOR THE NAIVE-BAYES MODEL IN THE CASE OF LATENT CLASS ANALYSIS: A MONTE CARLO STUDY

  • Dias, Jose G.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.435-445
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    • 2007
  • This paper addresses for the first time the use of complete data information criteria in unsupervised learning of the Naive-Bayes model. A Monte Carlo study sets a large experimental design to assess these criteria, unusual in the Bayesian network literature. The simulation results show that complete data information criteria underperforms the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for these Bayesian networks.

Bayes Estimation in a Hierarchical Linear Model

  • Park, Kuey-Chung;Chang, In-Hong;Kim, Byung-Hwee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1998
  • In the problem of estimating a vector of unknown regression coefficients under the sum of squared error losses in a hierarchical linear model, we propose the hierarchical Bayes estimator of a vector of unknown regression coefficients in a hierarchical linear model, and then prove the admissibility of this estimator using Blyth's (196\51) method.

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How to Improve Classical Estimators via Linear Bayes Method?

  • Wang, Lichun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.531-542
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    • 2015
  • In this survey, we use the normal linear model to demonstrate the use of the linear Bayes method. The superiorities of linear Bayes estimator (LBE) over the classical UMVUE and MLE are established in terms of the mean squared error matrix (MSEM) criterion. Compared with the usual Bayes estimator (obtained by the MCMC method) the proposed LBE is simple and easy to use with numerical results presented to illustrate its performance. We also examine the applications of linear Bayes method to some other distributions including two-parameter exponential family, uniform distribution and inverse Gaussian distribution, and finally make some remarks.

Computational procedures for exponential life model incorporating Bayes and shrinkage techniques

  • Al-Hemyari, Zuhair A.;Al-Dabag, H.A.;Al-Humairi, Ali Z.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.55-79
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    • 2015
  • It is well known that using any additional information in the estimation of unknown parameters with new sample of observations diminishes the sampling units needed and minimizes the risk of new estimators. There are many rational reasons to assure that the existence of additional information in practice and there exists many practical cases in which additional information is available in the form of target value (initial value) about the unknown parameters. This article is described the problem of how the prior initial value about the unknown parameters can be utilized and combined with classical Bayes estimator to get a new combination of Bayes estimator and prior value to improve the properties of the new combination. In this article, two classes of Bayes-shrinkage and preliminary test Bayes-shrinkage estimators are proposed for the scale parameter of exponential distribution. The bias, risk and risk ratio expressions are derived and studied. The performance of the proposed classes of estimators is studied for different choices of constants engaged in the estimators. The comparisons, conclusions and recommendations are demonstrated.

Bayesian Method for the Multiple Test of an Autoregressive Parameter in Stationary AR(L) Model (AR(1)모형에서 자기회귀계수의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안방법)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the multiple testing method of an autoregressive parameter in stationary AR(1) model using the usual Bayes factor. As prior distributions of parameters in each model, uniform prior and noninformative improper priors are assumed. Posterior probabilities through the usual Bayes factors are used for the model selection. Finally, to check whether these theoretical results are correct, simulated data and real data are analyzed.

Independent Testing in Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Model Using Fractional Bayes Factor Under Bivariate Type I Censorship

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik;Choi, Seung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1391-1396
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which the lifetimes have Marshall and Olkin's bivariate exponential model with bivariate type I censored data. We propose a Bayesian independent test procedure for above model using fractional Bayes factor method by O'Hagan based on improper prior distributions. And we compute the fractional Bayes factor and the posterior probabilities for the hypotheses, respectively. Also we select a hypothesis which has the largest posterior probability. Finally a numerical example is given to illustrate our Bayesian testing procedure.

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Intrinsic Priors for Testing Two Lognormal Means with the Fractional Bayes Factor

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2003
  • The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So, it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor by Berger and Pericchi (1996) and the fractional Bayes factor by O'Hagan (1995) have been used to overcome this problems. This paper suggests intrinsic priors for testing the equality of two lognormal means, whose Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding fractional Bayes factors. Using proposed intrinsic priors, we demonstrate our results with a simulated dataset.

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Intrinsic Priors for Testing Two Normal Means with the Default Bayes Factors

  • Jongsig Bae;Kim, Hyunsoo;Kim, Seong W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.443-454
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    • 2000
  • In Bayesian model selection or testing problems of different dimensions, the conventional Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are not well defined. The intrinsic Bayes factor and the fractional Bayes factor are used to overcome such problems by using a data-splitting idea and fraction, respectively. This article addresses a Bayesian testing for the comparison of two normal means with unknown variance. We derive proper intrinsic priors, whose Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding fractional Bayes factor. We demonstrate our results with two examples.

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Intrinsic Priors for Testing Two Lognormal Populations with the Fractional Bayes Factor

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.661-671
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    • 2003
  • The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So, it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor by Berger and Pericchi (1996) and the fractional Bayes factor by O'Hagan (1995) have been used to overcome this problems. This paper suggests intrinsic priors for testing the equality of two lognormal means, whose Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding fractional Bayes factors. Using proposed intrinsic priors, we demonstrate our results with real example and a simulated dataset.

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