• Title/Summary/Keyword: BRITS

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Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Jindong Bay Using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 이용한 진동만의 용존산소량 예측)

  • Han, Myeong-Soo;Park, Sung-Eun;Choi, Youngjin;Kim, Youngmin;Hwang, Jae-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.382-391
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we used artificial intelligence algorithms for the prediction of dissolved oxygen in Jindong Bay. To determine missing values in the observational data, we used the Bidirectional Recurrent Imputation for Time Series (BRITS) deep learning algorithm, Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), a widely used time series analysis method, and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning method were used to predict the dissolved oxygen. We also compared accuracy of ARIMA and LSTM. The missing values were determined with high accuracy by BRITS in the surface layer; however, the accuracy was low in the lower layers. The accuracy of BRITS was unstable due to the experimental conditions in the middle layer. In the middle and bottom layers, the LSTM model showed higher accuracy than the ARIMA model, whereas the ARIMA model showed superior performance in the surface layer.

Imputation of Missing SST Observation Data Using Multivariate Bidirectional RNN (다변수 Bidirectional RNN을 이용한 표층수온 결측 데이터 보간)

  • Shin, YongTak;Kim, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Hyeon-Jae;Lim, Chaewook;Woo, Seung-Buhm
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2022
  • The data of the missing section among the vertex surface sea temperature observation data was imputed using the Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Network(BiRNN). Among artificial intelligence techniques, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which are commonly used for time series data, only estimate in the direction of time flow or in the reverse direction to the missing estimation position, so the estimation performance is poor in the long-term missing section. On the other hand, in this study, estimation performance can be improved even for long-term missing data by estimating in both directions before and after the missing section. Also, by using all available data around the observation point (sea surface temperature, temperature, wind field, atmospheric pressure, humidity), the imputation performance was further improved by estimating the imputation data from these correlations together. For performance verification, a statistical model, Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE), a machine learning-based Random Forest model, and an RNN model using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) were compared. For imputation of long-term missing for 7 days, the average accuracy of the BiRNN/statistical models is 70.8%/61.2%, respectively, and the average error is 0.28 degrees/0.44 degrees, respectively, so the BiRNN model performs better than other models. By applying a temporal decay factor representing the missing pattern, it is judged that the BiRNN technique has better imputation performance than the existing method as the missing section becomes longer.