• 제목/요약/키워드: BASIN MANAGEMENT

검색결과 813건 처리시간 0.03초

앙상블 예측기법을 통한 유역 월유출 전망 (Forecasting Monthly Runoff Using Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)

  • 이상진;김주철;황만하;맹승진
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2010
  • In this study the validities of runoff prediction methods are reviewed around ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) techniques. The improvements of runoff predictions on Yongdam river basin are evaluated by the comparison of different prediction methods including ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks provided by meteorological agency as well as the runoff forecasting based on the analysis of the historical rainfall scenarios. As a result it is assessed that runoff predictions with ESP may give rise to more accurate results than the ordinary historical average runoffs. In deed the latter gave the mean of yearly absolute error as to be 60.86 MCM while the errors of the former ones amounted to 44.12 MCM (ESP) and 42.83 MCM (ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks) respectively. In addition it is confirmed that ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks could improve the accuracy of the results more and more. Especially the degree of improvement of ESP with meteorological outlooks shows rising by 10.8% in flood season and 8% in drought season. Therefore the methods of runoff predictions with ESP can be further used as the basic forecasting information tool for the purpose of the effective watershed management.

Probabilistic Analysis of Drought Characteristics in Pakistan Using a Bivariate Copula Model

  • Jehanzaib, Muhammad;Kim, Ji Eun;Park, Ji Yeon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2019
  • Because drought is a complex and stochastic phenomenon in nature, statistical approaches for drought assessment receive great attention for water resource planning and management. Generally drought characteristics such as severity, duration and intensity are modelled separately. This study aims to develop a relationship between drought characteristics using a bivariate copula model. To achieve the objective, we calculated the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) using rainfall data at 6 rain gauge stations for the period of 1961-1999 in Jehlum River Basin, Pakistan, and investigated the drought characteristics. Since there is a significant correlation between drought severity and duration, they are usually modeled using different marginal distributions and joint distribution function. Using exponential distribution for drought severity and log-logistic distribution for drought duration, the Galambos copula was recognized as best copula to model joint distribution of drought severity and duration based on the KS-statistic. Various return periods of drought were calculated to identify time interval of repeated drought events. The result of this study can provide useful information for effective water resource management and shows superiority against univariate drought analysis.

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Utilization of SAR Data for Baseline Environmental Studies of Central Cebu Island, Philippines ? Phase 1

  • Lituanas, Michael B.;Salvador, Jerry Hervacio G.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.981-983
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    • 2003
  • The Remote Sensing Group of the Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) has acquired SAR data of the Central Cebu Island for its research study area. The MGB is one of the proponent of DOST-NASA PACRIM II Project, which is composed of eleven (11) agencies and institutions in the Philippines, that focuses on the scientific application of radar data with the theme on hazard and natural resources management. The PACRIM II Project, being done on three-year term, is slated for completion in the year 2004. The main thrust of the project study of the MGB is the baseline environmental monitoring studies, on which the data are to be fused with some other available data from LandSAT and photogrammetry. The generated data is part of the information for the update of thematic mapping being done. The 12 ${\times}$ 60 km swath AirSAR data covers the Central Cebu Island. The highlights of conducting this research project are: Extent of Watershed Basin boundaries - identification of the tributaries that drain water supply to the metropolitan area; Monitoring of the mountain highways - identification of landslide risk prone sites as part of natural hazard monitoring on a national highway that cuts along the mountainous areas; and Coastline change assessment - monitoring the coastline activities relative to the rapid urbanization and exposure as part of coastal management. The Phase 1 of this report discusses the fusion with the ArcView generated data as baseline studies on the monitoring activities.

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Optimize rainfall prediction utilize multivariate time series, seasonal adjustment and Stacked Long short term memory

  • Nguyen, Thi Huong;Kwon, Yoon Jeong;Yoo, Je-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.373-373
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    • 2021
  • Rainfall forecasting is an important issue that is applied in many areas, such as agriculture, flood warning, and water resources management. In this context, this study proposed a statistical and machine learning-based forecasting model for monthly rainfall. The Bayesian Gaussian process was chosen to optimize the hyperparameters of the Stacked Long Short-term memory (SLSTM) model. The proposed SLSTM model was applied for predicting monthly precipitation of Seoul station, South Korea. Data were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the period between 1960 and 2019. Four schemes were examined in this study: (i) prediction with only rainfall; (ii) with deseasonalized rainfall; (iii) with rainfall and minimum temperature; (iv) with deseasonalized rainfall and minimum temperature. The error of predicted rainfall based on the root mean squared error (RMSE), 16-17 mm, is relatively small compared with the average monthly rainfall at Seoul station is 117mm. The results showed scheme (iv) gives the best prediction result. Therefore, this approach is more straightforward than the hydrological and hydraulic models, which request much more input data. The result indicated that a deep learning network could be applied successfully in the hydrology field. Overall, the proposed method is promising, given a good solution for rainfall prediction.

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기후변화에 대응한 호주의 물관리 정책과 시사점 (Australia's Water Management Policies and Implications in Response to Climate Change)

  • 이종욱;박태선;이승연;이승오
    • 한국방재안전학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2020
  • 최근까지 무분별한 수자원 개발과 심각해지는 기후변화로 인한 극심한 가뭄이 지속되면서 물관리 문제에 대해서 관심이 급증하였다. 국내와 유사한 환경 아래 국가 차원에서 일관되고 친환경적이며 체계적으로 관리를 하고 있는 호주의 정책에 대한 분석과 사례검토가 필요하다. 호주는 강우량이 작고 건조하여 가뭄과 홍수가 반복되는 수자원적 특징을 가지고 있으며 1890년대부터 이민자 정착으로 물분쟁이 시작되었다. 일찍이 수자원의 효율적인 분배를 위한 물관리 협약, 물 사용량 규제 프로그램, 연방물법 제정 등이 이루어졌고 현재는 개발과 보전이 균형적으로 이루어지는 물관리 체계를 이루고 있다. 한편 우리나라는 과거 수질은 환경부, 수량은 국토부가 담당하여 물관리의 주무부처가 이분화되어 업무의 중복, 과도한 투자, 비효율 등의 문제로 통합적인 물관리가 어려웠다. 이를 해결하고자 2018년에는 물관련 기본법을 제정하는 등 물관리 기능이 일원화되면서 유역 단위 통합물관리 체계의 기틀이 마련되었고 2019년부터는 유역 단위의 통합물관리 체계를 수행하는 등 통합물관리를 바탕으로 지속 가능한 수자원 관리 효과를 도모하고 있다. 효율적이고 친환경적인 물관리를 위한 관리 정책 수립을 위해 여러 방안으로 강구해온 호주의 IWRM (Integrated Water Resource Management)와 우리나라의 현황과 사례를 비교해보았고 앞으로 나아가야 할 우리나라의 시사점을 제시하였다.

WATER RESOURCES POLICY AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION IN SOUTH KOREA : WIN-WIN STRATEGY

  • Choi, Yearn-Hong;Lee, Tae-Sam
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.231-241
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    • 2001
  • Since South Korea has uneven rainfall and deteriorating water quality, it is imperative to create a comprehensive water resources policy and management. This paper is to adopt a win-win policy for upstream-downstream local governments that have been in water rights-related disputer or conflicts in the process of allocating water and maintaining water quality. The Win-Win Policy can be an integrated river-basin approach. We define the win-win policy, introduce the win-win case of Delaware River and Colorado River in the United States, and suggest the win-win policy for Nakdong River in South Korea. Nakdong River is chosen for this paper because it has more serious problems in preserving water quantity and maintaining water quality.

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수위계 표준시험장치 개발 및 최고측정능력에 관한 연구 (Best Measurement Capability and Standard Test Facility for the Water-level Gauges)

  • 신강욱;홍성택
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.1012-1017
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    • 2007
  • Rain data and water-level data are importantly used for dam operation at flood period. Because dams are directly controlled by the water-level data, the characteristic of the water-level gauges is necessary to be managed. Thus, we developed the standard test facility and method for testing the water-level gauges which are a float type, a supersonic type and a radar type. And we calculated the uncertainty of the standard test facility to maintain the accuracy of water-level gauges. Through development of this facility, we could obtain the characteristics and the calibration factor of the water-level gauges. And, this study showed that the standard test facility can be widely used for dam operation and basin management.

기후변화에 따른 미래 유출 및 수질 모의를 위한 SWAT 모형의 적용 (Application of SWAT Model for Simulating Runoff and Water Quality Considering Climate Change)

  • 정은성;김상욱;김형배
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제36권
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2016
  • In the face of increasing impact of climate change due to human activities, there has been an urgent need to resolve the problem in water resources planning management and environmental engineering. Therefore SWAT model was used to identify the impacts and change in hydrological cycle and environmental aspect. The most important step for the development of SWAT model is calibration procedure. Therefore, SWAT-CUP automatic calibration module was used to find some optimal parameters in SWAT model. After calibration in the cheongmicheon basin, SWAT model is used for the projected precipitation and temperature of RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios in AR5. The quantity and quality using SWAT model from 2014 to 2100 were identified. Finally, this study can provide the reasonable finding on impact by climate change.

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DEA기반 순위결정 절차를 이용한 파레토 최적해의 우선순위 결정: 저수지군 연계 운영문제를 중심으로 (Ranking the Pareto-optimal Solutions using DEA-based Ranking Procedure: an Application to Multi-reservoir Operation Problem)

  • 전승목;김재희;김승권
    • 산업공학
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2008
  • It is a difficult task for decision makers(DMs) to choose an appropriate release plan which balances the conflicts between water storage and hydro-electric energy generation in a multi-reservoir operation problem. In this study, we proposed a DEA-based ranking procedure by which the DM can rank the potential alternatives and select the best solution among the Pareto-optimal solutions. The proposed procedure can resolve the problem of mix inefficiency that may cause errors in measuring the efficiency of alternatives. We applied the proposed procedure to the multi-reservoir operation problem for the Geum-River basin and could choose the best efficient solution from the Pareto-set which were generated by the Coordinated Multi-Reservoir Operating Model.

Primary Ecological Effect Analysis of Emergent Water Transportation in the Lower Reaches of Tarim River Based on RS Technology

  • Xu, Mei;Huang, ShiFeng;He, Yu
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.1301-1303
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    • 2003
  • Tarim River is the biggest inland river in China, its problem of eco-environment is worsening in the lower reach. For keeping this trend within limits, the measure of emergent water transportation to the lower reach was taken. In this paper, the remote sensing technology will be applied to the analysis of eco-environment effect after water transportation. The result is: the vegetation index and cover ratio increased but not markedly, the eco-environment situation can't been improved obviously up to now. It is some effective but temporary . The continuity, quality and quality of water source for the Tarim River must been ensured.

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