• 제목/요약/키워드: Average method

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Unit Commitment for an Uncertain Daily Load Profile

  • Park Jeong-Do
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제5A권1호
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a new Unit Commitment (UC) algorithm is proposed to consider the uncertainty of a daily load profile. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with a lower load level than that generated by the conventional load forecast method and the greater hourly reserve allocation. In case of the worst load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the proposed method. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which indicates that the new UC algorithm yields a completely feasible solution even when the worst load forecast is applied. Also, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are statistically analyzed, particularly by the consideration of the average over generation and the average under generation. Finally, it is shown that independent power producers participating in electricity spot-markets can establish bidding strategies by means of the statistical analysis. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for establishing bidding strategies under the deregulation power pool.

Determination of Electrospun Fiber Diameter Distributions Using Image Analysis Processing

  • Shin, Eun-Ho;Cho, Kwang-Soo;Seo, Moon-Hwo;Kim, Hyung-Sup
    • Macromolecular Research
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.314-319
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    • 2008
  • An image analysis processing method for the measurement of nanofiber diameter was developed. For the analysis, scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images of electrospun fiber were prepared and applied to the individual measurement of the fiber diameter by using the developed and the traditional manual methods. Both methods provided a similar fiber distribution. The fiber average diameters were similar but the variance of the new method was larger than that of the manual method. The average diameters from the two methods exhibited a linear relationship with a high coefficient. The developed method can be used as a practical tool to estimate the fiber diameter of the electro spun web.

한 종합병원 약품 재고관리를 위한 수요예측(需要豫測) (Demand Forecasting for Developing Drug Inventory Control Model in a University Hospital)

  • 손명세
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 1983
  • The main objective of this case study is to develop demand forecasting model for durg inventory control in a university hospital. This study is based on the pertinent records during the period of January 1975 to August 1981 in the pharmacy and stock departments of the hospital. Through the analysis of the above records the author made some major findings as follows: 1. In A.B.C. classification, the biggest demand (A class) consists of 9 items which include 6 items of antibiotics. 2. Demand forecasting level of an index or discrepancy in A class drug compared with real demand for 6 months is average 30.4% by X-11 Arima method and 84.6% by Winter's method respectively. 3. After the correcting ty the number of bed, demand forecasting of drug compared with real demand for 6 months is average 23.1% by X-11 Arima method and 46.6% by Winter's method respectively.

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시간 평균 홀로그래픽 간섭계를 이용한 환형 평판의 자유 진동 연구 (Free Vibration Analysis of Annular Sector Plates Psing Pime Average Holographic Interferometry)

  • 이기백;김정훈;나종문
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 1996년도 추계학술대회논문집; 한국과학기술회관, 8 Nov. 1996
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    • pp.414-421
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    • 1996
  • The study of the vibration characteristics of annular sector plates which are clamped along their inner circumferential edge is important for structural engineers. The present analysis consists of experimental method and numerical method. The experimental method using time-average holographic interferometry is obtained vibration modes and frequencies. The experimental results are verified by a numerical method using F.E.M. The important aspects of the present paper is the dependence of the natural frequencies and the mode shape on the annular area changing sector angle. The radial nodal lines converge to the center of the plate. As increasing sector angle, the radial modes are predominant.

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생산 설비의 이상탐지를 위한 불규칙 샘플링 시계열 데이터 보정 기법 (Irregularly-Sampled Time Series Correction Method for Anomaly Detection in Manufacturing Facility)

  • 신강현;진교홍
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 2021
  • 제조 설비에서 짧은 주기로 수집된 제조 데이터는 시간 간격이 일정하지 않은 불규칙 샘플링 시계열이고 값이 불안정하여 큰 분산을 가지는 경우가 많다. 본 논문에서는 단순이동평균법을 이용하여 불규칙 시계열의 시간 간격을 일정하게 보정함과 동시에 값의 분산을 줄이는 보정 기법을 제안하고, 제안된 보정 기법이 생산 설비의 이상탐지의 성능 향상에 효과가 있음을 확인하였다.

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주파수영역에서 49점 가중평균을 이용한 scalar 파동방정식의 유한차분식 정확도 향상을 위한 연구 (An Accuracy Improvement in Solving Scalar Wave Equation by Finite Difference Method in Frequency Domain Using 49 Points Weighted Average Method)

  • 장성형;신창수;양동우;양승진
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 1996
  • Much computing time and large computer memory are needed to solve the wave equation in a large complex subsurface layer using finite difference method. The time and memory can be reduced by decreasing the number of grid per minimun wave length. However, decrease of grid may cause numerical dispersion and poor accuracy. In this study, we present 49 points weighted average method which save the computing time and memory and improve the accuracy. This method applies a new weighted average to the coordinate determined by transforming the coordinate of conventional 5 points finite difference stars to $0^{\circ}$ and $45^{\circ}$, 25 points finite differenc stars to $0^{\circ}$, $26.56^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$, $63.44^{\circ}$ and 49 finite difference stars to $0^{\circ}$, $18.43^{\circ}$, $33.69^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$, $56.30^{\circ}$, $71.56^{\circ}$. By this method, the grid points per minimum wave length can be reduced to 2.5, the computing time to $(2.5/13)^3$, and the required core memory to $(2.5/13)^4$ computing with the conventional method.

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시계열 분석 기반 신뢰구간 추정을 통한 효율적인 이상감지 (Efficient Anomaly Detection Through Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis)

  • 김영주;허유경;박진관;정민아
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제39C권8호
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    • pp.708-715
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 센서 데이터의 이상을 감지하기 위하여 실시간 신뢰구간을 추정하였다. 실시간 신뢰구간 추정은 시계열분석 방법인 지수평활법과 이동평균법의 평균제곱오차를 비교하여 오차가 적은 이동평균법을 적용하였다. 이와 같이 추정된 신뢰구간을 측정된 센서 데이터가 이탈하게 되면 이상감지 경보를 통해 관리자에게 알려준다. 제안한 방법은 선박 내부의 실시간 이상감지를 위한 것으로 무선센서네트워크(WSN)와 사용자의 접근성을 높이기 위해 안드로이드 단말기를 사용하였다. 관리자는 실시간 신뢰구간에 따른 이상감지 정보를 활용하여 선박 내부에서 발생한 위급한 상황에서 신속하고 정확하게 의사결정을 함으로써 안전운항을 할 수 있다.

OFDM 통신 시스템에서 비선형 왜곡분석의 새로운 분석기법 (A New Method on the Nonlinear Distortion Analysis in the OFDM Communication System)

  • 이동훈;정기호;유흥균
    • 한국전자파학회논문지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.538-545
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    • 2002
  • OFDM 통신 시스템에서는 피크전력 대 평균전력비(Peak to Average Power Ratio, PAPR)가 커짐에 따라 전력증폭기에서 비선형 왜곡이 발생되므로 이를 포함한 전송 성능평가가 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 전력증폭기에서 비선형 왜곡이 있는 OFDM 시스템의 성능을 평가하는 새로운 혼합 분석기법을 제안한다. 즉, 제안된 혼합 분석기법은 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 먼저 PAPR의 확률밀도함수와 비선형 잡음의 분산과 평균을 구하고, 이를 이용하여 해석적(analytical) 방법으로 전체 BER을 구하는 방법이다. QPSK 또는 16-QAM 변조방식의 OFDM 시스템에서, 반도체전력증폭기(Solid-State-Power Amplifier, SSPA)의 등가모델을 적용하고, PAPR을 파라미터로 사용하여 IBO 크기에 따른 BER을 분석한다. 제안 방법이 기존의 Monte-Carlo 시뮬레이션에 의한 BER과 거의 동일한 분석 결과를 보이고, 기존 방법보다 BER곡선을 얻는데 필요한 시간이 상당히 감소됨을 보인다

어선 면세유류 공급기준량 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Supply Criteria for the Tax-exempted Vessel Fuel)

  • 강연실;김대현
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.89-117
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    • 2005
  • Currently, the tax - exempted vessel fuel is provided for commercial fishing in order to increase the competitive power of fishery production thorough the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives. The National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives should predict the exact amount of fuel consumption for fishing every year to request the fuel from the government. Unfortunately, there is no sophisticated model to predict the tax - exempted vessel fuel consumption. In 2003, the consumption of the tax- exempted vessel fuel was only $25.1\%$ of the estimation amount by the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives. This causes an inefficiency in the petroleum management. Moreover, we need some data such as the annual average fishing hours, fishing days and fishing behavior to adopt a new policy regarding fishing. Up to now, the data have been obtained by survey with response in the fishery field. In the most case, we have a small number of data because we spend so much time and money consuming for collecting fishing data. As a result, the level of confidence of the data is associated with the sample size and normally low. In order to achieve more accurate data, we need to develope an efficient method for collecting fishing data. In this research, we proposed a new method to predict the tax- exempted vessel fuel consumption more exactly. The prediction results from the proposed method has been compared with the results from the current method. According to the results in this research, the method proposed here produced much better accuracy than the current method. In addition, we also proposed in the paper for collecting fishing data of the annual average fishing hours using the tax - exempted vessel fuel consumption and the gasoline consumption of vessel engine. The fishing data obtained by using the method proposed in this research could be much more efficient and accurate because it doesn't need to estimate from survey sample data.

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LSC를 이용한 전알파 분석법 연구 (Study on The Gross Alpha Analysis Method with LSC)

  • 주병규;김문수;김현구;김동수;김영록;정도환;양재하;박선화;김태승
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2014
  • In order to study gross alpha analysis method using LSC, the efficiency tests with uranium standard materials were performed and then compared with the GPC method (US EPA 900.0 method) using 15 groundwater samples. For 15 groundwater samples, the average efficiencies of the GPC and LSC method were 7~11% and 90%, respectively. The average precisions of the GPC and LSC method were 16.16% and 6.00%, respectively. Also, The average standard deviations for 15 samples were 7.38 pCi/L and 2.95 pCi/L, respectively. The determination coefficient of the tested results by two methods was 0.9948. As a result, the LSC method tested in this study was applicable for the screening of the gross alpha and showed the advantages in the gross alpha measurement due to the simple measurement procedures.