• Title/Summary/Keyword: Assessment of Water Supply Capacity

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Hydrological Drought Assessment of Agricultural Reservoirs based on SWSI in Geum River Basin (SWSI에 기반한 금강권역 농업용 저수지의 수문학적 가뭄평가)

  • Ahn, So-Ra;Park, Jong-Yoon;Jung, In-Kyun;Na, Sang-Jin;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.35-49
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    • 2009
  • This study proposes a method to evaluate agricultural reservoirs drought by modifying SWSI (Surface Water Supply Index). The method was applied to Geum river basin and the results were represented as spatially distributed information. The SWSI evaluates hydrological drought of watershed unit by selectively applying one or all of the components of snowpack, precipitation, streamflow and reservoir storage. South Korea has 22 % of agricultural area, and rice paddy covers 64 % among them. Usually paddy fields scattered along stream are irrigated by so many small agricultural reservoirs. It is difficult to evaluate agriculture drought by the little information and large number of agricultural reservoirs. In this study, seven agricultural reservoirs over 10 million ton storage capacity were selected in Geum river basin, and the SWSI was evaluated for both upstream and downstream of the reservoirs using 16 years data (1991-2006). Using the results, multiple regression analyses with precipitation and reservoir storage as variables were conducted and the equations were applied to other watersheds. The spatial results by applying regression equations showed that the severe and moderate drought conditions of July and September in 1994, June in 1995, and May in 2001 were well expressed by the watershed unit.

Assessment of Hydrological Drought Risk Considering Regional Water Supply Capacity (지역적 용수공급능력을 고려한 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Yu, Jisoo;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.152-152
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄은 장기간에 걸쳐 광범위하게 발생하는 특징으로 인해 자연재해뿐만 아니라 사회·경제적으로도 큰 피해를 야기한다. 즉, 가뭄으로 인한 댐의 용수 공급 부족은 공업·농업뿐만 아니라 국민들의 생활에도 상당한 피해를 미친다. 하지만, 가뭄으로 인한 지역의 피해정도는 해당 지역의 특성 또는 가뭄에 대한 지역의 대처 능력에 따라 매우 상이하게 나타난다. 따라서, 가뭄에 의한 피해를 저감시키고 안전한 용수공급이 이루어질 수 있도록 지역의 특성 및 용수 공급 체계를 고려한 위험 정도를 분석하는 것이 필요하며, 사람들과 직접적인 연관성이 높은 물수급 관련 인자들을 고려하여 가뭄의 잠재적 영향 및 피해정도를 파악할 수 있는 가뭄 위험도 평가가 수행되어야 한다. 그러나 용수공급 및 수요 현황을 반영한 가뭄 노출성 및 취약성 평가는 아직 부족한 실정이며, 각 인자에 대한 가중치를 산정하는데 설문조사 또는 단순평균방법이 많이 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 용수공급 체계 및 지역적 특성을 고려하고 객관적인 가중치 산정방안이 적용된 확률·통계적 가뭄 위험도를 평가방법을 제시하였다. 먼저, 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생 확률이 적용된 결합가뭄관리지수(Joint Drought Management Index, JDMI)를 통해 가뭄노출성지수(Drought Hazard Index, DHI)를 산정하고, 각 인자에 대한 영향정도를 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 가우스 혼합 모델을 활용하여 가뭄취약성지수(Drought Vulnerability Index, DVI)를 산정하였다. 이 두 지수를 결합하여 가뭄위험도지수(Drought Risk Index, DRI)를 계산하고 위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 충청지역에 적용한 결과, DHI는 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생확률이 큰 보령시가 가장 높게 나타났으며, DVI는 농업적 요소의 가중치가 크게 산정됨에 따라 청주시가 가장 높게 산정되었다. DHI와 DVI가 결합된 DRI의 경우는 청주시가 가장 위험한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, DRI가 가장 높은 청주시는 충정 지역의 가뭄 위험 경감을 위한 대응 수립시 우선적으로 고려되어야 한다.

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Assessment of Water Supply Capacity in Agriculture Reservoir according to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력 평가)

  • Park, Na-Young;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.437-437
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    • 2012
  • 현재 우리나라에는 63,000개가 넘는 농업수리시설 구조물이 있으며, 그 중 70%가 넘는 시설물이 저수지이다. 이러한 저수지의 주 목적은 갈수시 안정적인 관개용수 공급과 하류의 생활용수를 공급함에 있다. 특히, 농업용 저수지의 경우에는 농번기에 물을 충족하게 공급함과 동시에 생활용수 및 유지용수의 공급이 동시에 이루어 질 수 있도록 고려하여야 하는 특수성을 가지고 있다. 그러나, 20세기 후반부터 우리나라에는 기후변화에 따른 전 지구적인 온난화 추세를 상회하는 경향을 보이고 있고, 강수량 및 집중호우의 증가추세도 보고되고 있다. 기온과 강수량이 과거와 다른 변화를 보임에 따라 물 공급의 안정성을 확보하기 위해 저수지를 통한 수자원 확보가 이루어지고 있으나, 용수공급능력이 어떻게 변화할 것인지에 대한 정량적 정보가 부족한 상태이다. 또한, 논벼의 생육에 있어 저수지의 적절한 용수공급은 필수적이기 때문에 저수지의 효율적 운영이 필요한 시점이다. 따라서 농업용수에 대한 기후변화의 영향을 이해하고 안정적이고 지속가능한 작물생산에 부정적인 역할을 최소화하기 위한 연구가 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 1981년부터 2100년까지 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력을 평가하고자 하였다. 본 연구를 위하여 각 도별 대표 저수지를 한발빈도 10년을 기준으로, 그 이상인 저수지와 그 미만인 저수지로 각각 선정하였다. 다음으로 미래 기상자료는 IPCC 5차 보고서에서 제시할 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 기반의 GCM/RCM 자료를 기상청으로부터 제공받아 활용하였다. 이 기상자료를 이용하여 물수지방법으로 현재저수량을 산정하고, 기준저수량을 현재저수량 중 하위 10% 저수량으로 가정하여 기준저수량에 미치지 못하는 기간과 저수량을 도출하였다. 산정된 자료를 활용하여 한발빈도별 농업용 저수지의 용수공급능력 불능을 파악하고자 하였다.

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Reassessment on the Four Major Rivers Restoration Project and the Weirs Management (4대강 살리기사업의 재평가와 보의 운용방안)

  • Lee, Jong Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2021
  • The master plan for the Four Rivers Restoration Project (June 2009) was devised, the procedure of pre-environmental review (June 2009) and environmental impact assessment (Nov. 2009), and post-environmental impact survey were implemented, and 4 times audits also inspected. and finally the Ministry of Environment's Four Rivers Investigation and Evaluation Planning Committee proposed the dismantling or partial dismantling of the five weirs of the Geum River and Yeongsan River. But controversies and conflicts are still ongoing. Therefore, this study intend to reestablish the management plan for the four major rivers by reviewing and analyzing the process so far. The results are as follows. First, a cost-benefit analysis should be performed by comparing the water quality impact of weir operation and weir opening. Therefore, it is inevitably difficult to conduct cost-benefit analysis. Second, according to the results of cost-benefit analysis on the dismantling of the Geum River and the Yeongsan River, the dismantling of the weir and the regular sluice gate opening was decided. However, there is a problem in the validity of the decision to dismantle the weir because the cost-benefit analysis for maintaining the weir is not carried out. Third, looking at the change in water quality of 16 weirs before and after the Four Major Rivers Restoration Project, COD and Chl-a were generally deteriorated, and BOD, SS, T-N, and T-P improved. However, in the cost-benefit analysis related to water quality at the time of weir dismantling, only COD items were targeted. Therefore, the cost of BOD, SS, T-N, and T-P items improved after the project were not reflected in the cost-benefit analysis of dismantling weirs, so the water quality benefits were exaggerated. Fourth, in the case of Gongju weir and Juksan weir, most of them are movable weirs, so opening the weir alone can have the same effect as dismantling when the water quality deteriorates. Since the same effect can be expected, there is little need to dismantle the weirs. Fifth, in order to respond to frequent droughts and floods, it is desirable to secure the agricultural water supply capacity to the drought areas upstream of the four majorrivers by constructing a waterway connected to the weir. At present it is necessary to keep weirs rather than dismantling them.

Estimation of Long-term Water Demand by Principal Component and Cluster Analysis and Practical Application (주성분분석과 군집분석을 이용한 장기 물수요예측과 활용)

  • Koo, Ja-Yong;Yu, Myung-Jin;Kim, Shin-Geol;Shim, Mi-Hee;Akira, Koizumi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.870-876
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    • 2005
  • The multiple regression models which have two factors(population and commercial area) have been used to forecast the water demand in the future. But, the coefficient of population had a negative value because proper regional classification wasn't performed, and it is not reasonable because the population must be a positive factor. So, the regional classification was performed by principal component and cluster analysis to solve the problem. 6 regional characters were transformed into 4 principal components, and the areas were divided into two groups according to cluster analysis which had 4 principal components. The new regression models were made by each group, and the problem was solved. And, the future water demands were estimated by three scenarios(Active, moderate, and passive one). The increase of water demand ore $89.034\;m^3/day$ in active plat $49,077\;m^3/day$ in moderate plan, and $19,996\;m^3/day$ in passive plan. The water supply ability as scenarios is enough in water treatment plant, however, 2 reservoirs among 4 reservoirs don't have enough retention time in all scenarios.

The Budget of Nutrients in the Estuaries Near Mokpo Harbor (목포항 주변 하구역의 영양염 수지)

  • Kim, Yeong-Tae;Choi, Yoon-Seok;Cho, Yoon-Sik;Oh, Hyun-Taik;Jeon, Seung-Ryul;Choi, Yong Hyeon;Han, Hyoung-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.708-722
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    • 2016
  • Land-Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone (LOICZ) models for nutrient budgets were used to estimate the seasonal capacity of the Youngsan Estuary and Youngam-Geumho Estuary to sink and/or supply nutrients such as dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) and nitrogen (DIN) to provide an understanding of the behavior of the coupled biogeochemical cycles of phosphorus and nitrogen in the estuaries (Youngsan Estuary, Youngam-Geumho Estuary) near Mokpo Harbor. During non-stratified periods (May, September, and November, 2008), simple three-box models were applied in each sub-region of the system, while a two-layer box model was applied during on-site observation of stratification development (July, 2008). The resulting mass-balance calculation indicated that even after large discharges from artificial lakes (in May and July), DIP influxes due to a mixing exchange ($V_{X-3}$, or $V_{deep}$) were more than terrigenous loads, indicating the backward transportation of nutrients from a marine source. The model results also indicated that for nutrient loads (DIP and DIN fluxes) in September, an extreme congestion of nutrients occurred around the mouths (sub-region III of the model) of the estuaries, possibly due to an imbalance in physical circulations between the estuaries and offshore locations. In November, the Youngam-Geumho Estuary, into which freshwater was discharged from artificial lakes (Youngam and Geumho Lake), showed nutrient enrichment in the water column, but the Youngsan Estuary showed nutrient depletion. In conclusion, to efficiently control water quality in the estuaries near Mokpo Harbor, integrated environmental management programs should be implemented. I.e., the reduction of nutrient loads from land basins as well as the deposit of nutrient loads into adjacent coastal lines.