• 제목/요약/키워드: Asian options

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실물옵션을 이용한 항만배후단지의 가치평가 -부산신항 배후단지 사례분석을 중심으로- (Economic Evaluation of Port Hinterlands Using Real Option -Focusing on the Case Study for Hinterland of Busan New Port-)

  • 김명희;이기환
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.235-257
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    • 2012
  • 최근 변화하는 항만수요 요구에 신속하게 대응하기 위하여 항만은 그 역할변화를 모색하고 있다. 무역을 위한 단순한 장소가 아닌 로지스틱 체인의 중요한 한 노드로서 기능을 하는 항만으로 변모하고 있다. 항만이 로지스틱 체인 속의 경쟁우위 요소로서 그 역할을 다하기 위해 항만 배후단지 공급의 필요성을 역설한 연구들이 다수 등장하였고 각 항만국들은 앞다투어 항만개발계획을 수립하고 있는 실정이다. 우리 정부 역시 "전국 무역항 항만배후단지 개발 종합계획(2006)"을 통해 아시아의 로지스틱 허브항을 육성하기 위한 항만배후단지 개발계획을 발표했다. 항만배후단지 개발을 위한 투자평가에 대한 선행연구들을 살펴보면 대부분 전통적인 투자평가 기법인 DCF(discounted cash flow)를 이용해 그 가치평가를 실시하고 있다. 그러나 항만개발사업의 경우 거대 초기 투자가 필요하고 장기간의 투자회수 기간이 소요되어 기존의 DCF법에 의한 투자평가는 미래의 불확실성에 대한 가치를 과소평가할 여지가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 실제 항만배후단지 경제성평가 데이터를 이용하여 기존의 DCF법과 실물옵션 가치법의 결과값을 비교 분석하였다. 그 결과 DCF에 의한 항만배후단지 경제성평가 결과는 NPV는 -73,601(백만)원, B/C ratio는 0.97, IRR은 5.06%을 보여 개발에 대한 모호함이 있으나, 실물옵션을 이용하여 추정된 확장된 NPV 값은 1,839,000(백만)원으로 개발에 대한 긍정적인 결과 값이 도출되었다. 본 연구는 실증연구를 통해 불확실성이 큰 항만투자영역에 있어 불확실성의 가치를 반영하지 못하는 DCF법을 보완할 수 있는 새로운 평가방법으로 실물옵션법의 유용성을 소개하고자 한다.

항암화학요법 환자의 정보요구 분석 (Informational Needs of Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy)

  • 한경자;이은옥;김매자;하양숙;박영숙;송미순;정재원;박성희;문미혜
    • 종양간호연구
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: To examine informational needs of cancer patients receiving chemotherapy. Methods: A cross-sectional survey design was utilized. The sample was 198 cancer patients receiving chemotherapy for a diagnosis of stomach or lung cancer at a university hospital. A modified version of Toronto Informational Needs Questionnaire was applied. Results: Subjects reported highest informational needs in prognosis dimension, followed by the treatment dimension including side effects and alternative therapy. Information about medical tests and follow-up care after the treatment was also in great need. Dimensions of support for patients/family and sexuality were low in need. The degree of informational needs was negatively correlated with patient's age and number of children. Differences were found in informational needs according to the educational level employment status, and gender of the patients, while diagnosis and treatment options did not make differences in informational needs. Conclusion: Health care professionals need to perceive informational needs of cancer patients receiving chemotherapy, and to provide them with information especially in the area of prognosis and treatment. Informational intervention would be effective when it is given with consideration of patient's characteristics.

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Mechanism of resistance acquisition and treatment of macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children

  • Yang, Hyeon-Jong;Song, Dae Jin;Shim, Jung Yeon
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제60권6호
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2017
  • Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) is one of the most common forms of community-acquired pneumonia in children and adolescents. Outbreaks of MPP occur in 3- to 7-year cycles worldwide; recent epidemics in Korea occurred in 2006-2007, 2011, and 2015-2016. Although MPP is known to be a mild, self-limiting disease with a good response to macrolides, it can also progress into a severe and fulminant disease. Notably, since 2000, the prevalence of macrolide-resistant MPP has rapidly increased, especially in Asian countries, recently reaching up to 80%-90%. Macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MRMP) harbors a point mutation in domain V of 23S rRNA with substitutions mainly detected at positions 2063 and 2064 of the sequence. The excessive use of macrolides may contribute to these mutations. MRMP can lead to clinically refractory pneumonia, showing no clinical or radiological response to macrolides, and can progress to severe and complicated pneumonia. Refractory MPP is characterized by an excessive immune response against the pathogen as well as direct injury caused by an increasing bacterial load. A change of antibiotics is recommended to reduce the bacterial load. Tetracyclines or quinolones can be alternatives for treating MRMP. Otherwise, corticosteroid or intravenous immunoglobulin can be added to the treatment regimen as immunomodulators to downregulate an excessive host immune reaction and alleviate immune-mediated pulmonary injury. However, the exact starting time point, dose, or duration of immunomodulators has not been established. This review focuses on the mechanism of resistance acquisition and treatment options for MRMP pneumonia.

Estimation of co-variance components, genetic parameters, and genetic trends of reproductive traits in community-based breeding program of Bonga sheep in Ethiopia

  • Areb, Ebadu;Getachew, Tesfaye;Kirmani, MA;G.silase, Tegbaru;Haile, Aynalem
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제34권9호
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    • pp.1451-1459
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The objectives of the study were to evaluate reproductive performance and selection response through genetic trend of community-based breeding programs (CBBPs) of Bonga sheep. Methods: Reproduction traits data were collected between 2012 and 2018 from Bonga sheep CBBPs. Phenotypic performance was analyzed using the general linear model procedures of Statistical Analysis System. Genetic parameters were estimated by univariate animal model for age at first lambing (AFL) and repeatability models for lambing interval (LI), litter size (LS), and annual reproductive rate (ARR) traits using restricted maximum likelihood method of WOMBAT. For correlations bivariate animal model was used. Best model was chosen based on likelihood ratio test. The genetic trends were estimated by the weighted regression of the average breeding value of the animals on the year of birth/lambing. Results: The overall least squares mean±standard error of AFL, LI, LS, and ARR were 375±12.5, 284±9.9, 1.45±0.010, and 2.31±0.050, respectively. Direct heritability estimates for AFL, LI, LS, and ARR were 0.07±0.190, 0.06±0.120, 0.18±0.070, and 0.25±0.203, respectively. The low heritability for both AFL and LI showed that these traits respond little to selection programs but rather highly depend on animal management options. The annual genetic gains were -0.0281 days, -0.016 days, -0.0002 lambs and 0.0003 lambs for AFL, LI, LS, and ARR, respectively. Conclusion: Implications of the result to future improvement programs were improving management of animals, conservation of prolific flocks and out scaling the CBBP to get better results.

Evaluation of genetic differentiation and search for candidate genes for reproductive traits in pigs

  • Elena Romanets;Siroj Bakoev;Timofey Romanets;Maria Kolosova;Anatoly Kolosov;Faridun Bakoev;Olga Tretiakova;Alexander Usatov;Lyubov Getmantseva
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.832-838
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    • 2024
  • Objective: The use of molecular genetic methods in pig breeding can significantly increase the efficiency of breeding and breeding work. We applied the Fst (fixsacion index) method, the main focus of the work was on the search for common options related to the number of born piglets and the weight of born piglets, since today the urgent task is to prevent a decrease in the weight of piglets at birth while maintaining high fertility of sows. Methods: One approach is to scan the genome, followed by an assessment of Fst and identification of selectively selected regions. We chose Large White sows (n = 237) with the same conditions of keeping and feeding. The data were collected from the sows across three farrowing. For genotyping, we used GeneSeek GGP Porcine HD Genomic Profiler v1, which included 68,516 single nucleotide polymorphisms evenly distributed with an average spacing of 25 kb (Illumina Inc, San Diego, CA, USA). Results: Based on the results of the Fst analysis, 724 variants representing selection signals for the signs BALWT, BALWT1, NBA, and TNB (weight of piglets born alive, average weight of the 1st piglets born alive, total number born alive, total number born). At the same time, 18 common variants have been identified that are potential markers for both the number of piglets at birth and the weight of piglets at birth, which is extremely important for breeding work to improve reproductive characteristics in sows. Conclusion: Our work resulted in identification of variants associated with the reproductive characteristics of pigs. Moreover, we identified, variants which are potential markers for both the number of piglets at birth and the weight of piglets at birth, which is extremely important for breeding work to improve reproductive performance in sows.

황사 발생 기간 동안 WRF-Chem 모델을 이용한 미세먼지 예측과 관련 기상장에 대한 민감도 분석 (Analysis of Sensitivity to Prediction of Particulate Matters and Related Meteorological Fields Using the WRF-Chem Model during Asian Dust Episode Days)

  • 문윤섭;구윤서;정옥진
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2014
  • 이 연구의 목적은 2008년 5월 29일 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 황사를 예측하기 위해 WRF-Chem 모델 내 에어로졸 스킴과 광물성 먼지 옵션에 따른 미세먼지 농도 변화와 그에 따른 기상장의 민감도를 분석하는 것이다. 미세먼지의 인위적 배출량에 대해서는 $0.5^{\circ}{\pm}0.5^{\circ}$ RETRO 전구 배출량을, 광해리의 경우 Fast-J 광해리 스킴을, 그리고 황사 발생량을 추정하기 위해 RADM2 화학메커니즘 및 MADE/SORGAM 에어로졸 시나리오, MOSAIC 8 섹션 에어로졸 시나리오, 그리고 GOCART 먼지 침식 시나리오를 각각 적용하였다. 그 결과 RADM2 화학메커니즘 및 MADE/SORGAM 에어로졸 시나리오가 다른 시나리오들보다 우리나라 황사 먼지 농도와 배경 PM 농도를 더 높게 모사하였다. 그리고 이 시나리오와 서울의 각 대기질 측정망의 평균 PM10 농도와의 비교 결과, 상관계수는 0.67, 평균제곱근오차는 $44{\mu}gm^{-3}$으로 나타났다. 또한 WRF-Chem 모델에서 상기 3가지 시나리오와 이들 시나리오가 없는 순수 기상에서의 온도, 풍속, 경계층 높이, 장파복사의 기상 민감도를 분석한 결과, 1,800-3,000 m 경계층 높이와 $2-16ms^{-1}$ 풍속 U 성분의 공간적 분포가 황사 먼지 발생의 공간적 분포와 유사하게 나타났다. 그리고 GOCART 먼지 침식 시나리오와 RADM2 화학메커니즘 및 MADE/SORGAM 에어로졸 시나리오는 황사 먼지 또는 에어로졸과 기상이 온라인으로 상호작용함으로써 지구장파복사가 더 낮게 모사되었다.

Good Outcomes of Patients with Stage IB Endometrial Cancer with Surgery Alone

  • Rahatli, Samed;Dizdar, Omer;Kucukoztas, Nadire;Oguz, Arzu;Yalcin, Selim;Ozen, Ozlem;Reyhan, Nihan Haberal;Tarhan, Cagla;Yildiz, Ferah;Dursun, Polat;Altundag, Ozden;Ayhan, Ali
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.3891-3893
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    • 2014
  • Background: Most patients with endometrial cancer have stage I disease. Adjuvant therapy in stage IB (formerly IC) endometrial cancer is controversial, treatment options including observation or brachytherapy/radiotherapy in grade 1-3 patients with or without chemotherapy. The purpose of this study was to assess the outcomes of our patients with stage IB endometrioid endometrial cancer. Materials and Methods: Sixty two patients with stage IB endometrial cancer and endometrioid histology were retrospectively evaluated. All patients were initially treated surgically by the same surgeon with comprehensive staging, i.e. total abdominal hysterectomy, bilateral salphingooopherectomy, bilateral pelvic and paraaortic lymph node dissection and omentectomy. Adjuvant radiotherapy was discussed with patients and utilized by those who accepted. Adjuvant chemotherapy was not given to any of the patients. Results: Median age was 62 (range, 42-95). Ninety percent of the patients had grade 1-2 disease. Thirteen patients (21%) received intra vaginal brachytherapy (IVBT) and one received whole pelvic radiotherapy (WPRT). Median follow-up time was 46 months (range, 9-77 months). Three patients experienced recurrence (4.8%), two of them died on follow-up and one was still alive at last visit. Two patients with recurrence had FIGO grade 2 tumors and one had a grade 3 tumor. Two patients (3.2%) died without evidence of recurrent disease. Relapse free survival at 5 years was 94.4% and overall survival was 93.1%. Conclusions: Patients with stage IB disease in our study demonstrated relatively low recurrence rates although the majority of them received no adjuvant treatment. Surgery alone may be sufficient for most patients with this stage of endometrial cancer.

Survival and Prognostic Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: an Egyptian Multidisciplinary Clinic Experience

  • Abdelaziz, Ashraf Omar;Elbaz, Tamer Mahmoud;Shousha, Hend Ibrahim;Ibrahim, Mostafa Mohamed;El-Shazli, Mostafa Abdel Rahman;Abdelmaksoud, Ahmed Hosni;Aziz, Omar Abdel;Zaki, Hisham Atef;Elattar, Inas Anwar;Nabeel, Mohamed Mahmoud
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.3915-3920
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    • 2014
  • Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a dismal tumor with a high incidence, prevalence and poor prognosis and survival. Management of HCC necessitates multidisciplinary clinics due to the wide heterogeneity in its presentation, different therapeutic options, variable biologic behavior and background presence of chronic liver disease. We studied the different prognostic factors that affected survival of our patients to improve future HCC management and patient survival. Materials and Methods: This study is performed in a specialized multidisciplinary clinic for HCC in Kasr El Eini Hospital, Cairo University, Egypt. We retrospectively analyzed the different patient and tumor characteristics and the primary mode of management applied to our patients. Further analysis was performed using univariate and multivariate statistics. Results: During the period February 2009 till February 2013, 290 HCC patients presented to our multidisciplinary clinic. They were predominantly males and the mean age was $56.5{\pm}7.7years$. All cases developed HCC on top of cirrhosis that was mainly due to HCV (71%). Most of our patients were Child-Pugh A (50%) or B (36.9%) and commonly presented with small single lesions. Transarterial chemoembolization was the most common line of treatment used (32.4%). The overall survival was 79.9% at 6 months, 54.5% at 1 year and 22.4% at 2 years. Serum bilirubin, site of the tumor and type of treatment were the significant independent prognostic factors for survival. Conclusions: Our main prognostic variables are the bilirubin level, the bilobar hepatic affection and the application of specific treatment (either curative or palliative). Multidisciplinary clinics enhance better HCC management.

Potential Therapeutic Targets for the Primary Gallbladder Carcinoma: Estrogen Receptors

  • Zhang, Ling-Qiang;Zhang, Xiu-De;Xu, Jia;Wan, Yong;Qu, Kai;Zhang, Jing-Yao;Wang, Zhi-Xin;Wei, Ji-Chao;Meng, Fan-Di;Tai, Ming-Hui;Zhou, Lei;Liu, Chang
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.2185-2190
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    • 2013
  • Gallbladder carcinoma, the most frequent malignant neoplasm of the biliary tract system, has always been considered to feature late clinical presentation and diagnosis, limited treatment options and an extremely poor prognosis. In recent years, while the incidence of gallbladder cancer has appeared to be on the increase, the available treatment methods have not greatly improved survival of the affected patients. Thus, exploring new therapeutic targets for this devastating disease is an urgent matter at present. Epidemical studies have demonstrated that the incidence of gallbladder carcinoma exhibits a distinct gender bias, affecting females two to three times more than males, pointing to crucial roles of estrogen. It is well known that estrogen acts on target tissues by binding to estrogen receptors (ERs), which are mainly divided into three subtypes, $ER{\alpha}$, $ER{\beta}$ and $ER{\gamma}$. $ER{\alpha}$ and $ER{\beta}$ appear to have overlapping but also unique even opposite biological effects. As important pathogenic mediators, ERs have been considered to relate to several kinds of tumors. In gallbladder carcinoma tissue, ERs have been shown to be positively expressed, and ERs expression levels are associated with differentiation and prognosis of this cancer. Nevertheless, the exact mechanisms of estrogen inducing growth of gallbladder carcinoma remain poorly understood. On the base of the current investigations, we deduce that estrogen participates in promotion of gallbladder carcinoma by influencing the formation of gallstones, stimulating angiogenesis, and promoting abnormal proliferation. Since ERs mediate the carcinogenic actions of estrogen in gallbladder, and therapy targeting ERs may provide new directions for gallbladder carcinoma. Therefore, it should be stressed that ERs are potential therapeutic targets for gallbladder carcinoma.

Crosstalk between EGFR and p53 in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

  • Cioca, Andreea;Cimpean, Anca;Ceausu, Raluca;Fit, Ana-Maria;Zaharie, Teodor;Al-Hajjar, Nadim;Puia, Vlad;Raica, Marius
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권19호
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    • pp.8069-8073
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    • 2014
  • Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most frequent cancers worldwide, with a high mortality. Most patients present with late stage disease, when the treatment options are limited to systemic chemotherapy. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the significance of p53 and EGFR expression in HCC, and to determine whether these two markers correlate with conventional parameters of prognosis. Materials and Methods: Our study included a total of 45 patients, diagnosed histopathologically with HCC. Clinicopathological data including sex, age, tumor necrosis, tumor size, histologic grading, tumor stage, the presence of cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis, were recorded from the Institute database. Three independent microscopic fields were selected for each sample and all the tumor cells within each microscopic field were counted, and then the positive percent of p53 cells were calculated. Three staining patterns were recognized: diffuse, heterogenous and focal. The intensity of EGFR staining was scored on a scale of 0-3+: 0 no staining; 1+ when a weak membrane staining was observed; 2+ when membrane staining is more intense than in 1+, but less than 3+, and 3+ when intense dark brown staining delineated the membrane. To determine the relationship between EGFR expression and p53, we performed double staining in the same HCC specimens. Results: By immunohistochemical staining, p53 protein was detected in tumor cell nuclei in 20 HCCs (44%). We found a significant correlation between the intensity of p53 expression and the histological grade (p=0.008). EGFR expression was detected in 17 (38%) cases, linked to histological grade (p=0.039). Moreover, the intensity of p53 expression was significantly correlated with EGFR intensity (p=0.014). Conclusions: Our results suggest that overexpression of p53 and EGFR plays an important role in hepatocarcinogenesis and contributes to more advanced disease. These markers are not only valuable predictors of prognosis in HCC, but they are also rational targets for new anti-tumor strategies.