• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.55-81
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• 2014

This study aims to answer two questions using input-output decomposition analysis: 1) Have emerging Asian economies decoupled? 2) What are the sources of structural changes in gross outputs and value-added of emerging Asian economies related to the first question? The main findings of the study are as follows: First, since 1990, there has been a trend of increasing dependence on exports to extra-regions such as G3 and the ROW, indicating no sign of "decoupling", but rather an increasing integration of emerging Asian countries into global trade. Second, there is a contrasting feature in the sources of structural changes between non-China emerging Asia and China. Dependence of non-China emerging Asia on intra-regional trade has increased in line with strengthening economic integration in East Asia, whereas China has disintegrated from the region. Therefore, it can be said that China has contributed to no sign of decoupling of emerging Asia as a whole.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.143-161
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• 2014

This paper examines the effects of global liquidity expansion on advanced and emerging economies by using panel VAR methodology. The results show that global liquidity expansion tends to boost economy by increasing GDP growth and stock prices. However, we find that the effects are asymmetric. The effects of global liquidity on GDP and stock prices are greater and more persistent in emerging economies than in liquidity recipient advanced economies. Moreover, global liquidity appreciates emerging economies' exchange rates more persistently than those of advanced economies. Lastly, while global liquidity expansion increases foreign portfolio investment inflows to Asian countries and liquidity recipient advanced economies, there is no evidence for Latin American countries.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.155-158
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• 2021

Entrepreneurial ecosystem is a very active area of research both conceptually and empirically, yet most literature that emerged over the last two decades predominantly pertain to developed economies. At the same time, transitioning and emerging economies have continued to grow rapidly, making a strong case to study entrepreneurial ecosystems in emerging economies (Bruton et al., 2018). Ecosystems are broad constructs and the constitutive elements of an ecosystem are themselves complex (Stam, 2015). Hence exploring key elements of the ecosystem in depth to understand the mechanisms of how entrepreneurship is supported through intermediary organizations like incubators is a fruitful exercise. In this context, we review the book "Technology Business Incubators in India Structure, Role and Performance" which is a timely synthesis for academic researchers and practitioners, looking to explore the topic as it pertains to emerging economies. The book is part of the De Gruyter Studies in Knowledge Management and Entrepreneurial Ecosystems series, that covers pertinent ecosystems issues around universities, and sustainability by leading authors.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.203-211
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• 2022

Foreign direct investment (FDI) has increased at an exponential rate during the last two decades. It is now a feature of emerging market economies as well. Foreign direct investment and financial development are important factors in an economy's growth. Various studies have examined the impact of foreign direct investment and financial development on economic growth in different countries and areas. However, the findings are currently inconclusive. Using updated data from 1970 to 2020, this study will examine the relationships between FDI, financial development, and economic growth in 30 rising economies.GDP is the dependent variable, while FDI, financial development, trade openness, infrastructure, exchange rate, and GDP growth are the independent factors. To estimate the panel data, we used the most recent econometric models. The study's major findings suggest that FDI and financial development are critical determinants in emerging economies' economic progress. Furthermore, multiple robustness checks supported the study's empirical findings. The results of this study include various practical recommendations for investors, governments, and policymakers, given the increased interest in global economic integration and member states' reliance on FDI as a critical aspect of sustaining prosperity.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.133-143
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• 2023

The detrimental impacts of financial instability on the world economy during the financial crisis highlighted the requirement to understand the existing financial circumstances. Stability and developments in financial conditions are important for economic prosperity. This study analyses the impact of geopolitical risk on the economic conditions of some specific emerging economies using monthly data from January 1999 to September 2016 by applying a fixed-effects panel data model. The estimation results demonstrated that geopolitical risk has a significant, negative impact on financial conditions. It shows geopolitical risk could be seen as a key factor that contributes towards financial conditions. Further, it implies that negative shocks of high geopolitical risk experienced by emerging economies are one of the primary reasons for the financial conditions' deterioration. The findings provide important insights for governments, policymakers, and investors. For instance, governments and politicians should refrain from expressing or producing tension, economic discomfort, or news that is likely to increase a high geopolitical risk. Maintaining a close eye on geopolitical risk and its sources may also help to stabilize financial conditions and develop a well-functioning financial system. As a result, investors would be better informed about an economy's economic and financial conditions, allowing them to diversify their international portfolios and devise investing strategies during uncertain economic times.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.79-104
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 2007~2008년 및 2010~2012년의 글로벌 금융위기 기간에 외국인 투자자의 아시아 신흥국 주식시장에 대한 투자행태를 살펴보고, 주가 수익률 및 변동성 측면에서 외국인 투자자가 아시아 신흥국 주식시장에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석결과 아시아 신흥국가에서 글로벌 금융위기 기간에 외국인 투자자들은 양(+)의 피드백 거래를 나타내었다. 그리고 전 아시아 신흥국가 샘플에서 수익률 상승기보다는 하락기에 시장의 변동성이 더욱 증가하는 비대칭성을 보였다. 또한 금융위기 기간의 외국인 투자자의 순매도 행위는 대부분의 국가에서 시장의 변동성을 유의적으로 증가시킨 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 글로벌 금융위기 기간에 외국인 주식 투자자는 아시아 신흥국에서 양(+)의 피드백 거래 행태를 보였고 외국인 투자자의 매도 행위는 수익률을 하락시키고 시장의 변동성을 증대시키는 유의적 작용을 했다는 함의를 제공한다.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.1-30
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• 2019

The advent of digitalisation has transformed economies into more integrated, but increasingly complex systems. This new trend has brought dynamic changes in the manufacturing sector through advanced ICT infrastructure, smart factories, digitally-controlled logistics, and skilled ICT-labour. The impacts of the digital economy on manufacturing could be best illustrated through "Industry 4.0." With this wave of technological advancement, countries aim to establish an industrial ecosystem where every manufacturing process and function is connected and interacts through digital networks. Industry 4.0 presents opportunities for Emerging Asia, as the region has emerged as a fast-growing manufacturing hub and particularly a production base for ICT goods. However, growing production capacity, increased exports, and increases in FDI in the field of ICT goods manufacturing have so far contributed little to the development and diffusion of ICT. A huge gap exists in the ICT uptake amongst countries and between small and large firms. This paper highlights the level of Industry 4.0 readiness of Emerging Asia and key factors that determine its enhancement.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.131-149
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• 2018

Multinational corporations (MNCs) leverage global locations for efficient production and sustained growth, and move significant foreign direct investments globally, particularly into emerging economies. MNCs also engage in entrepreneurial ecosystems of host countries for strategic benefits and impact the ecosystem as well. Of late, MNCs are increasingly entering into emerging economies like India through foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and they are playing a vital role in start-up promotion in the entrepreneurial ecosystem. Therefore, we examine the role of MNCs and its impact on the entrepreneurial ecosystems in India by exploring a symbiotic relationship between MNCs and startups. We use a case-based method to ascertain and analyze specific benefits that emerge from such symbiotic relationships and draw implications for startups in India's technology entrepreneurial ecosystem.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.617-626
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• 2021

The study examines the existence of twin deficit in two emerging economies (Turkey and Iran) and also investigates the relation of twin deficit with specific macroeconomic indicators such as the GDP, money supply, foreign direct investment, and the interest rate both in short and long-run periods. The twin-deficit concept refers to a situation where the current account deficit and budget deficits exist in the same corresponding period of an economy. This study employs the Bound Test Autoregressive lag distributed (ARDL) model on time-series quarterly secondary data of Turkey and Iran from 1992 to 2019. The stationarity of variables has been ensured through the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test at the level and the first difference. The results reveal the existence of a twin deficit in both the short and long-run periods only in Iran. Its existence could not be observed in the Turkish economy. The findings suggest a positive relationship between twin deficit and GDP, and a negative relationship between twin deficit and FDI and M2. At the same time, the relationship of the twin deficit with interest rate could not be found in the Iranian economy. The findings may be helpful for economic managers of both countries in executing their economic policies.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.53-73
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 금리 스프레드가 두 아시아 국가의 경기불황을 예측할 수 있는가를 살펴보았다. 이를 위해 세계시장에 상대적으로 개방이 많이 되어 있고 무역활동이 활발한 두 개의 신흥경제국가인 한국과 태국을 선정 하였다. 본 논문에서는 두 개의 국면(Two-regime Markov-Switching model)과 세 개의 국면(Three-regime Markov-Switching model)이 있는 마코프 국면 전환 모형을 이용하여 아시아 경제위기의 불황확률을 추정해 보았다. 추정결과 태국의 금리스프레드는 태국의 불황 확률을 반영하였으나 한국의 금리스프레드는 불황 예측을 하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 세 개의 국면이 있는 모형이 두 개의 국면 있는 모형보다 아시아 금융위기의 불황예측에서 우수함을 밝혔다. 또한 본 논문에서는 경기상승과 경기불황이 있을 때 얼마나 지속되는가의 지속성(Duration)을 추정하였다. 이는 경기가 불황으로 움직일 때는 생산이 급격히 감소하는 반면 저점을 찍고 경기가 살아날 때는 생산이 천천히 오른다는 경기불황과 호황의 비대칭적 움직임을 테스트 하였다. 한편 마코프 국면 전환 모형의 결과와 전통적으로 많이 사용되어 왔던 프로빗(Probit) 모형의 결과를 비교 분석 하였다. 마코프 국면전환 모형이 프로빗 모형보다 경기변동의 예측력을 크게 향상시키지는 못하는 것으로 나타났다.