• Title/Summary/Keyword: Area under the curve (AUC)

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Body Adiposity Index and Metabolic Syndrome Risk Factors in Korean Adults: A Comparison with Body Mass Index and Other Parameters

  • Shin, Kyung-A;Hong, Seung Bok;Shin, Kyeong Seob
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2017
  • A new body adiposity index (BAI) has been proposed that is expected to replace body mass index (BMI). We evaluated the correlations between metabolic syndrome risk factors and BAI, BMI, and other adiposity indices, such as waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), by sex in the Korean population. We also evaluated whether BAI would be useful to diagnose metabolic syndrome. A total of 20,961 Korean adults who underwent health examinations were included in this study. The metabolic syndrome diagnostic criteria used in this study were those set by the American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (AHA/NHLBI). In men (12,719), BMI and WHtR were more strongly correlated to metabolic syndrome risk than BAI, and in women (8,242), WHtR showed the strongest association with metabolic syndrome risk. BAI (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.678) presented lower discriminatory capacity than that of BMI (AUC = 0.836) for diagnosing metabolic syndrome. Moreover, BAI underestimated fat levels in men and women when considering the ability to discriminate overweight and obese individuals. In conclusion, WHtR and BMI in men, and WHtR in women may be better candidates than BAI to evaluate metabolic risk factors in Korean adults.

Pharmacokinetic Changes of Tolbutamide After Oral Administration to Rabbits with Alloxan-Induced Diabetes Mellitus (알록산으로 유도된 당뇨병 가토에 톨부타마이드 경구투여시 약물동태변화)

  • Choi, Byung-Chul;Lee, Jin-Hwan;Choi, Jun-Shik
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2000
  • The changes in pharmacokinetic parameters of tolbutamide, such as the area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to time infinity (AUC) and elimination rate constant (Kel) were evaluated after oral administration of the drug to rabbits with acute and chronic alloxan-induced diabetes mellitus (AIDRs). After oral administration, the plasma concentrations of tolbutamide were significantly higher between 9 and 12 hr in chronic AIDRs compared with these in control rabbits. Therefore, the AUC was significantly greater in chronic AIDRs $(3,490{\pm}649\;versus\;5,020{\pm}1,030{\mu}gml{\cdot}hr)$. This could be due to inhibition of tolbutamide metabolism by liver in AIDRs since tolbutamide is essentially completely metabolized in liver. Impaired liver and kidney function in AIDRs were based on blood chemistry and tissue microscopy. The absorption rate constant and Kel were significantly slower in chronic AIDRs compared with those in control rabbits.

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A Prediction Triage System for Emergency Department During Hajj Period using Machine Learning Models

  • Huda N. Alhazmi
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2024
  • Triage is a practice of accurately prioritizing patients in emergency department (ED) based on their medical condition to provide them with proper treatment service. The variation in triage assessment among medical staff can cause mis-triage which affect the patients negatively. Developing ED triage system based on machine learning (ML) techniques can lead to accurate and efficient triage outcomes. This study aspires to develop a triage system using machine learning techniques to predict ED triage levels using patients' information. We conducted a retrospective study using Security Forces Hospital ED data, from 2021 through 2023 during Hajj period in Saudia Arabi. Using demographics, vital signs, and chief complaints as predictors, two machine learning models were investigated, naming gradient boosted decision tree (XGB) and deep neural network (DNN). The models were trained to predict ED triage levels and their predictive performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and confusion matrix. A total of 11,584 ED visits were collected and used in this study. XGB and DNN models exhibit high abilities in the predicting performance with AUC-ROC scores 0.85 and 0.82, respectively. Compared to the traditional approach, our proposed system demonstrated better performance and can be implemented in real-world clinical settings. Utilizing ML applications can power the triage decision-making, clinical care, and resource utilization.

Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on the Geographic Distribution of Pinus densiflora in Korea using Ecological Niche Model (소나무의 지리적 분포 및 생태적 지위 모형을 이용한 기후변화 영향 예측)

  • Chun, Jung Hwa;Lee, Chang-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.219-233
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    • 2013
  • We employed the ecological niche modeling framework using GARP (Genetic Algorithm for Ruleset Production) to model the current and future geographic distribution of Pinus densiflora based on environmental predictor variable datasets such as climate data including the RCP 8.5 emission climate change scenario, geographic and topographic characteristics, soil and geological properties, and MODIS enhanced vegetation index (EVI) at 4 $km^2$ resolution. National Forest Inventory (NFI) derived occurrence and abundance records from about 4,000 survey sites across the whole country were used for response variables. The current and future potential geographic distribution of Pinus densiflora, one of the tree species dominating the present Korean forest was modeled and mapped. Future models under RCP 8.5 scenarios for Pinus densiflora suggest large areas predicted under current climate conditions may be contracted by 2090 showing range shifts northward and to higher altitudes. Area Under Curve (AUC) values of the modeled result was 0.67. Overall, the results of this study were successful in showing the current distribution of major tree species and projecting their future changes. However, there are still many possible limitations and uncertainties arising from the select of the presence-absence data and the environmental predictor variables for model input. Nevertheless, ecological niche modeling can be a useful tool for exploring and mapping the potential response of the tree species to climate change. The final models in this study may be used to identify potential distribution of the tree species based on the future climate scenarios, which can help forest managers to decide where to allocate effort in the management of forest ecosystem under climate change in Korea.

Evaluation of Clinical Usefulness of Gamma Glutamyl Transferase as a Surrogate Marker for Metabolic Syndrome in Non Obese Adult Men (비만하지 않은 성인 남성에서 대사증후군의 대리 표지자로서 감마 글루타밀 전이효소의 임상적 유용성 평가)

  • Shin, Kyung-A;Kim, Eun Jae
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.146-155
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    • 2020
  • This study was to evaluate the usefulness of gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) as a surrogate marker predicting metabolic syndrome. 7,155 non obese men over the age of 20 were studied as subjects. The criteria for diagnosing MetS were the National Cholesterol Education Program - Third Adult Treatment Panel (NCEP-ATP III). The risk of developing MetS according to GGT was conducted logistic regression analysis, and the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve was obtained to confirm GGT ability to predict the risk of MetS. Regardless of age and body mass index, MetS had a 7.09 times higher risk of onset in the fourth quartile than in the first quartile of GGT (p<0.001). The AUC (area under the curve) of GGT for the diagnosis of MetS was 0.715, and the cutoff value of GGT was 40.0 U/L, the sensitivity was 65.0%, and the specificity was 70.2%. Therefore, GGT is considered to be a useful diagnostic index for diagnosing MetS.

Shifts of Geographic Distribution of Pinus koraiensis Based on Climate Change Scenarios and GARP Model (GARP 모형과 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 잣나무의 지리적 분포 변화)

  • Chun, Jung Hwa;Lee, Chang Bae;Yoo, So Min
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.348-357
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    • 2015
  • The main purpose of this study is to understand the potential geographic distribution of P. koraiensis, which is known to be one of major economic tree species, based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 8.5 scenarios and current geographic distribution from National Forest Inventory(NFI) data using ecological niche modeling. P. koraiensis abundance data extracted from NFI were utilized to estimate current geographic distribution. Also, GARP (Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production) model, one of the ecological niche models, was applied to estimate potential geographic distribution and to project future changes. Environmental explanatory variables showing Area Under Curve (AUC) value bigger than 0.6 were selected and constructed into the final model by running the model for each of the 27 variables. The results of the model validation which was performed based on confusion matrix statistics, showed quite high suitability. Currently P. koraiensis is distributed widely from 300m to 1,200m in altitude and from south to north as a result of national greening project in 1970s although major populations are found in elevated and northern area. The results of this study were successful in showing the current distribution of P. koraiensis and projecting their future changes. Future model for P. koraiensis suggest large areas predicted under current climate conditions may be contracted by 2090s showing dramatic habitat loss. Considering the increasing status of atmospheric $CO_2$ and air temperature in Korea, P. koraiensis seems to experience the significant decrease of potential distribution range in the future. The final model in this study may be used to identify climate change impacts on distribution of P. koraiensis in Korea, and a deeper understanding of its correlation may be helpful when planning afforestation strategies.

Evaluation of the cross-sectional area of acromion process for shoulder impingement syndrome

  • Joo, Young;Cho, Hyung Rae;Kim, Young Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.60-65
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    • 2020
  • Background: Anatomic changes in the acromion have been considered a main cause of shoulder impingement syndrome (SIS). To evaluate the relationship between SIS and the acromion process, we devised a new morphological parameter called the acromion process cross-sectional area (APA). We hypothesized that the APA could be an important morphologic diagnostic parameter in SIS. Methods: We collected APA data from 95 patients with SIS and 126 control subjects who underwent shoulder magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Then we measured the maximal cross-sectional area of the bone margin of the acromion process on MRI scans. Results: The mean of APAs were 136.50 ± 21.75 ㎟ in the male control group and 202.91 ± 31.78 ㎟ in the male SIS group; SIS patients had significantly greater APAs (P < 0.001). The average of APAs were 105.38 ± 19.07 ㎟ in the female control group and 147.62 ± 22.90 ㎟ in the female SIS group, and the SIS patients had significantly greater APAs (P < 0.001). The optimal APA cut-off in the male group was 165.14 ㎟ with 90.2% sensitivity, 91.4% specificity, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.968. In the female group, the optimal cut-off was 122.50 ㎟ with 85.2% sensitivity, 84.9% specificity, and an AUC of 0.928. Conclusions: The newly devised APA is a sensitive parameter for assessing SIS; greater APA is associated with a higher possibility of SIS. We think that this result will be helpful for the diagnosis of SIS.

The role of the iliotibial band cross-sectional area as a morphological parameter of the iliotibial band friction syndrome: a retrospective pilot study

  • Park, Jiyeon;Cho, Hyung Rae;Kang, Keum Nae;Choi, Kun Woong;Choi, Young Soon;Jeong, Hye-Won;Yi, Jungmin;Kim, Young Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.229-233
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    • 2021
  • Background: Iliotibial band friction syndrome (ITBFS) is a common disorder of the lateral knee. Previous research has reported that the iliotibial band (ITB) thickness (ITBT) is correlated with ITBFS, and ITBT has been considered to be a key morphologic parameter of ITBFS. However, the thickness is different from inflammatory hypertrophy. Thus, we made the ITB cross-sectional area (ITBCSA) a new morphological parameter to assess ITBFS. Methods: Forty-three patients with ITBFS group and from 43 normal group who underwent T1W magnetic resonance imaging were enrolled. The ITBCSA was measured as the cross-sectional area of the ITB that was most hypertrophied in the magnetic resonance axial images. The ITBT was measured as the thickest site of ITB. Results: The mean ITBCSA was 25.24 ± 6.59 ㎟ in the normal group and 38.75 ± 9.11 ㎟ in the ITBFS group. The mean ITBT was 1.94 ± 0.41 mm in the normal group and 2.62 ± 0.46 mm in the ITBFS group. Patients in ITBFS group had significantly higher ITBCSA (P < 0.001) and ITBT (P < 0.001) than the normal group. A receiver operator characteristic curve analysis demonstrated that the best cut-off value of the ITBT was 2.29 mm, with 76.7% sensitivity, 79.1% specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) 0.88. The optimal cut-off score of the ITBCSA was 30.66 ㎟, with 79.1% sensitivity, 79.1% specificity, and AUC 0.87. Conclusions: ITBCSA is a new and sensitive morphological parameter for diagnosing ITBFS, and may even be more accurate than ITBT.

Comparison of the Usefulness of Lipid Ratio Indicators for Prediction of Metabolic Syndrome in the Elderly Aged 65 Years or Older (65세 이상 고령자에서 대사증후군 예측을 위한 지질비율 지표의 유용성 비교)

  • Shin, Kyung-A;Kim, Eun Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the usefulness of the lipid ratio indicators for the diagnosis of metabolic syndrome in the elderly aged 65 years or older. From January 2018 to December 2020, 1,464 people aged 65 years or older who underwent a health checkup at a general hospital in Seoul were included. Lipid ratio indicators were measured through blood tests. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome according to the quartiles of the lipid ratio index was confirmed by logistic regression analysis. In addition, the metabolic syndrome predictive ability and cutoff value of the lipid ratio indices were estimated with the receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve. The correlation between atherogenic index of plasma(AIP) and waist circumference was the highest in both men and women(r=0.278, p<0.001 vs r=0.252, p<0.001). As for the lipid ratio indices, the incidence of metabolic syndrome was higher in the fourth quartile than in the first quartile. The area under the ROC curve(AUC) value of AIP was higher at 0.826(95% CI=0.799-0.850) and 0.852(95% CI=0.820-0.881) for men and women, respectively, compared to other lipid ratio indicators, and the optimal cutoff values for both men and women was 0.44(p<0.001). Therefore, the AIP among the lipid ratio indicators was found to be the most useful index for diagnosing metabolic syndrome in the elderly aged 65 years or older.

Analysis Study on the Detection and Classification of COVID-19 in Chest X-ray Images using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능을 활용한 흉부 엑스선 영상의 코로나19 검출 및 분류에 대한 분석 연구)

  • Yoon, Myeong-Seong;Kwon, Chae-Rim;Kim, Sung-Min;Kim, Su-In;Jo, Sung-Jun;Choi, Yu-Chan;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.661-672
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    • 2022
  • After the outbreak of the SARS-CoV2 virus that causes COVID-19, it spreads around the world with the number of infections and deaths rising rapidly caused a shortage of medical resources. As a way to solve this problem, chest X-ray diagnosis using Artificial Intelligence(AI) received attention as a primary diagnostic method. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively analyze the detection of COVID-19 via AI. To achieve this purpose, 292 studies were collected through a series of Classification methods. Based on these data, performance measurement information including Accuracy, Precision, Area Under Cover(AUC), Sensitivity, Specificity, F1-score, Recall, K-fold, Architecture and Class were analyzed. As a result, the average Accuracy, Precision, AUC, Sensitivity and Specificity were achieved as 95.2%, 94.81%, 94.01%, 93.5%, and 93.92%, respectively. Although the performance measurement information on a year-on-year basis gradually increased, furthermore, we conducted a study on the rate of change according to the number of Class and image data, the ratio of use of Architecture and about the K-fold. Currently, diagnosis of COVID-19 using AI has several problems to be used independently, however, it is expected that it will be sufficient to be used as a doctor's assistant.