• Title/Summary/Keyword: Area estimation

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A Study on the Estimation Technique of Area Source Emissions for Air Pollution Prediction (大氣汚染豫測을 위한 面汚染源排出量 算定模型의 開發에 關한 硏究)

  • 박준대;김정욱
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 1990
  • In the estimation of grid type area source emissions, the factors by which emissions are distributed spatially must be considered comprehensively. The estimation process can be approached systematically by connecting the emission activity of air pollutants with land use pattern and the various impacts can be taken into account in the process by using such area information as land use, population, distribution of households, types of housing units, fuel consumption and so on. The estimation procedure was computerized in order to calculate area source emissions by grid information system. This computerization helped to augment effectiveness and efficiency not only by managing enormous data but also by performing diverse functions.

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Model- Data Based Small Area Estimation

  • Shin, Key-Il;Lee, Sang Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2003
  • Small area estimation had been studied using data-based methods such as Direct, Indirect, Synthetic methods. However recently, model-based such as based on regression or time series estimation methods are applied to the study. In this paper we investigate a model-data based small area estimation which takes into account the spatial relation among the areas. The Economic Active Population Survey in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from the model based and model-data based estimation are compared with using MSE(Mean squared error), MAE(Mean absolute error) and MB(Mean bias).

Small Area Estimation of Unemplyoment Using Kalman Filter Method (KALMAN FILTER기법을 이용한 실업자 수의 소지역 추정)

  • 양영춘;이상은;신민웅
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2003
  • In small area estimation, Best Linear Unbaised Predictor(BLUP) can be directly implicated ,specially, in use of the time series estimation. If there are correlations between observations and error terms over the time, Kalman Filter method can be used. Therefore, using kalman Filtering technique small area estimation of total of unemployments are estimated by BLUP. And for the example of this study, Economic Active Population Survey data were used.

Estimations of Forest Growing Stocks in Small-area Level Considering Local Forest Characteristics (산림의 지역적 특성을 고려한 시군구 임목축적량 통계 산출 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Eun-Sook;Kim, Cheol-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2015
  • Forest statistics of local administrative districts have many social needs, nevertheless we have some difficulties for working out an accurate statistics because of insufficient data in small-area level. Thus, new small-area estimation method has to set aside additional data, decrease errors of statistics and consider the local forest characteristics at the same time. In this study, we researched the spatial divisions that can set aside additional data for statistics production and satisfy the major premise, which is "forest characteristics of spatial divisions have to be equal to that of small-area". And we compared synthetic estimation methods based on three different spatial divisions(provinces, neighbor districts and new expanded districts). New expanded districts were divided based on the criteria of climate, soil type and tree species composition that affects local forest characteristics. Small-area statistics were assessed in terms of the ability to estimate local forest characteristics and consistency within large-area statistics. As a result, new expanded districts synthetic estimation was assessed to calculate statistics that reflects local forest characteristics better than other two estimation methods. Moreover, this synthetic estimation method produced the statistics that was included within 95% confidence interval of large-area statistics and was the closer to large-area statistics than the neighbor districts synthetic estimation.

Hierachical Bayes Estimation of Small Area Means in Repeated Survey (반복조사에서 소지역자료 베이지안 분석)

  • 김달호;김남희
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we consider the HB estimators of small area means with repeated survey. mao and Yu(1994) considered small area model with repeated survey data and proposed empirical best linear unbiased estimators. We propose a hierachical Bayes version of Rao and Yu by assigning prior distributions for unknown hyperparameters. We illustrate our HB estimator using very popular data in small area problem and then compare the results with the estimator of Census Bureau and other estimators previously proposed.

Development of Dynamic Frequency Monitoring Software for Wide-Area Protection Relaying Intelligence (광역 보호계전 지능화를 위한 동적 주파수 모니터링 S/W 개발)

  • Kim, Yoon-Sang;Park, Chul-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.174-179
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    • 2012
  • The social and economic level of damages might be highly increased in the case of wide-area black-outages, because of heavy dependence of electricity. Therefore, the development of a wide-area protection relay intelligence techniques is required to prevent massive power outages and minimize the impact strength at failure. The frequency monitoring and prediction for wide-area protection relaying intelligence has been considered as an important technology. In this paper, a network-based frequency monitoring system developed for wide-area protection relay intelligence is presented. In addition, conventional techniques for frequency estimation are compared, and a method for advanced frequency estimation and measurement to improve the precision is proposed. Finally, an integrated monitoring system called K-FNET(Korea-Frequency Monitoring Network) is implemented based on the GPS and various energy monitoring cases are studied.

A Study on the Maintenance Cost Estimation Model of the Apartment Housing (공동주택의 관리비 추정모델 연구)

  • Lee, Kang-Hee;Yang, Jae-Hyuk;Chae, Chang-U
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2010
  • The maintenance cost plays a important role to plan the scale of the apartment housing such as a number of household, building area and building type. Therefore, it is required to forecast the cost considering various maintenance characteristics. The maintenance characteristics are floor area, number of household, heating type, site area and etc.. In addition, the maintenance cost are classified into 5 area. These are a personal expense, facility maintenance cost, energy and water cost, insurance and sanitary cost. These five cost area are related with various characteristics and brought up the estimation model using the stepwise multiple regression analysis. The energy and heating cost share over the 50% in the total cost and the personal expense cost shares about 40%. The personal expense cost per area is 5,272 won/$m^2{\cdot}yr$ irregardless of heating type and the district heating type is a higher cost than other type. In facility maintenance cost, the central heating type is 2,015 won/$m^2{\cdot}yr$ and higher than other type. The estimation models have good statistics in each model. Most of the model have a determination coefficient over 0.7 and Durbin Watson value between 1.5 and 2.5.

Shrinkage Small Area Estimation Using a Semiparametric Mixed Model (준모수혼합모형을 이용한 축소소지역추정)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Choo, Manho;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.605-617
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    • 2014
  • Small area estimation is a statistical inference method to overcome large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. A shrinkage estimator obtained by minimizing relative error(RE) instead of MSE has been suggested. The estimator takes advantage of good interpretation when the data range is large. A semiparametric estimator is also studied for small area estimation. In this study, we suggest a semiparametric shrinkage small area estimator and compare small area estimators using labor statistics.

Evaluation of Raingauge Network using Area Average Rainfall Estimation and the Estimation Error (면적평균강우량 산정을 통한 강우관측망 평가 및 추정오차)

  • Lee, Ji Ho;Jun, Hwan Don
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2014
  • Area average rainfall estimation is important to determine the exact amount of the available water resources and the essential input data for rainfall-runoff analysis. Like that, the necessary criterion for accurate area average rainfall estimate is the uniform spatial distribution of raingauge network. In this study, we suggest the spatial distribution evaluation methodology of raingauge network to estimate better area average rainfall and after the suggested method is applied to Han River and Geum River basin. The spatial distribution of rainfall network can be quantified by the nearest neighbor index. In order to evaluate the effects of the spatial distribution of rainfall network by each basin, area average rainfall was estimated by arithmetic mean method, the Thiessen's weighting method and estimation theory for 2013's rainfall event, and evaluated the involved errors by each cases. As a result, it can be found that the estimation error at the best basin of spatial distribution was lower than the worst basin of spatial distribution.

Estimation of Atmospheric Dispersion Coefficients in A Coastal Area with Complex Topography (복잡한 지형의 임해지역에서 대기 분산계수의 평가)

  • 박옥현;천성남
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.411-420
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    • 1998
  • To estimate the dispersion coefficients in a coastal area with complex topography, several schemes using empirical equations expressed with and in lateral and vertical directions, respectively have been examined. Estimation results using these equations and meteorological data obtained from SODAR system were compared' with previously measured dispersion coefficients in other coastal areas. Validations of estimation results have been performed by comparing the measured concentrations with predicted ones empolying in Boryung coastal area. Important conclusions were drawn as follows; (1) Variations of lateral and vertical wind direction revealed different height dependency in upper and lower mixed boundary layer. (2) Because of turbulent constraint effect by large water body in a coastal region, the lateral and the vertical dispersion coefficients were smaller than those of P-G system. (3) As a result of examining the performance measure of these schemes through checking of coincidence between measured and predicted concentrations, vertical dispersion coefficients were smaller than those of P-G system, and the Cramer scheme was found to be more appropriate rather than others in the coastal area surrounding Boryung power plant.

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