• 무역학회지
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• 제47권1호
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• pp.181-198
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• 2022

This paper investigates the arbitrage effect by the covered interest parity (CIP) deviation, as well as other push or pull factor effect on capital inflows and ouflows in the Korean bond market, by utilizing OLS, TSLS, IRF and VDC in EC model. The sample period covers February 2002 to December 2020. It is found that, the swap basis reflecting the CIP deviations have the significant effects on both debt investment inflows and debt investment outflows. Also, it is found that, the Korean risk factors have decreasing effects on foreigner's investment in the Korean bonds, while the global risk factors have decreasing effects on Korean resident's investment in the foreign bonds.