• Title/Summary/Keyword: Arbitrage

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The Segmentation Hypothesis of International Capital Markets; in the Regional Stock Markets Setting

  • Ryu, Sung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Keun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.401-419
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    • 1998
  • This paper examines the international arbitrage pricing model (IAPM) in regional equity markets setting. Factor analyses are used to estimate the international common risk factors. And the cross-sectional regression analyses are used to test the validity of regional IAPMs and Chow tests are used to evaluate the integration of regional equity markets. The results of factor analyses show that the number of common factors in each regional group is seven. The cross-sectional regression results lead us not to reject that the IAPMs are regionally valid but Chow test results lead us to reject that regional equity markets are integrated.

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Real-time information effect of patent listing disclosure (특허권 취득 공시와 한국유가증권시장의 실시간 정보효율성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Wook;Kim, Jong-Yoon
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.195-212
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    • 2016
  • Utilizing intra-day volume weighted average price (VWAP) based on 1 minute return data of stocks traded on the Korean Stock Exchange, this paper examines and analyzes abnormal returns in reaction to patent listing disclosures as well as the cumulative abnormal returns, traded volumes, the interaction of VWAP spreads, the reaction of volumes, the reaction of VWAP spreads and the realized returns obtained from trading using an event driven arbitrage strategy. The results of the aforementioned research topics are follows. First, our analysis suggests that on average, 0.92% positive cumulative returns arise 1 minute after the patent listing disclosure announcement with high statistical significance, thereby reconfirming that the Korean stock market is a semi-strong form of the efficient market. Employing 3 separate panel tests differentiated by the size factor, we find that the abnormal returns of small sized stocks were less than the returns of medium sized stocks, which goes to support recent research findings suggesting that the size premium is no longer existent in the Korean stock market. Secondly, we show that among the event driven type strategies, the most outstanding realized returns are from the market making strategies. Furthermore, placing market order trades only at the bid or ask price resulted in negative returns. This implies that strategies utilizing a combination of market orders and limit orders, order cancelations ratios and order flows can enhance realized returns.

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The study on the characteristics of the price discovery role in the KOSPI 200 index futures (주가지수선물의 가격발견기능에 관한 특성 고찰)

  • 김규태
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.196-204
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    • 2002
  • This paper examines the price discovery role of the KOSPI 200 futures index for its cash index. It was used the intrady data for KOSPI 200 and futures index from July 1998 to June 2001. The existing Preceding study for KOSPI 200 futures index was used the data of early market installation, but this study is distinguished to use a recent data accompanied with the great volume of transaction and various investors. We established three hypothesis to examine whether there is the price discovery role in the KOPSI 200 futures index and the characteristics of that. First, to examine whether the lead-lag relation is induced by the infrequent trading of component stocks, observations are sorted by the size of the trading volume of cash index. In a low trading volume, the long lead time is reported and the short lead time in a high volume. It is explained that the infrequent trading effect have an influence on the price discovery role. Second, to examine whether the lead-lag relation is different under bad news and good news, observations are sorted by the sign and size of cash index returns. In a bad news the long lead time is reported and the short lead time in a good news. This is explained by the restriction of"short selling" of the cash index Third, we compared estimates of the lead and lag relationships on the expiration day with those on days prior to expiration using a minute-to-minute data. The futures-to-spot lead time on the expiration day was at least as long as other days Prior to expiration, suggesting that "expiration day effects" did not demonstrate a temporal character substantially different form earlier days. Thus, while arbitrage activity may be presumed to be the greatest at expiration, such arbitrage transactions were not sufficiently strong or Pervasive to alter the empirical price relationship for the entire day. for the entire day.

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What Prompted Shadow Banking in China? Wealth Management Products and Regulatory Arbitrage

  • SHAH, Syed Mehmood Raza;LI, Jianjun;FU, Qiang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2020
  • Shadow banking in China has been growing rapidly; banks use wealth management products aggressively to evade regulatory constraints. The loan-to-deposit ratio or LDR targets both sides of the balance sheet; loans in terms of asset-side, and deposits in terms of liabilities-side; banks needed to control and maintain both sides. Regulators restricted Chinese banks to maintain a 75% limit for their loan-depositratio. Banks' needed to either lower their loans or increase the deposits; WMPs helped banks to evade this limit. Banks issue more WMPs to control and manage a 75% statutory ceiling LDR. This WMPs-LDR positive association disappeared post-2015 period. This study empirically examined how Chinese banks use WMPs issuance to avoid regulatory constraints. Quarterly panel data for 30 top Chinese banks were used by analyzing pre-2015 (during the 75% LDR limit) and post-2015 (after removal of the LDR limit). This study also performed fixed-effects model as recommended by the Hausman specification test, with feasible generalized least squares FGLS estimation technique. The results of this study show that for the pre-2015 period, Chinese banks use issuance of WMPs aggressively to manage their LDR limit; this WMPs-LDR relationship disappeared post-2015 period. Moreover, SMBs use WMPs more eagerly as compare to Big4 banks.

An Equilibrium Diffusion Model of Demand and Supply of New Product and Empirical Analysis (신기술 제품의 확산에 관한 수요$\cdot$공급의 균형확산모형과 실증분석)

  • Ha, Tae-Jeong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.113-139
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the diffusion process of personal computer (PC) in Korea during the 1990's. To achieve the goal, five research steps have been done such as the literature survey of diffusion theory, set-up of theoretic equilibrium model of supply and demand, derivation of an equilibrium path using Hamiltonian, and empirical analysis. The empirical analysis has been performed based on that equilibrium path. The results can be summarized as follows : First, technological attribute of diffusing product influences the diffusion speed of Product. It has been proven that the size of the network has a significant effect on the diffusion of PC in empirical study Second, supply factors have an important role in the diffusion process. According to the empirical analysis, decreasing cost of production as a result of technological advance promotes the speed of diffusion. This point seems to be manifest theoretically, but existing empirical models have not included supply factors explicitly, Third, it has been found out that expectation of decreasing cost would influence the speed of diffusion negatively as expected ex ante. Theoretically this result is supported by arbitrage condition of purchasing timing.

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The Effects of Free Trade Agreements on Korea's Fishery Products Import Market Integration (자유무역협정(Free Trade Agreements : FTA)이 국내 수산물 수입시장통합에 미친 효과)

  • Lim, Eun-Son;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.45-66
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    • 2017
  • Although the main objective of Free Trade Agreements (FTA) is market integration among member countries, there are limited studies supporting this impact. Our study explores whether FTA has enhanced market integration between South Korea and its FTA partners, focusing on South Korea's fishery product import market. We investigate two research questions concerning FTA impacts: first, whether trade costs declined when South Korea imported fishery products from its FTA partners after the FTA; second, if the speed of the convergence of South Korea-its FTA partners'price differential of imported fishery products on trade costs result to occur more quickly after the FTA. To determine these outcomes, we utilize a Threshold Autoregressive Model covering the sample periods from January 2002 to April 2017. Our findings demonstrate the effects of FTA on market integration are different among FTA partners. FTA has enhanced the market integration between South Korea and Norway, Vietnam, and Spain, respectively, but not for others. Therefore, we find positive evidence of FTA on fishery import market integration between South Korea and Norway, Vietnam and Spain, respectively.

A Study on the Effects of Index Arbitrage Trades on Return Volatilities in the Spot Market and Index Futures Market (주가지수 차익거래가 주식시장 및 주가지수 선물시장의 수익률 변동에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Jae-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.175-209
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 프로그램매매가 주가지수 선물시장 및 현물 주식시장의 수익률 변동성에 미치는 효과에 대해서 일중 수익률 및 프로그램매매자료를 이용하여 분석을 시도하였다. 실증분석을 통해서 관찰된 결과를 살펴보면 대부분 선진국 시장에서 보고된 결과와 일치하였다. 우선 프로그램매매가 증가할수록 현물 주식시장에서의 변동성은 증대하는 것으로 나타났으나 선물시장에서는 그러한 일관성 있는 관계를 발견하지 못하였다. 프로그램매매 발동 직후 선물 및 현물시장의 수익률은 반전현상을 나타냈으며 특히 현물시장의 가격변화가 선물시장에 비해서 큰 것으로 관찰되었다. 그러나 이러한 선물시장과 현물시장에 있어서의 가격반전 현상이 시장 유동성에 미치는 경제적 영향은 선물만기일과 같이 특정시간대에 프로그램매매가 집중되지 않는 한 경미한 것으로 판단되었다. 프로그램매매 특히 차익거래는 선물 가격과 현물 가격간의 균형 관계가 일시적인 수급상황에 따라 이발될 경우 이를 다시 균형 상태로 회복시켜 줌으로써 시장의 효율성을 증대시키는 주요한 연결통로로서의 역할을 수행한다. 특히 두 시장간의 균형 상태는 선물 시장보다는 현물 주식시장에서의 활발한 매매 활동을 통하여 이루어짐을 알 수 있었다. 결론적으로 국내시장에서 차익거래는 시장의 위험을 증대시키는 부정적인 측면보다는 시장의 효율성을 증진시키는 긍정적인 순기능이 많은 것으로 관찰되었다.

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Search-based Sentiment and Stock Market Reactions: An Empirical Evidence in Vietnam

  • Nguyen, Du D.;Pham, Minh C.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2018
  • The paper aims to examine relationships between search-based sentiment and stock market reactions in Vietnam. This study constructs an internet search-based measure of sentiment and examines its relationship with Vietnamese stock market returns. The sentiment index is derived from Google Trends' Search Volume Index of financial and economic terms that Vietnamese searched from January 2011 to June 2018. Consistent with prediction from sentiment theories, the study documents significant short-term reversals across three major stock indices. The difference from previous literature is that Vietnam stock market absorbs the contemporaneous decline slower while the subsequent rebound happens within a day. The results of the study suggest that the sentiment-induced effect is mainly driven by pessimism. On the other hand, optimistic investors seem to delay in taking their investment action until the market corrects. The study proposes a unified explanation for our findings based on the overreaction hypothesis of the bearish group and the strategic delay of the optimistic group. The findings of the study contribute to the behavioral finance strand that studies the role of sentiment in emerging financial markets, where noise traders and limits to arbitrage are more obvious. They also encourage the continuous application of search data to explore other investor behaviors in securities markets.

KOSPI 200 옵션시장(市場)과 선물시장(先物市場) 사이의 일중 가격관계(價格關係)와 차익거래(差益去來) 전략(戰略)

  • Tae, Seok-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.133-152
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 KOSPI 200 옵션과 KOSPI 200 선물의 상대적 가격 형성이 적정하게 이루어지고 있는가를 검증하였으며, KOSPI 200 옵션시장과 KOSPI 200 선물시장 사이의 상대적인 가격불균형을 이용한 차익거래(arbitrage) 기회 빈도 및 차익거래 수익성에 대한 실증분석을 시행하였고, 사후적(ex-post) 차익거래 수익성, 사전적(ex-ante) 차익거래 수익성, 동태적 차익거래 수익성에 대한 분석을 시행하였다. 분석기간 중 KOSPI 200 옵션시장과 선물시장 사이의 가격불균형을 이용한 차익거래 기회가 한국증권거래소 회원사에게 빈번하게 발생하였다. 한국증권거래소 비회원사의 경우에는 전체 관측도수 중 14.8%의 경우에만 차익거래 기회가 존재하였고 사후적 차익거래 이익 평균은 0.229이었으며, 한국증권거래소 회원사의 경우에는 61.8%의 경우에 차익거래 기회가 존재하였고 사후적 차익거래 이익 평균은 0.140이었다. 사전적 차익거래 수익성 분석 결과 한국증권거래소 비회원사의 경우에는 사전적 차익거래 이익 평균은 0.149이었으며, 한국증권거래소 회원사의 경우에는 사전적 차익거래 이익 평균이 0.121로 나타나 사후적 차익거래 이익 평균에 비하여 낮은 수준을 나타냈다. 동태적 차익거래 수익성 분석 결과 한국증권거래소 비회원사의 경우에는 동태적 차익거래 이익 평균은 0.561이었으며, 한국증권거래소 회원사의 경우에는 동태적 차익거래 이익 평균은 0.265로 나타나 동태적 차익거래 전략이 효과적으로 이용될 수 있는 차익거래 전략임을 보여주었다.

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Stock Market Sentiment and Stock Returns

  • Kim, Taehyuk;Ryu, Hoyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2759-2769
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    • 2018
  • The behavioral finance view on the existence of asset pricing anomalies is based on two factors: investors' sentiment and limits to arbitrage. This paper tries to examine the effect of investors' sentiment on the stock price in the Korean stock market. In order to measure investors' sentiment, we constructed the sentiment index using principal component of five sentiment variables. By using sentiment index as an additional independent variable to three risk factors, impacts of the sentiment index on individual stocks and 25 portfolios sorted by BM-size are examined. Main results found are as follows: 1) not only all three risk factors show positive impacts on the return of individual stock, but also the sentiment index has a positive impact. SI alone explains 15% of individual return variation. 2) among four independent variables, the most important factor turned out to be the market risk factor and investors' sentiment has better explanatory power on stock price than the size effect. 3) after controlling the market risk factor, the coefficient of the sentiment index for the smallest size and highest book/market value portfolios is significantly positive. 4) all the coefficients of the sentiment index for 25 portfolios sorted by BM-size have significant positive value after controlling size or (and) value.