• Title/Summary/Keyword: Approximate Reliability

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A Prediction Method using WRC(Weighted Rate Control Algorithm) in DTN (DTN에서 노드의 속성 정보 변화율과 가중치를 이용한 이동 예측 기법)

  • Jeon, Il-Kyu;Oh, Young-jun;Lee, Kang-Whan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.113-115
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we proposed an algorithm based on movement prediction using rate of change of the attribute information of nodes what is called WRC(Weighted Rate Control) in delay tolerant networks(DTNs). Existing DTN routing algorithms based on movement prediction communicate by selecting relay nodes increasing connectivity with destination node. Thus, because the mobile nodes are in flux, the prediction algorithms that do not reflect the newest attribute information of node decrease reliability. In this paper, proposed algorithm approximate speed and direction of attribute information of node and analysis rate of change of attribute information of node. Then, it predict movement path of node using proposed weight. As the result, proposed algorithm show that network overhead and transmission delay time decreased by predicting movement path of node.

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Six Sigma Robust Design of Composite Hand for LCD Glass Transfer Robot (LCD 유리 이송용 복합재료 로봇 핸드의 식스 시그마 강건설계)

  • Nam Hyunwook
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.3 s.234
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    • pp.455-461
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    • 2005
  • This research studied robust design of composite hand for LTR (LCD glass Transfer Robot). $1^{st}$ DOE (Design of Experiment) was conducted to find out vital few Xs. 108 experiments were performed and their results were statistically analyzed. Pareto chart analysis shows that the geometric parameters (height and width of composite beam) are more important than material parameters $(E_{1},\;E_{2})$ or stacking sequence angle. Also, the stacking sequence of mid-layer is more important than that of outer-layer. The main effect plots shows that the maximum deflection of LTR hand is minimized with increasing height, width of beam and layer thickness. $2^{nd}$ DOE was conducted to obtain RSM (Response Surface Method) equation. 25 experiments were conducted. The CCD (Central Composite Design) technique with four factors was used. The coefficient of determination $(R^{2})$ for the calculated RSM equation was 0.989. Optimum design was conducted using the RSM equation. Multi-island genetic algorithm was used to optimum design. Optimum values for beam height, beam width, layer thickness and beam length were 24.9mm, 186.6mnL 0.15mm and 2402.4mm respectively. An approximate value of 0.77mm in deflection was expected to be a maximum under the optimum conditions. Six sigma robust design was conducted to find out guideline for control range of design parameter. To acquire six sigma level reliability, the standard deviation of design parameter should be con trolled within $2{\%}$ of average design value

Performance Improvement of Cylindrical Turbine Guide Bearings with Pad Leading-Edge Tapers for Vertical Hydro-Power Application: Effects of Taper Angle and Length (패드 선단 테이퍼를 갖는 수력 수직 원통형 터빈 가이드 베어링의 성능향상 - 테이퍼 각도와 길이의 영향)

  • Lee, An Sung;Jang, Sun-Yong;Park, Soo Man
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2018
  • Cylindrical turbine guide bearings (TGBs) with simple plain pads have conventionally been used in vertical hydro-power turbine-generator applications in order to provide turbine runner shafts with smooth rotation guides and supports. To overcome low-load/low-eccentricity performance drawbacks, such as very low film stiffness and lack of design credibility in the stiffness values themselves, of conventional cylindrical TGBs, the introduction of a rotational-directional leading-edge taper to each partitioned pad, simply pad leading-edge taper, has been found to be very effective in enhancing their design-application availability and usefulness. In this study, we investigate the effects of taper angle and length for given taper heights in detail in order to systematically establish the effectiveness of design on the performance improvement of vertical hydro-power application cylindrical TGBs with pad leading-edge tapers. The analysis results with $4-Pad{\times}1-Row$ cylindrical TGBs show that the lubrication performance of the cylindrical TGBs is optimized with an approximate taper angle ratio of 0.8 and taper length ratio of 0.9. We conclude that the introduction of pad leading-edge tapers along with the optimization of taper designs can be very effective in improving the overall operation reliability of cylindrical TGBs and the rotordynamic characteristics of vertical hydro-power turbine-generator rotor-bearing systems as well, to which the TGBs are applied.

UAV Aerial Photogrammetry for Cross Sectional Extraction and Slope Stability Analysis in Forest Area (UAV 항공사진을 이용한 산림지 횡단면도 추출 및 사면안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Taejin;Son, Younghwan;Park, Jaesung;Kim, Donggeun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to extract the shape of the slope from the images acquired using UAV and evaluate its suitability and reliability when applied to slope stability analysis. UAV is relatively inexpensive and simple, and it is possible to make terrain survey by generating point clouds. However, the image acquired from UAV can not be directly photographed by the forest canopy due to the influence of trees, resulting in severe distortion of the terrain. In this study, therefore, the effects of forest canopy were verified and the slope stability analysis was performed. Images acquired in winter and summer were used, because summer images are heavily influenced by the forest canopy and winter images are not. As a result of the study, the winter image is suitable for the extraction of slope shape, but severe terrain distortion occurs in the summer image. Therefore, slope stability analysis using slope shape extracted from summer image is impossible, so it should be modified for slope stability analysis. The modified slope did not completely eliminate the distortion of the terrain, but it could express the approximate shape of the slope. As a result of the slope stability analysis, the location and shape of the failure surface are the same, and the error of the safety factor is less than 0.2, which is close to the actual slope.

Reliability model for the probability of system failure of storm sewer (우수관의 불능확률 산정을 위한 신뢰성 모형)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Jae;Lee, Cheol-Eung;Ahn, Jae-Beom
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1691-1695
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서 AFDA(Approximate Full Distribution Approach)를 사용하여 하수관의 불능확률을 정량적으로 산정할 수 있는 신뢰성 모형이 개발되었다. 여러 도시의 연 최대강우강도(Yearly Maximum Rainfall Intensity)를 이용하여 그 확률분포함수를 분석하였고 우수관(Storm sewer)의 불능확률 산정을 위한 신뢰성 모형에 적용하였다. 연 최대강우강도 자료의 분석결과 우리나라 중부지방의 여러 중소도시에 대한 연 최대강우강도의 확률분포함수는 Gumbel분포와 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 신뢰성 모형은 불능확률의 신뢰함수를 구하기 위해 하중(Load)을 규정하는 식은 합리식이 사용되었고 용량(Capacity)를 규정하는 식은 Darcy-Weisbach공식과 Manning의 공식이 사용되었다. 이렇게 개발된 신뢰성 모형을 실제 우수관에 적용하여 불능확률을 산정하는 신뢰성 해석을 수행하였다. Y자형 우수관망에서 2개의 관으로 유입하는 각각의 유량이 그 관의 허용유량을 초과할 경우를 불능확률로 가정하였고, 나머지 관의 경우는 두 개의 관으로부터 유입하는 유량과 그 세 번째 관의 매설지역의 우수유입량의 합이 그 관의 허용유량을 초과할 경우를 불능상태(state of system failure)로 간주하여 불능확률을 정량적으로 산정하였다. Darcy-Weisbach공식과 Manning의 공식을 사용한 신뢰성 해석결과를 비교하였으며 우수관 직경의 변화에 따른 불능확률을 산정하였다. 특정한 수치(설계직경)이하일 경우 불능확률이 급격히 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 실제 우수관의 유효직경이 설계직경에 항상 가깝도록 불순물을 제거하는 것이 최선의 관리 방법이며 불능확률을 줄이는 최선의 방법일 것이다. 본 연구에서 개발된 신뢰성 모형은 우수관의 운용, 관리, 감독은 물론 설계에 활용이 가능 할 것이다.

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Probabilistic Analysis of Failure of Soil Slopes during Earthquakes (지진시 사면파괴의 확률론적 해석)

  • 김영수;정성관
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1989
  • This study presents a probabilistic analysis of the stability of homogeneous soil slopes during earthquakes. The stability of the slope is measured through its probability of failure rather than the customary factor of safety. The maximum horizontal ground acceleration is deterimined with Donovan and McGuire equation. The earthquake magnitude (m) is a random variable the Probability density function f(m) has been obtained with a use of Richter law. The potential failure surfaces are taken to be of an exponential shape (log-spiral) , Uncertainties of the shear strength parameters along potential failure surface are expressed by one-dimensional random field model. From a first order analysis the mean and variance of safety margin is osculated. The dependence on significant seismic parameters of the probability of failure of the slope is examined and the results are presented in a number of graphs and tables. On the base of the results obtained in this study, it is concluled that (1) the present model is useful in assessing the reliability of soil slopes under both static and seismic conditions: and (2) the probability of failure of a soil slope is greatly affected by the values of the seismic parameters that are associated with it.

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Water-hammer in the Pump Pipeline System with and without an Air-Chamber (에어챔버 설치에 따른 펌프관로계의 수격현상)

  • Lee, Sun-Kon;Yang, Cheol-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • When the pumps stopped in the operation by the power failure, the hydraulic transients take place in the sudden change of a velocity of pipe line. Each and every water hammer problem shows the critical stage to be greatly affected the facts of safety and reliability in case of power failure. The field tests of the water hammer executed at Cheong-Yang booster pump station having an air chamber. The effects were studied by both the practical experiments and the CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics : Surge 2008). The result states that the system with water hammering protection equipment was much safer when power failure happens. The following data by a computational fluid dynamic analysis are to be shown below, securing the system stability and integrity. (1) With water hammering protection equipment. (1) Change of pressure : Up to $15.5\;kg/cm^2$ in contrary to estimating $16.88\;kg/cm^2$. (2) Change rate of water level : 52~33% in contrary to estimating 55~27%. (3) Note that the operational pressure of pump runs approx. 145 m, lowering 155 m of the regularity head of pump. (4) Note that the cycle of water hammering delays from 80 second to 100 second, together with easing the function of air value at the pneumatic lines. (2) Change of pressure without water hammering protection equipment : Approximate $22.86\;kg/cm^2$. The comprehensive result says that the computational fluid dynamics analysis would match well with the practical field-test. It was able to predict Max. or Min. water hammering time in a piping system. This study aims effectively to alleviate water hammering in a pipe line to be installed with air chamber at the pumping station and results in making the stability of pump system in the end.

The study for Six Sigma Robust Design of Column part for LCD Transfer system (LCD이송장치 Column부의 식스 시그마 강건설계를 위한 연구)

  • Jung D.W.;Chung W.J.;Song T.J.;Bang D.J.;Yoon Y.M.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.869-872
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    • 2005
  • This research studied robust design of column part for LCD transfer system. $1^{st}$ DOE(Design of Experiment)was conducted to find out main effect factors. 36 experiments were performed and their results were shows that the geometric parameters(Low-length, Side-length, Upper-thickness, Middle-thickness)are more important than other factors. The main effect plots shows that the maximum deflection of column is minimized with increasing Low-length, Side-length, under-thickness and Middle-thickness. $2^{nd}$ DOE was conducted to obtain RMS(Response Surface Method)equation 25 experiments were conducted. The CCD(Central Composite Design)technique with four factors were used. The coefficient of determination $(R^2)$ for the calculated RSM equation was 0.986. Optimum design was conducted using the RSM equation Multi-island genetic algorithm was used to optimum design. Optimum value for Low-length. Side-length, Upper-thickness and Middle-thickness were 299.8mm, 180.3mm, 21.7mm, 21.9mm respectively. An approximate value of 5.054mm in deflection was expected to be a maximum under the optimum conditions. Six sigma robust design was conducted to find out guideline for control range of design parameter. To acquire six sigma level reliability, the standard deviation of design parameter should be controlled within 2% of average design value.

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A simple data assimilation method to improve atmospheric dispersion based on Lagrangian puff model

  • Li, Ke;Chen, Weihua;Liang, Manchun;Zhou, Jianqiu;Wang, Yunfu;He, Shuijun;Yang, Jie;Yang, Dandan;Shen, Hongmin;Wang, Xiangwei
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2377-2386
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    • 2021
  • To model the atmospheric dispersion of radionuclides released from nuclear accident is very important for nuclear emergency. But the uncertainty of model parameters, such as source term and meteorological data, may significantly affect the prediction accuracy. Data assimilation (DA) is usually used to improve the model prediction with the measurements. The paper proposed a parameter bias transformation method combined with Lagrangian puff model to perform DA. The method uses the transformation of coordinates to approximate the effect of parameters bias. The uncertainty of four model parameters is considered in the paper: release rate, wind speed, wind direction and plume height. And particle swarm optimization is used for searching the optimal parameters. Twin experiment and Kincaid experiment are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method can effectively increase the reliability of model prediction and estimate the parameters. It has the advantage of clear concept and simple calculation. It will be useful for improving the result of atmospheric dispersion model at the early stage of nuclear emergency.

Study on Decomposition Gas Characteristics and Condition Diagnosis for Gas-Insulated Transformer by Chemical Analysis

  • Kim, Ah-Reum;Kwak, Byeong Sub;Jun, Tae-Hyun;Park, Hyun-Joo
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2020
  • Since SF6 gas was discovered in the early 1900s, it has been widely used as an insulation material for electrical equipment. While various indicators have been developed to diagnose oil-immersed transformers, there are still insufficient indicators for the diagnosis of gas-insulated transformers. When necessary, chemical diagnostic methods can be used for gas-insulated transformers. However, the field suitability and accuracy of those methods for transformer diagnosis have not been verified. In addition, since various types of decomposition gases are generated therein, it is also necessary to establish appropriate analysis methods to cover the variety of gases. In this study, a gas-insulated transformer was diagnosed through the analysis of decomposition gases. Reliability assessments of both simple analysis methods suitable for on-site tests and precise analysis methods for laboratory level tests were performed. Using these methods, a gas analysis was performed for the internal decomposition gases of a 154 kV transformer in operation. In addition, simulated discharge and thermal fault experiments were demonstrated. Each major decomposition gas generation characteristics was identified. The results showed that an approximate diagnosis of the inside of a gas-insulated transformer is possible by analyzing SO2, SOF2, and CO using simple analysis methods on-site. In addition, since there are differences in the types of decomposition gas generation patterns with various solid materials of the internal transformer, a detailed examination should be performed by using precise analysis methods in the laboratory.