• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual Trends

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Influence of Mammographic Screening on Breast Cancer Incidence Trends in South Australia

  • Beckmann, Kerri Rose;Roder, David Murray;Hiller, Janet Esther;Farshid, Gelareh;Lynch, John William
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.3105-3112
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: To examine breast cancer (BC) incidence trends in relation to mammographic screening and risk factor prevalence in South Australia (SA). Materials and Methods: Trends in annual BC incidence rates were calculated using direct standardisation and compared with projected incidence derived from Poisson regression analysis of pre-screening rates. Annual percentage change and change time points were estimated using Joinpoint software. Biennial mammography screening participation rates were calculated using data from BreastScreen SA. Trends in overweight/obesity, alcohol use and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use were examined using 1991-2009 Health Omnibus Survey data. Trends in total fertility were examined using data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Results: BC incidence increased around the time BreastScreen commenced and then stabilised in the mid-1990s. However rates have remained higher than projected, even though the proportion and age distribution of first time screening attendees stabilised around 1998. A decrease in BC incidence was observed among women aged 50-59yrs from the late-1990's but not among older women. Obesity and alcohol use have increased steadily in all age groups, while HRT use declined sharply from the late-1990s. Conclusions: BC incidence has remained higher than projected since mammography screening began. The sustained elevation is likely to be due to lead time effects, though over-diagnosis cannot be excluded. Declining HRT use has also impacted incidence trends. Implications: Studies using individual level data, which can account for changes in risk factor prevalence and lead time effects, are required to evaluate 'over-diagnosis' due to screening.

A Study on the Analysis of the Change Fluctuations in Landscape Material Prices (조경자재가격(造景資材價格)의 변동추이분석(變動推移分析)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) - "H사"(1996년 - 2000년)의 자재판매현황에 관한 제반자료를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Seok Rae;Lee, Jae Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • In this study, to take the object of this thesis on understanding the characteristics on marketing structure and marketing distribution of landscape materials after consideration in the side of prices trends which is important factors for analysis in understanding the market of landscape materials. To do this, Analysis is divided into the prices trends. The investigation of prices trends and marketing distribution are to collect data refer to purchases and sales reports, these results are used to analyzed the operative factor of forming market structure. The periodic range of this thesis is limited from 1996 to 2000 and analytic articles is limited on 609 landscape materials(planting materials : 567 articles, facility materials : 7 articles, the other : 35 articles). The results of the whole prices trends and marketing distribution survey can be summarized as follows : 1. Prices trends of showing 3 types of landscape materials : In cases of planting, facility and the others materials, the annual average increasing rate of the index number of price was 3.1%, 3.4%, 3.1% while the KPRC(Korea Price Research Center) price was 3.98% for the past five years. 2. GSP(Government Specified Prices) Prices trends of showing 3 types of landscape materials : In cases of planting, facility and the others materials, the annual average increasing rate of the index number of price was 3.7%, 1.2%, 2.6% while the KPRC(Korea Price Research Center) price was 3.98% for the past five years. This increase indicates a small price margin, particularly, the GSP price of planting materials should be adjusted to a realistic level. 3. Native and exotic product Prices trends of showing 3. types of landscape materials : In cases of Native planting, facility and the others materials, the annual average increasing rate of the index number of price was 3.2%, 3.2%, 3.6% while cases of exotic was 3.1%, 1.0%, 5.8% for the past five years. The index number increase of prices of exotic landscape materials were fluctuated more than those the native landscape materials.

Hierarchical Bayesian Model Based Nonstationary Frequency Analysis for Extreme Sea Level (계층적 베이지안 모델을 적용한 극치 해수위 비정상성 빈도 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Kyu Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.34-43
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    • 2016
  • Urban development and population increases are continuously progressed in the coastal areas in Korea, thus it is expected that vulnerability towards coastal disasters by sea level rise (SLR) would be accelerated. This study investigated trend of the sea level data using Mann-Kendall (MK) test, and the results showed that the increasing trends of annual average sea level at 17 locations were statistically significant. For annual maximum extremes, seven locations exhibited statistically significant trends. In this study, non-stationary frequency analysis for the annual extreme data together with average sea level data as a covariate was performed. Non-stationary frequency analysis results showed that sea level at the coastal areas of Korean Peninsula would be increased from a minimum of 60.33 mm to a maximum of 214.90 mm by 2100.

Flood Risk Assessment with Climate Change (기후 변화를 고려한 홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il;Stedinger, Jery R.;Sung, Jang-Hyun;Kim, Young-Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • The evidence of changes in the climate system is obvious in the world. Nevertheless, at the current techniques for flood frequency analysis, the flood distribution can not reflect climate change or long-term climate cycles. Using a linear regression and a Mann-Kendall test, trends in annual maximum precipitation and flood data for several major gauging sites were evaluated. Moreover, this research considered incorporating flood trends by climate change effects in flood frequency analyses. For five rainfall gauging sites (Seoul, Incheon, Ulleungdo, Jeonju, and Gangneung), upward trends were observed in all gauged annual maximum precipitation records but they were not statistically significant. For three streamflow gauging sites (Andong Dam, Soyanggang Dam, and Daecheong Dam), upward trends were also observed in all gauged annual maximum flood records, but only the flood at Andong Dam was statistically significant. A log-normal trend model was introduced to reflect the observed linear trends in annual maximum flood series and applied to estimate flood frequency and risk for Andong Dam and Soyanggang Dam. As results, when the target year was 2005, 50-year floods of the log-normal trend model were 41% and 21% larger then those of a log-normal model for Andong Dam and Soyanggang Dam, respectively. Moreover, the estimated floods of the log-normal trend model increases as the target year increases.

Female Breast Cancer Mortality Rates in Turkey

  • Dogan, Nurhan;Toprak, Dilek
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.18
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    • pp.7569-7573
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    • 2014
  • The main objective of this study was to analyze the mortality trends of female breast cancer in Turkey between the years 1987-2008. The rates per 100,000 age-standardized to the European standard population were assessed and time trends presented using joinpoint regression analysis. Average annual percent change (AAPC), anual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated. Nearly 23,000 breast cancer deaths occurred in Turkey during the period 1987-2008, with the average annual age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) being 11.9 per 100,000 women. In the last five years, significant increases were observed in all age groups, but there was no significant change over the age of 65. In this period, the biggest significant increase was in the 45-54 age group (AAPC=4.3, 95%CI=2.6 to 6.0).

The Variation of Extreme Values in the Precipitation and Wind Speed During 56 Years in Korea (56년간 한반도 강수 및 풍속의 극값 변화)

  • Choi, Eu-Soo;Moon, Il-Ju
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.397-416
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates a long-term variation of the annual extreme value for the instantaneous wind speed and the daily precipitation during 56 years (1951-2006) in Korea. Results show that there is a uptrend for both wind and precipitation extreme records, although regional trends are different from overall pattern in some places, particularly for wind speed. The estimated linear trends are 230 mm/56 yr in the daily precipitation and $15ms^{-1}$/56 yr in the maximum instantaneous wind speed. For precipitation, other indexes such as total annual precipitation, the number of extreme precipitation event, and precipitation intensity have dramatically increased as well, while there has been a clear downtrend for the number of strong wind events (> $14ms^{-1}$). It is found that the minimum surface pressure recorded during typhoon attacks in Korea tends to be decreasing, about 10 hPa/56 yr. This partly explains why the extreme values in the precipitation are increasing in Korea.

A study on the prices trends of landscape woody plants(1985-1994) in Korea (조경수목 가격의 10년간(1985-1994) 변화에 관한 연구)

  • 이준복;심경구
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.113-131
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    • 1995
  • This study was conduced out to analyze the price trends of landscape woody plants during the past ten years. The method of this study was applied to secendary data analysis and the data were collected from "Government Specified Monthly Price Book" and "Monthly Price Book" The results of this study were as follows : 1. The annual average increasing rate of the GSP price was 3.9% while the KPRC price was 8.9% for the past ten years. The ratio of the KPRC price by GSP price was 94.7% in 1985 and it increased by 147.3% in 1994. This increase indicates a large price margin between two prices. The GSP price should be readjusted to a realistic level. 2. For the same period, the prices of native Korean tree were raised by 3.8% and 9.5% in annual average rate. Meanwhile, the exotic tree prices were raised by 3.6% for and 7.8% for in annual average rate. The prices of native Korean tree were raised more than those the exotic tree. 3. The annual average increasing rates of the twenty for species prices which were high ranked among all species prices were 12% for and 21.5% for . These top twenty species drove to markup trend of tree prices. 4. The annual average price increasing rate of major species which are used frequently for landscaping was higher than total increasing rate of all species. This result shows that the prices of the major species markup more than others. 5. From 1985 to 1994, the prices of 29 new species were listed on "The government specified monthly price book" and the prices of 40 species were newly listed on "Monthly price book". On the contrary, 3 species from "The government specified Monthly Book" and 10 species from "Monthly Price Book" were eliminated. The number of new listed on the native Korean species were twice as many as the exotic species. In addition, there is a need to study and explain reaon of the elimination.

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