• 대기
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.333-342
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• 2006

The long-term trends of global solar irradiance, air temperature, specific humidity and cloudiness measured at King Sejong station, Antarctica, during the period of 1988-2004, have been investigated. A statistically insignificant decrease, -0.21 $Wm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-0.26 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) in global solar irradiance was found in an analysis from the time series of the monthly mean values, except for the increasing trends only in two months of January and June. The trends in irradiance are directly and inversely associated with the cloudiness trends in annual and monthly means. The trends in surface air temperature show a slight warming, $0.03^{\circ}Cyr^{-1}$ (1.88 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) on the annual average, with cooling trend in the summer months and the warming in the winter. The exact relationship, if any, between the irradiance and temperature trends is not known. No significant tendency was found in specific humidity for the same periods. Recent (1996-2004) erythermal ultraviolet irradiance shows decreasing trend in annual mean, -0.15 $mWm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-1.18 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.1) which is about five times the trends of global solar irradiance. The ratio of erythermal ultraviolet to global solar irradiance shows remarkable seasonal variations with annual mean value of 0.01 % and a peak in October and November, showing the increase of ultraviolet irradiance resulting from the Antarctic ozone hole. The sensitivity of global solar irradiance to the change in cloudiness is roughly $13%oktas^{-1}$ which is about twice of the value at the South Pole due to the difference in the average surface reflectance between the two stations. Much more sensitive values of $59%oktas^{-1}$ was found for erythermal UV irradiance than for the global solar irradiance.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.2223-2235
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• 2013

본 연구는 남 북한에서 시 공간적 강수특성 변화를 이해하고자, 남한 65개 기상청 관측소에서 1963년부터 2010년까지, 북한 27개 관측소에서 1973년부터 2010년까지 측정된 일 강수량 자료를 분석했다. 총량(Amount), 극치(Extremes)와 빈도(Frequency)를 나타내는 지표들을 선정하였고, 각각의 지표를 RIA (Rainfall Index for Amount), RIE (Rainfall Index for Extremes), RIF (Rainfall Index for Frequency)로 정의하였다. 남 북한 행정구역별로 2000년까지 평균 지표 값과 2001년부터 2010년까지 최근 10년 평균 지표 값을 비교하였다. 과거에 비해 최근 10년간 남한은 연중 강우일수를 나타내는 NWD (Number of Wet Days)와, 200년 빈도 강수량을 나타내는 Freq200 (200-yr Frequency Rainfall)을 제외한 SDW (Annual mean daily rainfall over wet-days), TotalDR (Annual Total Rainfall Amount), Prcp50 (Annual number of wet days over 50 mm/day), Prcp80 (Annual number of wet days over 80 mm/day), CWD (Annual maximum number of consecutive wet-days), AMDR (Annual maximum daily rainfall), 그리고 R3day (Annual maximum 3-days rainfall total) 값들이 모두 증가한 양상을 보였지만 북한은 SDW와, 연총강우량 TotalDR을 제외하곤 모두 감소하였다. 또한 연평균 지표 값의 경향성을 확인하기 위해 통계적 방법인 Mann-Kendall 검정을 실시하였다. 과거 감소의 경향을 나타내던 각 관측지점이 최근에 이르러서는 경향성의 역전 되는 현상을 보인 곳이 나타났으며, 이는 평균값만을 바탕으로 강수사상 특성변화를 분석하는 방법의 한계점으로 볼 수 있다. 본 연구의 결과는 한반도 물 관리 기후변화에 대한 영향 분석과 대응 대책 마련에 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.478-483
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• 2008

Records of a Northeastern Thai indigenous cattle line population were used to estimate genetic parameters and annual trends for calf weights. The data set comprised records of 1,922 and 1,489 animals for birth and weaning weight, respectively born from 1993 to 2004. A bivariate analysis was carried out for variance and covariance components estimations using average information restricted maximum likelihood procedure. Average estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value of the animals born in 1993 were set to zero as a base group. Genetic trends of each trait were calculated by regressing average estimated breeding values and maternal breeding values on birth year of calves. Phenotypic trends for each trait were calculated by regressing the yearly adjusted weight on birth year of calves. The results revealed that the estimate of direct heritability, maternal heritability and maternal permanent environmental variance as a proportion of phenotypic variance for birth and weaning weight was 0.40, 0.14 and 0.04; 0.27, 0.05 and 0.23, respectively. Direct heritability was moderately heritable and genetic improvement through selection can be achieved. The estimate of phenotypic, direct genetic, maternal genetic and maternal permanent environmental correlation between birth and weaning weight was 0.48, 0.65, 0.98 and 0.73, respectively. The phenotypic trend, genetic trends of estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value for birth weight was 0.18, 0.04 and 0.01 kg/year, respectively. The phenotypic trend, genetic trends of estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value for weaning weight was -1.36, 0.32 and 0.03 kg/year, respectively. As maternal genetic effect was considerably less important than direct genetic effect, selection for improved weaning weight of this Northeastern Thai indigenous cattle line can place more emphasis on the direct genetic effect.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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• pp.424-424
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• 2017

Several studies of the world have analyzed the regional rainfall trends in large data sets. However, it reported that the long-term behavior of rainfall was different on spatial and temporal scales. The objective of this study is to determine the local trends of rainfall indices in the Yom River Basin, Thailand. The rainfall indices consist of the annual total precipitation (PRCTPOP), number of heavy rainfall days ($R_{10}$), number of very heavy rainfall days ($R_{20}$), consecutive of dry days (CDD), consecutive of wet days (CWD), daily maximum rainfall ($R_{x1}$), five-days maximum rainfall ($R_{x5}$), and total of annual rainy day ($R_{annual}$). The rainfall data from twelve hydrological stations during the period 1965-2015 were used to analysis rainfall trend. The Mann-Kendall test, which is non-parametric test was adopted to detect trend at 95 percent confident level. The results of these data were found that there is only one station an increasing significantly trend in PRCTPOP index. CWD, which the index is expresses longest annual wet days, was exhibited significant negative trend in three locations. Meanwhile, the significant positive trend of CDD that represents longest annual dry spell was exhibited four locations. Three out of thirteen stations had significant decreasing trend in $R_{annual}$ index. In contrast, there is a station statistically significant increasing trend. The analysis of $R_{x1}$ was showed a station significant decreasing trend at located in the middle of basin, while the $R_{x5}$ of the most locations an insignificant decreasing trend. The heavy rainfall index indicated significant decreasing trend in two rainfall stations, whereas was not notice the increase or decrease trends in very heavy rainfall index. The results of this study suggest that the trend signal in the Yom River Basin in the half twentieth century showed the decreasing tendency in both of intensity and frequency of rainfall.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권12호
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• pp.6245-6250
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• 2012

Background: With increase in life expectancy, adoption of newer lifestyles and screening using prostate specific antigen (PSA), the incidence of prostate cancer is on rise. Globally prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer and sixth leading cause of cancer death in men. The present communication makes an attempt to analyze the time trends in incidence for different age groups of the Indian population reported in different Indian registries using relative difference and regression approaches. Materials and Methods: The data published in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for various Indian registries for different periods and/or publications by the individual registries served as the source materials. Trends were estimated by computing the mean annual percentage change (MAPC) in the incidence rates using the relative difference between two time periods (latest and oldest) and also by estimation of annual percentage change (EAPC) by the Poisson regression model. Results: Age adjusted incidence rates (AAR) of prostate cancer for the period 2005-2008 ranged from 0.8 (Manipur state excluding Imphal west) to 10.9 (Delhi) per $10^5$ person-years. Age specific incidence rates (ASIR) increased in all PBCRs especially after 55 years showing a peak incidence at +65 years clearly indicating that prostate cancer is a cancer of the elderly. MAPC in crude incidence rate(CR) ranged from 0.14 (Ahmedabad) to 8.6 (Chennai). Chennai also recorded the highest MAPC of 5.66 in ASIR in the age group of 65+. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the AAR ranged from 0.8 to 5.8 among the three registries. Increase in trend was seen in the 55-64 year age group cohort in many registries and in the 35-44 age group in Metropolitan cities such as Delhi and Mumbai. Conclusions: Several Indian registries have revealed an increasing trend in the incidence of prostate cancer and the mean annual percentage change has ranged from 0.14-8.6.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.473-478
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• 1996

Using data observed from 1966 to 1994, long-term trends of visibility at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were analyzed. Annual average visibility in Seoul has been decreased continuously. In particular, annual number of days for visibility more than 15km was remarkably reduced since 1980. Also, the trend of the visibility in Chunchon was similar to that of Seoul. But the variations were small to compare with Seoul. Long-term trends of relative humidity (RH) and specific humidity (q) at 15:00 in Seoul have been slightly decreased. Cumulative frequency distributions of visibility for ranges of RH (0 $\sim 50%, 50 \sim 60%, 60 \sim 70%, 70 \sim 80%, 80 \sim 90%, 90 \sim 100%$) at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were generally decreased during the second period (1984 $\sim$ 1994) as compared with the first period (1973 $\sim$ 1983), except for the range of 90 to 100% RH. Despite of decreasing phenomena of RH, characteristics of urban climates in Seoul, visibility degraded due to an increase of air pollution.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제30권3B호
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• pp.243-255
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 pan 증발량 분포와 추세를 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 전국 56개 기후관측지점에서 1973년부터 1990년까지 의 pan 증발량 자료를 수집하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석을 위하여 계절적 영향을 고려하여 1월, 4월, 7월 그리고 10월의 월평균 일별과 연평균 일별 pan 증발량 추세를 분석하였다. 연구결과 연평균 일별 pan 증발량은 56개 연구지역 중에서 38개 연구지역에서 감소추세를 보이고 있고, 1월 평균 일별 pan 증발량의 경우 33개 연구지역에서 pan 증발량 감소추세를 보이고 있다. 4월의 경우 38개 지역에서 증가추세를 보이고, 7월의 경우 47개 지역에서 감소추세를 보여서, 전반적으로 감소추세를 보이고 있다. 10월의 경우 35개 지역에서 증가추세를 보여서 전반적으로 증가추세를 보이고 있다. 따라서 전반적으로 연별과 1월, 7월은 pan 증발량이 감소추세를 보이고, 4월과 10월은 증가추세를 보이고 있다. 또한 인근에 위치한 권역별로도 다른 추세를 보이는 것으로 나타나서 지리지형적 요인이 pan 증발량 추세에 영향을 미치는 것으로 판단된다. 11개 기후관측지점에서 1973년부터 2006년까지의 pan 증발량 자료와 기후요소자료를 수집하여 추세분석을 실시한 결과, 기온, 상대습도 그리고 풍속추세는 연별이나 월별 pan 증발량 추세와 서로 같거나 또는 상이한 경향을 보이나, 일사량 추세는 연 및 월별 모두에서 pan 증발량 추세와 동일한 경향을 보이고, 강수량 추세는 연 및 월별 모두에서 pan 증발량 추세와 상반된 경향을 보였다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제46권6호
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• pp.1004-1022
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• 2022

This study seeks to investigate K-fashion's external image by examining the trends in global media reporting. It applies Dynamic Topic Modeling (DTM), which captures the evolution of topics in a sequentially organized corpus of documents, and consists of text preprocessing, the determination of the number of topics, and a timeseries analysis of the probability distribution of words within topics. The data set comprised 551 online media articles on 'Korean fashion' or 'K-fashion' published on Google News between 2010 and 2021. The analysis identifies seven topics: 'brand look and style,' 'lifestyle,' 'traditional style,' 'Seoul Fashion Week (SFW) event,' 'model size,' 'K-pop,' and 'fashion market,' as well as annual topic proportion trends. It also explores annual word changes within the topic and indicates increasing and decreasing word patterns. In most topics, the probability distribution of the word 'brand' is confirmed to be on the increase, while 'digital,' 'platform,' and 'virtual' have been newly created in the 'SFW event' topic. Moreover, this study confirms the transition of each K-fashion topic over the past 12 years, along with various factors related to Hallyu content, traditional culture, government support, and digital technology innovation.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.80-88
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• 2015

건설공사 중 옥외에서 수행되는 공종은 기온, 강우, 풍속 등 기후요소에 의한 작업불능일이 다수 발생한다. 특히, 지구온난화로 인하여 공기산정 시 날씨예측이 어려워져 공기지연 등의 피해는 좀처럼 줄지 않고 있는 실정이다. 이 연구에서는 BCP분석을 통해 인천지역의 연평균기온, 연평균 최고기온 및 연평균 최저기온의 급격한 변화시점을 파악하였으며, 그 시점을 기준으로 하절기 및 동절기 작업불능일 증감추이를 비교분석하였다. 그 결과, 1988년과 1998년에 연평균기온이 급격하게 변화한 것으로 나타났다. 그 두 시점 이후에 하절기의 작업불능일은 증가하고 동절기의 작업불능일은 감소하는 경향이 뚜렷하게 나타났다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제42권5호
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• pp.385-396
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• 2009

본 연구에서는 도시화나 지리지형적 특성에 따른 강수량의 분포와 추세를 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 서울을 포함하여 전국 56개 기후관측지점에서 1973년부터 2006년까지의 강수량 자료를 수집하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석을 위하여 계절적 영향을 고려하여 1월, 4월, 7월 그리고 10월의 월평균 일별과 연평균 일별 강수량 추세를 분석하였다. 그리고 이들 연구지역에 대해서 GIS 분석을 이용하여 지리지형적 특성을 파악하였고, 도시화 정도를 파악하기 위하여 토지피복자료를 분석하였다. 연구결과 연평균 일별 강수량 추세는 대부분의 연구지역에서 증가하고 있으며, 4월과 10월의 강수량은 감소추세에 있고, 1월과 7월의 경우 증가추세에 있는 것으로 나타났다. 도시화 영향을 고려할 때, 강수량 변화는 연별이나 7월의 경우 증가추세를 보이나 1, 4, 10월 강수량의 경우 감소추세를 보였다. 또한 도시화율이나 해안 근접성과 비교하여 연구지역의 평균고도는 연평균 및 월평균 강수량 추세에 가장 중요한 영향을 미치고 있음을 알 수 있었다.