• Title/Summary/Keyword: Announcement Returns

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Timing of Earnings Announcement and Post-Earnings-Announcement-Drift(PEAD) (이익 공시시점과 주가지연반응)

  • Kim, Hyung-Soon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.137-155
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    • 2018
  • It has been reported that there is a significant positive relationship between the unexpected earnings on the earnings announcement date and the cumulative abnormal returns following the earnings announcement date. This study investigates whether the results of prior studies are because the public announcement of shareholders' meeting date was selected as the event date instead of either the preliminary earnings disclosure date or the profit/loss change announcement date. The results of this study are as follows. First, post-earnings-announcement drift(PEAD) occurs when unexpected earnings were computed based on the prior period earnings and the public announcement of the shareholders' meeting date as the profit disclosure date. Second, when analyzing the PEAD with the unexpected earnings calculated using the financial analysts' forecasts, no PEAD has been found both on the date of the shareholders' meeting and the earlier date of the preliminary earnings disclosure, profit/loss change announcement, or the public announcement of the shareholders' meeting. Foster et al. (1984) analyze the PEAD using time series model and earnings forecasting model and suggest that the PEAD appears only in the time series model. In this study, too, in the case of using analysts' profit forecasts, the lack of the PEAD shows that the PEAD can be changed according to the method of measuring the unexpected earnings.

The Impact of Stock Split Announcements on Stock Prices: Evidence from Colombo Stock Exchange

  • PRABODINI, Madhara;RATHNASINGHA, Prasath Manjula
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2022
  • The research looks into the impact of stock split announcements on stock prices and market efficiency in the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE). This research uses a sample of 26 stock split announcements that occurred between 2020 and June 2021. According to the Global Industry Classification Standards, the stock split announcements covered in the study pertain to 26 businesses and 9 industries (GICS). To obtain the results, the usual event research methodology is used. The findings demonstrate significant average abnormal returns of 15.01 percent on the day the stock split news is made public and abnormal returns of 4.11 percent and -4.05 percent one day before and after the stock split announcement date, respectively. The study's findings revealed significant positive abnormal returns one day before the disclosure date, indicating information leakage, and significant negative abnormal returns the next day after the announcement date, indicating CSE informational efficiency. Because stock prices adapt so quickly to public information, these findings support the semi-strong form efficient market hypothesis, which states that investors cannot gain an abnormal return by trading in stocks on the day of the stock split announcement.

Investor Behavior Responding to Changes in Trading Halt Conditions: Empirical Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • RAHIM, Rida;SULAIMAN, Desyetti;HUSNI, Tafdil;WIRANDA, Nadya Ade
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2021
  • Information has an essential role in decision-making for investors who will invest in financial markets, especially regarding the policies on the condition of COVID-19. The purpose of this study is to determine the market reaction to the information published by the government regarding the policy changes to the provisions of Trading Halt on the IDX in an emergency using the event study method. The population in this study was companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in March 2020; the sample selection technique was purposive sampling. Data analysis used a normality test and one sample T-test. The results of the study found that there were significant abnormal returns on the announcement date, negative abnormal returns around the announcement date, and significant trading volume activity occurring three days after the announcement. The existence of a significant positive abnormal return on the announcement date indicates that the market responds quickly to information published by the government. The practical implication of this research can be taken into consideration for investors in making investment decisions to analyze and determine the right investment options so that investors can minimize the risk of their investment and maximize the profits they want to achieve.

The Gains To Bidding Firms' Stock Returns From Merger (기업합병의 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Kap
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.23
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    • pp.41-74
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    • 2007
  • In Korea, corporate merger activities were activated since 1980, and nowadays(particuarly since 1986) the changes in domestic and international economic circumstances have made corporate managers have strong interests in merger. Korea and America have different business environments and it is easily conceivable that there exists many differences in motives, methods, and effects of mergers between the two countries. According to recent studies on takeover bids in America, takeover bids have information effects, tax implications, and co-insurance effects, and the form of payment(cash versus securities), the relative size of target and bidder, the leverage effect, Tobin's q, number of bidders(single versus multiple bidder), the time period (before 1968, 1968-1980, 1981 and later), and the target firm reaction (hostile versus friendly) are important determinants of the magnitude of takeover gains and their distribution between targets and bidders at the announcement of takeover bids. This study examines the theory of takeover bids, the status quo and problems of merger in Korea, and then investigates how the announcement of merger are reflected in common stock returns of bidding firms, finally explores empirically the factors influencing abnormal returns of bidding firms' stock price. The hypotheses of this study are as follows ; Shareholders of bidding firms benefit from mergers. And common stock returns of bidding firms at the announcement of takeover bids, shows significant differences according to the condition of the ratio of target size relative to bidding firm, whether the target being a member of the conglomerate to which bidding firm belongs, whether the target being a listed company, the time period(before 1986, 1986, and later), the number of bidding firm's stock in exchange for a stock of the target, whether the merger being a horizontal and vertical merger or a conglomerate merger, and the ratios of debt to equity capital of target and bidding firm. The data analyzed in this study were drawn from public announcements of proposals to acquire a target firm by means of merger. The sample contains all bidding firms which were listed in the stock market and also engaged in successful mergers in the period 1980 through 1992 for which there are daily stock returns. A merger bid was considered successful if it resulted in a completed merger and the target firm disappeared as a separate entity. The final sample contains 113 acquiring firms. The research hypotheses examined in this study are tested by applying an event-type methodology similar to that described in Dodd and Warner. The ordinary-least-squares coefficients of the market-model regression were estimated over the period t=-135 to t=-16 relative to the date of the proposal's initial announcement, t=0. Daily abnormal common stock returns were calculated for each firm i over the interval t=-15 to t=+15. A daily average abnormal return(AR) for each day t was computed. Average cumulative abnormal returns($CART_{T_1,T_2}$) were also derived by summing the $AR_t's$ over various intervals. The expected values of $AR_t$ and $CART_{T_1,T_2}$ are zero in the absence of abnormal performance. The test statistics of $AR_t$ and $CAR_{T_1,T_2}$ are based on the average standardized abnormal return($ASAR_t$) and the average standardized cumulative abnormal return ($ASCAR_{T_1,T_2}$), respectively. Assuming that the individual abnormal returns are normal and independent across t and across securities, the statistics $Z_t$ and $Z_{T_1,T_2}$ which follow a unit-normal distribution(Dodd and Warner), are used to test the hypotheses that the average standardized abnormal returns and the average cumulative standardized abnormal returns equal zero.

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Stock Market Reaction on Olympic Sponsorship Announcement Using Event-study Method

  • Spais, George S.;Filis, George N.
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2006
  • The major objective of this study is to test if an Olympic Games sponsorship program can influence investors' behavior: stock returns, stock volatility and transaction volumes. The paper deals with stock market reaction on Olympic sponsorship announcement for service organizations using event study method. Our research intention is to test 440 daily stock prices and transaction volumes, in order investigate the potent influence between the announcement of a grand sport sponsorship program and investors' behavior. For this study we examined the announcement data of three grand sponsors of Olympic Games of Athens 2004 (Alpha Bank. Delta and G.T.O) The main contribution of this study is to examine how stock investors' behavior is influenced by the sponsorship program of companies and to extend research scope of marketing field toward stock market. They authors suggest that organizations interested in influencing investors' behavior should invest in sponsorship activities at the sports' sector.

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Distribution Information Technology Investment and the Market Value of the Firm : Focusing on RFID case (한국에서 유통정보기술 투자가 주가에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : RFID 사례를 중심으로)

  • Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper investigates how the market value of the firms are impacted by distribution information technology investment in Korea over time and across markets, industries and project characteristics. This is the first empirical study on the market payoffs from the RFID investment in Korea. The purpose of this study is to provide a appropriate guideline for investors and practitioners with respect to the announcement representing RFID adoption in Korea. This reaction guideline will stimulate the practitioners to monitor and evaluate the benefits and costs of the innovative RFID technology. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper employs event study methodology to analyze the payoffs from distribution information technology investment announcements over a fifteen-year period from 2003 to 2017. Event study method is based on the assumptions such as market efficiency, unanticipated RFID invest announcements and no confounding effects in the data. This study collected the information on RFID investment announcements by using a full text search engine Bigkinds provided by Korea Press Foundation over a fifteen-year period from January 2003 through December 2017. This paper selected 88 announcements representing RFID adoption by 46 firms. This paper estimated the payoffs from RFID investment announcement through events windows by using the market model of Mcwilliams and Siegel (1997) and calculated the Z-values. Using this test statistics we could infer if RFID adoption make large differences in abnormal returns across various classifications of the firms. Results - There is significant positive market returns from the announcement representing distribution information technology investment in the pre-2009 time period, the significances of payoffs disappear in the post-2009 time period. For this reason investors or practitioners can understand the importance of market entry time and the fact that the greater rewards may belong to early innovators while late imitators cannot reap such a rewards. This paper also find that there is a large differences in the payoffs from the announcement across markets, industries and project characteristics. Conclusions - Analysing the selected sample of 88 announcements representing RFID Adoption over fifteen-year period from 2003 to 2017, this study find that there is not only significant abnormal excess returns from RFID investment announcements but also there is great differences in the abnormal returns over time and across firm sizes or affiliated markets, industries, and project characteristics. This means that there are considerable values for the investors across various firm classifications. The findings of this paper provide useful implications for the practitioners to make judicious decisions whether to adopt the innovative technologies in general or not considering the various concrete circumstances in Korea.

The Amendments of 'Securities and Exchange Act' and the Announcement Effects of M&A (증권거래법 개정과 합병공시효과)

  • Chiang, Bong-Gyu;Jung, Doo-Sig
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.59-86
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    • 2004
  • This study analyzed the effects of M&A announcement before and after the 1998 amendments of 'Securities and Exchange Act' through the event study. The M&A firms turned out to gain the abnormal returns during the entire periods. The cumulative average abnormal returns of M&A firms was 1.38%(market adjusted model) or 5.37%(industry-adjusted model) higher after the 1998 amendments than before. The differences of performance of M&A were significant also in case of the related M&A, vertical or horizontal M&A, M&A in booms. In regression analysis, the 1998 amendments of Act was the significant factor to explain the cumulative abnormal returns.

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The Announcement Effects of Stock Repurchase and Stock Dispositions on Shareholder Wealth (자기주식 취득 및 처분 공시가 주주의 부에 미치는 영향 - 취득 및 처분목적을 중심으로 -)

  • Sul, Won-Sik;Kim, Soo-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.37-69
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    • 2005
  • This study intends to verify whether stock repurchase, as well as stock dispositions, affects shareholder's wealth and also whether repurchase/dispositions has varying impact de-pending on its purpose. According to empirical analysis, announcement of stock repurchase results in positive abnormal returns when the objective of stock repurchase is stock price stabilization or cancellation of shares. However, when the purpose of stock repurchase is granting incentives to executives/employees, we get the negative abnormal returns. Also, the termination of stock trust for reason of expiration or stock dispositions of which goal is to give incentives to executive/employees has a negative impact on stock price, whereas direct dispositions of stock to raise cash or to improve financial structrue are shown to significantly increase the wealth of shareholders. Cross-section analysis also confirms that stock repurchase and dispositions has different impact on excess returns depending on its purpose. The results of this study imply that the dispositions of stock should be regarded as an important financial strategic tool to be used by companies and what's more, such studies dealing with stock repurchase or dispositions should take firm's purpose into consideration in their approach.

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A Study on the Effect of Real Estate Acquisitions and Sales on Firm Value (부동산 취득 및 처분이 기업가치에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byungkwon;Kim, Chun-Kyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2018
  • This study examines both the announcement effect of corporate real estate acquisitions and sales and long-term stock performance. Also, we analyze long-term stock returns on the basis of the amount and the purpose (business activities, financial activities, etc.) of real estate acquisitions and sales. The major findings are as follow. First, we find that there is no significant announcement effect on the real estate acquisitions. However, the announcement day of real estate sales shows significantly positive abnormal stock returns. Second, we find that both the real estate acquisitions and sales show negative long-term stock performance. We also find the same results from the case where we classify our sample on the basis of the amount and the purpose of real estate acquisitions and sales. Third, the amount of real estate acquisitions is significantly negatively related to long-term stock returns, whereas the relation between firm value and the amount of real estate sales is positive only under the business activities. Overall, long-term stock performance decreases after the announcement day of the real estate acquisitions and sales. This results can be explained by agency theory. Also, we conclude that a decline in stock performance after the real estate sales explain an information signal on financial distress.

The Effect of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts Following Dividend Announcements on Stock Returns (배당공시이후 애널리스트 이익추정치 발표가 주가에 미치는영향)

  • Hong, Chun-Uk;Lee, Seong-Hyo;Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2017
  • This paper examines the effect of the analysts' earnings forecast revisions on stock price after the dividend announcement of the firms has been released. We show that the analysts' upward revisions on earnings forecasts are followed by the positive cumulative abnormal return. We also investigate the signalling effect and the confirmation effect with respect to the effect of the dividend announcement and the earnings forecast revisions on stock price. The test results show that the confirmation effect is stronger than the signalling effect. That is, the investors react only when the analysts' forecasts coincide with the preceding dividend announcement.