• Title/Summary/Keyword: Analytical Prediction

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A study on the prediction of wheel wear of railway rolling stock (철도차량 차륜마멸예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Bu-Byoung;Chung, Heung-Chai
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.1270-1276
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes an analytical method for wheel wear prediction. The outputs from vehicle dynamic software are used to calculation the wheel wear. Two calculation examples are shown for a high-speed line and a conventional line. Through the comparison of two cases, we can see the wheel wear characteristics on the conventional line and the high-speed line. The conventional line has many curved tracks that cause severe wheel flange wear. The influences of curve radius on wheel wear are also described considering the operational performance of the high speed trainset. A method of calculation using contact patch work model is presented for determination of the evolution by wear railway wheels.

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Prediction Model for the Microstructure and Properties in Weld Beat Affected Brine : I. Trends in The Development of Model for the Prediction of Material Properties in the Weld HAZ (용접 열영향부 미세조직 및 재질 예측 모델링 : I. 용접부 재질 예측 모델 기술 개발 연구 동향)

  • Moon Joon-Oh;Lee Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2005
  • HAZ (Heat Affected Zone) which occurs during welding thermal cycle has an important effect on the mechanical properties of the weld metal. So there were many efforts to develop the model which is able to predict the microstructure and mechanical properties in weld HAZ and lots of metallurgical models have reported since early 1940. These models are justifiable based on the reasonable assumption and analytical approach, but they also have limitation by interesting alloying system and assumption in each literature. Therefore, this study summaries the previous models for prediction of properties in weld HAZ. Then several issues to solve for developing the more reliable model were proposed.

Effects of Channel Aging in Massive MIMO Systems

  • Truong, Kien T.;Heath, Robert W. Jr.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.338-351
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    • 2013
  • Multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) communication may provide high spectral efficiency through the deployment of a very large number of antenna elements at the base stations. The gains from massive MIMO communication come from the use of multi-user MIMO on the uplink and downlink, but with a large excess of antennas at the base station compared to the number of served users. Initial work on massive MIMO did not fully address several practical issues associated with its deployment. This paper considers the impact of channel aging on the performance of massive MIMO systems. The effects of channel variation are characterized as a function of different system parameters assuming a simple model for the channel time variations at the transmitter. Channel prediction is proposed to overcome channel aging effects. The analytical results on aging show how capacity is lost due to time variation in the channel. Numerical results in a multicell network show that massive MIMO works even with some channel variation and that channel prediction could partially overcome channel aging effects.

Establishment of the Refined Model for Prediction of Flocculation/Sedimentation Efficiency Using Model Tree Technique (Model Tree기법을 이용한 정수처리공정에서의 응집/침전 효율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, No-Suk;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Seong-Su;Jeong, Nam-Jeong;Lee, Sun-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.789-797
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    • 2006
  • This study was conducted to establish the refined model for prediction of flocculation/sedimentation efficiency in factual drinking water treatment plants using model tree technique. In order to carry out machine leaning for determining each linear model, five parameters; time, coagulant dose, raw water turbidity, SCD and conductivity, which were measured and collected from the field (K_DWTP), were selected and used. The existing analytical models developed by previous researchers were used only to examine closely the mechanism of flocculation rather than to apply it for practical purpose. The refined model established using model tree technique in this study could predict the factual sedimentation efficiency accurately (below 9% of average absolute error). Also, in aspect of engineering convenience, without any additional manipulation of parameters, it can be applied to practical works.

Modified Disturbed State Concept for Dynamic Behaviors of Fully Saturated Sands (포화사질토의 동적거동규명을 위한 수정 교란상태개념)

  • 최재순;김수일
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2003
  • There are many problems in the prediction of dynamic behaviors of saturated soils because undrained excess pore water pressure builds up and then the strain softening behavior is occurred simultaneously. A few analytical constitutive models based on the effective stress concept have been proposed but most models hardly predict the excess pore water pressure and strain softening behaviors correctly In this study, the disturbed state concept (DSC) model proposed by Dr, Desai was modified to predict the saturated soil behaviors under the dynamic loads. Also, back-prediction program was developed for verification of modified DSC model. Cyclic triaxial tests were carried out to determine DSC parameters and test result was compared with the result of back-prediction. Through this research, it is proved that the proposed model based on the modified disturbed state concept can predict the realistic soil dynamic characteristics such as stress degradation and strain softening behavior according to dynamic process of excess pore water pressure.

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FORECASTING THE COST AND DURATION OF SCHOOL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

  • Ying-Hua Huang ;Wei Tong Chen;Shih-Chieh Chan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.913-916
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

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Fatigue Life Prediction for Automotive Vibroisolating Rubber Component Using Tearing Energy (찢김에너지를 이용한 자동차용 방진 부품의 내구수명 예측)

  • Moon, Hyung-Il;Kim, Ho;Woo, Chang-Soo;Kim, Heon-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the demand to acquire and improve durability performance has steadily risen in rubber components design. In design process of a rubber component, an analytical prediction is the most effective way to improve fatigue life. Existing methods of analytical estimation have mainly used an equation for fatigue life obtained from fatigue test data. However, such formula is rarely used due to costs and time required for fatigue testing, as well as randomness of rubber materials. In this paper, we describe fatigue life estimation of rubber component using only the results from a relatively simple tearing test. We estimated fatigue life of the Janggu type fatigue specimen and the automotive motor mount, and evaluated reliability of the proposed method by comparing the estimated values with actual test results.

Prediction of deflection of high strength steel fiber reinforced concrete beams and columns

  • Kara, Ilker Fatih;Dundar, Cengiz
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-151
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents an analytical procedure for the analysis of high strength steel fiber reinforced concrete members considering the cracking effect in the serviceability loading range. Modifications to a previously proposed formula for the effective moment of inertia are presented. Shear deformation effect is also taken into account in the analysis, and the variation of shear stiffness in the cracked regions of members has been considered by reduced shear stiffness model. The effect of steel fibers on the behavior of reinforced concrete members have been investigated by the developed computer program based on the aforementioned procedure. The inclusion of steel fibers into high strength concrete beams and columns enhances the effective moment of inertia and consequently reduces the deflection reinforced concrete members. The contribution of the shear deformation to the total vertical deflection of the beams is found to be lower for beams with fibers than that of beams with no fibers. Verification of the proposed procedure has been confirmed from series of reinforced concrete beam and column tests available in the literature. The analytical procedure can provide an accurate and efficient prediction of deflections of high strength steel fiber reinforced concrete members due to cracking under service loads. This procedure also forms the basis for the three dimensional analysis of frames with steel fiber reinforced concrete members.

Analytical model for transfer length prediction of 13 mm prestressing strand

  • Marti-Vargas, J.R.;Arbelaez, C.A.;Serna-Ros, P.;Navarro-Gregori, J.;Pallares-Rubio, L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.211-229
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    • 2007
  • An experimental investigation to determine the transfer length of a seven-wire prestressing strand in different concretes is presented in this paper. A testing technique based on the analysis of bond behaviour by means of measuring the force supported by the prestressing strand on a series of specimens with different embedment lengths has been used. An analytical bond model to calculate the transfer length from an inelastic bond stress distribution along the transfer length has been obtained. A relationship between the plastic bond stress for transfer length and the concrete compressive strength at the time of prestress transfer has been found. An equation to predict the average and both the lower bound and the upper bound values of transfer length is proposed. The experimental results have not only been compared with the theoretical prediction from proposed equations in the literature, but also with experimental results obtained by several researchers.

Analytical study on prediction of nonlinear behavior of PSC structures (PSC 구조물의 비선형 거동 예측에 관한 해석적 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Guen;Oh, Myung-Seok;Choi, Jung-Ho;Shin, Hyun-Mock
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.442-445
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents an analytical prediction of nonlinear characteristics and behavior characteristics PSC structures with un-bonded tendon system. In this paper, a numerical model for un-bonded tendon is proposed based on the finite element method, which can represent straight or curved un-bonded tendon behavior. this model and time-dependent material model used to investigate the time-dependent behavior of un-bonded prestressed concrete structures. The accuracy and objectivity of the assessment process may be enhanced by the use of sophisticated nonlinear finite element analysis program. A computer program, named RCAHEST(Reinforced Concrete Analysis in Higher Evaluation System Technology), for the analysis of concrete structures and steel plate was used. The material nonlinearities are taken into account by comprising the tension, compression, and shear models of cracked concrete and models for reinforcements and tendons in the concrete. The smeared crack approach is incorporated. It accounts for the aging, creep and shrinkage of concrete and the stress relaxation of prestressed steel. The proposed un-bonded tendon model and numerical method of un-bonded prestressed concrete structures is verified by comparison with reliable experimental results.

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