• Title/Summary/Keyword: Analysis of Investment effect

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A VAR Model of Stimulating Economic Growth in the Guangdong Province, P.R. China

  • Ortiz, Jaime;Xia, Jingwen;Wang, Haibo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2015
  • The authors calculate the long-term predictability of GDP, domestic demand, investment, and net exports for Guangdong province, P.R. China from 2000 to 2013. A vector autoregressive (VAR) model with quarterly data for this period is first co-integrated then the Granger causality test is applied to empirically assess the relationships among gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, investment, and net exports. There is a strong causality effect between investment and net exports in Guangdong province. However, the variance decomposition results indicate that exports respond to foreign shocks rather than domestic ones, making their impact on the Guangdong economy to predict. Results show the stimulating effect of domestic demand on GDP is larger than the stimulating effect of net exports and much larger than even the stimulating effect of investment. The analysis suggests that there are dynamic influences with various levels of persistence between GDP, consumption, investment, and net exports. Macroeconomic policy adjustments are urgently required to expand domestic demand and thereby stimulate economic growth in Guangdong province.

Nature of Company Ownership, the Dual Role of CEO and Board Chair, and R & D Investment Intensity

  • Meng, La-Mei;Byun, Hae-Young
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study examines the impact of company ownership nature and of the dual role of CEO and board chair on R & D investment intensity, as well as the moderating effect of this dual role. Most previous research focused on the impact of the dual role of CEO and board chair on firm performance. Design/methodology/approach - This study uses A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges in China from 2008 to 2017. The univariate and the multivariate regression analysis were hired In order to analyze the data. Findings - The results show that there is a significant negative relationship between state-owned companies and R & D investment intensity. In addition, there is a significant positive relationship between the dual role and R & D investment intensity. The effect of state ownership on R & D investment intensity is more negative when CEO-board chair duality exists. This means that in case of state-owned companies, if CEO serves as the board chair, the propensity to invest in R&D is further reduced. Research implications or Originality - This is a pioneering study that considers the joint effect of state-owned companies and dual role on R & D investment intensity in the Chinese economy.

Corporate Investment Behavior and Level of Participation in the Global Value Chain: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

  • KUANTAN, Dhaha Praviandi;SIREGAR, Hermanto;RATNAWATI, Anny;JUHRO, Solikin M.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted to comprehensively identify factors that potentially influence corporate investment behavior, including micro, macro, and sectoral variables. Furthermore, investment behavior was studied across nations based on their participation in the global value chain (GVC), which was evaluated based on commodities, limited manufacturing, advanced manufacturing, and innovative activities. The study uses the dynamic panel data analysis and Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) estimation for a sample of 800 corporations, with data spanning over 2000-2019. The study result shows that in all types of countries, the coefficient lag indicator of capital expenditure statistically has a significant effect on capital expenditure. Sales growth, exchange rate, and GDP have a significant positive effect on corporate investment growth, while DER has a negative effect. In commodity countries, corporate investment is influenced by sales growth, exchange rate, and FCI. The variables that influence corporate investment in manufacturing countries are the FCI, exchange rate, sales growth, GDP, and DER. In innovative countries, variables that significantly affect capital expenditure are DER, GDP, and Tobin Q. In each type of country, the interaction terms between exchange rate and commodity price are positive and statistically significant.

Analysis of Employment Effect of SMEs According to the Results of Technology Appraisal for Investment (투자용 기술평가 결과에 따른 중소기업의 고용효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jun-won
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to confirm whether the current technology appraisal model for investment, which is designed to identify high-growth SMEs in sales, which is one of the characteristics of gazelle companies, has the possibility of expanding employment effects. For SMEs classified as technology investment adequate firms(TI1-TI6) through technology appraisal for investment between 2016 and 2018 were targeted. At this time, the employment effect was analyzed by dividing the absolute employment effect and the relative employment effect. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the technology appraisal items for investment defined as innovation characteristics did not have significant explanatory power for the absolute employment effect. However, for the relative employment effect, among innovation characteristics, technicality(TC) was found to have significant explanatory power, and this is because the item appraised based on future growth potential. In particular, the relative employment effect is meaningful in terms of the actual employment effect, and the conclusion is drawn that the current technology appraisal model for investment is an appraisal model with the possibility of expansion in terms of employment effect.

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Lagged Effects of R&D Investment on Corporate Market Value: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms Listed in Chinese Stock Markets

  • LEE, Jung Wan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2020
  • The study examines lagged economic effects of research and development (R&D) investment on the market value of manufacturing firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange or the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in China. This study applies panel data analysis methods to address the following issues: 1) There might be an adjustment lag in the impact of R&D investment on corporate market value, and 2) Unobserved firm effects must be taken into account. The balanced panel data includes a total of 1,462 observations with 34 cross-sections of manufacturing firms listed on Chinese stock markets and with 27 time-specific quarterly periods from 2007 to 2017. The results indicate that the R&D investment of Chinese manufacturing firms tends to yield favorable market value of the firm with some adjustments to time. The results show that R&D investment exhibits a strong positive impact on their market value of manufacturing firms in Chinese stock markets. Moreover, R&D investment has a positive time-lag effect on the market value of the firm. Interestingly, the R&D investment of Chinese manufacturing firms generate a relatively constant positive effect on their market value, supporting the notion that the corresponding returns of R&D investment for such firms yield lagged but added market values.

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Fostering Investment in Jordan during the Period 1992-2020

  • ALNABULSI, Zaynab Hassan;ALRAWASHDEH, Salah Turki;LUTFI, Khalid Munther;SALAMEH, Rafat Salameh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2022
  • This study explored the effectiveness of the measures taken by the Jordanian Central Bank embedded in its monetary policy in encouraging banks to support investment. It aimed to explore the impact of this monetary policy on supporting credit-related decisions and the monetary policies that aim to support investment in Jordan. The targeted tools of the monetary policy are: (Overnight Deposit Window Rate, money supply, and exports). The researchers carried out an analysis to measure the effectiveness of the monetary policy in fostering investment in Jordan during the period 1992-2020. They carried out the time series analysis. They explored the stationarity of the time series. They used the ARDL model. It was found that the Overnight Deposit Window Rate has a negative significant effect on the gross fixed capital formation. It was found that the money supply has a positive insignificant effect on gross fixed capital formation. The researcher recommends using Overnight Deposit Window Rate in a manner that is consistent with the intended investment-related goals.

The Effect of the Consumers' Residential Satisfaction and Investment Value on the Purchase Intention (소비자의 주거만족도와 투자가치가 매입의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, In Sang;Ha, Kyu Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relation between the housing value and residential satisfaction, housing' investment value, and also the effect the purchase intention. Recently it has been argued that the consumers' investment value can have influence on the housing market, however it is extremely rare to find research market. Through this study, influencing relationship on how the factors of housing value can affect the residential satisfaction and investment value is figured out. Last, in order to analysis the influencing relationship of purchase intention, the questionnaire for residents were conducted. The analysis is done based on 585 significant research materials gathered from the questionnaires. For analysis methodology, this research is using SPSS 21.0, AMOS 18.0, along with analytic techniques, such as implementation of basic statistical analysis, reliability, and structural analysis. Following is the results summary of the research: First, results of a factor analysis extracted four factors of housing value: residential quality factor, economic factor, brand factor, accessibility factor. Second, we find from the residential quality, brand of the housing value were statistically effect of the residential satisfaction and investment value. Finally, residential satisfaction and investment value had a positive influence on purchase intention. The result indicates the housing buyers' positive investment value and residential satisfaction increase the purchase intention in housing market. The better the housing buyers' investment value on the real estate market, the higher the market activity.

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The Effect of Abnormal Investment on Analyst Earnings Forecast (비정상투자가 재무분석가의 이익예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2018
  • In this study, targeting KOSPI and KOSDAQ listed companies, the relationship between the abnormal investment of companies and analyst earnings forecasts was empirically analyzed. The analysis period of this study spanned from 2003 to 2015 (with that of dependent variables spanning from 2004 to 2016) based on the variables of interest, and among the companies whose earnings per share forecasts were announced by financial analysts, the final sample of 4,917 companies/year that meets the research condition was selected as the target analysis. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, it turned out that the more total abnormal investment, abnormal R&D and abnormal CAPEX investment, the more accurate were analyst earnings forecasts. Second, the more total abnormal investment, abnormal R&D, abnormal CAPEX investment, the more pessimistic analyst earnings forecasts tended to be. Further analysis has shown that these results came more from over investment groups than under investment groups. The results of this study are expected to make additional contributions to the existing studies in that the abnormal investment is considered as a determinant of analyst earnings forecasts.

An Effect Analysis of Lead Time Changes on Investment Evaluation of a Nuclear Power Plant Construction : A Trade-Off Analysis Between a Construction Cost and Lead Time (원자력발전소 건설 리드타임의 변화가 투자프로젝트 평가에 미치는 효과분석: 발전소 건설비용과 리드타임 간의 상쇄효과분석)

  • Kim, Gyu-Tai;Lee, Byung-Gook;Oh, Chi-Jae
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.414-423
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    • 1999
  • A nuclear power plant requires a huge amount of initial investment and long construction lead time. As we expect that there may exist a relationship between investment and construction lead time, a number of researchers have reported that nearly a half of investments is incurred due to time factors such as the time value of money and inflation or escalation rates. Therefore, we investigated in this paper a relationship between the initial investment and the construction lead time of a nuclear power plant construction, and proposed a method for a trade-off analysis between the annual equivalent worth and the investment alternatives to reduce the construction lead time. Finally, we presented a real case to numerically explain the steps of the method presented in this paper.

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The Determinants of FDI Inflow after Reform-Opening of China (중국에서 개혁·개방이후 FDI유입에 영향을 미치는 요인들)

  • Choi, Won-Ick;Han, Jong-Soo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.177-198
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    • 2016
  • China has retained economic growth rate of average 9% for more than ten years recently after China introduced capitalistic market economy system in 1979 by Deng Xiaoping. China has attracted foreign direct investment for a long time because it has retained very high economic growth rate, low labor cost, and various policies for foreign investors. This paper tries to analyse the determinants of foreign direct investment inflow after reform-opening of China with empirical analysis methods utilizing each province·city's specific characteristics by using the panel data from 1985 to 2013. For the empirical analysis we use random effect model, fixed effect model, pooled OLS, and random coefficient model. The results by pooled OLS and random coefficient model are presented for the comparison with the main results in the process of research. The research shows the results by fixed effect model are better than those by random effect model after doing Hausman's test. The results shows that GRDP, capital stock, and telecommunication exert a positive relationship with foreign direct investment, while express way variable exerts a negative one. China's education level surprisingly does not attract foreign direct investment even though it is not at a critical level. Therefore, the Chinese government should try to increase national income level as it symbolizes market size; encourage domestic investment; and construct high quality telecommunication infrastructure.

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