• 제목/요약/키워드: Alternative Decision

검색결과 682건 처리시간 0.026초

추계적 우세법칙과 분포의 비상등성 (Stochastic Dominance and Distributional Inequality)

  • 이대주
    • 산업공학
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.151-169
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    • 1993
  • In this research, we proposed "coefficient of inequality" as a measure of distributional inequality for an alternative, which is defined as the area between the diagonal line from 0 to 1 and the Lorenz curve of the given alternative. Next, we showed theoretical relationship between stochastic dominance and the coefficient of inequality as a means to determine the preferred alternative when decision is made with incomplete information about decision maker's utility function. Then, two experiments were performed to test subject‘s attitude toward risk. The results of the experiments support the idea that when a decision maker is risk averse or risk prone, he/she can use the coefficient of inequality as a decision rule to choose the preferred alternative instead of using stochastic dominance. Thus, according to decision maker’s attitude toward risk, the decision rule proposed here can be used as a valuable aid in decision making under uncertainty with incomplete information.

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Synthesis of Spatial Results to Recommend a Preferred Alternative

  • 임광섭;강신욱
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.798-802
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    • 2010
  • The integration of GIS and fuzzy MCDA(Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis) allows the engineer to determine the preferred alternative for each spatial location in the study area. The next step is to recommend to the final decision makers a single flood management alternative for the entire region. Note that if the study area is large, it might be possible to use the kind of information to recommend different alternatives for different portions of the region. However, for this study it is assumed that only a single alternative will be used. In this study, a "cost of uniformity" metric is proposed that allows decision makers to compute the impact of selecting a single alternative for the entire floodplain. This metric represents the increase in the average distance metric value as compared to the spatially diverse solution from the MCDA and GIS analysis. The results could be applied to any region of the floodplain as desired. Whether the decision makers decide to apply these calculations to the entire floodplain or to specific important regions within the floodplain, an analysis of the increases in the cost of uniformity provides an integrated way for the decision maker to rank the alternatives. This should provide an improvement in their engineering analysis.

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Optimistic vs Pessimistic Use of Incomplete Weights in Multiple Criteria Decision Making

  • Park, K. Sam;Lee, Pyoungsoo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.9-11
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    • 2015
  • This note is concerned with the use of incomplete weights in multiple criteria decision making. In an earlier study, an optimistic use of incomplete weights is developed to prioritize decision alternatives, which applies the most favorable set of weights to the alternative to be evaluated. In this note, we develop a method for a pessimistic use, thereby applying the least favorable weight set to the evaluated alternative. This development makes possible a more detailed prioritization of competing alternatives, and hence enhances decision-making powers.

시뮬레이션 최적화를 이용한 이산형 시스템의 결정변수 설계 (Decision Variable Design of Discrete Systems using Simulation Optimization)

  • 박경종
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 1999
  • The research trend of the simulation optimization has been focused on exploring continuous decision variables. Yet, the research in discrete decision variable area has not been fully studied. A new research trend for optimizing discrete decision variables ha just appeared recently. This study, therefore, deals with a discrete simulation method to get the system evaluation criteria required for designing a complex probabilistic discrete event system and to search the effective and reliable alternatives to satisfy the objective values of the given system through a on-line, single run with the short time period. Finding the alternative, we construct an algorithm which changes values of decision variables and a design alternative by using the stopping algorithm which ends the simulation in a steady state of system. To avoid the loss of data while analyzing the acquired design alternative in the steady state, we provide background for estimation of an auto-regressive model and mean and confidence interval for evaluating correctly the objective function obtained by small amount of output data through simulation with the short time period. In numerical experiment we applied the proposed algorithm to (s, S) inventory system problem with varying Δt value. In case of the (s, S) inventory system, we obtained good design alternative when Δt value is larger than 100.

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한국 중간관리자를 대상으로 한 행태적 집단 의사결정 과정에 관한 연구 (A Descriptive Study of the Korean Managers' Small Group Decision-Making Process: An Interaction Process Analysis)

  • 전기정;박재신
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.127-147
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an analysis of Korean middle managers' decision-making processes. The sample included the observations of decisions made by 17 groups with 5 to 7 members each. The 5 hour-long, in average, decision processes were analysed by a modified system of Fisher's(1970) Interaction Process Analysis. The results showed that Korean managers followed alternative-focused decision processes, as opposite to value-focused ones. That is, the decision-making groups showed a strong trend to elaborate on alternative generation and evaluation right after the situation analysis. They tended to discuss the objectives of decision and relevant criteria only to resolve conflicts arisen during the evaluation process of alternatives. The analysis also showed that a decision proposition was more frequently followed by negative responses than positive ones and by interpretative evaluations than substantiative ones. The lessons from this study suggest a direction for the development of group decision support systems tailored for Korean cultural characteristics. This study is also meaningful as the first observation and empirical analysis of Korean middle managers' decision-making processes.

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의사결정나무분석법을 이용한 간호사의 대체수유교육요구 예측모형 (A Predictive Model using Decision Tree Method on Demand for Alternative Feeding Education by Nurses)

  • 오진아;윤채민;김병수
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: One of the main reasons why mothers quit breast feeding is that the volume of breast milk is inadequate due to insufficiency in suckling. We believe suckling experience may be a factor affecting nipple confusion. So an alternative feeding method, namely cup, spoon, finger, or nasogastric tube feeding may be needed to prevent nipple confusion. The purpose of this study was to construct a predictive model for demand for alternative feeding education by nurses. Methods: A descriptive design with structured self-report questionnaires was used for this study. Data from 175 nurses working in hospitals in Busan were collected between April 1 and 15, 2009. Data were analyzed by decision tree method, one of the data mining techniques using SAS 9.1 and Enterprise Miner 4.3 program. Results: Of the nurses, 81.1% demanded alternative feeding education and 5 factors showed that most of them expressed intention to pay, desire to know about alternative feeding, age, and learning experience. From these results, the derived model is considered appropriative for explaining and predicting demand for alternative feeding education. Conclusion: This confirms that knowledge and compliance in alternative breast feeding for newborn babies should be correct and any inaccuracies or insufficient information should be supplemented.

불충분 선호 정보하에서 처방적 그룹의사결정방법 지배 규칙에 관한 연구 (A Prescriptive Group Decision Making Method with Imprecise Preference Information)

  • 안병석
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a prescriptive approach to group decision making with group members' imprecise preference information. This includes an alternative method to Salo's inventive approach for identifying group's preferred alternative when attribute weights, consequences, and possibly group members' importance weights are specified in imprecise ways. The imprecise additive group value function can be decomposed into individual group member's imprecise decision making problems, which are finally aggregated to identify group's preferred alternative. The proposed approach is intuitive and easy to implement, and has merits in a couple of points. First. it is possible to view individual group member's inclinations toward conflicting alternatives and the degree of discrepancies to each other. Second, we can observe how much previous decision results of individual decision maker are influenced during interaction since decisions usually are not made at a single step especially in presence of partial preference information. Finally, the individual group member's decision results can be utilized for further investigation of dominance relations among alternatives in a case that interactive questions and responses fail to give a convergent group consensus.

다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 대안평가지수 개발 (Development of Alternative Evaluation Index Using Multicriteria Decision Making Techniques)

  • 정은성;이길성;박경신
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 유역통합관리를 위한 대안들의 우선순위를 다양한 요소를 객관적으로 고려하여 산정하기 위해 대안평가지수(alternative evaluation index, AEI)를 개발하였고 이를 적용하였다. 이를 위해 물순환 건전화를 위한 다양한 대안들에 대한 연속유출 모의모형의 효과분석 결과, 다기준 의사결정 기법과 지속가능성 평가모형인 DPSIR(Drivers-Pressure-State-Impact-Response)을 이용하여 대안의 평가지수 및 순위를 산정하였다.

대안 평가를 위한 의사결정 기법 (Decision Methods for Evaluation of Alternatives)

  • 남기창;홍상표
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2000
  • For any particular development project or environmental regulations, decision-making criteria is required and conflicts among criteria should be resolved. It is necessary to investigate criteria that government agencies employ in making decisions that influence the environment. The evaluation of alternative development proposals and regulatory measures involves much more than environmental issues. Economic, technical, and social factors should be considered along with environmental impacts when making evaluations. Evaluation should be based on values of all individuals who may be affected by public or private decisions. There are many evaluation methods for determining how individuals and groups value alternative public actions. Numerous weighting-scaling methodologies can be used in such evaluations. These methodologies represent adaptations of multiple-criteria or multiple-attribute decision-making techniques. Environmental risk assessment which accounts for uncertainties in choosing among alternative policies and projects is increasingly used.

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Group Decision Making Using Intuitionistic Hesitant Fuzzy Sets

  • Beg, Ismat;Rashid, Tabasam
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 2014
  • Dealing with uncertainty is always a challenging problem. Intuitionistic fuzzy sets was presented to manage situations in which experts have some membership and non-membership value to assess an alternative. Hesitant fuzzy sets was used to handle such situations in which experts hesitate between several possible membership values to assess an alternative. In this paper, the concept of intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy set is introduced to provide computational basis to manage the situations in which experts assess an alternative in possible membership values and non-membership values. Distance measure is defined between any two intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy elements. Fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution is developed for intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy set to solve multi-criteria decision making problem in group decision environment. An example is given to illustrate this technique.