• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제37권4호
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• pp.209-216
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• 2014

This study was undertaken to suggest an effective fisheries resources management system by using stock assessment and potential yield analyses of crucian carp population in the mid-upper system of the Seomjin River. Fieldwork was conducted seasonally from 2008 to 2009 in the mid-upper system of the Seomjin River. The stock assessment was carried out by the swept area method and the potential yield was estimated by improved fisheries resource potential estimation system based on the Allowable Biological Catch. Also, the yield-per-recruit analysis was used to review the efficient management implication of the resource, Carassius auratus. As a result, the age at first capture ($t_c$) was estimated as 1.468 year, converted body length (BL) was 10.8 cm. Meaning the current fishing intensities, the instantaneous coefficient of fishing mortality (F) was $0.067year^{-1}$, and the yield-per-recruit analysis showed that the current yield per recruit was estimated to be 15.999 g with F and $t_c$. The instantaneous rate of fishing mortality that provides for Allowable Biological Catch ($F_{ABC}$) based on the current $t_c$ and F was estimated as $0.618year^{-1}$. Therefore, the optimum fishing intensities could be achieved at the higher fishing intensity for Carassius auratus. The calculated annual stock of C. auratus was estimated as 7,608 kg, and the potential yield was estimated as 343 kg with $t_c$ and F at the fixed current level. Using yield-per-recruit analysis, if F and $t_c$ were set at $0.618year^{-1}$ and 2 year, the yield per recruit and total allowable catch would be predicted to increase to 62 g and 2,531 kg by about 3.9 times and 7.3 times, respectively.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제55권6호
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• pp.946-953
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• 2022

Using the management strategy evaluation methods and data on the Korea chub mackerel Scomber japonicus where the state-space logistic production model is used as the operation and the estimation model respectivley, we examined the effects of both Dorn's rule, α and the buffer value for ABC (allowable biological catch), which are used by the Korea fishery managers for decision rules. We set scenarios that have different pairs of buffer and α values, which include those currently used in the management in Korea. Under each sceanario, we projected the fish population biomass until year 2050, during which ABC is determined in each year with the decision rule. We used three kinds of performance measures: (i) whether the biomass in 2050 is overfished; (ii) the average of annual yields over the simulation period; and (iii) the variability of annual yields over the period. We found that the current practice (buffer=0.9, and α = 0.05) resulted in the best performance in terms of avoiding the "overfished" status. However, the current practice failed to reach the maximum average of the annual yields and led to larger uncertainty in the annual yields.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.1-22
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• 2004

Since the red grouper stock was initially declared to be overfished by the NMFS in September 2002, the Gulf of Mexico Fishery Management Council must prepare for the red grouper rebuilding plan considering the following alternative management policies: Total Allowable Catch(TAC), 5 - month season closure, 1800 - pound trip limit, and 50 - fathom longline boundary. The first concern the Council has is to evaluate the effects of recommended policies and the second is to analyze the impact of management policies on yellow edge grouper. This is because the fleets harvest red grouper also catch yellowedge grouper, the regulations on red grouper are likely to allow fishing effort to be distributed into yellowedge grouper. Therefore, this study is aimed at evaluating the biological and economic effects of management policies considering simultaneously the impact of red grouper regulations on yellow edge grouper by developing a combined red grouper and yellowedge grouper bioeconomic model. The overall results indicate that management policies for red grouper would adversely affect the yellowedge grouper stock if yellowedge grouper is not protected by its regulations. The TAC policy has the most serious impact on the yellowedge grouper stock, while the 1800 - pound trip limit policy minimizes the reduction in the yellowedge grouper stock. However, the target stock size of red grouper is achieved as well as the largest net present value of returns is gained in the TAC policy.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.61-72
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• 2014

This study aimed to empirically investigate the applicability of ecosystem-based TAC (Total Allowable Catch) fisheries management targeting the large purse seine fishery where multi-species are regulated by TAC. Using a linear programming, the optimal fishing effort and the catch amount by species which maximize fishing profits were analyzed under the constraint condition of catch limits by species. Analytical results showed that an application of TAC on only chub mackerel would have negative impacts on fish stocks such as hairtail and jack mackerel by increasing the level of fishing effort to achieve its allocated catch limit. However, under the constraint condition of catch limits of all species, it was shown that optimal catches of all species were achieved within their catch limits. It implies the importance of ecosystem-based management considering biological and technical interactions of species those were excluded in the traditional single species fisheries management.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제41권2호
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• pp.107-112
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• 2008

To evaluate uncertainty and risk in biological reference points, we applied a bootstrapping method and a Bayesian procedure to estimate the related confidence intervals. Here we provide an example of the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of turban shell, Batillus cornutus, estimated by the Schaefer and Fox models. Fitting the time series of catch and effort from 1968 to 2006 showed that the Fox model performs better than the Schaefer model. The estimated MSY and its bootstrap percentile confidence interval (CI) at ${\alpha}=0.05$ were 1,680 (1,420-1,950) tons for the Fox model and 2,170 (1,860-2,500) tons for the Schaefer model. The CIs estimated by the Bayesian approach gave similar ranges: 1,710 (1,450-2,000) tons for the Fox model and 2,230 (1,760-2,930) tons for the Schaefer model. Because uncertainty in effort and catch data is believed to be greater for earlier years, we evaluated the influence of sequentially excluding old data points by varying the first year of the time series from 1968 to 1992 to run 'backward' bootstrap resampling. The results showed that the means and upper 2.5% confidence limit (CL) of MSY varied greatly depending on the first year chosen whereas the lower 2.5% CL was robust against the arbitrary selection of data, especially for the Schaefer model. We demonstrated that the bootstrap and Bayesian approach could be useful in precautionary fisheries management, and we advise that the lower 2.5% CL derived by the Fox model is robust and a better biological reference point for the turban shells of Jeju Island.

• 생태와환경
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.172-177
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• 2011

본 연구는 최적화된 자원량을 기반으로 최대 생산성을 얻을 수 있는 잠재생산량 추정을 통한 어족자원(꺽지)의 효율적 관리방안을 모색하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 섬진강 중 상류 수계에서 2008년 8월부터 2009년 4월까지 계절별로 총 4회 조사를 실시하였다. 자원량 추정은 소해면 적법(Swept Area method)을 이용하였으며, 잠재생산량은 생물학적 허용어획량(Allowable Biological Catch, ABC)에 기초한 어족자원 잠재력 추정시스템을 수정 보완하여 사용하였다. 또한, 꺽지 자원의 효율적인 관리 방안을 검토하기 위해 가입당생산량모델(Beverton and Holt)을 사용하였다. 연구결과, 어획개시연령($t_c$)은 1.464 age로 나타났으며, 이를 체장으로 환산한 결과 7.8 cm(BL)로 확인되었다. 현재 어획강도를 나타내는 순간어획사망계수(F)는 0.061 $year^{-1}$이었으며, 이를 기준으로 한가입당 생산량(Y/R)은 4.124 g로 추정되었다. 어획개시연령($t_c$)과 순간어획사망계수(F)를 기준으로 한 적정어획사망계수($F_{ABC}$)는 0.401 $year^{-1}$로 추정되었는데 이는 현재 꺽지 자원에 대한 어획강도가 매우 낮은 상태임을 시사한다. 꺽지의 연간 자원량은 3,048 kg으로 나타났으며, 현재 어획개시연령과 적정어획사망계수를($F_{ABC}$)를 바탕으로 한 잠재생산량은 861 kg으로 추정되었다. 가입당 생산량 모델을 사용하여 어획개시연령을 3 age로 어획사망계수는 0.643 $year^{-1}$로 가정할 경우, 가입당 생산량은 현재의 4.12 g에서 13.84 g로 약 3.4배 증가될 것으로 예상되었다.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.72-81
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• 2012

Using artificial neural network (ANN) technique, auction prices for common mackerel were forecasted with the daily total sale and auction price data at the Busan Cooperative Fish Market before introducing Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system, when catch data had no limit in Korea. Virtual input data produced from actual data were used to improve the accuracy of prediction and the suitable neural network was induced for the prediction. We tested 35 networks to be retained 10, and found good performance network with regression ratio of 0.904 and determination coefficient of 0.695. There were significant variations between training and verification errors in this network. Ideally, it should require more training cases to avoid over-learning, which leads to improve performance and makes the results more reliable. And the precision of prediction was improved when environmental factors including physical and biological variables were added. This network for prediction of price and catch was considered to be applicable for other fishes.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제53권3호
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• pp.266-275
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• 2017

The maximum sustained yield (MSY) of shellfish caught through dredge fishery was 7,250 to 7,490 MT from 1990 to 1999, which was not affected by the construction of the Saemangeum Dike. The MSY from 2000 to 2016, under the influence of the dike, was 1,716 to 1,776 MT when the total annual fish catch was 1,000 MT or more, and 289 to 336 MT when it was less than 1,000 MT. The construction of the Saemangeum Dike led to a decrease in the catch volume of the offshore dredge fishery in Jeollabuk-do, to 4.2 to 23.7% of that before its construction. The allowable biological catch (ABC) was estimated to be 313 to 1,532 MT per year, which was about 72.3 to 94.3% less than before the construction of Saemangeum Dike. Currently, the dredge fishery in Jeollabuk-do relies on comb pen shells. For fishery management, the catch per vessel should be set at 51.0 MT/year or less, and the number of fishing vessels should be reduced to 22 as quickly as possible. Besides, in the long term, the number of current fishing vessels should be reduced to less than half in consideration of the comb pen shell collecting period in Jeollabuk-do.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.613-639
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• 2017

카리브호수의 카펜타 자원량을 추정하기 위해 최대엔트로피(ME)모델과 분석적 모델이 적용된다. ME모델을 이용하여 25,372톤의 최대지속가능 어획량(MSY)과 MSY의 어획노력량인 109,731의 어획일수(fishing nights)를 추정하였는데, 이는 현재 어획노력량 수준이 과잉투자됨으로써 1988년 이후 2009년 현재까지 자원량을 감소시키는 요인인 것을 나타낸다. 분석적 모델은 매년의 생물학적 허용 어획량(ABC)과 연간 1.21의 어획사망계수(일반적 어획사망계수인 0.927 보다 큰)를 추정한다. 이 두 모델은 1982년 기준년도의 자원량 추정에 적용할 수 있는 유사한 자원량을 추정한다. ME모델에 의하면 1988년의 최대 자원량(156,047톤)에 대해 1/3수준이하 까지 점점 하락하는 결과를 추정하였는데, 이는 최근의 어획량이 MSY 수준 이하이지만 ABC수준보다 높게 나타나 남획된 것을 암시한다. 다시 말해서, 분석적 모델은 ME모델에서의 MSY보다 더 보수적인 ABC를 제공함으로써, 보수적인 어업관리정책(총허용어획량제도, 어획노력감소정책 등)을 적극적으로 고려해야함을 내포하고 있다.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제57권2호
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• pp.173-184
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• 2021

In this study, internationally widely utilized bioeconomic models were used to make a comparison and analyze the effectiveness of red snow crab fisheries management measures. As a specific effect analysis, biological and economic effects of both total allowable catch (TAC) and effort reduction management measures were analyzed simultaneously. Model results showed that the red snow crab biomass would be decreased from 106,000 tons to 73,076 tons after ten years when the TAC is set to and maintained at the current level of 26,000 tons. The amount of biomass would be increased to 125,316 tons when the level of TAC is set to 22,000 tons. In cases of reduced fishing efforts, a 30% decrease from the current level would result in greater biomass and NPV would be also estimated at the highest level. In addition, a sensitivity analysis by market price was conducted to analyze the minimum TAC level of the red snow crab offshore pot fishery. Results showed that the minimum TAC level would be 8,210 tons when the market price increased by 30% and it would be also 15,247 tons when the market price decreased by 30%. Furthermore, results of the sensitivity analysis by fishing cost showed that the minimum TAC level was analyzed to be 13,857 tons when the fishing cost increased by 30% from the current level.