• 유기물자원화
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.88-96
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• 2013

본 연구의 목적은 고형폐기물의 메탄발생 특성을 나타내기 위한 1차 반응식과 S형태 식들의 적합성을 평가하는 것이다. S형태 식은 수정 Gompertz와 Logistic 식을 사용하였다. 모델의 적합성을 평가하기 위해 잔차제곱합, 표준제곱근 오차, Akaike's information criterion 등의 통계분석을 실시하였다. AIC (Akaike's information criterion)는 모델의 변수 개수 차이에 따른 모델 적합성을 비교하기 위하여 적용하였다. 1차 반응식의 경우 지체기를 고려하지 않을 때보다 고려하였을 경우 잔차제곱합과 표준제곱근 오차는 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 1차 반응식의 경우 S형태 식보다 AIC가 상대적으로 높게 나타났다. 이는 S형태 식이 1차 반응식보다 메탄발생특성을 나타낼 때에 더욱 적합한 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제38권6호
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• pp.543-551
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• 2020

본 논문에서는 레이더를 이용한 표적 길이 추정 정확도를 향상시키기 위한 방법에 관해 소개한다. 레이더 수신신호를 통해 만들어지는 고해상도 거리측면도(HRRP: High Resolution Range Profile)은 표적의 1차원적인 산란 특성을 나타내며, HRRP에서의 피크(peak)는 전자기파를 강하게 산란시키는 산란점(scattering center)을 의미한다. 추출된 산란점을 이용하여 레이더 가시선 방향(RLOS: Radar Line of Sight)의 길이인 표적 종방향 거리(downrange) 길이를 추정하며, 표적과 레이더 가시선 방향이 이루는 각도를 통해 표적의 실제 길이를 추정한다. 길이 추정의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해, HRRP를 이용하는 방법보다 정확하게 산란점을 추출하기 위한 방법인 매개변수 추정방법(parametric estimation method)을 이용할 수 있다. 매개변수 추정방법은 산란점 개수가 결정된 후에 적용되며, 따라서 산란점 개수 추정의 정확도에 크게 영향을 받는다. 본 논문에서는 레이더를 통한 표적 길이 추정 정확도를 향상시키기 위해, 정보 이론적 판단 기준에 바탕을 둔 신호원 수 추정방법인 AIC (Akaike Information Criteria), MDL (Minimum Descriptive Length), GLE (Gerschgorin Likelihood Estimators)방법들을 이용하여 산란점 개수를 추정하였다. 매개변수 추정방법으로 ESPRIT기법을 이용하여, 간단한 표적 캐드 모델에 대한 길이 추정 시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, GLE방법이 산란점 개수 추정과 표적 길이 추정에 우수한 성능을 보임을 확인하였다.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.579-587
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• 2015

Landslides are major natural geological hazards that result in a large amount of property damage each year, with both direct and indirect costs. Many researchers have produced landslide susceptibility maps using various techniques over the last few decades. This paper presents the landslide susceptibility results from the geographically weighted regression model using remote sensing and geographic information system data for landslide susceptibility in the Inje area of South Korea. Landslide locations were identified from aerial photographs. The eleven landslide-related factors were calculated and extracted from the spatial database and used to analyze landslide susceptibility. Compared with the global logistic regression model, the Akaike Information Criteria was improved by 109.12, the adjusted R-squared was improved from 0.165 to 0.304, and the Moran’s I index of this analysis was improved from 0.4258 to 0.0553. The comparisons of susceptibility obtained from the models show that geographically weighted regression has higher predictive performance.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.773-779
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• 2015

We study a statistical analysis about the fifth wave data of the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey based on linear regression models with measurement errors. The data is obtained from a national population-based complex survey. To demonstrate the availability of measurement error models, two results between the general linear regression model and measurement error model are compared based on the model selection criteria which are Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. For our study, we use the simulation extrapolation algorithm for measurement error model and the jackknife method for the estimation of standard errors.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권7호
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• pp.73-84
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• 2020

Existing studies disagree over the core predictors of firm-level financial choices in developing countries. The general practice only validates the traditional capital structure model, which leads to inconsistency and a lack of novelty. This study removed overfitting issues among existing factors and presented the most reliable and advanced capital structure model in Pakistani firms. The panel data include 368 Pakistani companies from 19 non-financial sectors over the period 2004 to 2017. We apply Akaike and Bayesian Information Criteria to remove overfitting issues among inconsistent proxies in the capital structure model. The fixed effects regression is used for basic results and the Generalized Method of Moments is applied to control the endogeneity. Besides the conventional proxies, we report that credit rating, distance from bankruptcy, managerial concentration, and institutional quality are the most advanced capital structure determinants in Pakistan. These predictors remain significant across firm size and growth levels. Also, the findings confirm that new predictors are reliable to define capital structure dynamics and improve the speed of adjustment in overall and sub-sample analysis. The major findings suggest that managers and policymakers should consider these advanced predictors to design their financial settings in firms.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권14호
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• pp.5571-5575
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• 2014

Background: The ability to predict the survival time of breast cancer patients is important because of the potential high morbidity and mortality associated with the disease. To develop a predictive inference for determining the survival of breast cancer patients, we applied a novel Bayesian method. In this paper, we propose the development of a databased statistical probability model and application of the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for White Hispanic female breast cancer patients, diagnosed in the US during 1973-2009. Materials and Methods: A stratified random sample of White Hispanic female patient survival data was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database to derive statistical probability models. Four were considered to identify the best-fit model. We used three standard model-building criteria, which included Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) to measure the goodness of fit. Furthermore, the Bayesian method was used to derive future survival inferences for survival times. Results: The highest number of White Hispanic female breast cancer patients in this sample was from New Mexico and the lowest from Hawaii. The mean (SD) age at diagnosis (years) was 58.2 (14.2). The mean (SD) of survival time (months) for White Hispanic females was 72.7 (32.2). We found that the exponentiated Weibull model best fit the survival times compared to other widely known statistical probability models. The predictive inference for future survival times is presented using the Bayesian method. Conclusions: The findings are significant for treatment planning and health-care cost allocation. They should also contribute to further research on breast cancer survival issues.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.617-624
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• 2021

도래각 추정, 간섭제거, 신호 수신 등을 위해 수신신호에 포함되는 신호의 개수를 정확히 파악하는 것이 필요하다. 대표적인 신호 개수 추정 알고리즘으로 AIC(: Akaike Information Criterion)와 MDL(: Minimum Description Length) 알고리즘이 있는데, 이들 알고리즘은 각 기준이 최소화되는 값을 찾아 신호의 개수를 추정한다. 수신기의 배열 안테나 요소 개수가 증가하면 추정 성능이 향상되지만, 최소값을 찾기 위해 모든 안테나 요소에 대한 기준값을 계산하여야 하므로 복잡도가 크게 증가한다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해, 본 논문에서는 빔공간 처리를 통해 차원을 축소시켜 계산량을 줄이면서 효율적으로 신호의 개수를 추정할 수 있는 빔공간 기반의 AIC와 MDL 알고리즘을 제안한다. 또한, 다양한 시나리오 기반의 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통해 제안된 알고리즘의 성능을 평가하고 분석한다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.663-669
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• 2014

Background: With recent progress in health science administration, a huge amount of data has been collected from thousands of subjects. Statistical and computational techniques are very necessary to understand such data and to make valid scientific conclusions. The purpose of this paper was to develop a statistical probability model and to predict future survival times for male breast cancer patients who were diagnosed in the USA during 1973-2009. Materials and Methods: A random sample of 500 male patients was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The survival times for the male patients were used to derive the statistical probability model. To measure the goodness of fit tests, the model building criterions: Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were employed. A novel Bayesian method was used to derive the posterior density function for the parameters and the predictive inference for future survival times from the exponentiated Weibull model, assuming that the observed breast cancer survival data follow such type of model. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method was used to determine the inference for the parameters. Results: The summary results of certain demographic and socio-economic variables are reported. It was found that the exponentiated Weibull model fits the male survival data. Statistical inferences of the posterior parameters are presented. Mean predictive survival times, 95% predictive intervals, predictive skewness and kurtosis were obtained. Conclusions: The findings will hopefully be useful in treatment planning, healthcare resource allocation, and may motivate future research on breast cancer related survival issues.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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• 제59권2호
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• pp.3.1-3.7
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• 2017

Background: The modelling of lactation curve provides guidelines in formulating farm managerial practices in dairy cows. The aim of the present study was to determine the suitable non-linear model which most accurately fitted to lactation curves of five lactations in 134 Gir crossbred cows reared in Research-CumDevelopment Project (RCDP) on Cattle farm, MPKV (Maharashtra). Four models viz. gamma-type function, quadratic model, mixed log function and Wilmink model were fitted to each lactation separately and then compared on the basis of goodness of fit measures viz. adjusted $R^2$, root mean square error (RMSE), Akaike's Informaion Criteria (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC). Results: In general, highest milk yield was observed in fourth lactation whereas it was lowest in first lactation. Among the models investigated, mixed log function and gamma-type function provided best fit of the lactation curve of first and remaining lactations, respectively. Quadratic model gave least fit to lactation curve in almost all lactations. Peak yield was observed as highest and lowest in fourth and first lactation, respectively. Further, first lactation showed highest persistency but relatively higher time to achieve peak yield than other lactations. Conclusion: Lactation curve modelling using gamma-type function may be helpful to setting the management strategies at farm level, however, modelling must be optimized regularly before implementing them to enhance productivity in Gir crossbred cows.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.325-337
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• 2017

In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.