• Title/Summary/Keyword: Actual Load

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A Scheme for Reducing Load Forecast Error During Weekends Near Typhoon Hit (태풍 발생 인접 주말의 수요예측 오차 감소 방안)

  • Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.9
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    • pp.1700-1705
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    • 2009
  • In general, short term load forecasting is based on the periodical load pattern during a day or a week. Therefore, the conventional methods do not expose stable performance to every day during a year. Especially for anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons, the methods have a tendency to show the conspicuous accuracy deterioration. Furthermore, the tendency raises the reliability and stability problems of the conventional load forecast. In this study, a new load forecasting method is proposed in order to increase the accuracy of the forecast result in case of anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons. For irregular weather conditions, the sensitivity between temperature and daily load is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecast. The proposed method was tested with the actual load profiles during 14 years, which shows that the suggested scheme considerably improves the accuracy of the load forecast results.

Economical Installations and Regulations of Shunt Capacitors in A Distribution Line (배전선로에 있어서의 병렬 Coudenser의 경제적 설치 및 조정에 관한 연구)

  • 박영문
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 1966
  • This paper derives the useful formulas for computing annual profits, and economical size, locations and regulating values of parallel shunt capacitors in case that they are installed in a distribution line. Inparticular, the derived formulas consider the influence of load variations in order to represent the actual load situations.

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The study of load measurement on U50 wind turbine (U50 풍력발전기 하중측정 실증연구)

  • Cho, Joo-Suk;Hong, Hyeok-Soo;Bang, Jo-Hyug;Park, Jin-Il;Ryu, Ji-Yune
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2007
  • This paper addresses the measurement of structural loads on the Unison U50 wind turbine. The load measurement are carried out to determine the actual loads acting on a wind turbine. This is needed not only the certification process but also improving the technical development for prototype wind turbine. The measurement system is consists of measuring load, operating quantities and meteorological signal. All data that occur during the operating of a WT are stored the data acquisition system automatically. With using the measured data, load spectrum and equivalent load are evaluated according to IEC61400-13 "Measurement of mechanical loads".

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The study of load measurement on U50 wind turbine (U50 풍력발전기 하중측정 실증연구)

  • Cho, Joo-Suk;Hong, Hyeok-Soo;Bang, Jo-Hyug;Park, Jin-Il;Ryu, Ji-Yune;Gil, Kye-Hwan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.341-344
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    • 2007
  • This paper addresses the measurement of structural loads on the Unison U50 wind turbine. The load measurement are carried out to determine the actual loads acting on a wind turbine. This is needed not only the certification process but also improving the technical development for prototype wind turbine. The measurement system is consists of measuring load, operating quantities and meteorological signal. All data that occur during the operating of a WT are stored the data acquisition system automatically. With using the measured data, load spectrum and equivalent load are evaluated according to IEC61400-13 "Measurement of mechanical loads".

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Power Demand Forecasting in the DC Urban Railway Substation (직류 도시철도 변전소 수요전력 예측)

  • Kim, Han-Su;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.11
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    • pp.1608-1614
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    • 2014
  • Power demand forecasting is an important factor of the peak management. This paper deals with the 15 minutes ahead load forecasting problem in a DC urban railway system. Since supplied power lines to trains are connected with parallel, the load characteristics are too complex and highly non-linear. The main idea of the proposed method for the 15 minutes ahead prediction is to use the daily load similarity accounting for the load nonlinearity. An Euclidean norm with weighted factors including loads of the neighbor substation is used for the similar load selection. The prediction value is determinated by the sum of the similar load and the correction value. The correction has applied the neural network model. The feasibility of the proposed method is exemplified through some simulations applied to the actual load data of Incheon subway system.

Heat Transfer Analysis above L$N_2$ Surface in HTS Transformer (HTS변압기에서 액체질소 표면 상부의 열전달 해석)

  • ;;Steven W. Van Sciver
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Applied Superconductivity and Cryogenics Conference
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    • 2003.02a
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    • pp.174-177
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    • 2003
  • Cooling load from the top plate to L$N_2$ surface, including wall conduction, gas conduction, radiation, and current leads, is investigated in a closed cooling system for HTS transformer. In general methods of load calculation, individual load is estimated separately, but they are actually coupled each other because of natural convection of nitrogen vapor. Using heat transfer analysis, we calculate cooling load with taking into account the effect of natural convection. Cooling load is under- estimated approximately 2 % when the natural convection is ignored. If the operating current is high, there will be a wide difference between actual cooling load and cooling load by individual calculation. Cooling load decreases with increasing number of radiation shield. With production, construction, and cooling load, three radiation shields are proper to 1 MVA HTS transformer.

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24 hour Load Forecasting using Combined Very-short-term and Short-term Multi-Variable Time-Series Model (초단기 및 단기 다변수 시계열 결합모델을 이용한 24시간 부하예측)

  • Lee, WonJun;Lee, Munsu;Kang, Byung-O;Jung, Jaesung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.493-499
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a combined very-short-term and short-term multi-variate time-series model for 24 hour load forecasting. First, the best model for very-short-term and short-term load forecasting is selected by considering the least error value, and then they are combined by the optimal forecasting time. The actual load data of industry complex is used to show the effectiveness of the proposed model. As a result the load forecasting accuracy of the combined model has increased more than a single model for 24 hour load forecasting.

Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

S-N Curve Deduction of a KTX High-Speed Train Structure for an Accelerated Life Testing (가속수명시험을 위한 KTX고속열차 구조물의 S-N 선도 추정)

  • Jung, Dal-Woo;Choi, Nak-Sam;Park, Su-Han
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.388-395
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    • 2009
  • An accelerated fatigue test is essentially required to maintain the reliability of the actual structures of KTX under operation conditions. However, actual fatigue life cannot be obtained because the conventional fatigue tests are not adequate to the real load conditions. Moreover foreign component makers have not provided data of the loading stresses (S) versus cycles at the failure (N). In this study, we suggested a deduction method of the S-N curve for establishing an accelerating test under various load levels. Load history was acquired from the field tests. A Rainflow method was used on the cycle counting of the field load data. After that, an S-N curve was obtained through the iteration process under the condition that the damage index satisfies to 1 in the Miner's rule. The deduced S-N curve was applied to the performance evaluation of Korean-made sealed knuckles compared with imports.

Evaluation on Actual Discharge Data for TMDL in Nakdong River Basin (낙동강수계 수질오염총량관리를 위한 유량조사 평가)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Hoon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Park, Bae-Kyung;Yoon, Jong-Su;Shin, Chan-Ki
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2008
  • To drive efficiently total water pollution load management, needs to calculate the exact load emissions, pollution load allocation and implementation evaluation in each unit area of watershed and accurate and regular flow of data. For these reasons, the Nakdong River TMDL Research Center has produced directly or indirectly in the average interval of eight days (30 times or more / year) 41 points for unit area of the total water pollution load management and 8-point of municipal requirement for a total of 49 branches as a flow data in 2004 from August. This acquired the survey flow is evidence of trends and changes each point in the Nakdong River based on time, such as 10 years based on average design flow available to the foundation of the summit as the major water policy is to be utilized. This study was performed on actual discharge measuring data and introduced performance results each drainage basin of Nakdong River from 2004 to 2008 over the total of past five years.