• 제목/요약/키워드: Accuracy of weather information

검색결과 217건 처리시간 0.024초

Digital Signage System Based on Intelligent Recommendation Model in Edge Environment: The Case of Unmanned Store

  • Lee, Kihoon;Moon, Nammee
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.599-614
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes a digital signage system based on an intelligent recommendation model. The proposed system consists of a server and an edge. The server manages the data, learns the advertisement recommendation model, and uses the trained advertisement recommendation model to determine the advertisements to be promoted in real time. The advertisement recommendation model provides predictions for various products and probabilities. The purchase index between the product and weather data was extracted and reflected using correlation analysis to improve the accuracy of predicting the probability of purchasing a product. First, the user information and product information are input to a deep neural network as a vector through an embedding process. With this information, the product candidate group generation model reduces the product candidates that can be purchased by a certain user. The advertisement recommendation model uses a wide and deep recommendation model to derive the recommendation list by predicting the probability of purchase for the selected products. Finally, the most suitable advertisements are selected using the predicted probability of purchase for all the users within the advertisement range. The proposed system does not communicate with the server. Therefore, it determines the advertisements using a model trained at the edge. It can also be applied to digital signage that requires immediate response from several users.

Comparative Study of PSO-ANN in Estimating Traffic Accident Severity

  • Md. Ashikuzzaman;Wasim Akram;Md. Mydul Islam Anik;Taskeed Jabid;Mahamudul Hasan;Md. Sawkat Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권8호
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2023
  • Due to Traffic accidents people faces health and economical casualties around the world. As the population increases vehicles on road increase which leads to congestion in cities. Congestion can lead to increasing accident risks due to the expansion in transportation systems. Modern cities are adopting various technologies to minimize traffic accidents by predicting mathematically. Traffic accidents cause economical casualties and potential death. Therefore, to ensure people's safety, the concept of the smart city makes sense. In a smart city, traffic accident factors like road condition, light condition, weather condition etcetera are important to consider to predict traffic accident severity. Several machine learning models can significantly be employed to determine and predict traffic accident severity. This research paper illustrated the performance of a hybridized neural network and compared it with other machine learning models in order to measure the accuracy of predicting traffic accident severity. Dataset of city Leeds, UK is being used to train and test the model. Then the results are being compared with each other. Particle Swarm optimization with artificial neural network (PSO-ANN) gave promising results compared to other machine learning models like Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Nearest Centroid, K Nearest Neighbor Classification. PSO- ANN model can be adopted in the transportation system to counter traffic accident issues. The nearest centroid model gave the lowest accuracy score whereas PSO-ANN gave the highest accuracy score. All the test results and findings obtained in our study can provide valuable information on reducing traffic accidents.

베이지안 네트워크 기반 계층적 CPV 태양광 추적 시스템 (A Hierarchical CPV Solar Generation Tracking System based on Modular Bayesian Network)

  • 박수상;양견모;조성배
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제41권7호
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2014
  • 지구 온난화 문제와 화석 연료 양의 한계 때문에 재생 가능한 전력 생산에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 특히 재생 에너지 중 태양광 에너지의 전력 생산 비율은 점차 증가함에 따라 집광형 태양광발전 시스템은 높은 전력 생산량으로 각광받고 있다. 하지만 이 시스템은 태양광 중첩률이 높을 때 가장 높은 발전 효율을 내기 때문에 허용 오차 범위가 작은 정밀 태양 추적 시스템이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 복잡한 환경에 대응할 수 있는 베이지안 네트워크와 나이브 베이즈 분류기를 이용한 계층적 추적 시스템을 제안한다. 베이지안 네트워크는 불완전하고 불확실한 상황을 모델링 하는데 강력한 모델로 충분한 양의 데이터가 없을 경우에도 도메인 지식을 바탕으로 네트워크를 설계할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 제안하는 계층적 확률 시스템에서는 불확실한 하늘 상황을 9개로 분류하고 모듈형 베이지안 네트워크를 이용하여 현재 날씨 상황을 추론한다. 또한 나이브 베이즈 분류기를 이용하여 추론된 날씨 상황을 고려한 효율적인 추적 방법을 분류하고 선택한다. 베이지안 네트워크의 유용성을 평가하기 위해 실제 날씨 데이터를 수집하였고 평균 93.9%의 정확도(Accuracy)를 보였다. 또한, 제안하는 시스템과 핀홀 카메라 시스템의 태양광발전 효율을 비교한 결과 약 16.58%의 성능이 향상됨을 확인하였다.

수리 모형을 이용한 Korea Land Data Assimilation System (KLDAS) 자료의 수문자료에 대한 영향력 분석 (Interactions between Soil Moisture and Weather Prediction in Rainfall-Runoff Application : Korea Land Data Assimilation System(KLDAS))

  • 정용;최민하
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2011년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2011
  • The interaction between land surface and atmosphere is essentially affected by hydrometeorological variables including soil moisture. Accurate estimation of soil moisture at spatial and temporal scales is crucial to better understand its roles to the weather systems. The KLDAS(Korea Land Data Assimilation System) is a regional, specifically Korea peninsula land surface information systems. As other prior land data assimilation systems, this can provide initial soil field information which can be used in atmospheric simulations. For this study, as an enabling high-resolution tool, weather research and forecasting(WRF-ARW) model is applied to produce precipitation data using GFS(Global Forecast System) with GFS embedded and KLDAS soil moisture information as initialization data. WRF-ARW generates precipitation data for a specific region using different parameters in physics options. The produced precipitation data will be employed for simulations of Hydrological Models such as HEC(Hydrologic Engineering Center) - HMS(Hydrologic Modeling System) as predefined input data for selected regional water responses. The purpose of this study is to show the impact of a hydrometeorological variable such as soil moisture in KLDAS on hydrological consequences in Korea peninsula. The study region, Chongmi River Basin, is located in the center of Korea Peninsular. This has 60.8Km river length and 17.01% slope. This region mostly consists of farming field however the chosen study area placed in mountainous area. The length of river basin perimeter is 185Km and the average width of river is 9.53 meter with 676 meter highest elevation in this region. We have four different observation locations : Sulsung, Taepyung, Samjook, and Sangkeug observatoriesn, This watershed is selected as a tentative research location and continuously studied for getting hydrological effects from land surface information. Simulations for a real regional storm case(June 17~ June 25, 2006) are executed. WRF-ARW for this case study used WSM6 as a micro physics, Kain-Fritcsch Scheme for cumulus scheme, and YSU scheme for planetary boundary layer. The results of WRF simulations generate excellent precipitation data in terms of peak precipitation and date, and the pattern of daily precipitation for four locations. For Sankeug observatory, WRF overestimated precipitation approximately 100 mm/day on July 17, 2006. Taepyung and Samjook display that WRF produced either with KLDAS or with GFS embedded initial soil moisture data higher precipitation amounts compared to observation. Results and discussions in detail on accuracy of prediction using formerly mentioned manners are going to be presented in 2011 Annual Conference of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation.

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An Application of Machine Learning in Retail for Demand Forecasting

  • Muhammad Umer Farooq;Mustafa Latif;Waseemullah;Mirza Adnan Baig;Muhammad Ali Akhtar;Nuzhat Sana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

An Application of Machine Learning in Retail for Demand Forecasting

  • Muhammad Umer Farooq;Mustafa Latif;Waseem;Mirza Adnan Baig;Muhammad Ali Akhtar;Nuzhat Sana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권8호
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    • pp.210-216
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    • 2023
  • Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

수위 측정 레이다에서의 비트 주파수 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimation of Beat Frequency in a Water Level Measurement Radar)

  • 이종길
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.1791-1797
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    • 2014
  • 수자원 관리를 위하여 활용되고 있는 FMCW 레이다 센서는 비트 주파수를 추정함으로서 표면 수위를 측정한다. 따라서 비트 주파수 추정치에서의 높은 신뢰성 및 정확도가 요구된다. 그러나 수위에 따른 비트 스펙트럼은 시스템의 주파수 선형성 및 측정 환경, 기상 상태에 따라 매우 다양한 형태를 나타낼 수 있다. 따라서 현재 사용되는 기존의 수위정보 추출 알고리즘의 정확도 및 신뢰성에 심각한 문제가 발생할 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 방법을 개선할 수 있는 고 해상도 비트 스펙트럼 추정에 의한 수위 정보 추출 방법들을 분석하였다. 이러한 방법들은 SNR 이 일정 기준 이상인 경우 더 정밀한 수위의 측정이 가능함을 보여준다. 그러나 SNR 이 매우 낮은 상황에서는 절대적인 오차수준이 크게 나타나지만 오히려 기존의 방법이 상대적으로 더 높은 신뢰도를 보인다.

Analysis on Electric Field Based on Three Dimensional Atmospheric Electric Field Apparatus

  • Xing, Hong-yan;He, Gui-xian;Ji, Xin-yuan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1697-1704
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    • 2018
  • As a key component of lighting location system (LLS) for lightning warning, the atmospheric electric field measuring is required to have high accuracy. The Conventional methods of the existent electric field measurement meter can only detect the vertical component of the atmospheric electric field, which cannot acquire the realistic electric field in the thunderstorm. This paper proposed a three dimensional (3D) electric field system for atmospheric electric field measurement, which is capable of three orthogonal directions in X, Y, Z, measuring. By analyzing the relationship between the electric field and the relative permittivity of ground surface, the permittivity is calculated, and an efficiency 3D measurement model is derived. On this basis, a three-dimensional electric field sensor and a permittivity sensor are adopted to detect the spatial electric field. Moreover, the elevation and azimuth of the detected target are calculated, which reveal the location information of the target. Experimental results show that the proposed 3D electric field meter has satisfactory sensitivity to the three components of electric field. Additionally, several observation results in the fair and thunderstorm weather have been presented.

A Climate Prediction Method Based on EMD and Ensemble Prediction Technique

  • Bi, Shuoben;Bi, Shengjie;Chen, Xuan;Ji, Han;Lu, Ying
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2018
  • Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

작물 생산률 향상을 위한 생장 환경 변화 탐지 CCMS(Crop Classification Management System) (CCMS (Crop Classification Management System) Detecting Growth Environment Changes to Improve Crop Production Rate)

  • 최호길;이병관;손수락;안희학
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 작물의 생산 비율 향상을 위하여 생장 환경 변화를 탐지하는 CCMS(Crop Classification Management System)를 제안한다. CCMS는 첫째, CNN을 이용하여 이미지를 통해 작물의 종류를 구분하는 Crop Classification Module(CCM)과 둘째, 농장의 누적 데이터를 비교하여 농작물의 이상을 탐지하는 FADM(Farm Anomaly Detection Module)로 구성된다. CCMS의 CCM은 잎 이미지를 통하여 현재 농장에서 재배되는 작물을 인식하고 FADM에 전송하고, FADM은 해당 작물을 재배하는 농장의 과거부터 현재까지 기상데이터를 선택하여 그것을 넬슨 규칙에 적용한다. FADM은 넬슨 규칙을 통하여 이상이 발생한 기상데이터를 찾아내고, IoT 디바이스를 통하여 농장의 환경을 조절한다. CCMS의 성능분석 결과 CCMS의 CCM은 약 90%의 작물 분류 정확도를 갖고, FADM은 예측 수확량을 최대 약 30%가량 향상시키는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, CCMS를 통해 농장을 관리하는 것이 스마트 팜의 수확량 증가에 도움을 줄 수 있다.