• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accrual models

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Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts and Accrual Anomaly (재무분석가의 현금흐름예측과 발생액 이상현상)

  • Kim, Jong-Hyun;Chang, Seok-Jin
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.137-151
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate whether financial analysts' cash flow forecasts mitigate the accrual anomaly. In addition, we examine whether the more accurate analysts' cash flow forecasts are the greater the decline of the accrual anomaly. Design/methodology/approach - Data used in the empirical tests are extracted through KIS-VALUE and FN-GUIDE, and the sample consists of firms listed on Korea Stock Exchange for 7 years from 2005 to 2011. We test the hypotheses using multiple regression analysis and we also estimate the regressions with the decile ranks of the explanatory variables to minimize the influence of outliers. Findings - We have failed to capture evidence that the provision of financial analysts' cash flow forecasts itself reduces the accrual anomaly. However, we find the accrual anomaly to be less severe when financial analysts provide more accurate cash flow forecasts. The findings are consistent in the regression models with the decile ranks as well as in the robustness tests that controlled the accruals quality. Research implications or Originality - This study contributes to the expansion of related studies in the Korea by providing empirical evidence partially that the financial analysts' cash flow forecasts mitigate the accrual anomaly.

The Effects of the Elements of Cash Flow and Accrual on the Consistency of Cash Flow and on the Firm's Value (현금흐름과 발생액 및 구성요소들이 현금흐름의 지속성과 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Chang-Rae;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.61-86
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this article is to investigate the effects of cash flow and accrual, which are the elements of earnings, and those of the elements of cash flow and accrual on the consistency of cash flow and firm's value. We analyzed 4 kinds of regression models, of which the independent variables are this period's cash flow, the elements of cash flow, accrual, and the elements of accrual, and the dependent variables are the next period's cash flow, and the stock price at the end of financial statements disclosure months, respectively. The sample firms were the manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange 1980 through 2006, of which the fiscal year ended in December. And, the results of the analyses are as follows: Cash flow and accrual are shown to have significant relationships with cash flow consistency and the evaluations of firms' value. And, the elements of cash flow or accrual proved to have more influence than the total amount of them, on cash flow consistency and the evaluation of firms' value. Also, the results present that some of the elements of cash flow and accrual differently affect cash flow consistency and the evaluation of firms' value. Accordingly, this study indicates that each of the elements of cash flow and accrual needs to be considered respectively rather than the total amount of them, in the case that cash flow and accrual are used in the decision-making concerned with the forecast of cash flow and the evaluation of firms' value. This study also shows that each element of cash flow and accrual needs to be used differently for cash flow forecast and the evaluation of firms' value.

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Factors Affecting the Adoption of Innovative Service System in Public Sectors : A Case Study on Implementing Double Entry Bookkeeping With Accrual Basis in Government Accounting System (공공부문의 서비스 혁신 수용에 관한 실증연구 : 중앙정부 및 지방자치단체 회계담당자의 복식부기${\cdot}$발생주의 회계시스템 도입에 관한 사례를 중심으로)

  • Pyun Ho-Bum;Han Kwang-Hyun;Kim Tae Ung
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.103-125
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    • 2005
  • Korean government is planning to adopt double entry bookkeeping with accrual basis in the government accounting system. This paper attempts to identify influencing attitudes of information producers toward the acceptance of the new service system. Several models are introduced, including Luder's Contingency Model, Cheng's Politico-Economic Model of Accounting Policy Choice, Roger's Diffusion of innovation, and Davis's Technology Acceptance Model(TAM). A set of constructs are developed as fellows : information producers' knowledges, experiences, altitudes toward the reform, characteristics of cash based accounting system and new accrual based system, a chief executive officer's willingness to support, availability of supporting systems, and social Influences from external environment. This study also incudes hey factors used in TAM, such as perceived usefulness and ease of use. Survey responses are gathered from accounting officers in government ministries and agencies as well as from local governments. Regression analysis shows that, for information producers, both 'perceived ease of use' and 'perceived usefulness' of the new system are the best explanatory variable for the dependent variable. It has also found that 'perceived usefulness' is explained best by individual characteristics such as knowledge and experiences, quality of current cash based s1n91e entry bookkeeping system, chief executive's support, Positive supporting systems and social influences. The useful guidelines for implementing double-entry bookkeeping system with accrual basis are also provided.

The Predictive Ability of Accruals with Respect to Future Cash Flows : In-sample versus Out-of-Sample Prediction (발생액의 미래 현금흐름 예측력 : 표본 내 예측 대 표본 외 예측)

  • Oh, Won-Sun;Kim, Dong-Chool
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.69-98
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates in-sample and out-of-sample predictive abilities of accruals and accruals components with respect to future cash flows using models developed by Barth et al.(2001). In tests, data collected fromda62 Korean KOSPI and KOSDAQ listed firms for ccr4-2007 are used. Results of in-sample prediction tests are similar with those of Barth et al.(2001). Their accrual components model is better than other three models(NI only model, CF only model and NI-total accruals model) in future cash flows predictive ability. That is, in the case of in-sample prediction, accrual components excluding amortization have additional information contents for future cash flows. But in out-of-sample tests, the results are different. The model including operational cash flows(CF only model) shows best out-of-sample predictive ability with respect to future cash flows among above four prediction models. The accrual components model of Barth et al.(2001) has worst out-of-sample predictive ability. The results are robust to sensitivity analyses. In conclusion, we can't find the evidence that accruals and accrual components have predictive ability with respect to future cash flows in out-of-sample prediction tests. This results are consistent with results of Lev et al.(2005), and inconsistent with the belief of accounting standards formulating organizations such as FASB and KASB.

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Industry Classification and Firms Homogeneity in the Same Industries (산업분류와 동일 산업 내 기업의 동질성)

  • Seung-Yeon Lim
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to discuss the appropriateness of domestic industrial classification by analyzing whether companies are grouped into similar categories within the domestic industry classification system. The industry classification was limited to the manufacturing industry and the professional, scientific, and technical services industry, and a homogeneity test was conducted on companies belonging to these two industries. A homogeneity test was performed using companies' accounting information, selecting total accruals, the difference between sales and accounts receivable increments, and tangible assets, which are critical components of the accrual model, to represent the role of industry classification. The analysis results confirmed that the homogeneity of companies in the manufacturing industry is relatively higher than that of companies in the professional, scientific, and technical services industry. The findings of this study suggest that while the industry classification is a highly useful system that enhances the understanding of companies by enabling analysis at both the company level and the industry level to which the company belongs, it has limitations as it assumes the homogeneity of companies within an industry. Therefore, the impact of industry classification should be considered according to the research objectives.

Earnings Management in Price Cartel Firms and the Case of Distribution Industry

  • You, Philip;Yi, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study examines whether price cartel firms perform downward earnings management to avoid or minimize penalty surcharges levied by the Korea Fair Trade Commission and analyzes such earnings management in distribution industry. Research design, data, and methodology - We use 247 firms from 64 price cartel cases in the period of 2011-2016, and collect data from 3 years before to 3 years after the start of price cartel. Earnings management is measured by discretionary accruals. Three discretionary accrual estimation models are employed; modified Jones model, ROA adjusted modified Jones model and CFO-adjusted modified Jones model. For pre- and post-cartel periods, one year, two year, and three year windows are used. Additional empirical analyses are performed for distribution industry sub-sample of 25 cartel firms. Result - The regression results show that cartel firms' discretionary accruals are significantly lower in the period after the start of price cartel than before. And discretionary accruals are lower in cartel firms than in non-cartel firms during the cartel period. Cartel firms in distribution industry also show the earnings management similar to those in other industries. Conclusions - These two findings lead to the conjecture that managers of cartel firms manage their earnings downward. This behavior is indistinguishable between firms in distribution industry and other industries.

A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information (병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측)

  • Moon, Young-Jeon;Yang, Dong-Hyun
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

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